The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Noctis]

When do tickets go on sale for FB3?

[EmpireCity]

23 minutes ago, Noctis said:

When do tickets go on sale for FB3?

 

March 29th

[StarLord]

.

Edited March 21, 2022 by StarLord

[Tinalera]

Sonic 2

Wed Apr 6 taken march 21

Toronto Ontario

 

6 theatres

6 shows

Total sold 25

Total remaining 2214

Total seats 2239

Percentage 1.12

 

Thurs April 7 

9 Theatres

27 shows

total sold 4

Total remaining 9629

Total seats 9633

Percentage .04

 

The Lost City 

March 24 

13 Theatres

40 shows

Total sold 70

Total remaining 10683 (note due to possible error one show was marked as 321 seats instead of 231, so there might be small variation from previous of about 100 seats)

Total seats 10753

Percentage .65 

 

Morbius 

March 31

13 theatres

53 showings

Total sold 480

Total Remaining 12737

Total seats 13217

Percentage 3.63

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

@Eric Says Trans Rights can you give Uncharted first x days of sales comp for Sonic 2. May be even Shang Chi.

 

I think those two will give a much better study then Sing 2 or Sonic 1 adjusted. 

 

 

Thanks.

[Eric is Quiet]

2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

@Eric Says Trans Rights can you give Uncharted first x days of sales comp for Sonic 2. May be even Shang Chi.

 

I think those two will give a much better study then Sing 2 or Sonic 1 adjusted. 

 

 

Thanks.

Uncharted is definitely coming tonight, as is Ghostbusters: Afterlife. I'm not sure if Shang-Chi fits, but might as well give it a shot.

[Eric is Quiet]

On 3/20/2022 at 11:30 PM, Eric Says Trans Rights said:

The Lost City Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	58	481	12715	3.78%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 18

 

Comp

3.228x of Jungle Cruise T-4 (8.72M)

3.975x of Free Guy T-4 (8.74M)

0.984x of Uncharted T-4 (3.64M)

 

I don't know if this is a mediocre final Sunday, which is generally an indicator on what's to come in the days ahead, or just a course-correction after the Saturday Fandango previews. Either way, things are kinda hard to parse out.

The Lost City Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	58	518	12715	4.07%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 37

 

Comp

2.894x of Jungle Cruise T-3 (7.81M)

3.342x of Free Guy T-3 (7.35M)

0.925x of Uncharted T-3 (3.42M)

[Eric is Quiet]

On 3/20/2022 at 11:40 PM, Eric Says Trans Rights said:

Morbius Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	69	672	14751	4.56%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 22

 

Comp

0.636x of Shang-Chi T-11 (5.59M)

0.866x of Venom 2 T-11 (10.04M)

0.395x of Eternals T-11 (3.75M)

Morbius Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	69	717	14751	4.86%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 45

 

Comp

0.607x of Shang-Chi T-10 (5.34M)

0.844x of Venom 2 T-10 (9.8M)

0.394x of Eternals T-10 (3.74M)

[Eric is Quiet]

On 3/20/2022 at 11:49 PM, Eric Says Trans Rights said:

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	57	407	10373	3.92%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 6

 

Comp

1.012x of Venom 2 T-18 (11.74M)

0.275x of Sing 2 w/ Early Access T-18 (2.68M)

5.653x of Sing 2 WITHOUT Early Access T-18 (45.98M)

 

Adjusted Comp

6.978x of Sonic the Hedgehog T-18 (20.93M)

 

Yeah, just seems like an off day in general. Whatever.

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	57	445	10373	4.29%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 38

 

Comp

0.872x of Shang-Chi T-17 (7.68M)

1.014x of Venom 2 T-17 (11.76M)

1.766x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-17 (7.95M)

2.318x of Uncharted T-17 (8.57M)

 

Adjusted Comp

7.082x of Sonic the Hedgehog T-17 (21.24M)

 

So like...I know it's still very early and the film could come to earth by a lot and it probably will...but is this hitting 100M? Because unless I'm just really tired and not thinking straight, preview numbers like these feel like safe bets for 100M. That...probably won't happen, but I would not mind tbh.

[Porthos]

12 minutes ago, Eric Says Trans Rights said:

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	57	445	10373	4.29%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 38

 

Comp

0.872x of Shang-Chi T-17 (7.68M)

1.014x of Venom 2 T-17 (11.76M)

1.766x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-17 (7.95M)

2.318x of Uncharted T-17 (8.57M)

 

Adjusted Comp

7.082x of Sonic the Hedgehog T-17 (21.24M)

 

So like...I know it's still very early and the film could come to earth by a lot and it probably will...but is this hitting 100M? Because unless I'm just really tired and not thinking straight, preview numbers like these feel like safe bets for 100M. That...probably won't happen, but I would not mind tbh.

 

Wellll, the GBA and SC comps are both being compared to their Day 1s, with Sonic 2 having a week head start.  Also has a four day head start on Uncharted. 

 

FWIW my local comps (yes I am compiling nightly numbers on my home sheet "just in case") aren't as rosy, though I don't have any Uncharted comps to call on.  I'll take a deeper look when I'm done with my checks tonight and if they're interesting, post them at some point tonight.

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Morbius Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-11 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	127	17950	18742	792	4.23%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

47

 

T-11 Comps

	%		Sold T-11	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	64.86		72	1221		0/101	15781/17002	7.18%		5847	13.55%		5.71m
LTBC	67.75		107	1169		0/156	24909/26078	4.48%		7712	10.27%		7.86m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Morbius' current tickets sold versus that final number.

PRE-SALE NOTE:  Let There Be Carnage's tickets have been on sale for five more days than Morbius' tickets have been on sale.

 

Regal:     149/4476  [3.33% sold]
Matinee:    61/1518  [4.02% | 7.70% of all tickets sold]

 

Morbius Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-10 days and counting

 

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	127	17884	18742	858	4.58%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

66

 

T-11 Comps

	%		Sold T-10	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	62.63		149	1370		0/101	15632/17002	8.06%		5847	14.67%		5.51m
LTBC	67.99		93	1262		0/156	24816/26078	4.84%		7712	11.13%		7.89m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Morbius' current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     156/4476  [3.49% sold]
Matinee:    58/1518  [3.82% | 6.76% of all tickets sold]

[charlie Jatinder]

@Porthos I guess gotta do quick and dirty check for Sonic?

 

I am waiting for something to start Harkins. If that happen, it will be really great.

[Porthos]

2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

@Porthos I guess gotta do quick and dirty check for Sonic?

 

I am waiting for something to start Harkins. If that happen, it will be really great.

 

I mean I did the check, but it wasn't particularly interesting. 😛 

 

(also I'm very busy offsite setting up my fantasy baseball league for 2022).

 

But, I suppose...

 

Not So Quick But Fairly Dirty Sonic 2 Sacto Check:

387/11666 (3.32%) [+13 tickets today]

 

My main problem here is... I have no good/decent comps.  I could comp against Ghostbusters: Afterlife's first day (1.945x [8.75m] for the record), but I don't see much value in that.

 

If I squint, I could use F9 since that's backloaded and has been on sale almost the amount of time.

Sonic 2 = 0.49742x F9 [3.53m]

 

But I think Sonic 2 is gonna be even more backloaded than F9.

 

Could comp it against Venom 2, as there's only two day's difference there. 

Sonic 2 = 0.57333x Venom 2 [6.65m]

 

But I kinda think Venom 2 is too backloaded to work.

 

Finally, do have the comp against Pika Pika (adj for different tracking):

Sonic 2 (adj) = 0.78271x Pika Pika [4.46m => 3.79m after further adjusting for 2022->2019 differences]

 

So... Like, choose your own adventure.  Anywhere from 3.5m to 6.65m.  ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Edited March 22, 2022 by Porthos

[charlie Jatinder]

I think $6M seems like a good number. $60-70M.

[Joyous Legion]

49 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I think $6M seems like a good number. $60-70M.

IM should be bit better than this I think. Obviously sequel will have much more % from previews but that is*quite* a lot more.

[charlie Jatinder]

35 minutes ago, Villain Legion said:

IM should be bit better than this I think. Obviously sequel will have much more % from previews but that is*quite* a lot more.

could be but dont wanna start its 100M OW incoming yet.

[Joyous Legion]

4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

could be but dont wanna start its 100M OW incoming yet.

5.5*13 then

[TwoMisfits]

FYI - TMobile Atom deal today - $4 Lost City ticket, good for any showing from now through this weekend.  

[YM!]

1 hour ago, Villain Legion said:

IM should be bit better than this I think. Obviously sequel will have much more % from previews but that is*quite* a lot more.

I mean Sonic could be like other male skewing family films and be a bit more frontloaded.

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-10	Morbius	Jacksonville	6	68	11,325	216	14	1.91%
		Phoenix	6	48	8,992	203	19	2.26%
		Raleigh	8	33	4,531	194	6	4.28%
	Morbius Total		20	149	24,848	613	39	2.47%
T-16	Sonic (EA)	Jacksonville	5	6	942	44	11	4.67%
		Phoenix	1	1	208	45	3	21.63%
		Raleigh	1	1	261	15	2	5.75%
	Sonic (EA) Total		7	8	1,411	104	16	7.37%
T-17	Sonic	Jacksonville	6	37	5,419	86	5	1.59%
		Phoenix	6	19	3,305	109	3	3.30%
		Raleigh	7	23	3,192	79	6	2.47%
	Sonic Total		19	79	11,916	274	14	2.30%
T-3	Lost City	Jacksonville	6	21	3,284	84	12	2.56%
		Phoenix	6	18	2,970	99	17	3.33%
		Raleigh	8	19	2,401	90	4	3.75%
	Lost City Total		20	58	8,655	273	33	3.15%

 

Lost City T-3 comps (Thu sales only)

 - Jungle Cruise - 1.14x (3.08m)

 - Uncharted - .4x (1.49m)

 - Free Guy - .9x (1.97m)

 - Death on the Nile - 1.65x (1.82m)

 

Morbius T-10 comps

 - Eternals - .37x (3.5m)

 - SC - .714x (6.28m)

 - Venom 2 - .91x (10.57m)

 - Suicide Squad - 2.03x (8.32m)

 

Other Tracking

Lost City (3/22 EA) - 68 (4 shows)

Lost City (3/23 EA) - 26 (2 shows)

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-15	Sonic (EA)	Jacksonville	5	6	942	44	0	4.67%
		Phoenix	1	1	208	46	1	22.12%
		Raleigh	1	1	261	15	0	5.75%
	Sonic (EA) Total		7	8	1,411	105	1	7.44%
T-16	Sonic	Jacksonville	6	37	5,419	90	4	1.66%
		Phoenix	6	19	3,305	109	0	3.30%
		Raleigh	8	24	3,273	89	10	2.72%
	Sonic Total		20	80	11,997	288	14	2.40%
T-2	Lost City	Jacksonville	6	21	3,284	110	26	3.35%
		Phoenix	6	18	2,970	131	32	4.41%
		Raleigh	8	21	2,777	108	18	3.89%
	Lost City Total		20	60	9,031	349	76	3.86%
T-2	RRR	Jacksonville	5	21	3,944	493	493	12.50%
		Phoenix	1	7	664	192	192	28.92%
		Raleigh	5	22	1,978	609	609	30.79%
	RRR Total		11	50	6,586	1,294	1,294	19.65%
T-9	Morbius	Jacksonville	6	68	11,325	235	19	2.08%
		Phoenix	6	49	9,137	228	25	2.50%
		Raleigh	8	34	4,792	199	5	4.15%
	Morbius Total		20	151	25,254	662	49	2.62%

 

Lost City T-2 comps (Thu sales only)

 - Jungle Cruise - 1.06x (2.87m)

 - Uncharted - .449x (1.66m)

 - Free Guy - .99x (2.19m)

 - Death on the Nile - 1.71x (1.88m)

 

RRR T-2 comps

 - JJK - .957x (2.76m)

 - MHA - 1.11x (3.2m)

 

Morbius T-9 comps

 - Eternals - .37x (3.51m)

 - SC - .68x (5.97m)

 - Venom 2 - .92x (10.67m)

 - Suicide Squad - 2.09x (8.59m)

 

Sonic 2 T-16 comps

 - Ghostbusters - 1.24x (5.13m)

 - F9 - .57x (4.06m)

 - TSS - 1.24x (5.07m)

 

(Okay, so I just threw in whatever I had on hand for T-16. Hopefully better than nothing)

 

Other Tracking

Lost City (3/22 EA) - 92 (4 shows)

Lost City (3/23 EA) - 34 (2 shows)