The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Eric Prime]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

@Eric Clade

 

Have you been including the EA shows tomorrow on your Puss In Boots: The Last Wish track?  Took a quick look locally and much like Sing 2, looks to be a very healthy amount of sales.

Yes I have.

[Inceptionzq]

On 11/23/2022 at 4:19 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Avatar The Way of Water Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-22 Thursday(127 showings): 2098(+307)/18613 ATP: $16.60

0.227x Thor L&T T-22 (6.59M)

0.587x Jurassic World 3 T-22 (10.57M)

 

T-23 Friday(193 showings): 2456(+340)/28426 ATP: $16.30

0.376x Thor L&T T-23 (15.27M)

0.843x Jurassic World 3 T-23 (35.06M)

 

T-24 Saturday(199 showings): 2783(+477)/29268 ATP: $15.44

0.477x Thor L&T T-24 (20.07M)

0.929x Jurassic World 3 T-24 (43.56M)

 

T-25 Sunday(194 showings): 1302(+266)/28335 ATP: $14.83

0.470x Thor L&T T-25 (15.27M)

1.11x Jurassic World 3 T-25 (42.70M)

Avatar The Way of Water Alamo Drafthouse [+2 days of sales]

 

T-20 Thursday(127 showings): 2603(+505)/18613 ATP: $16.51

0.263x Thor L&T T-20 (6.59M)

0.701x Jurassic World 3 T-20 (12.62M)

1.29x Top Gun 2 Thurs only T-20 (19.74M)

 

T-21 Friday(193 showings): 3056(+600)/28426 ATP: $16.24

0.419x Thor L&T T-21 (16.97M)

0.960x Jurassic World 3 T-21 (39.93M)

1.42x Top Gun 2 T-21 (46.51M)

 

T-22 Saturday(199 showings): 3619(+836)/29268 ATP: $15.28

0.549x Thor L&T T-22 (23.10M)

1.14x Jurassic World 3 T-22 (53.45M)

2.05x Top Gun 2 T-22 (77.94M)

 

T-23 Sunday(194 showings): 1878(+576)/28335 ATP: $14.77

0.585x Thor L&T T-23 (19.03M)

1.45x Jurassic World 3 T-23 (56.02M)

2.41x Top Gun 2 T-23 (88.43M)

[ZackM]

On 11/24/2022 at 11:31 PM, ZackM said:

Glass Onion at 55k sold at Alpha today.

Glass Onion at 102k sold at Alpha today.  $12.62 ATP.

[motionpic05]

Puss N Boots 2's early Saturday screening doesn't look to be selling great... not comparing to Sing 2 well.

Maybe, the brand is just too tired/ no longer of interest. The first film was over 10 years ago after all.

[motionpic05]

Violent Night has been marketed very well by Universal. 

I think it's all but certain that this beats Black Christmas's numbers, and could even reach around Krampus's box office.

 

It seems to have great early buzz as well from people who have seen it..

[ZackM]

On 11/25/2022 at 12:32 AM, ZackM said:

 

 

 

Avatar: The Way of Water Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-21 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago
Showings Added	1	26	549	3,826
Seats Added	299	3,645	117,851	614,143
Seats Sold	4,269	4,706	12,555	33,233
11/24/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	435	4,402	54,763	735,938	7.44%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	0	5	21	53
ATP
$19.51

 

 

Avatar: The Way of Water Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-20 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	1	26	549	3,826
Seats Added	0	299	3,645	117,851	614,143
Seats Sold	2,733	4,269	4,706	12,555	33,233
11/25/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	435	4,402	57,496	735,938	7.81%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	0	6	24	54
ATP
$19.44

[Tokugennumataka]

Am I looking at it right? Is Avatar 2 insanely backloaded for the weekend. I mean it should be, just surprised to see it happening real-time. 

[IronJimbo]

1 hour ago, Tokugennumataka said:

Am I looking at it right? Is Avatar 2 insanely backloaded for the weekend. I mean it should be, just surprised to see it happening real-time. 

I think as well as it being backloaded for the weekend, the presales day to day themselves will be backloaded.

 

 

Edited November 26, 2022 by IronJimbo

[Porthos]

On 11/24/2022 at 11:14 PM, Porthos said:

 

Avatar: The Way of Water Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-21 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	142	19308	21338	2030	9.51%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

169

 

T-21 Comp                   [GRAIN OF SALT DUE TO HAVING NOTHING BETTER EDITION]

	%		Sold T-21	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Bats	70.46		2406	2881		0/248	29316/32197	8.95%		21117	9.61%		15.22m
TGM	88.30		390	2299		0/257	33923/36222	6.35%		11474	17.69%		17.01m
JWD	107.98		71	1880		0/184	22927/24807	7.58%		10966	18.51%		19.44m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Avatar 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:       429/7309  [5.87% sold]
Matinee:    306/2671  [11.46% | 15.07% of all tickets sold]
3D:        1399/15634  [8.95% | 68.92% of all tickets sold]
PLF 3D:    1154/7439  [15.51% | 59.51% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Thanksgiving had absolutely no effect today, locally.  Hell might have even helped, slightly, with all of the A2 promotions on various sporting contests.

 

(something something Sacto SciFi something something)

 

Avatar: The Way of Water Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-20 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	142	19210	21338	2128	9.97%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

98

 

T-20 Comp                   [GRAIN OF SALT DUE TO HAVING NOTHING BETTER EDITION]

	%		Sold T-20	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Bats	65.78		354	3235		0/248	29063/32298	10.02%		21117	10.08%		14.21m
TGM	81.69		306	2605		0/257	33617/36222	7.19%		11474	18.55%		15.73m
JWD	107.42		101	1981		0/184	22826/24807	7.99%		10966	19.41%		19.34m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Avatar 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:        462/7309  [6.32% sold]
Matinee:     312/2671  [11.68% | 14.66% of all tickets sold]
3D:         1457/15634  [9.32% | 68.47% of all tickets sold]
PLF 3D:    1184/7439  [15.92% | 58.65% of all tickets sold]

[hw64]

7 hours ago, Tokugennumataka said:

Am I looking at it right? Is Avatar 2 insanely backloaded for the weekend. I mean it should be, just surprised to see it happening real-time. 

 

This happened with the re-release of Avatar in China last year and it happened quite a bit with the global re-release a few months ago, too. There's definitely significant backloading — Saturday and Sunday are going to be very strong for this movie relative to Friday and especially Thursday.

Edited November 26, 2022 by hw64

[Eric Prime]

On 11/25/2022 at 12:01 AM, Eric Clade said:

Avatar: The Way of Water Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-21 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	152	1304	26516	4.92%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 93

 

Comp

2.650x of F9 T-21 (18.82M)

1.741x of Top Gun 2 T-21 (33.53M)

0.935x of Jurassic World 3 T-21 (16.82M)

Avatar: The Way of Water Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	152	1388	26516	5.23%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 84

 

Comp

2.604x of F9 T-20 (18.49M)

4.284x of No Time to Die T-20 (26.99M)

1.529x of Top Gun 2 T-20 (29.44M)

0.980x of Jurassic World 3 T-20 (17.64M)

[Eric Prime]

On 11/25/2022 at 12:08 AM, Eric Clade said:

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	73	211	11535	1.83%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 49

 

Comp

0.213x of Sing 2 T-27 (2.07M)

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-26 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	73	324	11535	2.81%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 113

 

Comp

0.262x of Sing 2 T-26 (2.55M)

[Eric Prime]

On 11/25/2022 at 12:09 AM, Eric Clade said:

[Tinalera]

Avatar 2

Toronto Ontario Canada

Thurs Dec 15 (taken Nov 26) No Comps

 

	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	10	54	1368	12274	13660	0.1001

 

+293 seats sold (+1 show added) since last update (3 days ago)

[Tinalera]

Just now, Eric Clade said:

 

 

Bunnies!!!! ( I admit I don't fully understand the context here but gosh these bunnies made my day!)

[Eric Prime]

2 minutes ago, Tinalera said:

 

 

Bunnies!!!! ( I admit I don't fully understand the context here but gosh these bunnies made my day!)

I shared a tired bunny GIF when I tracked Devotion/Strange World/Avatar/Puss to symbolize my exhaustion, then just kinda wanted to share bunny GIFS every day to make people laugh and enjoy the cuteness. I'll probably stop them once Avatar comes out lol

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, Eric Clade said:

I shared a tired bunny GIF when I tracked Devotion/Strange World/Avatar/Puss to symbolize my exhaustion, then just kinda wanted to share bunny GIFS every day to make people laugh and enjoy the cuteness. I'll probably stop them once Avatar comes out lol

I thought it was just a daily shoutout to Lupita.

 

[charlie Jatinder]

9 hours ago, ZackM said:

 

 

Avatar: The Way of Water Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-20 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	1	26	549	3,826
Seats Added	0	299	3,645	117,851	614,143
Seats Sold	2,733	4,269	4,706	12,555	33,233
11/25/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	435	4,402	57,496	735,938	7.81%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	0	6	24	54
ATP
$19.44

Alpha tracked ATPs

 

Avatar 2 - $19.44 (T-20)

BP2 - $17.24 (T-20) ($15.83 final)

Thor 4 - $17.30 (T-18) ($15.84 final)

TGM - $17.68 (T-14) ($15.94 final)

 

I guess around $17.5-18 tracked final ATP A2 will have. Around 12% higher BP2 and Thor 4.

 

Need to think about other chains but could be lower due to lesser PLFs and 3D. 10-15% higher ATP overall may be. 

[Eric Prime]

Just now, filmlover said:

I thought it was just a daily shoutout to Lupita.

 

...sure, let's go with that.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 11/25/2022 at 9:59 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Puss Boots (EA)	T-1	Jax	4	4	66	151	366	41.26%
		Phx	5	5	56	163	488	33.40%
		Ral	6	6	108	189	757	24.97%
	Total		15	15	230	503	1,611	31.22%

 

Puss in Boots EA T-1 comps

 - Sing 2 EA - .527x

 - Sonic 2 EA - 1.324x (1.68m)

 - Lightyear EA - 3.672x (2.2m)

 

Still looking great!  Don't have time for the others today

 

On 11/23/2022 at 9:05 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Avatar 2	T-22	Jax	5	69	81	465	10,350	4.49%
		Phx	6	70	36	328	10,839	3.03%
		Ral	8	64	97	399	8,035	4.97%
	Total		19	203	214	1,192	29,224	4.08%
Fabelmans	T-0	Jax	3	15	9	32	1,037	3.09%
		Phx	1	8	10	18	320	5.63%
		Ral	3	12	13	29	1,522	1.91%
	Total		7	35	32	79	2,879	2.74%
Glass Onion	T-0	Jax	4	23	65	311	2,177	14.29%
		Phx	3	27	107	361	1,974	18.29%
		Ral	2	17	98	459	1,228	37.38%
	Total		9	67	270	1,131	5,379	21.03%
Heard the Bells	T-8	Jax	4	5	-2	90	678	13.27%
		Phx	2	2	2	29	596	4.87%
		Ral	6	6	2	248	566	43.82%
	Total		12	13	2	367	1,840	19.95%
Puss Boots (EA)	T-3	Jax	4	4	9	85	366	23.22%
		Phx	5	5	16	107	488	21.93%
		Ral	6	6	20	81	757	10.70%
	Total		15	15	45	273	1,611	16.95%
Puss in Boot	T-28	Jax	5	29	0	4	3,051	0.13%
		Phx	5	25	-4	13	3,084	0.42%
		Ral	6	35	0	19	4,013	0.47%
	Total		16	89	-4	36	10,148	0.35%
Violent Night	T-8	Jax	6	19	4	26	2,143	1.21%
		Phx	5	14	5	23	2,161	1.06%
		Ral	7	16	2	34	1,676	2.03%
	Total		18	49	11	83	5,980	1.39%

 

Glass Onion T-0 comps (Opening day vs previews)

 - NTTD - .503x (2.615m)

 - F9 - .37x (2.627m)

 - Ghostbusters + EA - .607x (2.73m)

 - Top Gun 2 + EA - .131x (2.53m)

All drama movies - 3.17m

All action movies - 2.86m

All PG-13 movies - 3.37m

All movies - 3.64m

 

This being opening day AND a Wednesday, who knows how this will perform.  I'll go with 3m for my opening day prediction - expecting really good walkups

Fabelmans T-0 comps (Opening day vs previews)

 - House of Gucci - .174x (226k)

 - Elvis - .068x (219k)

All drama movies - 221k

All PG-13 movies - 235k

All movies - 254k

 

Should be around 250k today

 

Puss in Boots EA T-3 comps

 - Sing 2 EA - .411x

 - Sonic 2 EA - 1.11x (1.4m)

 

Violent Night T-8 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 2.862x (1.43m)

 - Bullet Train - .342x (1.14m)

 - Northman - .634x (855k)

 

I Heard the Bells T-8 comps

 - Downton Abbey + EA - .735x (1.32m)

 

Avatar 2 T-22 comps

 - Eternals - 1.345x (12.78m)

 - TG2 - 1.145x (22.1m)

 - JW3 - .586x (10.54m)

 

Puss in Boots T-28 comps

 - Nope - .207x (1.32m)

 - JW3 + EA - missed

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New*	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Avatar 2	T-19	Jax	5	69	149	614	10,350	5.93%
		Phx	6	70	100	428	10,839	3.95%
		Ral	8	64	144	543	8,035	6.76%
	Total		19	203	393	1,585	29,224	5.42%
Heard the Bells	T-5	Jax	4	5	7	97	678	14.31%
		Phx	2	2	3	32	596	5.37%
		Ral	6	6	24	272	566	48.06%
	Total		12	13	34	401	1,840	21.79%
Puss Boots (EA)	T-0	Jax	4	4	77	228	366	62.30%
		Phx	5	5	42	205	488	42.01%
		Ral	6	6	108	297	757	39.23%
	Total		15	15	227	730	1,611	45.31%
Puss in Boots	T-25	Jax	5	29	2	6	3,051	0.20%
		Phx	5	25	0	13	3,084	0.42%
		Ral	6	35	0	19	4,013	0.47%
	Total		16	89	2	38	10,148	0.37%
Violent Night	T-5	Jax	6	19	0	26	2,143	1.21%
		Phx	5	14	10	33	2,161	1.53%
		Ral	7	16	10	44	1,676	2.63%
	Total		18	49	20	103	5,980	1.72%

*New sales since Wed morning for all but EA

 

Puss in Boots EA T-0 comps

 - Sing 2 EA - .61x

 - Sonic 2 EA - 1.515x (1.92m)

 

I think this was over 1k shows today; could get up to 2m for a great start!

 

Violent Night T-5 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 2.102x (1.05m)

 - Bullet Train - .307x (1.03m)

 - Northman - missed

 

I Heard the Bells T-5 comps

 - Downton Abbey + EA - .583x (1.05m)

 

Avatar 2 T-19 comps

 - Eternals - missed

 - TG2 - .855x (16.51m)

 - JW3 - .722x (13m)

 

Puss in Boots T-25 comps

 - Nope - .194x (1.24m)

 - JW3 + EA - .02x (361k)