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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXRDJisDoctorDoom,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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keysersoze123 Global Phenomenon

keysersoze123

Posted
Posted
On 3/11/2023 at 7:01 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Shazam 2

MTC1 previews - 25091/486793 460567.25 2370 shows 

MTC1 friday - 16130/701379 290210.32 3370 shows

MTC2 previews - 11328/343412 156228.71 2003 shows

Shazam 2

MTC1 previews - 29805/511940 541087.21 2570 shows

MTC1 Friday - 21065/749550 372687.15 3734 shows

MTC2 Previews - 13682/351361 184392.15 2045 shows

 

MTC2 data is as of 5PM. Thinking MTC1 previews will be at 40K wednesday and 70K finish. That should translate to 3.5m previews even with over indexing.  

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screambaby Sleeper Hit

screambaby

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, DAJK said:

Guys, I'm really starting to think this might be a bomb for the ages. Like... 20M opening (or less?) bad. 

 

Hopefully reviews/WOM are good enough to salvage something for this film (because as generic as it looks, it'll still probably be better than a good chunk of the CBMs that we're getting nowadays). But when I tell you that both theaters I used to work at have ZERO presales for this...

 

Zero.

 

ZERO!!!

 

Like, there's not even anything to track!!! I can't give any comps because... all the comps would point to ZERO! 

My prediction about  a close race for fist looking better this weekend?

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted
53 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Shazam 2

MTC1 previews - 29805/511940 541087.21 2570 shows

MTC1 Friday - 21065/749550 372687.15 3734 shows

MTC2 Previews - 13682/351361 184392.15 2045 shows

 

MTC2 data is as of 5PM. Thinking MTC1 previews will be at 40K wednesday and 70K finish. That should translate to 3.5m previews even with over indexing.  

At same time BOP

 

MTC 1 - 27.7K on 1.47k shows

MTC 2 - 10K on 1.5k shows

 

Same as Philly, sales are ahead but pace is low. Last 2 days pace at MTC 1 is 4.8K vs 8K of BOP.

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EliasChristensen Cult Classic

EliasChristensen

Posted
Posted

The numbers for "Shazam 2" look...horrendous. 😵 

 

The whole DCU chaos and the behavior of the leading actor seem to pay off. It would be hilarious if this would become a second Morbius box office wise...😁 

 

I wonder if everything's "gucci" between Zachary Levi and James Gunn when this bombs big time. 🙆‍♂️

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Eric Prime Global Phenomenon

Eric Prime

Posted
Posted
On 3/13/2023 at 1:46 AM, Eric the Velocipastor said:

Shazam! Fury of the Gods Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 84 454 17155 2.65%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 30

 

Comp - T-4

0.749x of The Suicide Squad (3.07M)

0.229x of Shang-Chi (2.01M)

0.182x of Eternals (1.73M)

0.508x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife (2.29M)

0.409x of Morbius (2.33M)

0.391x of Sonic 2 (2.44M)

0.387x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (2.32M)

0.167x of Jurassic World: Dominion (3M)

0.326x of Black Adam (2.48M)

Shazam! Fury of the Gods Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 86 488 17406 2.80%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 34

 

Comp - T-3

0.659x of The Suicide Squad (2.7M)

0.212x of Shang-Chi (1.86M)

0.178x of Eternals (1.69M)
0.466x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife (2.09M)

0.381x of Morbius (2.17M)

0.350x of Sonic 2 (2.19M)

0.373x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (2.24M)

0.157x of Jurassic World: Dominion (2.82M)

0.305x of Black Adam (2.32M)

 

I don't even think this is hitting 20M at this rate tbh.

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Eric Prime Global Phenomenon

Eric Prime

Posted
Posted
On 3/13/2023 at 2:06 AM, Eric the Velocipastor said:

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 69 820 13153 6.23%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 27

 

Comp - T-11

2.742x of The Suicide Squad (11.24M)

1.057x of Venom 2 (12.26M)

1.235x of No Time to Die (7.78M)

1.090x of Dune (5.56M)

2.724x of Uncharted (10.08M)

1.250x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (7.5M)

0.480x of Top Gun 2 (9.25M)

0.422x of Jurassic World: Dominion (7.59M)

4.020x of Bullet Train (18.49M)

0.388x of Avatar 2 (6.59M)

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 71 874 13379 6.53%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 54

 

Comp - T-10

2.792x of The Suicide Squad (11.45M)

1.029x of Venom 2 (11.94M)

1.164x of No Time to Die (7.33M)

1.106x of Dune (5.64M)

2.904x of Uncharted (10.74M)

1.332x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (7.99M)

0.512x of Top Gun 2 (9.86M)

0.449x of Jurassic World: Dominion (8.09M)

3.538x of Bullet Train (16.28M)

0.399x of Avatar 2 (6.78M)

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Cooper Legion Global Phenomenon

Cooper Legion

Posted
Posted
4 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Not sure if you tracking more cinemas now, but BOP was

 

T-5 - 344

T-4 - 383

T-3 - 468

T-2 - 569

T-1 - 763

T-0 - 1320

 

Number of shows were 70% of BOP, so I assume number of cinemas are similar. S2 is ahead in overall sales, but pace seems low. It will final at 1174 at same pace.

Same pace now 837 :Venom:

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Eric Prime Global Phenomenon

Eric Prime

Posted
Posted
On 3/13/2023 at 2:17 AM, Eric the Velocipastor said:

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-24 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 159 987 31960 3.09%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 128

 

Comp - T-24

0.683x of Sing 2 (6.65M)

5.672x of Sonic 2 (35.45M)

25.974x of Minions 2 (279.22M)

 

Hooray for new comps. And wow, I can't believe Mario will have the biggest OD in history. Isn't this just wacky????????

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-23 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 159 1052 31960 3.29%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 65

 

Comp - T-23

0.720x of Sing 2 (7.01M)

4.311x of Sonic 2 (26.95M)

22.383x of Minions 2 (240.62M)

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Eric Prime Global Phenomenon

Eric Prime

Posted
Posted
On 3/10/2023 at 5:56 AM, Eric the Velocipastor said:

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-70 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 83 302 17734 1.70%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 16

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-66 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 83 312 17734 1.76%

 

Total Seats Sold the Past Four Days: 10

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Eric Prime Global Phenomenon

Eric Prime

Posted
Posted
4 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Not sure if you tracking more cinemas now, but BOP was

 

T-5 - 344

T-4 - 383

T-3 - 468

T-2 - 569

T-1 - 763

T-0 - 1320

 

Number of shows were 70% of BOP, so I assume number of cinemas are similar. S2 is ahead in overall sales, but pace seems low. It will final at 1174 at same pace.

So yeah for clarification, post-pandemic I added three extra theaters into my sample. So if you take those out, then Shazam is at...367 tickets tonight. So...have fun with that.

 

And no, I'm not going to look into the previous days and see what those totals sans those three theaters are. Do not even ask me.

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Cooper Legion Global Phenomenon

Cooper Legion

Posted
Posted
25 minutes ago, Favorite Fearless Legion said:

Same pace now 837 :Venom:

 

16 minutes ago, Eric the Velocipastor said:

So yeah for clarification, post-pandemic I added three extra theaters into my sample. So if you take those out, then Shazam is at...367 tickets tonight. So...have fun with that.

 

And no, I'm not going to look into the previous days and see what those totals sans those three theaters are. Do not even ask me.

Lmao, adjusted daily pace is like 25, or 30% or BOP. Adjusted same pace finish of like 600s

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, Porthos said:

giphy.gif

 

Shazam! Fury of the Gods Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

139

19789

20487

698

3.41%

 

Total Showings Added Today

29

Total Seats Added Today

3292

Total Seats Sold Today

80

 

T-3 Comps

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-3

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

TSS

77.99

 

144

895

 

0/100

15314/16209

5.52%

 

2352

29.68%

 

3.20m

LTBC

22.98

 

576

3037

 

0/216

28173/31210

9.73%

 

7712

9.05%

 

2.67m

ET

20.31

 

397

3437

 

0/118

13711/17148

20.04%

 

6409

10.89%

 

1.93m

GBA

59.30

 

182

1177

 

0/153

19354/20531

5.73%

 

3034

23.01%

 

2.67m

Morbius

44.26

 

225

1577

 

0/178

22278/23855

6.61%

 

3477

20.07%

 

2.52m

Sonic 2

42.82

 

269

1630

 

0/109

12800/14430

11.30%

 

3951

17.67%

 

2.68m

Minions 2

36.64

 

488

1905

 

0/188

25737/27642

6.89%

 

6591

10.59%

 

3.94m

Nope

57.40

 

260

1216

 

0/108

15099/16315

7.45%

 

3822

18.26%

 

3.67m

BA

32.14

 

286

2172

 

0/223

27742/29914

7.26%

 

4494

15.53%

 

2.44m

AM3

9.85

 

474

7088

 

0/269

28018/35106

20.19%

 

10475

6.66%

 

1.72m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Shazam 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

===

 

Actually faster for me to do it this way than a Q&D.   Well, with this many comps at least. :ph34r:

 

Been thinking for over a week that this isn't clearning 3m in previews.  Now I'm starting to think sub-2m in previews is a real possibility, as the pace against even family friendly films has been downright rotten.

 

For example, here's the comp block from last night:

 

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-4

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

TSS

82.29

 

141

751

 

0/87

14373/15124

4.97%

 

2352

26.28%

 

3.37m

LTBC

25.11

 

453

2461

 

0/183

26301/28762

8.56%

 

7712

8.01%

 

2.91m

ET

20.33

 

191

3040

 

0/101

12928/15968

19.04%

 

6409

9.64%

 

1.93m

GBA

62.11

 

75

995

 

0/117

16554/17549

5.67%

 

3034

20.37%

 

2.79m

Morbius

45.71

 

127

1352

 

0/151

20089/21441

6.31%

 

3477

17.77%

 

2.61m

Sonic 2

45.41

 

172

1361

 

0/92

11557/12918

10.54%

 

3951

15.64%

 

2.84m

Minions 2

43.61

 

263

1417

 

0/169

23955/25372

5.58%

 

6591

9.38%

 

4.69m

Nope

64.64

 

195

956

 

0/86

12735/13691

6.98%

 

3822

16.17%

 

4.14m

BA

32.77

 

216

1886

 

0/169

22425/24311

7.76%

 

4494

13.75%

 

2.49m

AM3

9.34

 

303

6614

 

0/251

27082/33696

19.63%

 

10475

5.90%

 

1.64m

 

Comps are trending in the wrong direction and have been for a while now.

 

This film is DOA.  Only question is: How big of a bomb is this gonna be.

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted
On 3/13/2023 at 1:48 AM, Porthos said:

 

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-11 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

95

12458

13791

1333

9.67%

 

Total Showings Added Today

5

Total Seats Added Today

206

Total Seats Sold Today

49

 

T-11 Comps

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-11

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

TGM

27.50

 

235

4848

 

0/259

31085/35933

13.49%

 

11474

11.62%

 

5.30m

JWD

44.52

 

182

2994

 

0/191

22380/25374

11.80%

 

4456

29.91%

 

8.01m

BA

124.12

 

44

1074

 

0/146

20993/22067

4.87%

 

4494

29.66%

 

9.43m

A2

40.26

 

177

3311

 

0/145

18173/21484

15.41%

 

8986

14.83%

 

6.84m

Scream 6

174.93

 

29

762

 

0/78

9098/9860

7.73%

 

3134

42.53%

 

9.97m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Wick 4's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     277/3784  [7.32% sold]
Matinee:    49/1253  [3.91% | 3.68% of all tickets sold]

 

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-10 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

95

12399

13791

1392

10.09%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

59

 

T-10 Comps

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-10

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

NTTD

146.53

 

74

950

 

0/135

20309/21259

4.47%

 

3737

37.25%

 

9.08m

TGM

27.63

 

190

5038

 

0/259

30895/35933

14.02%

 

11474

12.13%

 

5.32m

JWD

43.69

 

192

3186

 

0/191

22186/25372

12.56%

 

4456

31.24%

 

7.86m

BA

124.17

 

47

1121

 

0/148

21302/22423

5.00%

 

4494

30.97%

 

9.44m

A2

40.08

 

162

3473

 

0/145

18011/21484

16.17%

 

8986

15.49%

 

6.81m

Scream 6

172.28

 

46

808

 

0/77

8931/9739

8.30%

 

3134

44.42%

 

9.82m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Wick 4's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     287/3784  [7.58% sold]
Matinee:    50/1253  [3.99% | 3.59% of all tickets sold]

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