Christmas Weekend Thread (24-26 Dec). No Way Home (84.5m) | Matrix (22.5m 5 day) | Sing 2 (39.4m 5 day)

[EmpireCity]

More like $20.5m

[XXR & Friends]

4 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

More like $20.5m

 

Hmm, going with that if it has the same jumps as the other $150M+ December openers from Eve to Christmas we'd be looking at...

 

TFA = $36.9M

R1 = $34.6M 

TROS = $32.5M 
TLJ = $31.9M
 

[Landon1195]

1 minute ago, GoblinXXR said:

 

Hmm, going with that if it has the same jumps as the other $150M+ December openers from Eve to Christmas we'd be looking at...

 

TFA = $36.9M

R1 = $34.6M 

TROS = $32.5M 
TLJ = $31.9M
 

Since Christmas Day is on Saturday unlike the other $150M+ openers I think the jump will be higher.

[JonahVex]

 

[Joyous Legion]

4 minutes ago, Landon1195 said:

Since Christmas Day is on Saturday unlike the other $150M+ openers I think the jump will be higher.

TFA was Friday, Fri/Th is about as good as Sat/Fri in winter break. It should beat the rest but O/U 37 seems reasonable.

[XXR & Friends]

6 minutes ago, Landon1195 said:

Since Christmas Day is on Saturday unlike the other $150M+ openers I think the jump will be higher.

 

1 minute ago, Weird Alegion said:

TFA was Friday, Fri/Th is about as good as Sat/Fri in winter break. It should beat the rest but O/U 37 seems reasonable.

Charlie is calling for $90-95M for the weekend. To get that off of a $20M Friday we’re gonna need at least $36M tomorrow.

[Shanks]

28 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

More like $20.5m

Lowest Christmas Eve drops for blockbusters.

 

The Force Awakens (2015) -28%

NWH (2021) - 30%

TROS (2019)  -31%

Avatar (2009) -32%

Hobbit (2013) -33% [Hobbit 1 (2012) and Hobbit 2 (2014) drop were 45% and 39% repect.]

Rogue One -33%

MI (2011) -36%

Titanic (1997) -42%.

Edited December 25, 2021 by Shanks

[Joyous Legion]

8 minutes ago, GoblinXXR said:

 

Charlie is calling for $90-95M for the weekend. To get that off of a $20M Friday we’re gonna need at least $36M tomorrow.

I think he’s got flat Sun and I’m expecting drop in teens.

[Landon1195]

10 minutes ago, Shanks said:

Lowest Christmas Eve drops for blockbusters.

 

The Force Awakens (2015) -28%

NWH (2021) - 30%

TROS (2019)  -31%

Avatar (2009) -32%

Hobbit (2013) -33% [Hobbit 1 (2012) and Hobbit 2 (2014) drop were 45% and 39% repect.]

Rogue One -33%

MI (2011) -36%

Titanic (1997) -42%.

What are the biggest Christmas day jumps?

[Joyous Legion]

10 minutes ago, Landon1195 said:

What are the biggest Christmas day jumps?

Titanic +157 (Th)

MI +119 (Sun)

Hobbit3 +118 (Th)

Avatar +107 (Fri)

AQM +103 (Tues)

TFA +80 (Fri)

Hobbit2 +77 (Wed)

RO +69 (Sun)

Hobbit1 +63 (Tues)

TROS +59 (Wed)

TLJ +56 (Mon)

 

[Tokugennumataka]

Any way Sunday sees an increase over Saturday? I think a 10 percent bump is within the realms of possibility. Best case scenario of 20-38-42 puts it at even 100.

[XXR & Friends]

2 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

Any way Sunday sees an increase over Saturday? I think a 10 percent bump is within the realms of possibility. Best case scenario of 20-38-42 puts it at even 100.

Its possible since Monday will still be a day off for a lot of people but it’s extremely unlikely. The better hope is a flat or single digit drop Sunday.

Edited December 25, 2021 by GoblinXXR

[Landon1195]

Could a 100% jump for Christmas day be possible?

[XXR & Friends]

7 minutes ago, Landon1195 said:

Could a 100% jump for Christmas day be possible?

Again, it’s one of those things that’s possible but unlikely. None of the jumps or holds we’ve seen for NWH would lead me to think it would pop 100%.

[Darth Lehnsherr]

That jump from TLJ on Christmas Day is when the first real alarm bells started to ring for the movie and subsequent franchise.

[Shanks]

4 hours ago, Landon1195 said:

What are the biggest Christmas day jumps?

Only took titles that were making above 10m on day of 25th at least because if gross is too low, the jump were very high. 

 

Titanic (1998) - 157% 

Any Given Sunday (1999) - 157% 

Sherlock Holmes - 147%

Mission Impossible - 119%

Hobbit - 118%

Jumanji 1 -111%

Avatar - 107%

Aquaman - 103%

Night At Museum -100%

King Kong - 94% 

Jumanji 2 - 86%

Sing  - 82%

TFA - 80%

Rogue One -69%

TROS -59%

LOTR (2001) - 58%

LOTR (2002) - 59%

 

Special Mention:

Little Fockers (2010) fell 30% on Christmas Eve and Jumped 197% on 25th and it's Prequel Meet The Fockers (2004) dropped 42% on Chrismas Eve and jumped 173% on 25th.

 

But what make 'em EXTRA Special? 

Christmas Eve was Friday and 25th was Saturday for both  of those films and it is same for NWH.

Edited December 25, 2021 by Shanks

[Joyous Legion]

20 minutes ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:

That jump from TLJ on Christmas Day is when the first real alarm bells started to ring for the movie and subsequent franchise.

Doesn’t seem too concerning to me tbh, Mon should have the weakest Xmas bump of the 7 possible calendars.

[charlie Jatinder]

Matrix 2.7

Sing 2 5.3

[Gavin Feng]

2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Matrix 2.7

Sing 2 5.3

 

Can Matrix 4 hit $30M on 5-day opening? Because it require $8.4M+ on both SAT & SUN.

[charlie Jatinder]

6 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

Can Matrix 4 hit $30M on 5-day opening? Because it require $8.4M+ on both SAT & SUN.

23-24M may be