The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Porthos]

56 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I agree as well. I am seeing 290-300 range. but with late strong walkups it could go to 305 and around 4.95m finish. MTC2 might however hit Ant 3 levels. 

 

That said previews could still go higher than Ant 3 as it has 350-400K from the imax marathon. 

 

@Porthos how many imax shows in your final total. I am not expecting that many as you track MTC2 and few smaller chains.  

 

Marathon IMAX, you mean?  Just two showings.  119 tickets sold [78 at $49, 41  at $45].

 

 

[ZackM]

2 hours ago, ZackM said:

 

As always, green cells are final, everything else is in progress.

 

Anyways, it's sitting at 272K.

 

Guardians of the Galaxy: Volume 3 - Eastern Time Zone					Guardians of the Galaxy: Volume 3 - Central Time Zone
Showtimes	Sales	BP2	AM3		Showtimes	Sales	BP2	AM3
3:00-3:59	17,540	33,690	16,629		3:00-3:59	9,608	13,536	8,345
4:00-4:59	9,251	16,833	11,784		4:00-4:59	3,711	6,854	6,039
5:00-5:59	7,275	14,261	7,290		5:00-5:59	3,989	6,094	3,221
6:00-6:59	24,744	31,298	28,374		6:00-6:59	14,357	18,484	15,595
7:00-7:59	28,732	47,184	27,500		7:00-7:59	14,238	26,381	14,302
8:00-8:59	12,154	30,905	15,413		8:00-8:59	5,860	14,366	7,331
9:00-9:59	7,512	20,066	22,546		9:00-9:59	2,678	7,645	10,306
10:00-10:59	12,554	25,086	13,713		10:00-10:59	5,873	11,743	5,980
11:00-11:59	3,845	16,575	1,893		11:00-11:59	959	5,981	486
12:00+	301	3,595	1,113		12:00+	101	440	302
Guardians of the Galaxy: Volume 3 - Mountain Time Zone					Guardians of the Galaxy: Volume 3 - Pacific Time Zone
Showtimes	Sales	BP2	AM3		Showtimes	Sales	BP2	AM3
3:00-3:59	2,969	3,545	2,479		3:00-3:59	11,242	14,446	8,903
4:00-4:59	1,525	1,320	1,442		4:00-4:59	5,617	7,125	7,425
5:00-5:59	1,282	1,473	1,041		5:00-5:59	4,038	6,496	3,527
6:00-6:59	3,605	4,334	4,176		6:00-6:59	11,558	12,826	13,551
7:00-7:59	4,047	5,712	3,888		7:00-7:59	13,683	21,721	14,392
8:00-8:59	1,826	2,843	1,864		8:00-8:59	7,347	15,741	7,887
9:00-9:59	681	1,806	2,736		9:00-9:59	4,304	10,547	11,946
10:00-10:59	1,331	2,818	1,250		10:00-10:59	9,062	11,707	8,550
11:00-11:59	225	870	177		11:00-11:59	2,231	8,739	2,125
12:00+	35	164	62		12:00+	541	2,458	1,302

 

Up to 291,407.  300k is not guaranteed.  The 9pm window is really weak...like, strangely and consistently weak.  Must be some weird runtime math.

 

Guardians of the Galaxy: Volume 3 - Eastern Time Zone					Guardians of the Galaxy: Volume 3 - Central Time Zone
Showtimes	Sales	BP2	AM3		Showtimes	Sales	BP2	AM3
3:00-3:59	17,552	33,690	16,629		3:00-3:59	9,632	13,536	8,345
4:00-4:59	9,267	16,833	11,784		4:00-4:59	3,726	6,854	6,039
5:00-5:59	7,285	14,261	7,290		5:00-5:59	3,982	6,094	3,221
6:00-6:59	24,751	31,298	28,374		6:00-6:59	14,667	18,484	15,595
7:00-7:59	29,545	47,184	27,500		7:00-7:59	15,450	26,381	14,302
8:00-8:59	14,065	30,905	15,413		8:00-8:59	7,717	14,366	7,331
9:00-9:59	9,728	20,066	22,546		9:00-9:59	3,830	7,645	10,306
10:00-10:59	14,200	25,086	13,713		10:00-10:59	6,705	11,743	5,980
11:00-11:59	4,262	16,575	1,893		11:00-11:59	1,067	5,981	486
12:00+	350	3,595	1,113		12:00+	123	440	302
Guardians of the Galaxy: Volume 3 - Mountain Time Zone					Guardians of the Galaxy: Volume 3 - Pacific Time Zone
Showtimes	Sales	BP2	AM3		Showtimes	Sales	BP2	AM3
3:00-3:59	2,968	3,545	2,479		3:00-3:59	11,252	14,446	8,903
4:00-4:59	1,542	1,320	1,442		4:00-4:59	5,603	7,125	7,425
5:00-5:59	1,391	1,473	1,041		5:00-5:59	4,511	6,496	3,527
6:00-6:59	3,943	4,334	4,176		6:00-6:59	12,199	12,826	13,551
7:00-7:59	4,506	5,712	3,888		7:00-7:59	14,786	21,721	14,392
8:00-8:59	2,232	2,843	1,864		8:00-8:59	8,243	15,741	7,887
9:00-9:59	816	1,806	2,736		9:00-9:59	4,892	10,547	11,946
10:00-10:59	1,505	2,818	1,250		10:00-10:59	9,734	11,707	8,550
11:00-11:59	251	870	177		11:00-11:59	2,456	8,739	2,125
12:00+	39	164	62		12:00+	634	2,458	1,302

[keysersoze123]

4 minutes ago, ZackM said:

 

Up to 291,407.  300k is not guaranteed.  The 9pm window is really weak...like, strangely and consistently weak.  Must be some weird runtime math.

Just as I guessed based on the trend I saw(290-300). Its possible very few Imax/PLF's start their shows between those hours and that has a huge impact on sales as compared to Ant 3. It all depends on movie length and when the shows start. 

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

 

Marathon IMAX, you mean?  Just two showings.  119 tickets sold [78 at $49, 41  at $45].

 

 

Then it does not matter as its just 1% of your tickets. 

[charlie Jatinder]

15 minutes ago, ZackM said:

Up to 291,407.  300k is not guaranteed.

am not good at reading alpha mid day runs but just seeing PST numbers, I think they alone should be able to add 9-10k or so

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

11 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Just as I guessed based on the trend I saw(290-300). Its possible very few Imax/PLF's start their shows between those hours and that has a huge impact on sales as compared to Ant 3. It all depends on movie length and when the shows start. 

Yep, AM3 is 24 minutes shorter than Vol 3 so its possible that those premium screens would have found an extra late show for it in comparison

[MovieMan89]

4 hours ago, GOGODanca said:

yes you did need to see them cause otherwise you wouldn't understand any of the main characters or give a shit about them

AM was not telling a cohesive trilogy story like GotG is is my point. You could pop in at any point of the AM trilogy and none of them really seem like you’re right in the middle of something. Especially since 1 and 2 are so minor anyways in terms of anything important happening. 

[Eric is Quiet]

On 5/3/2023 at 11:22 PM, I Am Eric said:

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	95	694	20135	3.45%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 42

 

Comp - T-15

0.989x of F9 (7.02M)

0.433x of Jurassic World: Dominion (7.8M)

2.426x of Nope (15.53M)

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-14 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	95	717	20135	3.56%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 23

 

Comp - T-14

0.428x of Jurassic World: Dominion (7.7M)

2.255x of Nope (14.43M)

[Eric is Quiet]

On 5/3/2023 at 11:29 PM, I Am Eric said:

The Little Mermaid Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-22 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	153	842	28586	2.95%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 30

 

Comp - T-22

2.954x of Sonic 2 (18.46M)

0.611x of Jurassic World: Dominion (10.99M)

0.695x of Avatar 2 (11.82M)

0.774x of Mario (24.53M)

The Little Mermaid Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-21 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	153	912	28586	3.19%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 70

 

Comp - T-21

2.886x of Sonic 2 (18.04M)

0.654x of Jurassic World: Dominion (11.77M)

0.699x of Avatar 2 (11.89M)

0.803x of Mario (25.47M)

[GOGODanca]

https://deadline.com/2023/05/guardians-of-the-galaxy-vol-3-rocketing-to-around-14m-thursday-super-mario-bros-jumping-to-half-billion-u-s-early-box-office-1235357014/

[ZackM]

1 minute ago, GOGODanca said:

https://deadline.com/2023/05/guardians-of-the-galaxy-vol-3-rocketing-to-around-14m-thursday-super-mario-bros-jumping-to-half-billion-u-s-early-box-office-1235357014/

Uhhh...doubt.

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

1 minute ago, GOGODanca said:

https://deadline.com/2023/05/guardians-of-the-galaxy-vol-3-rocketing-to-around-14m-thursday-super-mario-bros-jumping-to-half-billion-u-s-early-box-office-1235357014/

Yeah that seems way too low wut.

[PrinceRico]

That count be right. If it is then wow.

[keysersoze123]

LOL. I am not sure how Deadline is predicting previews while the shows are on !!! I dont think even numbers can be seen at comscore. So they are throwing darts based on some formula(may be studio exec or insider shared thursday presale number or relative data).

 

I just plugged in MTC1 $ value of my run that finished at 730PM PST to Shazam and did comp and it came to 14.3m. This is the not the final number and Guardians wont be as skewed to MTC1 as shazam. So basically this is impossible. 

Edited May 5, 2023 by keysersoze123

[Flamengo81]

4 minutes ago, GOGODanca said:

https://deadline.com/2023/05/guardians-of-the-galaxy-vol-3-rocketing-to-around-14m-thursday-super-mario-bros-jumping-to-half-billion-u-s-early-box-office-1235357014/

Just imagine Reddit if this is true lmao. I don't think it is though 😔

[Issac Newton]

Advance ticket sales for GOTG3, I hear, have picked up and are nearing the $37M threshold that Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania had on its Thursday eve before a $106.1M 3-day, $120.3M 4-day opening.

 

We’re also hearing that 62% of GOTG3‘s presales are for tonight or tomorrow. That’s encouraging when juxtaposed to the 65%-71% presales tied to the first Thursday/Friday of the last four Marvel movies.

[keysersoze123]

3 minutes ago, Flamengo81 said:

Just imagine Reddit if this is true lmao. I don't think it is though 😔

Go and create a thread in boxoffice subreddit for laughs. Snyder bros would scream happily and ask for Gunn to be fired and Snyderverse sold to Netflix :-)

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

Certified Deadline Lowball Moment

[Flamengo81]

2 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Go and create a thread in boxoffice subreddit for laughs. Snyder bros would scream happily and ask for Gunn to be fired and Snyderverse sold to Netflix 🙂

Someone already did that, but it's filled with reasonable people saying it's a lowball. No fun 😔

[PrinceRico]

14 million seems low but realistically could this come under Ant man previews.