Plain Old Tele Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 Hobbit has actually got nothing for it except for the LOTR legacy, which it will find too difficult to keep up with.The best comparisons it has got are Shrek -> Puss and X-Men -> Wolverine and these two were among the most important characters in the original series. Bilbo is like a guest character in LOTR.A significant drop in opening as well as admissions is inevitable.A drop in opening? So you think it'll open less than ROTK unadjusted (for the 3-day)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 Hobbit has actually got nothing for it except for the LOTR legacy, which it will find too difficult to keep up with.The best comparisons it has got are Shrek -> Puss and X-Men -> Wolverine and these two were among the most important characters in the original series. Bilbo is like a guest character in LOTR.A significant drop in opening as well as admissions is inevitable.LMAO, those movies are RIDICULOUS comparisons to The Hobbit. :lol: I won't even acknowledge them with an argument. There's 0% chance the movie opens to less than $90m, and $120m+ is very likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 the lead up and hype to The Hunger Games made the movie feel like an event that you had to be part of. Not just a movie. Now that event feeling is over. So huge drops are guaranteed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 (edited) The Hobbit book was just as popular as LOTR. I know a lot of people want to believe the Hobbit is some small, obscure spin off but it is not. No matter how much you want to believe itWolverine as a superhero was not any less popular than X-Men.And The Hobbit as a book isn't all that popular now. It will have it work from a moderate opening, based on the quality alone... like FOTR had to.Not to mention the fact that The Hobbit is half a story with the goal of recovering some dumb treasure, nowhere near as exciting and enticing as the one ring and destroying it against the dark forces of Mordor. Edited April 2, 2012 by Fake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reddevil18 Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 A drop in opening? So you think it'll open less than ROTK unadjusted (for the 3-day)?Yeah, Fake is smoking the anti-LOTR pipe weed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 Fake is done dealing with THG-loons. Next target is LOTR-loons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 A drop in opening? So you think it'll open less than ROTK unadjusted (for the 3-day)?I said admissions. Thanks to 3D, it will open in the 90-100M range and then will get a 3.8-4x multiplier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 I agree that I think TH1 being half a story might hurt it a bit, somewhat like DH1. However, I have much greater confidence in PJ creating enough of an ending to make it feel like a conclusion (unlike DH1, where it basically just.... stopped.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 Fake is obviously just spewing nonsensical rambling when it comes to TH1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 I had a feeling it was being overestimated just to have it at 250M, but not by that much. (Of course its no Scream 3 OW )It was a good movie, though to me it felt like a stand alone film. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 I said admissions. Thanks to 3D, it will open in the 90-100M range and then will get a 3.8-4x multiplier.You said "A significant drop in opening as well as admissions is inevitable." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 (edited) I said admissions. Thanks to 3D, it will open in the 90-100M range and then will get a 3.8-4x multiplier.That is not what you implied. That wouldn't be so bad. Edited April 2, 2012 by MovieMan89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 Fake is done dealing with THG-loons.Next target is LOTR-loons. I am a LOTR-loon myself (have seen thw whole trilogy about 7-8 times by now) but that doesn't mean I have to start making ridiculous predictions for The Hobbit.And reading through The Hobbit has been a painful experience for me. At the start I was predicting 420M+ and then I began reading the book, and I was like.... WTF!! Is this the same guy who created LOTR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 I am a LOTR-loon myself (have seen thw whole trilogy about 7-8 times by now) but that doesn't mean I have to start making ridiculous predictions for The Hobbit.And reading through The Hobbit has been a painful experience for me. At the start I was predicting 420M+ and then I began reading the book, and I was like.... WTF!! Is this the same guy who created LOTR?most predictions are really that ridiculous. Even 400M domestic would be a drop in admissions by a decent amount Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 You said "A significant drop in opening as well as admissions is inevitable."I was writing something else... but since I am so sleepy now I skipped a few words. :PWhat I meant to write was "A significant drop in opening as well as final gross in terms of admissions is inevitable." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 FML Lionsgate why are you so shit at putting out weekend estimates?!First it dropped $2.5m last weekend, now it drops over $3m?! C'mon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 most predictions are really that ridiculous. Even 400M domestic would be a drop in admissions by a decent amount400M is possible if the movie is very good.... but 500M and 130M+ opening (yeah... some people are predicting that)? Just no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 FML Lionsgate why are you so shit at putting out weekend estimates?!First it dropped $2.5m last weekend, now it drops over $3m?!C'mon!Next weekend they are gonna estimate it at 30M... and then it is going to drop 4M. :D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 The Hobbit 1 will be lucky to be nearly as good as DH1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 The Hobbit 1 will be lucky to be nearly as good as DH1.Don't know about that. Maybe lucky to be as good as DH2, but for me the trailer already looks better than DH1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
