The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[wboxoffice]

How do you rate the buzz of "I Wanna Dance With Somebody" so far? Any stats? 

 

Have you seen the trailer often in movie theaters or seen some tv spots or other adverstisements?  Is there awareness building up?  Thanks.

 

 

Edited December 1, 2022 by wboxoffice

[interiorgatordecorator]

1 hour ago, Eric Claus said:

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-box-office-forecast-violent-night-courts-sleeper-holiday-appeal-but-black-panther-wakanda-forever-will-wear-a-4th-crown/

 

Film	Distributor	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, December 4	Location Count Projection (as of Wed)	3-Day % Change from Last Wknd
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever	Disney & Marvel Studios	$22,800,000	$400,000,000	~4,000	-50%
Violent Night	Universal Pictures	$9,800,000	$9,800,000	~3,500	NEW
Strange World	Walt Disney Pictures	$5,900,000	$26,700,000	~4,174	-51%
Devotion	Sony / Columbia Pictures	$3,100,000	$14,000,000	~3,405	-47%
The Menu	Disney / Searchlight Pictures	$3,000,000	$23,900,000	~3,200	-45%
I Heard the Bells	Fathom Events	$2,300,000	$2,300,000	~1,200	NEW
Black Adam	Warner Bros. Pictures	$1,800,000	$165,300,000	~2,600	-45%
The Fabelmans	Universal Pictures	$1,400,000	$5,700,000	~750	-38%
Ticket to Paradise	Universal Pictures	$1,100,000	$66,700,000	~2,200	-41%
Top Gun: Maverick	Paramount Pictures	$1,000,000	$717,700,000	~2,000	n/a
The Quintessential Quintuplets Movie	Crunchyroll	$980,000	$980,000	~1,000	NEW
Bones and All	United Artists Releasing	$950,000	$5,700,000	~2,727	-58%

 

seems like TGM is fully squeezed out

 

[Eric the Minion]

15 hours ago, Eric Claus said:

Violent Night Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	44	202	6709	3.01%

 

Comp

0.995x of Snake Eyes T-2 (1.39M)

0.225x of The Suicide Squad T-2 (922K)

0.906x of Free Guy T-2 (1.99M)

0.292x of Uncharted T-2 (1.08M)

1.888x of Ambulance T-2 (1.32M)

0.546x of The Northman T-2 (737K)

0.158x of Bullet Train T-2 (726K)

Violent Night Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	44	256	6709	3.82%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 54

 

Comp

0.985x of Snake Eyes T-1 (1.38M)

0.234x of The Suicide Squad T-1 (959K)

0.842x of Free Guy T-1 (1.85m)

0.952x of The King's Man T-1 (761K)

0.288x of Uncharted T-1 (1.06M)

1.765x of Ambulance T-1 (1.24M)

0.618x of The Northman T-1 (835K)

0.162x of Bullet Train T-1 (743K)

[Eric the Minion]

15 hours ago, Eric Claus said:

Avatar: The Way of Water Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	152	1690	26516	6.37%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 78

 

Comp

2.545x of F9 T-16 (18.07M)

3.470x of Venom 2 T-15 (40.25M)

3.320x of No Time to Die T-16 (20.92M)

3.159x of Dune T-16 (16.11M)

6.377x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-16 (38.26M)

1.425x of Top Gun 2 T-16 (27.44M)

1.077x of Jurassic World 3 T-16 (19.39M)

Avatar: The Way of Water Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	152	1792	26516	6.76%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 102

 

Comp

2.553x of F9 T-15 (18.12M)

3.246x of Venom 2 T-14 (37.66M)

3.368x of No Time to Die T-15 (21.22M)

3.111x of Dune T-15 (15.87M)

5.005x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-15 (30.03M)

1.447x of Top Gun 2 T-15 (27.88M)

1.119x of Jurassic World 3 T-15 (20.13M)

[Alexdube]

4 hours ago, Eric Claus said:

The first Avatar got two Kids Choice Awards nominations and the toys are sold next to the Minions at Target. It's a kids movie.

Avatar was designed for people aged 10 to 100, that's why it made all the money. It's not a "kids movie".

[Eric the Minion]

15 hours ago, Eric Claus said:

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-22 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	73	489	11535	4.24%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 8

Total Seats WITHOUT Early Access: 22

 

Comp w/ Early Access

0.334x of Sing 2 T-22 (3.25M)

1.716x of Sonic 2 T-22 (10.72M)

10.404x of Minions 2 T-22 (111.85M)

 

Comp w/out Early Access

0.386x of Sing 2 T-22 (3.14M)

0.077x of Sonic 2 T-22 (482K)

0.468x of Minions 2 T-22 (5.03M)

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-21 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	73	489	11535	4.24%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

Total Seats WITHOUT Early Access: 22

 

Comp w/ Early Access

0.331x of Sing 2 T-21 (3.23M)

1.547x of Sonic 2 T-21 (9.67M)

1.0.404x of Minions 2 T-21 (111.85M)

 

Comp w/out Early Access

0.328x of Sing 2 T-21 (2.67M)

0.070x of Sonic 2 T-21 (435K)

0.468x of Minions 2 T-21 (5.03M)

[Eric the Minion]

15 hours ago, Eric Claus said:

[interiorgatordecorator]

17 minutes ago, Alexdube said:

Avatar was designed for people aged 10 to 100, that's why it made all the money. It's not a "kids movie".

 

its code name was literally project 888 (8-88 target audience)

[Porthos]

Getting some strong "Star Wars is a Kids Show" flashbacks here for some strange reason.

 

[Joyous Legion]

The fun thing about discussing whether something is a “Kids ______” is that sometimes people mean “intended for kids (among others) to be able to enjoy and engage with” and sometimes people mean “primarily targeted at kids and therefore simplistic lower quality fare which adults should be vaguely embarrassed to like too much” and of course one usually doesn’t bother to distinguish clearly between those two very different concepts because that takes all the fun out of trolling people with the term in the first place.

Edited December 1, 2022 by Legion By Night

[Porthos]

On 11/30/2022 at 1:33 AM, Porthos said:

 

Avatar: The Way of Water Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-16 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	142	18732	21338	2606	12.21%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

98

 

T-16 Comp                   [GRAIN OF SALT DUE TO HAVING NOTHING BETTER EDITION]

	%		Sold T-16	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Dune	530.75		97	491		0/74	11158/11649	4.21%		2915	89.40%		27.07m
Bats	68.36		138	3812		0/280	30966/34778	10.96%		21117	12.34%		14.77m
TGM	72.25		220	3607		0/259	32324/35931	10.04%		11474	22.71%		13.92m
JWD	112.04		112	2326		0/190	22988/25314	9.19%		10966	23.76%		20.17m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Avatar 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:        587/7309  [8.03% sold]
Matinee     353/2671  [13.22% | 13.55% of all tickets sold]
3D:         1766/15634  [11.30% | 67.77% of all tickets sold]
PLF 3D:    1410/7439  [18.95% | 57.87% of all tickets sold]

 

Avatar: The Way of Water Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-15 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	142	18643	21338	2695	12.63%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

89

 

T-15 Comp                   [GRAIN OF SALT DUE TO HAVING NOTHING BETTER EDITION]

	%		Sold T-15	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Dune	496.32		52	543		0/74	11106/11649	4.66%		2915	92.45%		25.31m
Bats	68.70		111	3923		0/280	30855/34778	11.28%		21117	12.76%		14.84m
TGM	71.00		189	3796		0/259	32137/35933	10.56%		11474	23.49%		13.67m
JWD	111.13		99	2425		0/191	22947/25372	9.56%		10966	24.58%		20.00m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Avatar 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:         606/7309  [8.29% sold]
Matinee:      361/2671  [13.52% | 13.40% of all tickets sold]
3D:          1819/15634  [11.63% | 67.50% of all tickets sold]
PLF 3D:    1458/7439  [19.60% | 58.03% of all tickets sold]

[charlie Jatinder]

TGM dailies were crazy in Sacramento but final days just ended up eh.

[charlie Jatinder]

On 11/22/2022 at 10:13 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Avatar 2 Harkins Previews T-24 Days

 

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
350	81,951	2,105	2.57%	$30,901	$14.68

 

Comps

2.06x Eternals first day of sales- $19.80M

0.77x Top Gun: Maverick first day of sales - $14.86M

 

Ideally ATP should be higher but Harkins has lack of 3D screens, so majority shows and sales are in 2D. 3D only makes around 35% of total sales and half of them coming in 2D PLFs.

 

2D - 393/51498 - 195 shows
3D - 70/7941 - 65 shows
3D HFR - 255/12075 - 59 shows
IMAX 3D - 362/1245 - 3 shows
Cine1 & Cine Capri - 1073/9192 - 28 shows

 

Spread of sales for weekend is excellent, FRI making 80%+ of THU and SAT almost same.

Avatar 2 Harkins Previews T-15 Days

 

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
348	81,524	4,027	4.94%	$57,117	$14.18

 

Comps

2.06x Eternals - $19.80M

0.84x Top Gun: Maverick - $16.20M

 

 

Edited December 1, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[IronJimbo]

4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Avatar 2 Harkins Previews T-15 Days

 

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
348	81,524	4,027	4.94%	$57,117	$14.18

 

Comps

2.06x Eternals - $19.80M

0.84x Top Gun: Maverick - $16.20M

 

 

what does your gut tell you the opening weekend will be ?

[XXR & Friends]

52 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

what does your gut tell you the opening weekend will be ?

7.5-8.5x previews 

[Tokugennumataka]

1 hour ago, IronJimbo said:

what does your gut tell you the opening weekend will be ?

22/166/850

Edited December 1, 2022 by Tokugennumataka

[katnisscinnaplex]

22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Avatar 2	T-15	Jax	5	69	31	795	10,350	7.68%
		Phx	6	70	32	539	10,839	4.97%
		Ral	8	64	26	677	8,035	8.43%
ATP: 16.84	Total		19	203	89	2,011	29,224	6.88%
Heard the Bells	T-1	Jax	4	5	-1	107	678	15.78%
		Phx	2	2	-2	46	596	7.72%
		Ral	6	7	5	296	667	44.38%
	Total		12	14	2	449	1,941	23.13%
Puss in Boots	T-21	Jax	5	29	0	8	3,051	0.26%
		Phx	5	25	1	16	3,084	0.52%
		Ral	6	35	0	20	4,013	0.50%
	Total		16	89	1	44	10,148	0.43%
Violent Night	T-1	Jax	6	28	13	56	3,375	1.66%
		Phx	7	23	8	65	3,405	1.91%
		Ral	8	23	16	69	2,869	2.41%
	Total		21	74	37	190	9,649	1.97%

 

Violent Night T-1 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 1.79x (896k)

 - Bullet Train - .256x (859k)

 - Northman - .469x (633k)

 - Snake Eyes - .609x (853k)

 - Massive Talent - .995x (696k)

 

I Heard the Bells T-1 comps

 - Downton Abbey + EA - .385x (692k)

 - Respect - 4.28x (2.78m)

 

Avatar 2 T-15 comps

 - Eternals - missed

 - TG2 - .829x (16m)

 - JW3 - .807x (14.53m)

 - F9 - 3.717x (26.39m)

 - Ghostbusters - 6.911x (28.68m)

 - NTTD - 5.681x (29.54m)

 

Puss in Boots T-21 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .227x (1.13m)

 - Minions 2 - .364x (3.91m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Avatar 2	T-14	Jax	5	69	31	826	10,350	7.98%
		Phx	6	70	23	562	10,839	5.18%
		Ral	8	64	68	745	8,035	9.27%
ATP: 16.80	Total		19	203	122	2,133	29,224	7.30%
Heard the Bells	T-0	Jax	4	5	22	129	678	19.03%
		Phx	2	2	6	52	596	8.72%
		Ral	6	8	19	315	740	42.57%
	Total		12	15	47	496	2,014	24.63%
Puss in Boots	T-20	Jax	5	29	0	8	3,051	0.26%
		Phx	5	25	-2	14	3,084	0.45%
		Ral	6	35	3	23	4,013	0.57%
	Total		16	89	1	45	10,148	0.44%
Violent Night	T-0	Jax	6	28	34	90	3,375	2.67%
		Phx	7	25	38	103	3,599	2.86%
		Ral	8	23	4	73	2,869	2.54%
	Total		21	76	76	266	9,843	2.70%

 

Violent Night T-0 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 2.13x (1.06m)

 - Bullet Train - .255x (854k)

 - Northman - .485x (654k)

 - Snake Eyes - .643x (899k)

 - Massive Talent - 1.01x (708k)

 - Smile - 1.323x (2.25m)

 - Bones and All - 2.8x (966k)

 

I Heard the Bells T-0 comps

 - Downton Abbey + EA - .382x (687k)

 - Respect - 3.31x (2.15m)

 

Avatar 2 T-14 comps

 - Eternals - 1.55x (14.726m)

 - TG2 - .825x (15.93m)

 - JW3 - .835x (15.04m)

 - F9 - 3.742x (26.57m)

 - Ghostbusters - 6.255x (25.96m)

 - NTTD - 5.54x (28.81m)

 - Fantastic Beasts 3 - 4.51x (27.06m)

 

Puss in Boots T-20 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .205x (1.02m)

 - Minions 2 - .324x (3.48m)

[Eric the Minion]

Quorum Updates

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish T-21: 54.6% Awareness, 6.1 Interest

House Party T-44: 29.05%, 5.52

A Man Called Otto T-44: 25.35%, 5.32

Plane T-44: 21.37%, 5.32

When You Finish Saving the World T-50: 5.97%, 5.18

Evil Dead Rise T-142: 27.31%, 5.79

Transformers: Rise of the Beasts T-191: 34.98%, 5.74

 

Violent Night T-2: 45.9% Awareness, 6.21 Interest

Final General Awareness: 89% chance of 10M, 63% chance of 20M

General Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 100% chance of 20M

Original - Low Awareness: 75% chance of 5M, 42% chance of 10M

Original - Low Interest: 80% chance of 5M, 40% chance of 10M

[SchumacherFTW]

Does Violent Night have a good shot at $20m then? Saturday here is going to be deeeeeead as England are playing Senegal. 

[Eric the Minion]

9 minutes ago, SchumacherFTW said:

Does Violent Night have a good shot at $20m then? Saturday here is going to be deeeeeead as England are playing Senegal. 

Doesn't look like it judging by presales. Maybe not even 10M. But I'm still confident we can pass at least double digits.