CAYOM V Actuals: A Life in the Flash Point of the Unbeatable Union of One Punch Manhunters on their Own Accord Scavenging for A Woman in the Crowd for 24 Hours within the Next Dimension of the Third Dimension

[cookie]

46 minutes ago, Rorschach said:

August and September are coming today but there won’t be any commentary for either of them. I’m on a fairly tight schedule today.

Any chance December by Tuesday still possible?

Edited April 14, 2019 by cookie

[Rorschach]

Just now, cookie said:

Is getting to December by Tuesday still possible?

At this point, no. My semester is starting to ramp up quite a bit for all my final projects and stuff. I'm hoping I can get through everything by the end of next weekend but I'm not gonna make any guarantees.

[Rorschach]

August 6-8: ‘Sylvarius’ slays the competition, ‘Static’ holds strong

 

The Numerator Pictures’ animated flick ‘ Sylvarius impressed with a $65.7 million haul and an A cinemascore.

 

1. Sylvarius - $65,716,108 (1st week)

2. Static Shock - $34,758,171 (2nd week) (-48.5%)

3. The Rich and Famous - $12,932,025 (2nd week) (-37.8%)

4. Conventional Wisdom - $11,164,956 (2nd week) (-54%)

5. Scooby-Doo: Apocalypse - $9,883,660 (4th week) (-45.1%)

6. One Punch Man - $4,763,745 (6th week) (-33.8%)

7. Skyjumper - $2,703,633 (5th week) (-38%)

8. Calendars - $2,084,389 (6th week) (-30.2%)

9. Splatoon - $1,598,430 (8th week) (-46%)

10. Two Lonely Bounty Hunters - $554,644 (14th week) (-42%)

 

August 13-15: ‘Sylvarius’ and ‘Yin’ continue box office equilibrium

 

New Journey Pictures’ neo-noir thriller ‘Yin’ posted a solid $25.1 million for the weekend and scored a B cinemascore.

 

1. Sylvarius - $39,831,419 (2nd week) (-39.4%)

2. Yin - $25,126,652 (1st week)

3. Static Shock - $19,371,752 (3rd week) (-44.3%)

4. The Rich and Famous - $9,523,659 (3rd week) (-26.4%)

5. Conventional Wisdom - $6,419,850 (3rd week) (-42.5%)

6. Scooby-Doo: Apocalypse - $5,831,359 (5th week) (-41%)

7. One Punch Man - $3,094,687 (7tth week) (-35%)

8. Skyjumper - $1,895,427 (6th week) (-29.9%)

9. Calendars - $1,236,043 (7th week) (-40.7%)

10. Splatoon - $1,049,641 (9th week) (-34.3%)

 

August 20-22: ‘He-Man’ horrifies the competition away

 

The third film in the franchise continues the franchises hot streak with a $72.7 million take, slightly lower than the second film but impressive nonetheless. The film scored a B+ with audiences.

 

1. He-Man III: The Horror of Hordak - $72,696,831 (1st week)

2. Sylvarius - $27,330,668 (3rd week) (-31.4%)

3. Yin - $14,386,192 (2nd week) (-42.7%)

4. Static Shock - $11,216,244 (4th week) (-42.1%)

5. The Rich and Famous - $7,348,423 (4th week) (-22.8%)

6. Conventional Wisdom - $3,646,475 (4th week) (-43.2%)

7. Scooby-Doo: Apocalypse - $3,630,955 (6th week) (-37.7%)

8. One Punch Man - $2,005,010 (8th week) (-35.2%)

9. Skyjumper - $1,299,673 (7th week) (-31.4%)

10. Calendars - $878,827 (8th week) (-28.9%)

 

August 27-29: ‘Peak’ can’t reach the top, ‘He-Man’ still has the power

 

This weekend’s lone release, the family-adventure ‘Peak’, failed to generate much interest, posting $9 million for the weekend. The film did score a solid A- however.

 

1. He-Man III: The Horror of Hordak - $30,268,515 (2nd week) (-58.4%)

2. Sylvarius - $20,498,497 (4th week) (-25%)

3. Yin - $9,523,659 (3rd week) (-33.8%)

4. Peak - $9,018,751 (1st week)

5. Static Shock - $7,750,425 (5th week) (-30.9%)

6. The Rich and Famous - $5,469,230 (5th week) (-25.6%)

7. Conventional Wisdom - $2,384,795 (5th week) (-34.6%)

8. Scooby-Doo: Apocalypse - $2,314,966 (7th week) (-36.2%)

9. One Punch Man - $1,529,823 (9th week) (-23.7%)

10. Skyjumper - $938,864 (8th week) (-27.8%)

 

[Ezen Baklattan]

Another monster animated run. Bodes well for Squirrel Girl.

[cookie]

Estimated totals as of September 2nd:

 

OPM - $315m+

Scooby-Doo: ~$200m

Static Shock: $200m+

Sylvarius: $200m+

Yin: $65m+

He-Man III: $125m+

[YM!]

22 minutes ago, Spaghetti said:

Another monster animated run. Bodes well for Squirrel Girl.

Think and hope so. With no all ages competition for the holiday season as Olive will die on that week and Pillars 2 and Flashpoint will be weak, TUSG will be benefit exponentially. I wonder if it can match Kingdom of The Sun numbers.

[SLAM!]

I'm glad that Yin is able to do as well as it is.

 

Peak's underperformance isn't a surprise to me, though the film should at least be able to garner a 3x multiplier like Alpha did last year. That's a good comparison.

[cookie]

If anyone's curious, here's how I calculate estimates (based on data available from 2017/2018 releases):

 

Non-Summer/Holiday

Weekday multis for movies aimed at older audiences are usually 1.25-1.3x. Horror movies seem to be the exception.

 

Kids/family movies are almost always 1.2x if not a little less, but I keep it at 1.2x.

 

4-quadrant tentpoles seem to vary a lot. Sometimes they're as low as 1.2x, other times they're as high as 1.3x. When I did Spark 2's total I used Guardians of The Galaxy Vol. 2 to calculate weekly totals which averaged at 1.25x. Since then I've used 1.25x as the standard.

 

Summer

Opening week multi is 1.35-1.4x multi. It's usually closer to the latter and sometimes above, but so the numbers don't balloon out of control I cap it at 1.4x.

 

Every subsequent week until the first full week of August is 1.5x. Again, sometimes it's a tiny bit lower, sometimes it's a bit higher, but 1.5x is the hard rule.

 

4th of July is extremely dependent on where it falls (if it's a weekday it's good, if it's a weekend it's bad). 2017/2018 could not apply here since Y5 falls on a Sunday, so I used 2010 multis (some higher than 2x but I used 1.9x as standard).

 

Second week of August is when weekdays start to drop off so I lower the multi to 1.35-1.4x and on the third week it's back to standard multis.

 

Holiday

Like 4th of July it's extremely dependent on where the calendar falls. Where Christmas Eve, Day, Boxing, New Year's all end up can alter things significantly, so I'm waiting until December is posted to figure things out (I'm probably going to use a combo of 2010 and 2016 multis since they're somewhat comparable).

Edited April 14, 2019 by cookie

[YM!]

Real talk: I see Psychonauts and Fantasia underperforming. One cause of the stop motion stigma and the strong performance of Hunters, Splatoon and Sylvarius. Fantasia likely won't appeal to children, and although adults will be interested, it will only be by so much.

[cookie]

16 minutes ago, cookie said:

4th of July is extremely dependent on where it falls (if it's a weekday it's good, if it's a weekend it's bad). 2017/2018 could not apply here since Y5 falls on a Sunday, so I used 2010 multis (some higher than 2x but I used 1.9x as standard).

 

Correction: I only used this for family movies like Splatoon. When I calculated the multis for OPM and other older-skewing films I used The Last Airbender and Twilight Saga: Eclipse as comparisons which averaged out to 1.65x.

Edited April 14, 2019 by cookie

[Xillix]

I used The Last Airbender as a comparison for my OPM predict in the first place lol

[Ezen Baklattan]

20 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Real talk: I see Psychonauts and Fantasia underperforming. One cause of the stop motion stigma and the strong performance of Hunters, Splatoon and Sylvarius. Fantasia likely won't appeal to children, and although adults will be interested, it will only be by so much.

Wouldn’t be horribly shocked if Psychonauts did under 50m TBH.

[YM!]

Really proud of Static Shock's run. I really want to rework the sequel as although I care for the first, it was verrrrrry rushed. 

[YM!]

I am the most curious about Babmi, I can see it pull a Dumbo or a Gravity.

[Ethan Hunt]

6 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

I am the most curious about Babmi, I can see it pull a Dumbo or a Gravity.

I think Lee's own Life of Pi is the best comparison

[Ethan Hunt]

But with a bigger opening

[cookie]

My predict for Bambi is 75% of The Martian ($170m) with comparable weekday multis.

Edited April 14, 2019 by cookie

[4815162342]

1 hour ago, Rorschach said:

August 6-8: ‘Sylvarius’ slays the competition, ‘Static’ holds strong

 

1. Sylvarius - $65,716,108 (1st week)

 

 

Quote

Sylvarius: 67.4 OW

 

Nailed it

[SLAM!]

I'm really looking forward to seeing the Bambi numbers because The Ancient Magus' Bride is going to be similar in tone and scale, so the gross directly affects the economic viability of the project.

[cookie]

10 minutes ago, Slambros said:

I'm really looking forward to seeing the Bambi numbers because The Ancient Magus' Bride is going to be similar in tone and scale, so the gross directly affects the economic viability of the project.

From the five-minute research I did on Wikipedia I'm definitely interested to see how you pull it off.