The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[BruiseCruise]

Oh I'm not denying people make fun of him on the internet but i don't think the average moviegoer says no to a movie cause they see leto on the poster or name, outside of cruise/gibson i don't think celebrity scandals really impact the bottom line

[Eric Onion]

Moderation

 

Guys, we have a Morbius and weekend thread where you can talk about Leto. This is the tracking thread, so stick to discussing sales and buzz.

[Porthos]

13 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Morbius Harkins California and Phoenix 4 at 19:45

 

This gives a range of $5.5-6.5M. Guess South-west is overindexing like Venom 2. I think $5.5M+ is likely.

 

8 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Morbius Harkins

 

The films which over indexed in Harkins comps are suggesting $5.5M and Eternals will be around $5.6-5.7M after ATP adjustments. So yeah, let's go $5.5-5.75M.

 

1 hour ago, john2000 said:

 

 

CONGRATS, JAT!!!

Edited April 1, 2022 by Porthos

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 3/31/2022 at 9:26 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-14	Fantastic Beasts 3	Jacksonville	6	53	10,314	131	30	1.27%
		Phoenix	6	43	8,541	148	34	1.73%
		Raleigh	8	41	5,253	194	48	3.69%
	Fantastic Beasts 3 Total		20	137	24,108	473	112	1.96%
T-6	Sonic (EA)	Jacksonville	5	6	942	88	5	9.34%
		Phoenix	1	1	208	63	9	30.29%
		Raleigh	1	1	261	25	0	9.58%
	Sonic (EA) Total		7	8	1,411	176	14	12.47%
T-7	Ambulance	Jacksonville	6	14	2,457	4	0	0.16%
		Phoenix	6	12	2,309	10	3	0.43%
		Raleigh	8	10	1,163	12	4	1.03%
	Ambulance Total		20	36	5,929	26	7	0.44%
T-7	Sonic	Jacksonville	6	40	6,196	161	14	2.60%
		Phoenix	6	22	3,740	205	10	5.48%
		Raleigh	8	25	3,364	184	12	5.47%
	Sonic Total		20	87	13,300	550	36	4.14%

 

Sonic 2 T-7 comps (Thu sales only)

 - Ghostbusters - .95x (3.96m)

 - Uncharted - 1.15x (4.27m)

 - F9 - .57x (4.05m)

 - Lost City - 2.75x (6.875m)

(Still waiting for my younger audience movie comps to kick in)

 

Sonic 2 EA T-6 comp

 - Sing 2 EA - .52x

 - No Time to Die EA - .94x

 

Fantastic Beasts 3 T-14 comps

 - Shang Chi - .74x (6.54m)

 - Ghostbusters - 1.39x (5.76m)

 - NTTD - 1.23x (6.39m)

 - Morbius - 1.04x

 

FB3 increased against all four comps

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-13	Fantastic Beasts 3	Jacksonville	6	53	10,314	159	28	1.54%
		Phoenix	6	43	8,541	189	41	2.21%
		Raleigh	8	41	5,253	243	49	4.63%
	Fantastic Beasts 3 Total		20	137	24,108	591	118	2.45%
T-5	Sonic (EA)	Jacksonville	5	6	942	91	3	9.66%
		Phoenix	1	1	208	75	12	36.06%
		Raleigh	1	1	261	25	0	9.58%
	Sonic (EA) Total		7	8	1,411	191	15	13.54%
T-6	Ambulance	Jacksonville	6	14	2,457	5	1	0.20%
		Phoenix	6	12	2,309	19	9	0.82%
		Raleigh	8	10	1,163	16	4	1.38%
	Ambulance Total		20	36	5,929	40	14	0.67%
T-6	Sonic	Jacksonville	6	40	6,196	172	11	2.78%
		Phoenix	6	22	3,740	222	17	5.94%
		Raleigh	8	25	3,364	210	26	6.24%
	Sonic Total		20	87	13,300	604	54	4.54%

 

Sonic 2 T-6 comps (Thu sales only)

 - Ghostbusters - missed

 - Uncharted - 1.14x (4.21m)

 - F9 - .58x (4.12m)

 - Lost City - 2.98x (7.44m)

(Still waiting for my younger audience movie comps to kick in)

 

Ambulance T-6 comps

 - Snake Eyes - .42x (589k)

 - Resident Evil - .75x (706k)

 - Green Knight - .8x (600k)

 

Sonic 2 EA T-5 comp

 - Sing 2 EA - .54x

 - No Time to Die EA - .9x

 

Fantastic Beasts 3 T-13 comps

 - Shang Chi - .83x (7.31m)

 - Ghostbusters - missed

 - NTTD - 1.44x (7.495m)

 - Morbius - 1.177x (6.71m)

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 3/31/2022 at 1:03 PM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

Sales by Format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Morbius (Thu)	PLF	29	285	1,205	6,922	17.41%	$14.20	$17,115.46
		Standard	40	259	765	4,816	15.88%	$11.10	$8,492.68
	Morbius (Thu) Total		69	544	1,970	11,738	16.78%	$13.00	$25,608.14
T-1	Morbius (Fri)	PLF	60	965	965	14,083	6.85%	$14.07	$13,579.17
		Standard	105	543	543	14,005	3.88%	$10.89	$5,911.64
	Morbius (Fri) Total		165	1,508	1,508	28,088	5.37%	$12.92	$19,490.81
T-2	Morbius (Sat)	PLF	60	777	777	14,083	5.52%	$12.96	$10,070.84
		Standard	104	381	381	13,872	2.75%	$9.76	$3,718.45
	Morbius (Sat) Total		164	1,158	1,158	27,955	4.14%	$11.91	$13,789.29
T-3	Morbius (Sun)	PLF	59	346	346	13,888	2.49%	$12.42	$4,298.43
		Standard	105	86	86	14,080	0.61%	$9.13	$784.85
	Morbius (Sun) Total		164	432	432	27,968	1.54%	$11.77	$5,083.28

 

Sales by Matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Morbius (Thu)	N	57	470	1,714	9,300	18.43%	$13.39	$22,953.44
		Y	12	74	256	2,438	10.50%	$10.37	$2,654.70
	Morbius (Thu) Total		69	544	1,970	11,738	16.78%	$13.00	$25,608.14
T-1	Morbius (Fri)	N	85	1,224	1,224	14,427	8.48%	$13.45	$16,467.26
		Y	80	284	284	13,661	2.08%	$10.65	$3,023.55
	Morbius (Fri) Total		165	1,508	1,508	28,088	5.37%	$12.92	$19,490.81
T-2	Morbius (Sat)	N	85	500	500	14,393	3.47%	$13.82	$6,912.21
		Y	79	658	658	13,562	4.85%	$10.45	$6,877.08
	Morbius (Sat) Total		164	1,158	1,158	27,955	4.14%	$11.91	$13,789.29
T-3	Morbius (Sun)	N	85	97	97	14,427	0.67%	$14.44	$1,400.21
		Y	79	335	335	13,541	2.47%	$10.99	$3,683.07
	Morbius (Sun) Total		164	432	432	27,968	1.54%	$11.77	$5,083.28

 

Preview comps

 

Batman (Tue+Thu) - .249x (5.37m)

Batman (Thu only) - .263 (4.64m)

Spider-Man - .099x (4.96m)

 

Weekend presales are so far behind the others that it's not even worth posting.  Let's just say that based purely on Spider-Man presales the comp is at 20m full weekend...

Santikos Tracking

 

Sales by Format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Morbius (Fri)	PLF	60	539	1,504	14,083	10.68%	$13.76	$20,687.95
		Standard	106	420	963	14,041	6.86%	$10.94	$10,539.97
	Morbius (Fri) Total		166	959	2,467	28,124	8.77%	$12.66	$31,227.92
T-1	Morbius (Sat)	PLF	60	333	1,110	14,083	7.88%	$12.83	$14,237.35
		Standard	104	227	608	13,868	4.38%	$9.72	$5,911.58
	Morbius (Sat) Total		164	560	1,718	27,951	6.15%	$11.73	$20,148.93
T-2	Morbius (Sun)	PLF	59	100	446	13,888	3.21%	$12.38	$5,523.65
		Standard	105	44	130	14,080	0.92%	$9.24	$1,200.75
	Morbius (Sun) Total		164	144	576	27,968	2.06%	$11.67	$6,724.40

 

Sales by Matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Morbius (Fri)	N	85	704	1,928	14,427	13.36%	$13.22	$25,491.35
		Y	81	255	539	13,697	3.94%	$10.64	$5,736.57
	Morbius (Fri) Total		166	959	2,467	28,124	8.77%	$12.66	$31,227.92
T-1	Morbius (Sat)	N	85	219	719	14,391	5.00%	$13.67	$9,831.04
		Y	79	341	999	13,560	7.37%	$10.33	$10,317.89
	Morbius (Sat) Total		164	560	1,718	27,951	6.15%	$11.73	$20,148.93
T-2	Morbius (Sun)	N	85	35	132	14,427	0.91%	$14.04	$1,853.24
		Y	79	109	444	13,541	3.28%	$10.97	$4,871.16
	Morbius (Sun) Total		164	144	576	27,968	2.06%	$11.67	$6,724.40

 

Morbius comps (adjusted for previews actuals)

 - Batman Fri - 10.785m

 - Batman Sat - 11.204m

 - Batman Sun - 6.27m

 - Batman weekend - 33.96m

 

 - Spider-Man Fri - 9.393m

 

*These are the only movies I've tracked in Santikos.  I do not have other comps.*

[Dragoncaine]

Well, that was a heaping pile of dull garbage. Now I'm REALLY curious to see the IM this weekend and the 2nd weekend drop.  

[Eric Onion]

On 3/31/2022 at 10:57 PM, Eric the Living Vampire said:

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	60	802	10939	7.33%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 76

 

Comp

0.521x of Shang-Chi T-7 (4.58M)

0.773x of Venom 2 T-7 (8.96M)

1.118x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-7 (5.03M)

2.083x of Uncharted T-7 (7.71M)

 

Adjusted Comp

2.914x of Sonic the Hedgehog T-7 (8.74M)

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	62	930	11185	8.31%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 128

 

Comp

0.556x of Shang-Chi T-6 (4.89M)

0.832x of Venom 2 T-6 (9.66M)

1.225x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-6 (5.51M)

2.302x of Uncharted T-6 (8.52M)

 

Adjusted Comp

2.725x of Sonic the Hedgehog T-6 (8.17M)

[Eric Onion]

On 3/31/2022 at 11:04 PM, Eric the Living Vampire said:

Fantastic Beasts 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-14 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	75	440	15949	2.76%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 82

 

Comp

0.496x of Shang-Chi T-14 (4.36M)

0.779x of No Time to Die T-14 (4.91M)

0.690x of Dune T-14 (3.52M)

0.295x of Eternals T-14 (2.81M)

1.048x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-14 (4.71M)

Fantastic Beasts 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	75	495	15949	3.10%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 55

 

Comp

0.526x of Shang-Chi T-13 (4.63M)

0.846x of No Time to Die t-13 (5.33M)

0.734x of Dune T-13 (3.74M)

0.317x of Eternals T-13 (3.01M)

1.074x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-13 (4.83M)

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Looking at Sonic and Ambulance for next weekend (I cannot find my Sonic posts from earlier so I cannot compare sadly)

 

Will track Everything Everywhere once more showtimes list

 

SONIC

Cinemark Thursday (19)

3 XD (3), 6 XD (16)

330 (0), 4 (0), 630 (0), 7 (0)

Cinemark Friday (68)

12 XD (3), 3 XD (2), 6 XD (20)

1 (0), 2 (0), 4 (6), 5 (21), 7 (11), 8 (5), 10 (0)

AMC Wed Early Access (70)

6 DOLBY (70)

AMC Thursday (61)

3 DOLBY (31), 730 DOLBY (17)

4 (0), 7 (13)

AMC Friday (39)

4 DOLBY (18), 715 DOLBY (1)

330 (0), 615 (15), 9 (5)

TOTAL TICKETS WED+THURSDAY+FRIDAY: (257)

 

AMBULANCE

Cinemark Thursday (2)

715 (2)

Cinemark Friday (0)

1210 (0), 325 (0), 640 (0), 955 (0)

AMC Thursday (21)

7 IMAX (21), 745 (0)

AMC Friday (9)

245 IMAX (0), 6 IMAX (0), 915 IMAX (0)

315 (2), 345 (0), 639 (0), 7 (0), 945(0), 1015 (0)

TOTAL TICKETS THURSDAY+FRIDAY: (32)

 

I know Ambulance is not a PS film since it's original IP (technically remake) and 2nd priority with Sonic but still depressing Friday sales.

 

Sonic looking strong

[cooldude97]

so any predictions for Sonic 2's opening weekend yet?

[XXR & Friends]

1 minute ago, cooldude97 said:

so any predictions for Sonic 2's opening weekend yet?

$60-70M

[Porthos]

On 3/31/2022 at 11:06 PM, Porthos said:

 

Secrets of Dumbledore Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-14 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	154	22662	23260	598	2.57%

 

Total Showings Added Today	6
Total Seats Added Today	1203
Total Seats Sold Today	108

 

Day 3 Comps

	%		Sold Day 3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	70.69		120	846		0/101	16156/17002	4.98%		5847	10.23%		6.22m
NTTD	121.79		56	491		0/135	20500/20991	2.34%		7712	7.75%		7.55m
Dune	110.13		52	543		0/74	11106/11649	4.66%		2915	20.51%		5.62m
GB:A	217.45		27	275		0/108	16420/16695	1.65%		3034	19.71%		9.79m
Morbius	109.32		62	547		0/127	18228/18775	2.91%		—-			—-

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Secrets of Dumbledore's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP***

FB3 = 0.57593x FB2 at the same sources of tracking at Day 3 [4.7m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2018 to 2022.

   

Regal:     102/5540  [1.84% sold]
Matinee:    21/3307  [0.64% | 3.51% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

T-x comps starting tomorrow...

 

Secrets of Dumbledore Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-13 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	154	22557	23260	703	3.02%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

105

 

T-13 Comps

	%		Sold T-13	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	66.07		97	1064		0/101	15938/17002	6.26%		5847	12.02%		5.81m
NTTD	90.13		57	780		0/135	20479/21259	3.67%		7712	9.12%		5.59m
Dune	108.82		34	646		0/75	11185/11831	5.46%		2915	24.12%		5.55m
GB:A	193.13		49	364		0/108	16331/16695	2.18%		3034	23.17%		8.69m
Morbius	101.74		62	691		0/127	18084/18775	3.68%		3477	20.22%		5.80m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Secrets of Dumbledore's current tickets sold versus that final number.

PRE-SALE NOTE: No Time to Die tickets had been on sale for four days more than Secrets of Dumbledore has been at this at this point in tracking while Shang-Chi, Dune. Ghostbusters: Afterlife, and Morbius's tickets have all been on sale for one more day than FB3.

  

Regal:       115/5540  [2.08% sold]
Matinee:    39/3307  [1.18% | 5.55% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Shifted over to T-x and... not too bad at all considering every other movie was on sale for at least one more day.  Another nice day of sales, all things considered, IMO.

 

Did remove the "Extremely Unofficial" FB2 comp though since there is a 14 day difference in pre-sale length making the comp utterly unusable.  Will think about bringing back in sometime late next week.

[Porthos]

On 3/31/2022 at 11:07 PM, Porthos said:

 

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-7 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	92	12023	12937	914	7.07%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

99

 

T-7 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-7	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	176.45		52	518		0/87	14606/15124	3.43%		2352	38.86%		7.23m
SC	51.52		133	1774		0/111	15837/17611	10.07%		5847	15.63%		4.53m
LTBC	55.56		179	1645		0/173	26553/28198	5.83%		7712	11.85%		6.45m
GB:A	124.18		57	736		0/116	16620/17356	4.24%		5847	15.63%		5.59m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Sonic 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-7 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-7	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	60.82		91	1414		0/86	11869/13283	10.65%		4407	19.51%		4.52m
Sonic (adj)	---		90	860		0/80	10058/10918	7.88%		---	---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  Sonic (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters that had unreliable data polluting their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP***
Sonic 2 = 0.89066x Detective Pikachu at the same sources of tracking at T-7 [4.3m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 15% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2019 to 2022.

 

Wednesday sales:    261/1700   [15.35% sold]   +14 tickets]
Thursday sales:      653/11237   [5.81% sold]   +85 tickets]
---    
Regal:     149/3088  [4.83% sold]
Matinee:    51/2387  [2.14% | 5.58% of all tickets sold]

 

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	92	11893	12937	1044	8.07%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

130

 

T-6 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-6	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	188.45		36	554		0/87	14570/15124	3.66%		2352	44.39%		7.73m
SC	53.21		188	1962		0/111	15649/17611	11.14%		5847	17.86%		4.68m
LTBC	57.21		180	1825		0/173	26373/28198	6.47%		7712	13.54%		6.64m
GB:A	130.83		62	798		0/115	16561/17359	4.60%		5847	17.86%		5.89m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Sonic 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-6 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-6	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	65.71		79	1493		0/87	11891/13384	11.16%		4407	22.26%		4.88m
Sonic (adj)	---		121	981		0/80	9937/10918	8.99%		---	---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  Sonic (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters that had unreliable data polluting their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP***
Sonic 2 = 0.91797x Detective Pikachu at the same sources of tracking at T-6 [4.4m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 15% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2019 to 2022.

 

Wednesday sales:    297/1700   [17.47% sold]   +36 tickets]
Thursday sales:      747/11237   [6.65% sold]   +94 tickets]
---    
Regal:      177/3088  [5.73% sold]
Matinee:    51/2387  [2.14% | 4.89% of all tickets sold]

Edited April 5, 2022 by Porthos

[katnisscinnaplex]

19 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-13	Fantastic Beasts 3	Jacksonville	6	53	10,314	159	28	1.54%
		Phoenix	6	43	8,541	189	41	2.21%
		Raleigh	8	41	5,253	243	49	4.63%
	Fantastic Beasts 3 Total		20	137	24,108	591	118	2.45%
T-5	Sonic (EA)	Jacksonville	5	6	942	91	3	9.66%
		Phoenix	1	1	208	75	12	36.06%
		Raleigh	1	1	261	25	0	9.58%
	Sonic (EA) Total		7	8	1,411	191	15	13.54%
T-6	Ambulance	Jacksonville	6	14	2,457	5	1	0.20%
		Phoenix	6	12	2,309	19	9	0.82%
		Raleigh	8	10	1,163	16	4	1.38%
	Ambulance Total		20	36	5,929	40	14	0.67%
T-6	Sonic	Jacksonville	6	40	6,196	172	11	2.78%
		Phoenix	6	22	3,740	222	17	5.94%
		Raleigh	8	25	3,364	210	26	6.24%
	Sonic Total		20	87	13,300	604	54	4.54%

 

Sonic 2 T-6 comps (Thu sales only)

 - Ghostbusters - missed

 - Uncharted - 1.14x (4.21m)

 - F9 - .58x (4.12m)

 - Lost City - 2.98x (7.44m)

(Still waiting for my younger audience movie comps to kick in)

 

Ambulance T-6 comps

 - Snake Eyes - .42x (589k)

 - Resident Evil - .75x (706k)

 - Green Knight - .8x (600k)

 

Sonic 2 EA T-5 comp

 - Sing 2 EA - .54x

 - No Time to Die EA - .9x

 

Fantastic Beasts 3 T-13 comps

 - Shang Chi - .83x (7.31m)

 - Ghostbusters - missed

 - NTTD - 1.44x (7.495m)

 - Morbius - 1.177x (6.71m)

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-12	Fantastic Beasts 3	Jacksonville	6	53	10,314	177	18	1.72%
		Phoenix	6	43	8,541	210	21	2.46%
		Raleigh	8	41	5,253	275	32	5.24%
	Fantastic Beasts 3 Total		20	137	24,108	662	71	2.75%
T-4	Sonic (EA)	Jacksonville	5	6	942	105	14	11.15%
		Phoenix	1	1	208	90	15	43.27%
		Raleigh	1	1	261	28	3	10.73%
	Sonic (EA) Total		7	8	1,411	223	32	15.80%
T-5	Ambulance	Jacksonville	6	14	2,457	5	0	0.20%
		Phoenix	6	12	2,309	20	1	0.87%
		Raleigh	8	10	1,163	16	0	1.38%
	Ambulance Total		20	36	5,929	41	1	0.69%
T-5	Sonic	Jacksonville	6	40	6,196	187	15	3.02%
		Phoenix	6	23	4,080	254	32	6.23%
		Raleigh	8	25	3,364	232	22	6.90%
	Sonic Total		20	88	13,640	673	69	4.93%

 

Sonic 2 T-5 comps (Thu sales only)

 - Ghostbusters - missed

 - Uncharted - missed

 - F9 - .59x (4.19m)

 - Lost City - 3.12x (7.9m)

(Still waiting for my younger audience movie comps to kick in)

 

Ambulance T-5 comps

 - Snake Eyes - .38x (531k)

 - Resident Evil - .56x (525k)

 - Green Knight - .76x (569k)

 

Sonic 2 EA T-4 comp

 - Sing 2 EA - .4x

 

Fantastic Beasts 3 T-12 comps

 - Shang Chi - .87x (7.675m)

 - Ghostbusters - 1.595x (6.62m)

 - NTTD - missed

 - Morbius - 1.197x (6.82m)

[snarkmachine]

How is Ambulance doing so poorly? Like, is it going to open less than Snake Eyes? Mortifying

 

Gyllenhaal is A-list and Bay still has juice left too, I don't get it

[Eric Onion]

6 minutes ago, snarkmachine said:

How is Ambulance doing so poorly? Like, is it going to open less than Snake Eyes? Mortifying

 

Gyllenhaal is A-list and Bay still has juice left too, I don't get it

Bay's last non-Transformers film to cross 100M was Pearl Harbor over 20 years ago. Pain and Gain, even with significant starpower, only opened to 20.2M. Adjusted for inflation only gets it to like 25M. It's not a good track record to have.

[cookie]

1 hour ago, snarkmachine said:

How is Ambulance doing so poorly? Like, is it going to open less than Snake Eyes? Mortifying

 

Gyllenhaal is A-list and Bay still has juice left too, I don't get it

Universal seems to be dropping the ball with all of their spring releases. Ambulance, Northman, and the Bad Guys are all tracking terribly.

[filmlover]

I'm looking forward to seeing Ambulance but I'm not expecting it to be more than a mid-level performer. The fact a major studio gave the green light to a 90s-esque thriller with limited star power (Gyllenhaal is a respected actor but has never had a consistent box office track record) from a once-powerful director whose best days seem to be behind him vs. it landed on a streaming service feels like a minor win for diversity at the multiplex in 2022.

[CJohn]

Ambulance really needed to perform well. It is a great movie and the type of stuff theaters need.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Gyllenhaal is damn near box office poison and original films are hit/miss but if Universal didn't stick it in a lame release date, it could have done a bit better. It's high-concept, walk-up friendly, and has appeal of PLF. Only 40m budget. I said before, I didn't like April 8 for this

 

Bay's non-Transformer films recently:

Jan 2016: 13 Hours- 16.1m OW/52.8m DOM/69.4m WW

April 2013: Pain and Gain- 20.2m OW/49.8m DOM/81.2m WW

(The Island in July 2005: 12.4m OW/35m DOM/163m WW)

 

Low-mid teens opening is what most were expecting anyway

 

Just happy Universal has no issues with cranking out non-IPs and this didn't get stuck on streaming like 6 Underground

Edited April 3, 2022 by BestPicturePlutoNash