narniadis Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 Screen slash doesn't actually mean theater count drop apparently. Its definitely adjusting screens based on what I can see around me, but damn adding some theaters this weekend is crazy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 Theater counts have little relevance beyond a certain number. Screen/Show counts have greater value. Could be that some indie theaters have added it but wont make any difference to BO gross. Anyway its looking at sub 50%(hopefully 45%) drop this weekend. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 7 minutes ago, Krissykins said: That “screen slash” isn’t happening this weekend then after all. Should have good hold this weekend. No one thought it was dropping full theaters...instead, it's the showings that have been slashed in about 1/2, if you look around metros... Real theater drops, if any, wouldn't start til weekend #4 (and Dora), but even then, that's probably only gonna be 200-400...the real test will be Aug 16, when Angry Birds is also open, so there would be 2 "still have to be maintained" family movies around as kids go back to school... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 4,802 theater counts for TLK, eh? Smart & clever thinking, Disney. 🙋🏻♀️👍🏻 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 Rank LW Title Distributor Theater Count Change % Change Est. Screens Change Est. Shows Change Week # > NEW RELEASES 2 - Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw Universal 4,253 - - - - - - 1 34 - Luce Neon 5 - - - - - - 1 35 - The Nightingale (2019) IFC 2 - - - - - - 1 > EXPANDING 1 1 The Lion King (2019) Buena Vista 4,802 +77 +1.6% - - - - 3 13 23 The Farewell A24 409 +274 +203.0% - - - - 4 20 30 Maiden Sony Classics 131 +18 +15.9% - - - - 6 23 32 Marianne & Leonard: Words of Love Roadside Attractions 101 +18 +21.7% - - - - 5 30 42 David Crosby: Remember My Name Sony Classics 29 +18 +163.6% - - - - 3 33 64 Honeyland Neon 5 +3 +150.0% - - - - 2 > NO CHANGE 3 3 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Sony / Columbia 3,659 - - - - - - 2 > DECLINING 4 2 Spider-Man: Far from Home Sony / Columbia 3,446 -405 -10.5% - - - - 5 5 4 Toy Story 4 Buena Vista 3,225 -385 -10.7% - - - - 7 6 5 Crawl Paramount 2,085 -635 -23.3% - - - - 4 7 6 Yesterday Universal 1,829 -721 -28.3% - - - - 6 8 8 Aladdin (2019) Buena Vista 1,370 -428 -23.8% - - - - 11 9 7 Stuber Fox 1,080 -1,070 -49.8% - - - - 4 10 9 Annabelle Comes Home Warner Bros. (New Line) 919 -368 -28.6% - - - - 6 11 10 The Secret Life of Pets 2 Universal 774 -227 -22.7% - - - - 9 12 12 Avengers: Endgame Buena Vista 420 -160 -27.6% - - - - 15 14 11 Midsommar A24 381 -245 -39.1% - - - - 5 15 15 Rocketman Paramount 354 -164 -31.7% - - - - 10 16 16 John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum Lionsgate/Summit 339 -87 -20.4% - - - - 12 17 17 Men in Black International Sony / Columbia 251 -92 -26.8% - - - - 8 18 18 Godzilla: King of the Monsters Warner Bros. 192 -46 -19.3% - - - - 10 19 19 Pokemon Detective Pikachu Warner Bros. 134 -21 -13.5% - - - - 13 21 21 Dark Phoenix Fox 125 -20 -13.8% - - - - 9 22 20 Shaft (2019) Warner Bros. (New Line) 108 -45 -29.4% - - - - 8 24 26 Child's Play (2019) United Artists Releasing 90 -35 -28.0% - - - - 7 25 22 Wild Rose Neon 86 -58 -40.3% - - - - 7 26 29 The Last Black Man in San Francisco A24 74 -40 -35.1% - - - - 9 27 13 Booksmart United Artists Releasing 55 -500 -90.1% - - - - 11 28 34 Biggest Little Farm Neon 53 -8 -13.1% - - - - 13 29 35 Dumbo (2019) Buena Vista 30 -15 -33.3% - - - - 19 31 39 The Other Side of Heaven 2: Fire of Faith ArtAffects 29 -4 -12.1% - - - - 6 32 36 Anna (2019) Lionsgate/Summit 26 -18 -40.9% - - - - 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 31 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said: No one thought it was dropping full theaters...instead, it's the showings that have been slashed in about 1/2, if you look around metros... Real theater drops, if any, wouldn't start til weekend #4 (and Dora), but even then, that's probably only gonna be 200-400...the real test will be Aug 16, when Angry Birds is also open, so there would be 2 "still have to be maintained" family movies around as kids go back to school... Yeh I didn’t say theatres either. We’ll see with BOM’s estimated showtimes. There’s also that story going about that Disney had an agreement with cinemas to keep Lion King in the biggest rooms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 9 minutes ago, Krissykins said: Yeh I didn’t say theatres either. We’ll see with BOM’s estimated showtimes. There’s also that story going about that Disney had an agreement with cinemas to keep Lion King in the biggest rooms. Yes, and if you go to your local metro theaters, you will see TLK does NOT have the biggest screens anymore at many of them...so either the rumor was untrue, the deal got adjusted based on performance, or theaters stopped caring en masse...the last being the least likely, and the 1st being the most:)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 Shit! How many movies are opening next week?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, sfran43 said: Hmm. That theater count seems a bit small for Dora. Wouldn’t that result to just an ok opening for the type of film it is? 🤷🏻♀️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 Just now, sfran43 said: Shit! How many movies are opening next week?! Lots of screens available. Stuber still in 1,000+ theaters even with a $819 PTA last w/e. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said: Hmm. That theater count seems a bit small for Dora. Wouldn’t that result to just an ok opening for the type of film it is? 🤷🏻♀️ Something like 90%+ of box office. comes from the top 2000- 2,500 theaters 3,500 is more than enough - as said above it's the # of screens that matter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 8 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said: Yes, and if you go to your local metro theaters, you will see TLK does NOT have the biggest screens anymore at many of them...so either the rumor was untrue, the deal got adjusted based on performance, or theaters stopped caring en masse...the last being the least likely, and the 1st being the most:)... Or it just doesn’t apply to metro areas. Anyway, with that theatre count increase and no direct family competition, I’m expecting 45% drop at the most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, Krissykins said: Or it just doesn’t apply to metro areas. Anyway, with that theatre count increase and no direct family competition, I’m expecting 45% drop at the most. $42.15M or better for the TLK DOM weekend...well, it's good to be optimistic:)... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 13 minutes ago, Krissykins said: Or it just doesn’t apply to metro areas. Anyway, with that theatre count increase and no direct family competition, I’m expecting 45% drop at the most. Metro areas are the ones that can afford to have one film take up their biggest screen for weeks as a trade off for huge business the first week or two. It's the smaller towns that 1) usually have fewer screens 2) have a vastly smaller pool of customers who are most affected by long contracts. This theater count is negligible - probably very small theaters that had contracts to show other movies the last two weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 The Lion King still has IMAX in some places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 1 hour ago, sfran43 said: Shit! How many movies are opening next week?! 5 wide releases. Dora and the Lost City of Gold Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark The Art of Racing in the Rain The Kitchen (2019) Brian Banks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...