ThomasNicole Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, Elessar said: China / Japan really have to deliver for those kind of numbers me thinks. I don't think it's going much above $200m from existing markets, maybe $220m, so gotta do $130m - $180m, from China / Japan. Yeah, i’m expecting $ 210 - 220M from existing markets and $ 25 - 30M from Japan. China we have to wait, could do anything between $ 100 - 150M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 (edited) 94 OS-J-C after 56 weekend. 94 + 56*2.25 = 220 + 105 Dom = 325 WW-J-C China and Japan combined could give 140 imo for 325 + 140 = 465 WW 0.5*1B is possible. I doubt it goes beyond 525 in any case. Edited February 17, 2019 by a2k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 It is worth to say Alita is doing better than most predictions from industry and guys in BOT including me. This film still have to face some problems. The most serious one is if it could hit break-even point. If not, the sequel probably won't happen. But even if it just make little money, it's not safe to say the sequel will come after Disney owns Fox. 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 On 2/16/2019 at 5:19 PM, a2k said: What's ur best guess looking at early numbers? My mistake. I understood $200M-$250M IN China... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, a2k said: 94 OS-J-C after 56 weekend. 94 + 56*2.5 = 234 + 101 Dom = 335 WW-J-C China and Japan combined could give 140 imo for 335 + 140 = 475 WW 0.5*1B is possible. I doubt it goes beyond 525 in any case. Be careful with its legs. Fox isn't separating the previews from the proper OW. Almost all the big markets are inflated by that. In South Korea Fox included all the holiday week in the OW (10.8m) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, salvador-232 said: Be careful with its legs. Fox isn't separating the previews from the proper OW. Almost all the big markets are inflated by that. In South Korea Fox included all the holiday week in the OW (10.8m) k, changed to 2.25x Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, salvador-232 said: Be careful with its legs. Fox isn't separating the previews from the proper OW. Almost all the big markets are inflated by that. In South Korea Fox included all the holiday week in the OW (10.8m) Everyone do that right. The reported international weekend is holdovers fss + entire opening frame of new markets. Besides, of what I know, Universal usually fudge India numbers by 20-25% in opening weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Everyone do that right. The reported international weekend is holdovers fss + entire opening frame of new markets. Besides, of what I know, Universal usually fudge India numbers by 20-25% in opening weekend. Yes, but they usually separate them on Mojo, like this (HTTYD3 in Mexico) Jan. 25–27 3 $1,377,708 - 864 - $1,595 $1,377,961 0 Feb. 1–3 1 $6,194,441 +349.6% 872 +8 $7,104 $10,050,342 1 or like this (Aquaman in Japan) Date (click to view chart) Rank Weekend Gross / % Change Screens Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week # Feb. 9–10 1 $2,864,383 - 0 - n/a $3,665,647 1 But Fox isn't even doing that. Edited February 17, 2019 by salvador-232 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucasmessi12 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 $200M OS-China+$110m China= $310m OS. + $105m Domestic = $415m Worldwide. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Litio Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 (edited) Alita’s $56.2M weekend is higher than estimates we were hearing ahead of the session which included strong starts in Russia, France and Mexico. The question is what her legs will look like in some of the European and more mature markets moving forward (she certainly has runway ahead before Captain Marvel takes flight). Currently, Alita is outpacing Ready Player One (+5%) and The Maze Runner (+43%) in the same group of a total 86 offshore markets and at today’s rates. IMAX and 3D box office contributed nicely to the weekend at 35% and 10% of the overseas total, respectively. https://deadline.com/2019/02/alita-battle-angel-the-wandering-earth-happy-death-day-2u-aquaman-china-global-international-box-office-1202559181/ Edited February 17, 2019 by Litio 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zakiyyah6 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 5 hours ago, Gavin Feng said: It is worth to say Alita is doing better than most predictions from industry and guys in BOT including me. This film still have to face some problems. The most serious one is if it could hit break-even point. If not, the sequel probably won't happen. But even if it just make little money, it's not safe to say the sequel will come after Disney owns Fox. As down as am on the domestic performance because unless a miracle happens it won't be good, I do look on the bright side of the film's performance. 400-500mil is better than most thought it would perform months ago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 (edited) 6 hours ago, salvador-232 said: Yes, but they usually separate them on Mojo, like this (HTTYD3 in Mexico) Jan. 25–27 3 $1,377,708 - 864 - $1,595 $1,377,961 0 Feb. 1–3 1 $6,194,441 +349.6% 872 +8 $7,104 $10,050,342 1 or like this (Aquaman in Japan) Date (click to view chart) Rank Weekend Gross / % Change Screens Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week # Feb. 9–10 1 $2,864,383 - 0 - n/a $3,665,647 1 But Fox isn't even doing that. It depends on mojo how they present it. The Australian numbers they post are strictly Thursday - Sunday https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&view=byweekend&id=marvel0518.htm But Disney reported Australia as $22mn not $17mn. While in UK/South Korea they report weekend Including Wednesday & Thursday. Edited February 18, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 Alita falling 77% in Argentina, 79% in Bolivia, 89% in Paraguay and 74% in Uruguay. Yeah yeah, Valentine's Day inflated last week, but Jesus. 1 3 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimmyRiggins Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 Thankfully those are tiny markets, I wonder why latin america though is not catching on to this, nor did they for Ready Player One, what is that about? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marathon Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 This could be a completely erroneous gut feeling, but it seems like live action sci-fi (outside of superheroes, that is) doesn't have much of a foothold in Latin America. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 1 minute ago, Marathon said: This could be a completely erroneous gut feeling, but it seems like live action sci-fi (outside of superheroes, that is) doesn't have much of a foothold in Latin America. It’s not a gut feeling, it’s facts laid out by numbers. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bishop54 Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 10 hours ago, salvador-232 said: Alita falling 77% in Argentina, 79% in Bolivia, 89% in Paraguay and 74% in Uruguay. Yeah yeah, Valentine's Day inflated last week, but Jesus. Oh no, what will Alita ever do without that combined 25k? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Bishop54 said: Oh no, what will Alita ever do without that combined 25k? Oh yeah, that tiny minuscule country called Argentina which has produced 30M+ grosses Don't be that hard tough, Alita opened with 320k in Argentina, just 64% below RPO! Edited February 23, 2019 by salvador-232 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RthDeadWov Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 4:51 AM, salvador-232 said: Be careful with its legs. Fox isn't separating the previews from the proper OW. Almost all the big markets are inflated by that. In South Korea Fox included all the holiday week in the OW (10.8m) On 2/18/2019 at 5:00 AM, Charlie Jatinder said: Everyone do that right. The reported international weekend is holdovers fss + entire opening frame of new markets. Besides, of what I know, Universal usually fudge India numbers by 20-25% in opening weekend. On 2/18/2019 at 5:05 AM, salvador-232 said: Yes, but they usually separate them on Mojo, like this (HTTYD3 in Mexico) Jan. 25–27 3 $1,377,708 - 864 - $1,595 $1,377,961 0 Feb. 1–3 1 $6,194,441 +349.6% 872 +8 $7,104 $10,050,342 1 or like this (Aquaman in Japan) Date (click to view chart) Rank Weekend Gross / % Change Screens Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week # Feb. 9–10 1 $2,864,383 - 0 - n/a $3,665,647 1 But Fox isn't even doing that. International reporting isn't Fri-Sun, its the total for however many days a territories normal reports (ie 2 days,3 days, 4 days , 5 days..4 days figures(Thu-Sun) is most common ). If its a territory's opening weekend then its the normal weekend figure for that territory + any previews ,this is regardless of how a territory reports locally (e,g without previews included in opening weekend. UK for example actually report previews in Opening weekend) 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keiji Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 (edited) Hello. Personnally I'm thinking it will do over $350 WW. Hoping for $400M WW. 🤓 Edited February 24, 2019 by Keiji 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
