The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Boxofficerules]

1 minute ago, JayPrimetown said:

T -1 Ticket Sales - The Boogeyman (June 1, 2023)
Theater Name	Showtime	Tickets Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
GSP 16 - Paramus, NJ	745 PM	6	262	2.29%
GSP 16 - Paramus, NJ	1015 PM	3	262	1.15%
Aventura 24 - Aventura, FL	700 PM	1	182	0.55%
Aventura 24 - Aventura, FL	830 PM	0	194	0.00%
Aventura 24 - Aventura, FL	945 PM	0	194	0.00%
Marina 12 Long Beach, CA	700 PM	25	66	37.88%
Marina 12 Long Beach, CA	945 PM	5	66	7.58%
Phipps 14 - Atlanta, GA	700 PM	9	68	13.24%
Phipps 14 - Atlanta, GA	930 PM	0	68	0.00%
Phipps 14 - Atlanta, GA	1200 AM	0	68	0.00%
River East 21 - Chicago, IL	700 PM	1	111	0.90%
River East 21 - Chicago, IL	940 PM	1	111	0.90%
Katy Mills - Katy, TX	700 PM	7	94	7.45%
Katy Mills - Katy, TX	940 PM	0	94	0.00%
GSP 16 - Paramus, NJ		9	524	1.72%
Aventura 24 - Aventura, FL		1	570	0.18%
Marina 12 Long Beach, CA		30	132	22.73%
Phipps 14 - Atlanta, GA		9	204	4.41%
River East 21 - Chicago, IL		2	222	0.90%
Katy Mills - Katy, TX		7	188	3.72%
Total Sold		58	1840	3.15%

 

Thursday Sales for The Boogeyman look anemic. Spiderverse and Little Mermaid are taking up both PLF's along with a lot screens in general. These theaters are only having a couple screenings each of this film on Thursday so the total seats available is significantly lower than other horror films I've tracked this year.

 

Comps:

 

Evil Dead Rise (325 / 3,653) = .178x of Evil Dead Rise = $445K Thursday Preview

Pope's Exorcist: (96 / 3,292) = .604x of Pope's Exorcist = $513K Thursday Preview

Renfield (152 / 3,117) = .382x of Renfield = $343K Thursday Preview

 

Understanding there were some early access screenings for this film, I'd expect it to do a bit better than my projections, sadly though I think this one looks dead on arrival with a much more crowded marketplace than when these other horror films came out earlier this spring. 

 

Yes, it could just be doing poorly at my theater sample, but I still find these numbers surprising.

 

Buzz for Boogeyman seems non existent which is odd as it was pulled from Streaming and put to theatres, if they're going to do that you'd think they'd put some effort into promoting it.

[keysersoze123]

I have no clue with Spiderverse will do in overseas markets. That said these trade sites are useless when it comes to OS projections. I trust @charlie Jatinder on this as he is really good. 

 

 

[joselowe]

Got my tickets to see Spider-Man and nearly every screen tomorrow night is almost sold out. A huge improvement over Little Meemaid although one screen sold out the day of for TLM.

[screambaby]

16 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Budget is about the same as scream 6 you'd think they'd try to advertise it.

 

[TheFlatLannister]

22 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

 

THURSDAY

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
150	6768	30126	22.5%

*Numbers taken as of 7:00pm EST

SEATS SOLD FOR (3+ days)

1848

 

SHOWINGS ADDED (3+ days)

25

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

I haven't been able to update because i've been swamped with work, then I went on a quick family vacation for Memorial weekend. Anyways here it is... 

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(0.780x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

~$13.7M THUR Previews

 

 

(2.559x) of Fast X 

~$20.3M THUR Previews 

 

Comps average $17M THUR Previews 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

 

THURSDAY

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
184	8295	35258	23.5%

*Numbers taken as of 6:30pm EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

1527

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

34

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

This is really giving me Mario vibes. Thinking this is coming in WAY above studio projections. It's unsurprisingly exploding. Expect sales to continue to skyrocket as more chains allocate more showings for it 

 

$135M+ OW could be possible 

 

COMPS

T-1

 

(0.885x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

~$15.5M THUR Previews

It significantly closed the gap 

 

(2.800x) of Fast X 

~$21M THUR Previews 

 

Comps average $18.3M THUR Previews 

 

So as of right now $18M +/- .5M

[TheFlatLannister]

22 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

The Boogeyman

 

THURSDAY includes Wednesday EA

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
28	327	2966	11.0%

^{*Numbers taken as of 7:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD FOR (3+ days)

173

 

SHOWINGS ADDED (3+ days)

2

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(3.987x) of Hypnotic

$200K previews??

 

So around $750k-$800K Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

The Boogeyman

 

THURSDAY includes Wednesday EA

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
33	403	3390	11.9%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:30PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

76

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

5

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-1

 

(4.477x) of Hypnotic

So around ~$850K-$900K Previews

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

The Flash

 

THURSDAY includes fan screening

 

T-16

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
121	2056	25403	8.1%

^{*Numbers taken as of 7:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD FOR (3+ days)

162

 

SHOWINGS ADDED (3+ days)

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Meh 3 days. Let's see if pace increases after Spider-verse is out of the way 

 

COMPS

T-16

 

(0.405x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

~$7.1M THUR Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

The Flash

 

THURSDAY includes fan screenings

 

T-15

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
121	2125	25403	8.4%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:30pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

69

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-15

 

(0.413x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

~$7.2M THUR Previews

 

**UNOFFICAL COMP** 

(1.492x) of FAST X

~$11.2M THUR Previews

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Transformer: Rise of the beast

 

THURSDAY includes EA 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
108	1572	22296	7.1%

^{*Numbers taken as of 7:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD FOR (3+ days)

184

 

SHOWINGS ADDED (3+ days)

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-10

 

(0.981x) of Fast X

~$7.4M THUR Previews (probably the high end)

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Transformer: Rise of the beast

 

THURSDAY includes EA 

 

T-9

 

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
108	1600	22296	7.2%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:30PM EST}

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

28

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-9

 

(0.939x) of Fast X

~$7.0M THUR Previews 

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-30

 

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
103	1517	23376	6.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 7:00pm EST}

 

SEATS SOLD FOR (3+ days)

51

 

SHOWINGS ADDED (3+ days)

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-30

 

*GOTG3 only comp I have this far out*

 

*UNOFFICIAL*

 

(0.404x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

~$7.1M THUR Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-29

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
103	1532	23376	6.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 7:00pm EST}

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

15

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-29

 

*GOTG3 only comp I have this far out*

 

*UNOFFICIAL*

(0.397x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

~$6.9M THUR Previews

[grey ghost]

41 minutes ago, DAJK said:

This is true. Really was the moment that showed me that BOT was the most accurate box office tracking on the internet. And that was 6 years ago, before our methods were refined.

 

I hope you got a raise/promotion. 

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Elemental

 

THURSDAY

 

T-16

 

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
83	438	12249	3.8%

^{*Numbers taken as of 7:00pm EST}

 

SEATS SOLD FOR (3+ days)

37

 

SHOWINGS ADDED (3+ days)

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Elemental

 

THURSDAY

 

T-15

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
83	445	12249	3.6%

^{*Numbers taken as of 7:00pm EST}

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

[DAJK]

17 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

I hope you got a raise/promotion. 

Well, not much of a coincidence that I became a manager sometime after, and then hired on directly as a manager at a different location/company after I moved for school.

[charlie Jatinder]

4 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

As for why they're used a few years back there was a major shitstorm on a precursor version of this thread where some internet rando got miffed/incredulous at the numbers that were being reported for an upcoming CBM and actually started pestering/badgering Senior Executives/Upper Management/Something Like That for one of the Major Theater Chains.

 

Enough of a shitstorm that it caused the very first version of this thread to get shut down and taken away among other unpleasantness.  

 

More to the story but that's the important trigger. Ever since then, MTC1/MTC2/MTC3 have been used by some folks in this thread to talk about pre-sales at various Major Theater Chains in the DOM market.  I personally am more than a bit agnostic on the usage, but I understand why its used by many here and when they decide to use them.

 

@rehpyc

 

I think reason we use these are to not explain newbies what they are. There aren’t many MTCs to not figure out what they are. Might as well use actual names.

[ZackM]

22 hours ago, ZackM said:

 

The Flash Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	2	3	0	2	3
Seats Added	204	650	0	582	573
Seats Sold	1,606	1,104	1,378	1,864	2,568
5/29/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	425	2,684	47,547	519,537	9.15%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	0	2	22	48
ATP	Gross
$19.17	$911,476
The Flash Fan First Screenings in IMAX Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-14 days
5/29/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	13	13	3,357	4,478	74.97%
ATP	Gross
$23.47	$78,789

 

 

The Flash Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	3	2	3	0	2
Seats Added	257	204	650	0	582
Seats Sold	1,272	1,606	1,104	1,378	1,864
5/30/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	425	2,687	48,819	519,794	9.39%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	0	2	21	52
ATP	Gross
$19.14	$934,396
The Flash Fan First Screenings in IMAX Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-13 days
5/30/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	13	13	3,381	4,478	75.50%
ATP	Gross
$23.46	$79,318

 

[ZackM]

22 hours ago, ZackM said:

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-31 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	4	0	0	0	0
Seats Added	964	0	0	0	0
Seats Sold	432	389	393	541	471
5/29/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	417	2,458	21,514	502,283	4.28%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	1	1	2	4	9
ATP	Gross
$18.89	$406,399

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-30 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	1	4	0	0	0
Seats Added	208	964	0	0	0
Seats Sold	396	432	389	393	541
5/30/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	417	2,459	21,910	502,491	4.36%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	1	1	2	5	9
ATP	Gross
$18.87	$413,442

[Bob Train]

Spider-Verse is gonna come somewhat close to $150m just in domestic OW

[screambaby]

13 minutes ago, Bob Train said:

Spider-Verse is gonna come somewhat close to $150m just in domestic OW

Dealdline trying to break their record for worst underprediction ever

[filmlover]

Quote

If Summer 2023 box office has a shot of meeting its optimistic $4 billion projection, the June movie lineup needs to step up. Since May 5, when the season began with Marvel release “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3,” receipts are down over five percent from last year. To achieve $4 billion, returns now through Labor Day would have to be 26 percent ahead of 2022, when box office totaled just under $3.4 billion.

Can the Spider-Man and The Flash Save the Summer Box Office? – IndieWire

[Austin]

Reddit is a bloodbath atm with the trades' updated forecasts of the weekend for ATSV.

[screambaby]

19 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Can the Spider-Man and The Flash Save the Summer Box Office? – IndieWire

Variety going even lower then deadline