charlie Jatinder Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 3 hours ago, Rthanos said: International reporting isn't Fri-Sun, its the total for however many days a territories normal reports (ie 2 days,3 days, 4 days , 5 days..4 days figures(Thu-Sun) is most common ). If its a territory's opening weekend then its the normal weekend figure for that territory + any previews ,this is regardless of how a territory reports locally (e,g without previews included in opening weekend. UK for example actually report previews in Opening weekend) Yeah, right. That's what I said. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rthmessiah Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 5 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Yeah, right. That's what I said. ok, I took part of your comments "holdover fss" to mean intl weekend was fri-sun totals, which it isn't its a mix of days, but must misunderstood that part of it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rthmessiah Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 Alita could be looking around 80m WE 2 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raulbalarezo Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 5 minutes ago, Rthanos said: Alita could be looking around 80m WE Around $17M - China OW 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mad Max Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 (edited) The holdover markets accounted for 13.8m assuming China & Japan contributed 63m & 3.2m respectively during the course of the weekend. Last weekend was 56.8m so the weekend drop is 75.7% so that doesn't sound great. Edited February 24, 2019 by Mad Max Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 That seems like a very harsh drop from existing markets. Using an estimated $3 million OW in Japan, that means the holdovers contributed $14 million. Down from $56 million last weekend (-75%). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 6 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said: Around $17M - China OW It also had around a 2.5 mil OW in Japan. So around 14.5 mil from the holdover countries. Is that good? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raulbalarezo Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 1 minute ago, lorddemaxus said: It also had around a 2.5 mil OW in Japan. So around 14.5 mil from the holdover countries. Is that good? Not good 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mad Max Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 So what kind of final total are we looking at?? OS total will be in and around 115m as on 21/02/2019 as per Deadline. 80m during the weekend gets the total to 195m. Let's say Alita reaches 2.5x multi in China so that's close to 95m more from the Middle Kingdom. I'm thinking 20m final total from Japan (arbitrary since I have zero clue about Japan's BO mechanics) so that means we can expect around 17m more from there. 2.5x off of this weekend from the rest of the world adds close to 35m to the foreign total. The final OS cume looks something like (195+95+17+35) = 342m. Nao this is an extremely optimistic scenario atm since WoM in China doesn't seem that strong to reach 135m+ while I'm also being very generous with the ROW multiplier because Captain Marvel is bound to cripple the legs in two weeks time. At any rate, 310m still looks doable so that's the target. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimmyRiggins Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 That drop makes no sense if accurate. The hell? Or it's reached the entirety of its audience. Hoping it hits at least 400 M WW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: At 18:20 its at ¥104mn. Heading for ¥135mn ($20mn) full day. Weekend ¥435mn ($65mn) Full run $125-140mn IMO. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 5 minutes ago, TimmyRiggins said: That drop makes no sense if accurate. The hell? Or it's reached the entirety of its audience. Hoping it hits at least 400 M WW I think it's because of early release in most of Asia and the horrible performance in Latin America. I still have it reaching 400 mil (or almost making it). Right now, I think the worst case scenario is 365 mil and the best case is 425 mil. A decrease from the 470-500 mil predictions on OW but still a lot better than 300 mil predictions made by skeptics early on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 Alita this weekend shall be $100mn easily worldwide. 65 from China, 13 from US, 3 from Japan, 20mn plus from rest. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Firepower Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 Yeah, 80 mln WE doesn't sound right, I'd be really surprised if it's true. I expect the actual estimate to be a lot higher. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rthmessiah Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 It was looking to be around 80-85m intl maybe it does do more its in a lot of markets, see what Estimates/actuals get released 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 Apparently our 57-58% drop in Russia looks pretty good compared to other countries. $2.4-2.5 mln 2nd weekend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 2 hours ago, Firepower said: Yeah, 80 mln WE doesn't sound right, I'd be really surprised if it's true. I expect the actual estimate to be a lot higher. I think he meant $80M for international weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 45 minutes ago, Rthanos said: It was looking to be around 80-85m intl maybe it does do more its in a lot of markets, see what Estimates/actuals get released Too low. China is hitting $65mn, Japan is at $3mn plus. More like $90mn weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 Just now, Charlie Jatinder said: Week 9: Top films at UAE box office. Alita at #3 in week 2. $1.4mn Gross so far Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Firepower Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 (edited) 2 hours ago, Gavin Feng said: I think he meant $80M for international weekend. That's what I meant too. it's too low, insane drop, the number should be higher. Edited February 24, 2019 by Firepower Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
