The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

Format Breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-1	Batman (Thu)	PLF	25	226	2,671	5,928	45.06%	$14.84	$39,647.32
		Standard	92	653	3,358	13,416	25.03%	$11.57	$38,848.78
	Batman (Thu) Total		117	879	6,029	19,344	31.17%	$13.02	$78,496.10
T-2	Batman (Fri)	PLF	43	338	3,154	10,229	30.83%	$14.95	$47,149.86
		Standard	147	731	3,285	21,500	15.28%	$11.51	$37,819.43
	Batman (Fri) Total		190	1,069	6,439	31,729	20.29%	$13.20	$84,969.29

 

Matinee Breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-1	Batman (Thu)	N	89	745	5,169	14,284	36.19%	$13.44	$69,483.17
		Y	28	134	860	5,060	17.00%	$10.48	$9,012.93
	Batman (Thu) Total		117	879	6,029	19,344	31.17%	$13.02	$78,496.10
T-2	Batman (Fri)	N	93	857	5,496	15,930	34.50%	$13.68	$75,176.30
		Y	97	212	943	15,799	5.97%	$10.38	$9,792.99
	Batman (Fri) Total		190	1,069	6,439	31,729	20.29%	$13.20	$84,969.29

 

Spider-Man T-1 - 19,015/24,026 (79.14% sold)

Spider-Man Fri T-2 - 16,817/32,393 (51.92% sold)

 

Spider-Man comps

Thursday - .317x (15.85m)

Friday - .383x (27.55m)

Santikos Tracking

 

Format Breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Batman (Thu)	PLF	25	442	3,113	5,928	52.51%	$14.75	$45,931.54
		Standard	99	1,008	4,366	13,963	31.27%	$11.44	$49,939.74
	Batman (Thu) Total		124	1,450	7,479	19,891	37.60%	$12.82	$95,871.28
T-1	Batman (Fri)	PLF	43	346	3,500	10,229	34.22%	$14.84	$51,928.82
		Standard	149	950	4,235	21,628	19.58%	$11.39	$48,241.36
	Batman (Fri) Total		192	1,296	7,735	31,857	24.28%	$12.95	$100,170.18

 

Matinee Breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Batman (Thu)	N	95	1,087	6,256	14,727	42.48%	$13.30	$83,217.10
		Y	29	363	1,223	5,164	23.68%	$10.35	$12,654.18
	Batman (Thu) Total		124	1,450	7,479	19,891	37.60%	$12.82	$95,871.28
T-1	Batman (Fri)	N	94	944	6,440	15,999	40.25%	$13.48	$86,815.85
		Y	98	352	1,295	15,858	8.17%	$10.31	$13,354.33
	Batman (Fri) Total		192	1,296	7,735	31,857	24.28%	$12.95	$100,170.18

 

Sorry for the delay, I pulled Thursday numbers this morning then got busy while pulling Friday sales.

 

Spider-Man T-0 - 19,863/24,114 (82.37% sold)

Spider-Man Fri T-1 - 18,166/32,393 (56.08% sold)

 

Spider-Man comps

Thursday - .377x (18.83m)

Friday - .426x (30.64m)

[Dragoncaine]

9 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

For what is worth, 5m in pre-previews  (this is getting ridiculous) is a lot of tickets sold and demand burnt. Plus, I believe that this will skew older than your typical cbm on top of having better walk ups. So I am gonna say 145-150M.

Absolutely, it's a ton of tickets before true Thursday and I share that same concern, while also agreeing that this one could benefit greatly from older audiences. Anything over $130m for me would be a big win. $140m+ imo would be awesome.

[xiazhi]

2 hours ago, AnDr3s said:

3m wednesday fan screening total of 5m

source?

[AnDr3s]

25 minutes ago, xiazhi said:

source?

i asked him about the source , he told that me that he has a personal source idk if we can belive him he's a writer for a website

 

[Dragoncaine]

5 minutes ago, AnDr3s said:

i asked him about the source , he told that me that he has a personal source idk if we can belive him he's a writer for a website

 

Welp now I go back to worrying if this isn't actually confirmed lol

[XXR & Friends]

3 minutes ago, Dragoncaine said:

Welp now I go back to worrying if this isn't actually confirmed lol

Based on ZackM’s MTC1 scraping, I would be surprised at over $5M Tues/Weds. I would think something more in the $3.8-4.2M range.

[Dragoncaine]

1 minute ago, PenguinXXR said:

Based on ZackM’s MTC1 scraping, I would be surprised at over $5M Tues/Weds. I would think something more in the $3.8-4.2M range.

Still good for sure, but yeah, $5m feels kind of absurd coming off of the $2m Tuesday which seemed to be more heavily advertised than the Investor Connect screenings on Wednesday.

[cax16]

5 minutes ago, Dragoncaine said:

Still good for sure, but yeah, $5m feels kind of absurd coming off of the $2m Tuesday which seemed to be more heavily advertised than the Investor Connect screenings on Wednesday.

Not that’s it’s much but Canada had shows last night as well but not Tuesday. 

[el sid]

The Batman, counted today at 10am EST for Friday, March 4:
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 1.115 (19 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 1.743 (21 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 477 (16 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 168 (7 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 539 (16 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 1.340 (23 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 1.902 (26 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 7.284.

Up 27.5% since Tuesday.
Comps (all counted on Thursday for Friday) : BoP (9M true Friday) had 1.664 sold tickets = x4.38 = 39.4M true Friday for The Batman.
Eternals (21.2M) had 4.090 sold tickets = x1.78 = 37.75M.

SC (20.8M) had 3.740 sold tickets = x1.95 = 40.55M.
And TSS (8.0M) had 1.560 sold tickets = x4.67 = 37.35M.

 

So Batman slightly lost in the comps but of course it's way more difficult to retain the same multiplier with 5k+ tickets than with 1 or 2k.
Overall I would stick with ca. 40M true Friday because it has no HBO Max competition and as it seems the way better WOM (96% and 4.7/5 at RT) than e.g. Eternals. Fingers crossed.

Edited March 3, 2022 by el sid

[AdrianL]

40m true Friday would mean $100m+ from just previews/Fri/Sat so here's hoping! 

[DAJK]

30 minutes ago, cax16 said:

Not that’s it’s much but Canada had shows last night as well but not Tuesday. 

Canada only added something like 150k

[BruiseCruise]

I'm thinking

 

24-25m previews +40 + 45 + 32= 141-142m OW

[Porthos]

14 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

The Batman Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 day and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	1	327	29315	38854	9593	24.55%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today	1
Total Showings Added Today	1
Total Seats Added Today	83
Total Seats Sold Today	1621

 

T-1 Unadjusted Comps 

	%		Sold  T-1	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	137.37		1144	6944		0/258	25357/32301	21.50%		9196	103.73%		18.99m
SC	228.64		893	4172		0/188	20813/24985	16.70%		5847	163.14%		20.12m
LTBC	186.05		1372	5127		0/244	28009/33136	15.47%		7712	123.69%		21.58m
NTTD	342.39		556	2786		0/178	21932/24718	11.27%		3737	255.26%		21.23m
Dune	452.73		364	2107		0/109	12686/14793	14.24%		2915	327.24%		23.09m
ET	204.17		739	4672		0/136	13796/18468	25.30%		6409	148.84%		19.40m
NWH	38.05		1961	25067		0/373	16985/42052	59.61%		28183	33.85%		19.03m

COMP NOTE: The comp for Black Widow has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of The Batman's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Tuesday Sales:        743/815     [91.17% sold]  [FINAL]

Wednesday Sales: 1363/1515  [89.97% sold]   [FINAL]

Thursday Sales:   7433/36524  [20.35% sold] [+1496 tickets]

---

Regal:  2483/11847  [20.96% sold] [+451 tickets]

Matinee: 531/4889   [10.86% | 5.57% of all tickets sold]

 

 

The Batman Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (MID-DAY REPORT) [11:30am - 12:35pm]

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	1	327	28376	38854	10478	26.97%

 

Total Seats Sold Since Last Night

939

 

T-0 [Mid-Day] Unadjusted Comps 

	%		Sold T-0 [Mid-Day]	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW [12:00-12:55]	137.37		891	7835		0/258	24466/32301	24.26%		9196	113.94%		18.48m
SC [12:00-12:55]	218.02		634	4806		0/192	20664/25450	18.88%		5847	179.20%		19.19m
LTBC [12:00-12:50]	165.19		1216	6343		0/247	27313/33656	18.85%		7712	135.87%		19.16m
NTTD [12:00-12:35]	339.20		303	3089		0/178	21629/24718	12.50%		3737	280.39%		21.03m
Dune [12:00-12:20]	438.23		284	2391		0/109	12402/14793	16.16%		2915	359.45%		22.35m
ET [12:00-12:30]	197.18		642	5314		0/136	13154/18468	28.77%		6409	163.49%		18.73m
NWH [11:30-12:40]	39.65		1358	26425		0/386	16423/42848	61.67%		28183	37.18%		19.83m

COMP NOTE: The comp for Black Widow has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of The Batman's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Tuesday Sales:        743/815     [91.17% sold]  [FINAL]

Wednesday Sales: 1363/1515  [89.97% sold]   [FINAL]

Thursday Sales:   8372/36524  [22.92% sold]   [+939 tickets]

---

Regal:  2768/11847  [23.36% sold] [+285 tickets]

Matinee: 661/4889   [13.52% | 6.31% of all tickets sold]

Edited March 3, 2022 by Porthos

[cax16]

25 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Canada only added something like 150k

Ya I figured it wasn’t much, most of the shows were sold out or front row only but I think at the theatres I counted it was about 2400 tickets. 

[Joyous Legion]

Wonder if they got confused with the 2M tues+3M Wed OS

[XXR & Friends]

 

^^ Me after doing my first run through of 15 theaters with 325 screens (that's screens, not showtimes). Doing this for every opener each week won't be an issue since most are decently small but for the big films (i.e $100M+ openers), it's a bitch. Can't imagine what it's gonna be like to do a $200M or even $300M OW film.

 

Anyway, I will be posting the date in about 30 minutes. 

[Inceptionzq]

22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Batman Alamo Drafthouse

 

Thursday(314 showings): 18042(+2043)/39446 ATP: $14.77

0.535x NWH's T-1 (26.75M)

2.28x Eternals T-1 (21.66M)

The Batman Alamo Drafthouse

 

Thursday(315 showings): 21343(+3301)/39540 ATP: $14.67

0.550x NWH final (27.50M)

2.12x Eternals final (20.14M)

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Batman Megaplex

 

Tuesday(5 showings): 2525/2741 in 5 theaters

Thursday(128 showings): 5902(+888)/32477 in 15 theaters

 

0.327x NWH's T-1 (16.35M)

2.88x Eternals' T-1 (27.36M)

2.79x NTTD T-1 (17.38M)

1.69x Black Widow T-1 (22.31M)

The Batman Megaplex

 

Tuesday(5 showings): 2525/2741 in 5 theaters

Thursday(140 showings): 8200(+2298)/34040 in 15 theaters

 

0.327x NWH final (16.35M)

2.22x Eternals final(21.09M)

2.67x NTTD final (16.61M)

1.30x Black Widow final (17.16M)

[Dragoncaine]

4 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Batman Megaplex

 

Tuesday(5 showings): 2525/2741 in 5 theaters

Thursday(140 showings):  8200(+2298)/34040 in 15 theaters

 

0.327x final NWH (16.35M)

2.22x Final Eternals(21.09M)

2.67x NTTD end (16.61M)

1.30x Ultimate Black Widow (17.16M)

Sub-20m true Thursday incoming? Shocked how much the Eternals comp dropped especially.

[Porthos]

4 minutes ago, Dragoncaine said:

Sub-20m true Thursday incoming? Shocked how much the Eternals comp dropped especially.

 

Don't be.  Marvel, even a film like Eternals, has very strong walkups.  Batsy would need to do over TWICE that amount of walkups if it wanted to keep pace.