XXR vs XXR Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, MG10 said: It doesn't happen often that Brazil isn't in the top 5 international markets for a superhero movie (especially excluding China), does anyone know why and if it still has a chanche to overtake Australia? COVID restrictions and because it's ER went to shit in the last 2 years. If NWH had the same ER as Endgame, then it would be at $71M USD. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted January 30, 2022 Author Share Posted January 30, 2022 10 minutes ago, MG10 said: It doesn't happen often that Brazil isn't in the top 5 international markets for a superhero movie (especially excluding China), does anyone know why and if it still has a chanche to overtake Australia? No it will finish behind Australia Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 33 minutes ago, MG10 said: It doesn't happen often that Brazil isn't in the top 5 international markets for a superhero movie (especially excluding China), does anyone know why and if it still has a chanche to overtake Australia? Mostly ER. Brazilian ER has been shit in last few years and movie tickets are around same. NWH ATP is just $3.3 while in 2015 films used to have around $4.8. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fox20 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 hour ago, KP1025 said: For what it's worth regarding China, NWH currently has a score of 7.9 on Maoyan. Not a huge sample size given the film wasn't officially released there, but this is much lower than either IW, EG, or FFH even. Combined with the data from Hong Kong and Taiwan, it does point to a similar underperformance relative to the rest of the world. Ehh most of those people at best watched a camrip if any, it hardly matters or show the reality. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 41 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: NWH ATP is just $3.3 while in 2015 films used to have around $4.8. And unlike Mexico which has increased ticket prices to upset both decrease in admissions and ER; Brazil has remained pretty much the same since 2019 in part because they are already quite high but they can't hold much more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 If they actually have an extended rerelease to play will take us past 1.9 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 6 hours ago, Fox20 said: Ehh most of those people at best watched a camrip if any, it hardly matters or show the reality. Maoyan also incorporates reviews from Chinese nationals who watched the film overseas though I agree the score is not enough by itself to make any definitive conclusions either way. But its "want-to-see" index on Maoyan (usually a good indicator of general audience hype pre-release) was also strangely low for a film of this scale, being less than 1/3 of Venom 2 a month before its supposed release date. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 There’s good reason to suspect it would have underperformed in China imo, but even like 320 probably gets it over titanic and beyond that no real goalposts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Can put $400-500M value for China for this one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MG10 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I found on Cineguru a list of the countries where No Way Home has become the highest grossing superhero movie: Great Britain, Argentina, Belgium, Croatia, Egypt, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Lithuania, Mexico, Mongolia, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, Syria, Turkey and Ukraine 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 10 minutes ago, MG10 said: I found on Cineguru a list of the countries where No Way Home has become the highest grossing superhero movie: Great Britain, Argentina, Belgium, Croatia, Egypt, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Lithuania, Mexico, Mongolia, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, Syria, Turkey and Ukraine This doesn’t seem to be complete, missing Russia at least so maybe others. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 hours ago, MG10 said: I found on Cineguru a list of the countries where No Way Home has become the highest grossing superhero movie: Great Britain, Argentina, Belgium, Croatia, Egypt, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Lithuania, Mexico, Mongolia, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, Syria, Turkey and Ukraine Wow. I wonder why the Middle East loved this movie so much? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 I hope it's true and in 3 weeks we will have a new #3 ATG in DOM, if it reach $760M by 21 feb, then 2 weeks without competition until Batman and I think it can still add at least $10M maybe even $20M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 (edited) I think we can expect $1,035B final OS without Philippines and Netherlands Maybe $1,06B-$1,07B final OS run without China #8 best OS grosser #4 best OS grosser without China $765M-$775M in DOM #3 best DOM grosser $1825M-$1845M WW #6 best WW grosser #5 best WW grosser without China 240M admissions in the world #8 most viewed movie in theaters NWH surpass or will surpass AEG (and become biggest MCU grosser and highest-grossing superhero movie of all time) in : EMEA : Belgium / Croatia / Egypt / France / Iraq / Israel / Jordan / Kuwait / Lebanon / Lithuania / Nigeria / Norway / Oman / Saudi Arabia / Serbia / Switzerland / Syria / Turkey (in lc) / Ukraine / UK = 21 countries LA : Argentina / Bolivia / Mexico (in lc) / Venezuela = 4 countries #2 biggest grosser and most viewed in LA APAC : Mongolia / Russia = 2 country NWH has therefore overtaken AEG in 27 countries and can still be added to the list (maybe) Australia, Austria ?, Iceland, Spain and Sweden. A few weeks ago I thought NWH wouldn't beat AEG in any country except KSA and finally it did in over 26 other countries, what an incredible run ! Edited February 1, 2022 by LPLC 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 (edited) DOM : $780M-$790M United Kingdom : $128M France : $65M Germany : $51M Spain : $31M Italy : $28M KSA : $17M UAE : $12M Sweden : $11,5M Belgium : $10M Norway : $9M Switzerland : $9M Denmark : $9M Poland : $9M Ukraine : $8,5M Austria : $8M South Africa : $5,5M Turkey : $5,5M Czech Republic : $4,5M Egypt : 4,5M Portugal : $4M Greece : $3,5M Hungary : $3,5M Romania : $3M Finland : $3M Nigeria : $2M Slovakia : $1,5M Croatia : $1,5M Bulgaria : $1M Serbia : $1M Lithuania : $1M Iceland : $0,5M Slovenia : $0,5M Total EMEA : $452M Mexico : $76M Brazil : $56M Argentina : $19M Chile : $11M Colombia : $11M Bolivia : $4,5M Venezuela : $1,5M Paraguay : $1M Uruguay : $1M Total Latin America : $181M South Korea : $64M Australia : $58M Russia/CIS : $47M Japan : $38M India : $36M Indonesia : $26M Taiwan : $18M Hong Kong : $16M Thailand : $15M Malaysia : $15M Singapore : $10M New Zealand : $7,5M Vietnam : $4,5M Total APAC : $355M Netherlands + Philippines = $25M-$35M Rest : $50M-$55M OS : $1,063B-$1,078B Total : $1843M-$1868M $1.8B locked, now let's see (even if it seems difficult) if NWH can achieve its last two objectives : - Titanic 1st run ($1843M) - and $1.850B The result is truly incredible, it could have become the 3rd biggest movie of all time if there had been China but even without it, its run will remain one of the most impressive in the world box office ... Edited February 2, 2022 by LPLC 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momori Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 (edited) On 1/31/2022 at 5:54 PM, grey ghost said: Wow. I wonder why the Middle East loved this movie so much? The Box Office/Movie market in the Middle East has always been very small compared to the rest of the world and just recently have SA and UAE started to flourish. I only know 1 thing and that is, Sam Raimi/Tobey Maguire Spider-Man movies have always been famous here more than the MCU itself. MCU Spider-Man movies and/or TASM might have grossed more before the release of NWH (I haven't checked TASM) but in the Middle East Tobey Maguire has always been THE Spider-Man for many people. To this day, If you go to the kids markets/sections in stores where I live, the Spider-Man Merch is not from the MCU but Tobey Maguire. I mentioned in the Middle East thread before NWH released that I think it would do great here. And I was correct. Now I'm not contributing the success of NWH in the ME solely on the return of his Spider-Man, but it definitely played the biggest part of the movie's success. Edited February 2, 2022 by Momori 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 AEG had Ramadan cutting its run in most muslim countries in Week 2 and strong competition. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MG10 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 20 hours ago, LPLC said: I think we can expect $1,035B final OS without Philippines and Netherlands Maybe $1,06B-$1,07B final OS run without China #8 best OS grosser #4 best OS grosser without China $765M-$775M in DOM #3 best DOM grosser $1825M-$1845M WW #6 best WW grosser #5 best WW grosser without China 240M admissions in the world #8 most viewed movie in theaters NWH surpass or will surpass AEG (and become biggest MCU grosser and highest-grossing superhero movie of all time) in : EMEA : Belgium / Croatia / Egypt / France / Iraq / Israel / Jordan / Kuwait / Lebanon / Lithuania / Nigeria / Norway / Oman / Saudi Arabia / Serbia / Switzerland / Syria / Turkey (in lc) / Ukraine / UK = 21 countries LA : Argentina / Bolivia / Mexico (in lc) / Venezuela = 4 countries #2 biggest grosser and most viewed in LA APAC : Mongolia / Russia = 2 country NWH has therefore overtaken AEG in 27 countries and can still be added to the list (maybe) Australia, Austria ?, Iceland, Spain and Sweden. A few weeks ago I thought NWH wouldn't beat AEG in any country except KSA and finally it did in over 26 other countries, what an incredible run ! Damn I can't stand seeing Europe and Middle East randomly put together, I know you are doing it only because in BoxOfficeMojo it is like that but it's still weird 😅 Anyway, if the countries in which it has beaten Endgame are 27 (and maybe 30 at the end of its run), in how many have it passed both Endgame and Joker? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 DOM should get to at least $785M. Not sure about OS anymore (haven’t been paying attention to it) but as long as it’s over $1.059B that puts us over Titanic 1st Run. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 $1.85B seems very likely. Optimistically try $1.86B. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
