The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Grebacio]

1 hour ago, Favorite Fearless Legion said:

Brady is a 7day tbf. 20M or flop 

  Reveal hidden contents

Okay, in serious mode, I didn’t know this movie existed until getting a trailer on Puss OD but these sales seem mad impressive to me for what it is.

 

Makes a man wonder about book club 2 — if memory serves I think @baumer may be looking forward to that run?

 

80M for Brady or flop

[Tinalera]

Antman Quantumania (Start of Second roundup cycle)

Thurs Feb 16 and Fri Feb 17 (Taken Jan 23)

Vancouver BC Canada

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouver	Thurs	3	18	831	2661	3492	0.2379
	Fri	3	20	534	3492	4026	0.1326

[Boxofficerules]

Any tracking for Fear or Distant?

[Ronin46]

6 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Any tracking for Fear or Distant?

Distant is not "dated". Nobody knows when its coming out. 

[misterpepp]

Can confirm Fast X tickets on sale Feb 9 at 8am EST. @Eric Slay I apologize in advance.

 

Marlowe goes on sale next Wed, Feb 1.

[Verrows]

13 hours ago, DAJK said:

I doubt it, but if something like that did happen I would say that someone had better wake me up because 2023's box office has kind of been a dream of overperformances so far...

Has it though? Or is it just correcting?

[Eric Prime]

Quorum Updates

Emily T-25: 17.5% Awareness, 4.71 Interest

65 T-53: 23.19%, 5.89

Evil Dead Rise T-88: 31.67%, 5.61

Are You There God? It's Me, Margeret T-95: 17.32%, 4.84

Oppenheimer T-179: 17.32%, 5.15

 

Knock at the Cabin T-11: 33.77% Awareness, 6.02 Interest

Final Awareness: 37% chance of 10M, 3% chance of 20M

Final Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 94% chance of 30M

Horror Awareness: 50% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M

Horror Interest: 100% chance of 30M, 67% chance of 40M

 

Creed III T-39: 50.36% Awareness, 6.12 Interest

T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 86% chance of 70M, 57% chance of 100M

T-30 Interest: 100% chance of 50M, 89% chance of 70M, 78% chance of 100M

 

Shazam! Fury of the Gods T-53: 45.72% Awareness, 5.59 Interest

T-60 Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 87% chance of 40M, 62% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 70M

T-60 Interest: 55% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 30% chance of 60M, 25% chance of 70M

DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 90M

DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 60M, 67% chance of 70M, 33% chance of 90M

[Tinalera]

1 hour ago, datpepper said:

Can confirm Fast X tickets on sale Feb 9 at 8am EST. @Eric Slay I apologize in advance.

 

Marlowe goes on sale next Wed, Feb 1.

For a movie coming out on MAY 19 I just.....60 day tracking you say??

 

 

 

 

 

 

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 1/20/2023 at 6:50 PM, datpepper said:

Magic Mike 3 tix 1/23, but in the afternoon? Source says 3pm EST for now, tentative.

 

Titanic re-release tix 1/26. Unlike the Avatar re-release, there will be Thurs previews for this one, they start at 3:00.

 

Hope everyone has another good weekend.

I just got an email from WB that MM3 tickets are on sale.  Why? I have no idea. Never got an email from them before.

[Flip]

2 hours ago, Eric Slay said:

Quorum Updates

Emily T-25: 17.5% Awareness, 4.71 Interest

65 T-53: 23.19%, 5.89

Evil Dead Rise T-88: 31.67%, 5.61

Are You There God? It's Me, Margeret T-95: 17.32%, 4.84

Oppenheimer T-179: 17.32%, 5.15

 

Knock at the Cabin T-11: 33.77% Awareness, 6.02 Interest

Final Awareness: 37% chance of 10M, 3% chance of 20M

Final Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 94% chance of 30M

Horror Awareness: 50% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M

Horror Interest: 100% chance of 30M, 67% chance of 40M

 

Creed III T-39: 50.36% Awareness, 6.12 Interest

T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 86% chance of 70M, 57% chance of 100M

T-30 Interest: 100% chance of 50M, 89% chance of 70M, 78% chance of 100M

 

Shazam! Fury of the Gods T-53: 45.72% Awareness, 5.59 Interest

T-60 Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 87% chance of 40M, 62% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 70M

T-60 Interest: 55% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 30% chance of 60M, 25% chance of 70M

DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 90M

DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 60M, 67% chance of 70M, 33% chance of 90M

Thos Creed numbers are looking pretty good...

[Eric Prime]

1 hour ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

I just got an email from WB that MM3 tickets are on sale.  Why? I have no idea. Never got an email from them before.

They know… 👀 

[Inceptionzq]

On 1/22/2023 at 5:07 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Denver Thursday

AMC Westminster 24

Total

550

2587

21.26%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

438

3106

14.10%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 3 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
2382	341	32557	7.32%	15	189

 

AMCs sold	1692
Cinemarks sold	316
Regals sold	183
Harkins sold	191

 

0.411x Doctor Strange MoM T-25 (14.80M)

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Denver Thursday

AMC Westminster 24

Total

574

2587

22.19%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

455

3106

14.65%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
2501	119	32557	7.68%	15	189

 

AMCs sold	1759
Cinemarks sold	321
Regals sold	225
Harkins sold	196

 

0.804x Black Panther WF T-24 (22.50M)

0.421x Doctor Strange MoM T-24 (15.14M)

[Inceptionzq]

On 1/22/2023 at 5:10 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Megaplex [+3 days of sales]

 

T-25 Thursday(122 showings): 1943(+235)/35371

0.330x Doctor Strange MoM T-25 (11.89M)

 

T-26 Friday(185 showings): 1085(+310)/54636

0.394x Doctor Strange MoM T-26 (21.58M)

 

T-27 Saturday(186 showings): 825(+207)/54893

0.597x Doctor Strange MoM T-27 (34.51M)

 

T-28 Sunday(180 showings): 236(+71)/52588

0.715x Doctor Strange MoM T-28 (27.81M)

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Megaplex

 

T-24 Thursday(122 showings): 2035(+92)/35371

0.334x Doctor Strange MoM T-24 (12.04M)

 

T-25 Friday(185 showings): 1179(+94)/54636

0.407x Doctor Strange MoM T-25 (22.28M)

 

T-26 Saturday(186 showings): 893(+68)/54893

0.601x Doctor Strange MoM T-26 (34.72M)

 

T-27 Sunday(180 showings): 249(+13)/52588

0.718x Doctor Strange MoM T-27 (27.91M)

[Inceptionzq]

On 1/22/2023 at 5:13 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Drafthouse [+3 days of sales]

 

T-25 Thursday(237 showings): 7773(+733)/34519 ATP: $15.96

0.580x Doctor Strange MoM T-25 (20.88M)

 

T-26 Friday(331 showings): 5576(+748)/48238 ATP: $15.70

0.535x Doctor Strange MoM T-26 (29.25M)

 

T-27 Saturday(338 showings): 5661(+924)/49274 ATP: $15.03

0.546x Doctor Strange MoM T-27 (31.58M)

 

T-28 Sunday(306 showings): 2164(+470)/45387 ATP: $14.30

0.511x Doctor Strange MoM T-28 (19.87M)

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Drafthouse

 

T-24 Thursday(237 showings): 8052(+279)/34519 ATP: $15.95

0.759x Black Panther WF T-24 (21.26M)

0.588x Doctor Strange MoM T-24 (21.17M)

 

T-25 Friday(331 showings): 5807(+231)/48238 ATP: $15.73

0.543x Black Panther WF T-25 (30.56M)

0.539x Doctor Strange MoM T-25 (29.49M)

 

T-26 Saturday(338 showings): 5981(+320)/49274 ATP: $15.02

0.669x Black Panther WF T-26 (37.57M)

0.558x Doctor Strange MoM T-26 (32.26M)

 

T-27 Sunday(306 showings): 2305(+141)/45387 ATP: $14.29

0.499x Black Panther WF T-27 (20.43M)

0.510x Doctor Strange MoM T-27 (19.84M)

[Eric Prime]

Knock at the Cabin Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	34	145	6481	2.24%

 

Comp

2.014x of M3GAN (5.54M)

 

Felt like I wanted to do another run, specifically an original horror piece that I could use for future original horror titles. Not ideal since I didn't start it at day 1, but better than nothing.

[Eric Prime]

23 hours ago, Eric Slay said:

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-25 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	162	3255	31384	10.37%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 131

 

Comp - T-25

3.079x of Black Widow (40.65M)

0.419x of Doctor Strange 2 (15.08M)

0.595x of Black Panther 2 (16.67M)

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-24 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	162	3334	31384	10.62%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 79

 

Comp - T-24

2.825x of Black Widow (37.29M)

4.381x of Eternals (41.62M)

0.419x of Doctor Strange 2 (15.09M)

0.904x of Thor 4 (26.21M)

0.596x of Black Panther 2 (16.68M)

3.717x of Avatar 2 (63.19M)

[Porthos]

On 1/23/2023 at 1:03 AM, Porthos said:

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-25 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	235	28901	32526	3625	11.14%

 

Total Net Seats Sold Today

97

NOTE: I discovered a theater was marking six blacked out seats as sold.  This resulted in a loss of 18 tickets over three showings.

 

T-25 Comps

	%		Sold T-25	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	43.51		224	8331		0/329	32585/40916	20.36%		21117	17.17%		15.66m
BP2	64.51		121	5619		1/294	31400/37019	15.18%		16800	21.58%		18.06m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Ant-Man 3's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     697/12953  [5.38% sold]
Matinee:    108/3317  [3.26% | 2.98% of all tickets sold]
3D:            371/6473  [5.73% | 10.23% of all tickets sold]

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-24 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	235	28808	32526	3718	11.43%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

93

 

T-24 Comps

	%		Sold T-24	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	43.31		253	8584		0/329	32332/40916	20.98%		21117	17.61%		15.59m
L&T	89.35		4161	4161		0/228	27442/31603	13.17%		16962	21.92%		25.91m
BP2	65.14		89	5708		1/294	31311/37019	15.42%		16800	22.13%		18.24m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Ant-Man 3's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     720/12953  [5.56% sold]
Matinee:    111/3317  [3.35% | 2.99% of all tickets sold]
3D:          406/6473  [6.27% | 10.92% of all tickets sold]

[katnisscinnaplex]

21 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New*	Sold	Seats	% Sold
80 for Brady	T-10	Jax	5	15	3	16	1,926	0.83%
		Phx	5	14	10	20	1,514	1.32%
		Ral	7	21	8	35	1,839	1.90%
	Total		17	50	21	71	5,279	1.34%
Ant-Man 3	T-24	Jax	6	91	117	909	15,860	5.73%
		Phx	6	85	114	964	15,027	6.42%
		Ral	8	102	163	922	13,657	6.75%
	Total		20	278	394	2,795	44,544	6.27%
Brady (1/28)	T-5	Jax	2	2	14	30	365	8.22%
	Total		2	2	14	30	365	8.22%
Brady (1/31)	T-8	Jax	3	3	4	13	446	2.91%
		Phx	1	1	12	12	106	11.32%
		Ral	1	1	2	2	139	1.44%
	Total		5	5	18	27	691	3.91%
Brady (2/1)	T-9	Jax	3	3	4	4	446	0.90%
		Phx	1	1	8	8	106	7.55%
		Ral	1	1	0	0	73	0.00%
	Total		5	5	12	12	625	1.92%
Infinity Pool	T-3	Jax	4	5	5	20	445	4.49%
		Phx	5	6	4	10	517	1.93%
		Ral	4	4	2	11	452	2.43%
	Total		13	15	11	41	1,414	2.90%
Knock at Cabin	T-10	Jax	5	16	6	40	2,739	1.46%
		Phx	4	10	1	21	1,554	1.35%
		Ral	7	18	6	32	2,808	1.14%
	Total		16	44	13	93	7,101	1.31%
Left Behind	T-3	Jax	4	4	5	64	453	14.13%
		Phx	5	5	51	122	830	14.70%
		Ral	5	5	14	76	530	14.34%
	Total		14	14	70	262	1,813	14.45%

*New sales since Friday*

 

Left Behind T-3 comps

 - I Heard the Bells - .631x (488k)

 - Chosen Season 3 (OD) - .128x (480k)

 

Infinity Pool T-3 comps

 - The Night House - 2.278x (592k)

 - Black Phone - missed

 - Antlers - 1.025x (379k)

 - Men - .621x (263k)

 - X - .641x (282k)

 - Firestarter - .554x (208k)

 

80 for Brady T-10 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 2.22x (1.11m)

 - Menu - .947x (947k)

 - Violent Night - 1.145x (1.26m)

 

Knock at the Cabin T-10 comps

 - Nope - .219x (1.4m)

 - M3GAN - missed

 - Black Phone - .93x (2.42m)

 - Halloween Ends - .265x (1.43m)

 - Northman - .989x (1.336m)

 - Crawdads - .508x (1.02m)

 

Ant-Man 3 T-24 comps

 - Black Widow - 2.82x (37.27m)

 - Dr Strange 2 - .361x (12.98m)

 - Thor 4 - .96x (27.86m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
80 for Brady	T-9	Jax	5	15	17	33	1,926	1.71%
		Phx	5	12	0	20	1,360	1.47%
		Ral	7	22	3	38	1,887	2.01%
	Total		17	49	20	91	5,173	1.76%
Ant-Man 3	T-23	Jax	6	91	19	928	15,860	5.85%
		Phx	6	85	32	996	15,027	6.63%
		Ral	8	102	47	969	13,657	7.10%
	Total		20	278	98	2,893	44,544	6.49%
Brady (1/28)	T-4	Jax	2	2	5	35	365	9.59%
	Total		2	2	5	35	365	9.59%
Brady (1/31)	T-7	Jax	3	3	9	22	446	4.93%
		Phx	1	1	4	16	106	15.09%
		Ral	1	1	2	4	139	2.88%
	Total		5	5	15	42	691	6.08%
Brady (2/1)	T-8	Jax	3	3	1	5	446	1.12%
		Phx	1	1	4	12	106	11.32%
		Ral	1	1	0	0	73	0.00%
	Total		5	5	5	17	625	2.72%
Infinity Pool	T-2	Jax	4	5	7	27	445	6.07%
		Phx	6	8	2	12	683	1.76%
		Ral	4	4	6	17	452	3.76%
	Total		14	17	15	56	1,580	3.54%
Knock at Cabin	T-9	Jax	6	17	4	44	2,908	1.51%
		Phx	4	10	1	22	1,554	1.42%
		Ral	7	19	1	33	2,927	1.13%
	Total		17	46	6	99	7,389	1.34%
Left Behind	T-2	Jax	4	5	11	75	518	14.48%
		Phx	5	5	27	149	830	17.95%
		Ral	5	5	16	92	530	17.36%
	Total		14	15	54	316	1,878	16.83%
Magic Mike 3	T-16	Jax	3	15	4	4	1,395	0.29%
		Phx	3	7	0	0	919	0.00%
		Ral	6	14	5	5	1,796	0.28%

Total

12

36

9

9

4,110

0.22%

 

Left Behind T-2 comps

 - I Heard the Bells - .707x (546k)

 - Chosen Season 3 (OD) - .146x (548k)

 

Infinity Pool T-2 comps

 - The Night House - 2.333x (607k)

 - Black Phone - .175x (455k)

 - Antlers - .933x (345k)

 - Men - .596x (252k)

 - X - .629x (277k)

 - Firestarter - .629x (236k)

 

80 for Brady T-9 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 3.033x (1.52m)

 - Menu - 1.096x (1.096m)

 - Violent Night - 1.264x (1.39m)

 

Knock at the Cabin T-9 comps

 - Nope - .21x (1.345m)

 - M3GAN - missed

 - Black Phone - 1x (2.6m)

 - Halloween Ends - .256x (1.38m)

 - Northman - .917x (1.238m)

 - Crawdads - .495x (990k)

 

Ant-Man 3 T-23 comps

 - Black Widow - 2.66x (35.16m)

 - Dr Strange 2 - .362x (13.03m)

 - Thor 4 - .86x (24.86m)

 - Eternals - 3.79x (36.02m)

[cooldude97]

18 hours ago, Eric Slay said:

Quorum Updates

Emily T-25: 17.5% Awareness, 4.71 Interest

65 T-53: 23.19%, 5.89

Evil Dead Rise T-88: 31.67%, 5.61

Are You There God? It's Me, Margeret T-95: 17.32%, 4.84

Oppenheimer T-179: 17.32%, 5.15

 

Knock at the Cabin T-11: 33.77% Awareness, 6.02 Interest

Final Awareness: 37% chance of 10M, 3% chance of 20M

Final Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 94% chance of 30M

Horror Awareness: 50% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M

Horror Interest: 100% chance of 30M, 67% chance of 40M

 

Creed III T-39: 50.36% Awareness, 6.12 Interest

T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 86% chance of 70M, 57% chance of 100M

T-30 Interest: 100% chance of 50M, 89% chance of 70M, 78% chance of 100M

 

Shazam! Fury of the Gods T-53: 45.72% Awareness, 5.59 Interest

T-60 Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 87% chance of 40M, 62% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 70M

T-60 Interest: 55% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 30% chance of 60M, 25% chance of 70M

DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 90M

DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 60M, 67% chance of 70M, 33% chance of 90M

how is the Mario movie looking on quorum?

[el sid]

Infinity Pool, counted yesterday for Thursday, Jan 26:

 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): no showtimes yet
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 19 (1 showtime)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 7 (1 showtime)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): no showtimes yet
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 2 (1 showtime)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 30 (2 showtimes) 
LA (AMC Universal): 48 (2 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 5 theaters: 106. 

 

Comps (all counted on Monday for Thursday and in the same 5 theaters): M3gan (2.75M from previews) had 215 sold tickets,
Missing (760k) had 90 sold tickets
The Invitation (775k) had 68 sold tickets
and Barbarian (850k) had 146 sold tickets.

 

Infinity Pool, counted yesterday for Friday, Jan 27:
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): no showtimes yet
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 6 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 0 (3 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): no showtimes yet
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 2 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 26 (4 showtimes) 
LA (AMC Universal): 34 (3 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 5 theaters: 68.
 
Comps (all counted on Monday for Friday and in the same 5 theaters) M3gan (30.4M) had 156 sold tickets,
Missing (9.2M) had 64 sold tickets,
The Invitation (6.8M) had 49 sold tickets
and Barbarian (10.5M) had 44 sold tickets.

 

Quite solid!

 

Left Behind: Rise of the Anti-Christ had yesterday in 2 of my 7 theaters 55 and 16 sold tickets.

 

And Fear had also yesterday in 2 of the 7 theaters 23 and 19 sold tickets.

Edited January 24, 2023 by el sid