The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[ThomasNicole]

1 minute ago, Maggie said:

wow. So bad for No Hard feelings. I doubt reviews will help it either

Reviews for this movie won’t be released until next Wednesday, they’ll probably be bad 

 

It’s a shame how it’s turning out, i though the trailer had a lot of potential

[Maggie]

Just now, ThomasNicole said:

Reviews for this movie won’t be released until next Wednesday, they’ll probably be bad 

 

 

Yikes, i didn't know that. Looks like it's DOA

[WebSurfer]

https://deadline.com/2023/06/the-flash-box-office-prediction-ezra-miller-dc-1235416323/

welp

[Eric the IF]

4 hours ago, Ezen Baklattan said:

CINEMARK 'THIS MOVIE IS HOT!' COUNTER:

 

What does this mean?

[WebSurfer]

Looks like it's gonna be an underwhelming weekend for both movies.

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/12/2023 at 6:36 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

The Flash

 

THURSDAY includes fan screenings

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
197	3612	39562	9.1%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

258

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

8

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

COMPS

T-3

 

(0.440x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

~$7.7M THUR Previews

 

(0.600x) of ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE

~$10.4M THUR Previews 

 

(1.636x) of FAST X

~$12.3M THUR Previews

 

(1.522x) of TRANSFORMERS RoTB

~$13.4M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $10.9M Previews

 

The bleeding isn't stopping 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

The Flash

 

THURSDAY includes fan screenings

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
254	4032	50158	8.0%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

420

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

57

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(0.465x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

~$8.1M THUR Previews

 

(0.595x) of ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE

~$10.3M THUR Previews 

 

(1.617x) of FAST X

~$12.1M THUR Previews

 

(1.418x) of TRANSFORMERS RoTB

~$12.5M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $10.7M Previews

 

Thinking $10.5M previews and O/U $70M OW

 

But based on trends, would not be shocked if comps point to low $10M tomorrow 

[JpTransformers]

 

[JpTransformers]

things look really tough for The Flash

I don't know what else to expect

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/12/2023 at 6:49 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Elementals

 

THURSDAY

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
145	896	21735	4.1%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

88

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

1

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

unofficial comp pointing to $2.5M+

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Elementals

 

THURSDAY

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
169	1030	24819	4.2%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

134

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

24

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Good growth today

 

unofficial comp pointing to $2.5M+

[Mulder]

13 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

The Flash

 

THURSDAY includes fan screenings

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
254	4032	50158	8.0%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

420

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

57

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(0.465x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

~$8.1M THUR Previews

 

(0.595x) of ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE

~$10.3M THUR Previews 

 

(1.617x) of FAST X

~$12.1M THUR Previews

 

(1.418x) of TRANSFORMERS RoTB

~$12.5M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $10.7M Previews

 

Thinking $10.5M previews and O/U $70M OW

 

But based on trends, would not be shocked if comps point to low $10M tomorrow 

Yeah it depends on the IM it gets. If its on the low end and is a 6x, we could legit be looking at a 60 million OW.

[ringedmortality]

Man No Hard Feelings is depressing. Really thought R-rated comedies would finally get a win.

 

53 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Reviews for this movie won’t be released until next Wednesday, they’ll probably be bad 

 

Why would they be bad?

[ZackM]

On 6/12/2023 at 1:20 PM, ZackM said:

 

 

The Flash Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days
	Last Day	Previous 3 Days			5 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	9			8
Seats Added	0	912			1,566
Seats Sold	4,575	9,973			2,722
6/11/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	427	2,744	81,439	529,243	15.39%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	1	13	75	152
ATP	Gross
$18.58	$1,513,137
The Flash Fan First Screenings in IMAX Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 days
6/11/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	13	13	3,814	4,478	85.17%
ATP	Gross
$23.27	$88,752

 

 

The Flash Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	Previous 3 Days
Showings Added	189	0	9
Seats Added	23,279	0	912
Seats Sold	8,738	4,575	9,973
6/12/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	427	2,933	90,177	552,522	16.32%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	1	21	88	181
ATP	Gross
$18.41	$1,660,159

[ZackM]

On 6/12/2023 at 1:27 PM, ZackM said:

 

More weird stuff from Alpha.  Not sure what's going on, but daily sales seems too low and big ATP drop makes no sense.

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-18 days
	Last Day	Previous 3 Days			5 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	11			0
Seats Added	0	1,677			0
Seats Sold	429	2,290			716
6/11/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	421	2,473	29,605	504,494	5.87%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	1	2	3	7	16
ATP	Gross
$18.66	$552,429

 

Issues from yesterday seem to have worked themself out.

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	Previous 3 Days
Showings Added	0	0	11
Seats Added	0	0	1,677
Seats Sold	1,273	429	2,290
6/12/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	421	2,473	30,878	504,494	6.12%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	1	2	3	9	18
ATP	Gross
$18.73	$578,345

 

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

6 hours ago, Porthos said:

Contrary to early reports (at least from what I recall), looks like the Walmart+ "See it first" showings for MI7 are exclusive to Walmart+ members.

 

 

I say "looks like" because not only is Atom the only place showing these tickets being available locally, if I go to the various corp sites, they don't have their showtimes listed on their dates (even though Cinemark at least does indeed have it as a coming attraction).

 

Also not entirely sure tickets are even live at the moment (not having a Walmart+ account I can't check) as I check a few places locally there isn't a single ticket sold.  Makes me think that it's possible that the sale won't go through even with a Walmart+ account.  Either that or folks locally have no idea whatsoever that this is a thing at the moment.

 

(more I think about it, the more I think Atom just accidentally left a partial switch on and the sale would be rejected eventually)

D&D did significant numbers in same showings.

 

MiniTC2 - 2189/3885 (30 showings) $24672
 

Actual previews did 4700 tix

[M37]

42 minutes ago, Mulder said:

Yeah it depends on the IM it gets. If its on the low end and is a 6x, we could legit be looking at a 60 million OW.

Um, $10M Thursday is no longer the “low end” of the preview range …

 

[Mulder]

2 minutes ago, M37 said:

Um, $10M Thursday is no longer the “low end” of the preview range …

 

Meant the low end multiplier wise, but....yeah.

[Legion Again]

5 minutes ago, Mulder said:

Meant the low end multiplier wise, but....yeah.

But 6x isn’t the low end multiplier wise

[XXR vs XXR]

Seems like the best case scenario at this point is roughly 11 x 7 and the worst case is probably 8 x 5.5 

[Eric the IF]

 

Neat little thread for people to look into if they are interested

[raegr]

1 hour ago, WebSurfer said:

https://deadline.com/2023/06/the-flash-box-office-prediction-ezra-miller-dc-1235416323/

welp

If 155-165M WW opening holds true, this might struggle to cross 400M at the box office. That would be an unmitigated disaster.