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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXR & Friends,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted

Scream Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-9 days Thursday(78 showings): 2062/12111

ATP: $14.69

 

T-10 days Friday(122 showings): 1457/19720

ATP: $14.41

 

T-11 days Saturday(146 showings): 902/23740

ATP: $13.16

 

T-12 days Sunday(129 showings): 564/20040

ATP: $12.73

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XXR & Friends Global Phenomenon

XXR & Friends

Posted
Posted
20 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Scream Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

 

Total 105 664 15.81%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
399 N/A 7550 5.28% 14 46

 

AMCs sold 195
Cinemarks sold 62
Regals sold 112
Harkins sold 30

 

Halloween Kills T-9 comp: 7.85M

Quiet Place 2 T-9 comp: 5.55M

 

13 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Scream Megaplex

 

T-9 days Thursday(29 showings): 147/5411 in 13 theaters

Halloween Kills T-9 comp: 7.13M

 

T-10 days Friday(57 showings): 90/11872 in 14 theaters

Halloween Kills T-10 comp: 16.54M

 

T-11 days Saturday(59 showings): 47/12275 in 14 theaters

 

T-12 days Sunday(44 showings): 10/8504 in 12 theaters

 

Hmm, maybe something in the 30's OW is possible. 

 

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Eric is Quiet Global Phenomenon

Eric is Quiet

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, Eric Smith said:

The 355 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 16 36 2424 1.49%

 

Comp

0.240x of Snake Eyes T-3 (336K)

1.286x of The Night House T-3 (334K)

1.200x of The Last Duel T-3 (420K)

1.500x of Reminiscence T-3 (1.02M)

 

I mean...it could be worse? Maybe?

The 355 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 24 56 3840 1.46%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 8

Total Seats Added Today: 1,416

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

 

Comp

0.276x of Snake Eyes T-2 (386K)

1.400x of The Night House T-2 (364K)

1.302x of The Last Duel T-2 (456K)

1.750x of Reminiscence T-2 (1.19M)

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Eric is Quiet Global Phenomenon

Eric is Quiet

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, Eric Smith said:

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 27 379 6254 6.06%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 45

 

Comp

0.661x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-10 (12.81M)

1.730x of The Conjuring 3 T-10 (16.97M)

0.846x of Halloween Kills T-10 (4.1M)

 

Hmmm...yeah, I think today was good. All these comps are obviously pretty high, even the Halloween one, but the acceleration is still there and I think 20M+ is a strong possibility.

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 27 436 6254 6.97%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 57

 

Comp

0.683x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-9 (13.24M)

1.609x of The Conjuring 3 T-9 (15.77M)

0.855x of Halloween Kills T-9 (4.15M)

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el sid Box Office Gold

el sid

Posted
Posted (edited)

The 355, counted today at 11am EST for Friday:
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 29 (4 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 18 (5 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 3 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 2 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 5 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 58 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 24 (6 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 139.

Up 27.5% since yesterday.
Comps (all counted on Wednesday for Friday): The Rhythm Section (2.7M OW) had 104 sold tickets,

The Protege (2.9M OW) had 83 sold tickets

and Charlie's Angels (8.4M OW) had 277 sold tickets.

For Thursday it had today 176 sold tickets (up 20% since yesterday). Charlie's Angels had also on Wednesday 174 sold tickets.
Not much changed since Monday, the presales are neither good nor terrible in my theaters.
 

Scream, counted today at 11am EST for Thursday, Jan 13 (8 days to go):
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 67 (2 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 88 (2 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 18 (1 showtime)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 4 (1 showtime)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 41 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 122 (3 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 347 (9 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 687.

Up 6% since yesterday.
Comps: The Forever Purge had on Thursday for Thursday (= 0 days left) 241 sold tickets,
Halloween Kills had on Monday of its release week (= Scream has 5 days left to increase the lead) 595 sold tickets for Thursday

and AQP II had on Thursday (= 1 day later/with 7 days left) 495 sold tickets for Thursday.

Scream, counted today at 11am EST for Friday, Jan 14 (9 days to go):
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 74 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 47 (5 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 15 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 2 (1 showtime)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 4 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 61 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 107 (4 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 310.

Up 10% since yesterday.
Comp: Halloween Kills had on Monday of its relase week 750 sold tickets for Friday
and The Conjuring 3 had also with 9 days left 299 sold tickets for Friday.

No big jumps at the moment but steady daily sales.

Edited by el sid
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Scream Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

 

Total 105 664 15.81%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
399 N/A 7550 5.28% 14 46

 

AMCs sold 195
Cinemarks sold 62
Regals sold 112
Harkins sold 30

 

Halloween Kills T-9 comp: 7.85M

Quiet Place 2 T-9 comp: 5.55M

Scream Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 107 664 16.11%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
421 22 7550 5.58% 14 46

 

AMCs sold 212
Cinemarks sold 63
Regals sold 116
Harkins sold 30

 

Halloween Kills T-8 comp: 6.65M

AQP2 T-8 comp: 5.53M

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Scream Megaplex

 

T-9 days Thursday(29 showings): 147/5411 in 13 theaters

Halloween Kills T-9 comp: 7.13M

 

T-10 days Friday(57 showings): 90/11872 in 14 theaters

Halloween Kills T-10 comp: 16.54M

 

T-11 days Saturday(59 showings): 47/12275 in 14 theaters

 

T-12 days Sunday(44 showings): 10/8504 in 12 theaters

Scream Megaplex

 

T-8 days Thursday(29 showings): 161(+14)/5411 in 14 theaters

Halloween Kills T-8 comp: 6.20M

 

T-9 days Friday(57 showings): 105(+15)/11872 in 14 theaters

Halloween Kills T-9 comp: 16.88M

 

T-10 days Saturday(59 showings): 51(+4)/12275 in 14 theaters

Halloween Kills T-10 comp: 22.65M

 

T-11 days Sunday(44 showings): 13(+3)/8504 in 12 theaters

Halloween Kills T-11 comp: 7.07M

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Scream Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-9 days Thursday(78 showings): 2062/12111

ATP: $14.69

 

T-10 days Friday(122 showings): 1457/19720

ATP: $14.41

 

T-11 days Saturday(146 showings): 902/23740

ATP: $13.16

 

T-12 days Sunday(129 showings): 564/20040

ATP: $12.73

Scream Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-8 days Thursday(83 showings): 2183(+121)/12546(+435)

ATP: $14.74

 

T-9 days Friday(124 showings): 1572(+115)/19818(+98)

ATP: $14.42

 

T-10 days Saturday(150 showings): 1013(+111)/23936(+196)

ATP: $13.09

 

T-11 days Sunday(133 showings): 614(+50)/20303(+263)

ATP: $12.75

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Ronin46 Box Office Gold

Ronin46

Posted
Posted

Variety

 

Spidey /  25-27

Sing 2 / 10-12

355   / 5-7

 

Over the weekend, “Spider-Man: No Way Home” is expected to add another $25 million to $27 million to its domestic tally. 

 

In other words, “The 355” may still face a bleak fate. The movie, starring Jessica Chastain, Lupita Nyong’o, Penélope Cruz, Diane Kruger and Fan Bingbing, is projected to make a paltry $5 million to $7 million from 3,000 North American theaters. With two days until “The 355” is gearing to hit the big screen, the studio has kept reviews under embargo, which usually isn’t a strong endorsement. The movie will be available on the streaming service Peacock 45 days after its theatrical release, which could help mitigate potential box office losses.

 

Should estimates hold, “The 355” will land behind another Universal film, the Illumination animated musical comedy “Sing 2,” on box office charts. The jukebox sequel, led by the voice cast of Matthew McConaughey, Reese Witherspoon, Scarlett Johansson and other big names, looks to add $10 million to $12 million in its third weekend in theaters.

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XXR & Friends Global Phenomenon

XXR & Friends

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Ronin46 said:

Variety

 

Spidey /  25-27

Sing 2 / 10-12

355   / 5-7

 

Over the weekend, “Spider-Man: No Way Home” is expected to add another $25 million to $27 million to its domestic tally. 

 

In other words, “The 355” may still face a bleak fate. The movie, starring Jessica Chastain, Lupita Nyong’o, Penélope Cruz, Diane Kruger and Fan Bingbing, is projected to make a paltry $5 million to $7 million from 3,000 North American theaters. With two days until “The 355” is gearing to hit the big screen, the studio has kept reviews under embargo, which usually isn’t a strong endorsement. The movie will be available on the streaming service Peacock 45 days after its theatrical release, which could help mitigate potential box office losses.

 

Should estimates hold, “The 355” will land behind another Universal film, the Illumination animated musical comedy “Sing 2,” on box office charts. The jukebox sequel, led by the voice cast of Matthew McConaughey, Reese Witherspoon, Scarlett Johansson and other big names, looks to add $10 million to $12 million in its third weekend in theaters.

 

S2 and NWH should both be higher and 355 should be lower. Right now I'm going with...

NWH = $31M
S2 = $13.5M
355 = $4M 

 

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TwoMisfits Global Phenomenon

TwoMisfits

Posted
Posted (edited)
55 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Who the hell is going to see The 355 in theaters in today's marketplace? Insane. Shit won't even do 3M this weekend.

 

However many new Regal and AMC subscribers who can't bear to "lose money" on their news scripts or who just need to use them to their max the 1st month there now are...

 

But yes, it's not gonna do well this weekend b/c most of those subscribers would probably still choose 2nd, 3rd, and 4th viewings of Spidey over this movie...

Edited by TwoMisfits
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XXR & Friends Global Phenomenon

XXR & Friends

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Sing is going On Demand on Friday - should take a bit of a hit

 

It is, but it doesn't feel like a lot of people are aware of that yet. I haven't seen any commercials or marketing for it, apart from that Tweet referenced in the Sing 2 thread. Seems negligible at best IMO.

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Eric is Quiet Global Phenomenon

Eric is Quiet

Posted
Posted

 

16 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Sing is going On Demand on Friday - should take a bit of a hit

 

12 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said:

 

It is, but it doesn't feel like a lot of people are aware of that yet. I haven't seen any commercials or marketing for it, apart from that Tweet referenced in the Sing 2 thread. Seems negligible at best IMO.

Honestly, On Demand, regardless of how early it comes, doesn't really impact the holds as much as you might think. I looked at it a couple months ago, and there's nothing that abnormal for most films. And even the heavier drops can be explained by reception/WOM (F9, Respect), or heavy competition (Free Guy's first three weekends after PVOD were when Venom/Bond/Kills dropped).

 

Maybe Sing 2 is an outlier, but this isn't an Encanto case, since they're not giving the movie away for free.

 

On 11/22/2021 at 10:03 AM, Eric Smith said:

A Quiet Place 2's weekend drops post-digital: 29%, 46%, 47%

Cruella's weekend drops post-digital: 21%, 37%, 1%

F9's post-digital: 45%, 55%, 57%

Forever Purge's post-digital: 42%, 52%, 54%

Black Widow's post-digital: 51%, 41%, 29%

Jungle Cruise's post-digital: 20%, 42%, 11%

Free Guy's post-digital: 45%, 45%, 48%

Don't Breathe 2's post-digital: 50%, 42%, 31%

Respect's post-digital: 40%, 45%, 59%

Candyman's post-digital: 26%, 27%, 50%

No Time to Die's post-digital: 25%, 39%, 38% 

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted

The Croods 2 didn't seem to be at all impacted by becoming available to watch at home in its fourth weekend so I doubt Sing 2 will either, especially when it's the only children's title in town for the next two months. Streaming doesn't seem top severe of an effect when a paywall of sorts is involved.

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Eric is Quiet Global Phenomenon

Eric is Quiet

Posted
Posted
On 1/4/2022 at 10:38 PM, Eric Smith said:

The 355 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 24 56 3840 1.46%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 8

Total Seats Added Today: 1,416

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

 

Comp

0.276x of Snake Eyes T-2 (386K)

1.400x of The Night House T-2 (364K)

1.302x of The Last Duel T-2 (456K)

1.750x of Reminiscence T-2 (1.19M)

The 355 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 24 76 3840 1.98%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

 

Comp

0.292x of Snake Eyes T-1 (409K)

1.151x of The Night House T-1 (299K)

1.246x of The Last Duel T-1 (436K)

1.382x of Reminiscence T-1 (940K)

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