poland Poland Box Office | Avatar: The Way of Water is HUGE

[chimpo]

Nolan Batman movies did very well for comic book movies and Inception passed million admissions.

 

Interstellar trailers are shown with every big movie since teaser trailer was released, so I wouldn't be suprised if it opened to 200k+ admissions and managed to pass 1 milion admissions. It has great release date on 7th November, which will give it pretty much a 5 day opening weekend, since many people will take a day off on 10th November to have a longer weekend with 11th November being Independence Day in Poland.

 

And November is known for big openings so Interstellar and Mockingjay 1 could have really good results.

Edited October 22, 2014 by chimpo

[norbar]

Nolan Batman movies did very well for comic book movies and Inception passed million admissions.

 

Interstellar trailers are shown with every big movie since teaser trailer was released, so I wouldn't be suprised if it opened to 200k+ admissions and managed to pass 1 milion admissions. It has great release date on 7th November, which will give it pretty much a 5 day opening weekend, since many people will take a day off on 10th November to have a longer weekend with 11th November being Independence Day in Poland.

 

And November is known for big openings so Interstellar and Mockingjay 1 could have really good results.

 

You are overexaggerating every big movie since the trailer was released. They paid a bit for paid trailers but Warner will probably hit the TV and Net ads big in the last 2 weeks and that will be the 90% of their campaign.

 

 

I see it doing around 120k opening (depending on what they chose for TV spots and youtube) and ending with 600-800k viewers. 1mil will only happen if the movie is VERY COMMERCIAL and it seems less accessible than inception for me. Not to mention Inception didn't have to fight of Bogowie, which by release will still be doing 60-80k per weekend. 

 

Remember times have changed and 1 mil isn't as easy to get as it was in 2011.

Edited October 22, 2014 by norbar

[Rsyu]

So that would be around $5 million in gross?

[chimpo]

1Milion admisssions is around $6.1-$6.2 milion.

 

As for overexaggerating - I saw the trailer or teaser before Jack Strong, Wolf of Wall Street, Bogowie, Miasto 44 and even before HTTYD2.  So that's pretty much every big movie in last 12 months.

[norbar]

1Milion admisssions is around $6.1-$6.2 milion.

 

As for overexaggerating - I saw the trailer or teaser before Jack Strong, Wolf of Wall Street, Bogowie, Miasto 44 and even before HTTYD2.  So that's pretty much every big movie in last 12 months.

 

That's really strange. I've been to Jack strong early and I haven't seen it. Maybe in the later months they added it or they played it in a single cinema chain only. The teaser was released that early?

 

As for big Movies you have no "Pod Mocnym Aniołem", "Kamienie na szaniec" "Wkręceni" and a ton of others that are 600k+ while those are 800k+ Miasto 44 is an obvious spot but that had paid trailers for almost any movie that wanted to make 200k+. Same for Bogowie.  

[Rsyu]

1Milion admisssions is around $6.1-$6.2 milion.

 

As for overexaggerating - I saw the trailer or teaser before Jack Strong, Wolf of Wall Street, Bogowie, Miasto 44 and even before HTTYD2.  So that's pretty much every big movie in last 12 months.

 

According to your admission reports miasto 44 passed 1 million admissions in the weekend of October 3-5. The gross from box office mojo has Miasto 44 at $4,987,212 cumulative gross on the same weekend. 

 

http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/intl/?id=_fMIASTO4401&country=PL&wk=2014W41&id=_fMIASTO4401&p=.htm

[chimpo]

Miasto 44 has a lower ticket price average. It's audience is mostly school groups or old people, who have big discounts and big chunk of week day numbers comes from wednesday when 2 biggest cinema chains have a discount day.
 

 

For example - HTTYD 2 made around $6.08m when it passed 1 milion admissions. Wolf of Wall Street didn't pass 1 milion admissions but is at $6.19milion.

 

$ is stronger to PLN now then it was ealier this year so I would say that 1 milion admissions is now closer to $6.0-$6.1 milion

 

Interstellar teaser was released in January if IRC

[chimpo]

According to Gazeta Wyborcza Bogowie were over 900k admissions before weekend ( how much above was not mentioned )

[chimpo]

After weekend Bogowie are at 1 149 060 admissions. Looks like another strong weekend ( ~ 200k admissions probably )

 

More weekend numbers and top 10 tomorrow.

Edited October 28, 2014 by chimpo

[norbar]

195k for the weekend for them. Unless Interstellar kills them 2m should be easy. I doubt It will happen since Warner has horrible to no PR for their movies in Poland

[chimpo]

Weekend numbers ( 24-26 October 2014 )

1. Bogowie                                      192 332 / 1 149 060
2. Fury                                             54 384 / 57 383  ( New )
3. Pinocchio                                      36 955 / 84 285
4. Miasto 44                                      30 872 / 1 602 772
5. Dracula Untold                              29 121 / 123 615
6. Sluzby Specjalne                           28 191 / 396 318
7. Let's Be Cops                                25 217 / 25 217 ( New )
8. Gone Girl                                       23 456 / 170 774
9. Ouija                                              22 828 / 22 828 ( New )
10. The Boxtrolls                                 18 475  / 108 723

Overall weekend attendence - 538 500 tickets sold. ( 9th biggest weekend of the year )

Top 10 weekends of 2014 ( so far )

 

1. Weekend 7 (14-16 February) - 831 937 admissions.
2. Weekend 3. (17-19 January) - 713 821 admissions
3. Weekend 6. (07-09 February) - 696 585 admissions

4. Weekend 42 (17-19 October ) - 624 358 admissions
5. Weekend 1. (03-05 January) - 602 399 admissions
6. Weekend 2. (10-12 February) - 594 543 admissions

7. Weekend 41. (10-12 October) - 575 474 admissions
8. Weekend 4. (24-26 January) - 558 827 admissions

9. Weekend 43. (24-26 October) - 538 500 admissions

10. Weekend 5. (31Jan-02Feb) - 501 239 admissions

 

This year October is the biggest in like 15 years or more. Let's hope November will do as good

 

Upcoming weekend will be really hard for all movies because All Saints holiday is on Saturday and that will pretty much kill this day business. Only hope is that Friday will do well and Sunday will be closer to normal business.

Weekend later business should be big with Interstellar opening and everything else will have small or no drops ( kids movies might see big jumps )

[norbar]

Weekend numbers ( 24-26 October 2014 )

1. Bogowie                                      192 332 / 1 149 060
2. Fury                                             54 384 / 57 383  ( New )
3. Pinocchio                                      36 955 / 84 285
4. Miasto 44                                      30 872 / 1 602 772
5. Dracula Untold                              29 121 / 123 615
6. Sluzby Specjalne                           28 191 / 396 318
7. Let's Be Cops                                25 217 / 25 217 ( New )
8. Gone Girl                                       23 456 / 170 774
9. Ouija                                              22 828 / 22 828 ( New )
10. The Boxtrolls                                 18 475  / 108 723

Overall weekend attendence - 538 500 tickets sold. ( 9th biggest weekend of the year )

Top 10 weekends of 2014 ( so far )

 

1. Weekend 7 (14-16 February) - 831 937 admissions.

2. Weekend 3. (17-19 January) - 713 821 admissions

3. Weekend 6. (07-09 February) - 696 585 admissions

4. Weekend 42 (17-19 October ) - 624 358 admissions

5. Weekend 1. (03-05 January) - 602 399 admissions

6. Weekend 2. (10-12 February) - 594 543 admissions

7. Weekend 41. (10-12 October) - 575 474 admissions

8. Weekend 4. (24-26 January) - 558 827 admissions

9. Weekend 43. (24-26 October) - 538 500 admissions

10. Weekend 5. (31Jan-02Feb) - 501 239 admissions

 

This year October is the biggest in like 15 years or more. Let's hope November will do as good

 

Upcoming weekend will be really hard for all movies because All Saints holiday is on Saturday and that will pretty much kill this day business. Only hope is that Friday will do well and Sunday will be closer to normal business.

Weekend later business should be big with Interstellar opening and everything else will have small or no drops ( kids movies might see big jumps )

 

It's a 4 day weekend so some movies may do big week numbers for mon-tue. 

 

Also you underaprecieated fury on your fb page. Polish people like tanks  

 

I'm really surprised that Pinocchio isn't dropping. It really shows parents don't care what their children see since it's the worst animated feature I have seen in my life.

[chimpo]

It's not my FB page. I'm just follower there

Edited October 29, 2014 by chimpo

[norbar]

Aaah, I thought it was you. Though the <40k prediction for fury was low balling it. 

[chimpo]

Weekend numbers ( 31 October- 2 November 2014 )

1. Bogowie                                      78 977 / 1 379 210
2. [REC]: Apocalypsis                        29 645 / 29 645
3. Fury                                             29 155 / 125 170
4. Horns                                           26 007 / 26 007
5. Ouija                                            19 492 / 54 150
6. Dracula Untold                             16 247 / 157 112
7. Let's Be Cops                               15 037 / 55 194
8. Pinocchio                                      14 833 / 120 402
9. Gone Girl                                      12 957 / 201 580
10. Miasto 44                                      11 674 / 1 651 176

Not a bad weekend considering it had All Saints on Saturday. Next weekend should see some nice increases for many movies beside horrors, which will probably disappear from the list.

 

Upcoming weekend will be interesting. Interstellar opens with two local movies that could do well and Bogowie should still be doing well.

Edited November 5, 2014 by chimpo

[norbar]

I'm wondering if Belle and Sebastian will work. It's hard to say but if the distrubutor did some school work the movie might make a decent buck. It did well in a few countries outside of France. It's also a pretty decent movie (seen it on previews). 

 

 

As for the list - yeah from what I hear 3/4 of the horror results come from marathons and the avg ticket price suggests that.

[Ajde]

The presales for Interstellar aren't exactly overwhelming at the time. Still I think it should do decent business, because of its IMAX release and 3D ticket prices, however the current currency exchange isn't gonna help boost its result.
 

[norbar]

The presales for Interstellar aren't exactly overwhelming at the time. Still I think it should do decent business, because of its IMAX release and 3D ticket prices, however the current currency exchange isn't gonna help boost its result.

 

 

It didn't. They lost with that shitty polish comedy. I seriously want to move to france after seeing such results. The french are horrible people but at least even their bad comedy is better then ours. They still did above 100k but are 2nd only in revenue, in terms of viewers they are 4th 

[chimpo]

norbar - Dzien Dobry is just a typical romantic comedy that came after success of few movies few years ago. If they keep doing shitty movies like this then romantic comedies will die and maybe then they will have to start making better movies. Obywatel and Bogowie are good movies and they did very well last weekend and I won't be suprised when Obywatel will have a bigger audience in the end then Dzien Dobry.

 

Ok next post it's time to have a weekend summary and there is one all time record broken.

[chimpo]

Weekend numbers ( 7-9 November 2014 )

1. Dzien dobry, kocham cie!                137 756 / 137 756 (new)
2. Bogowie                                      117 949 / 1 607 917
3. Obywatel                                     104 533 / 105 637 (new)
4. Interstellar                                   103 452 / 103 452 (new)
5. Belle et Sebastien                           41 469 / 44 218 (new)
6. Fury                                             19 320 / 173 643
7. Pinocchio                                      18 421 / 155 294
8. Miasto 44                                      13 168 / 1 684 137
9. The Boxtrolls                                 10 568 / 135 814
10. Sluzby specjalne                             10 449 / 447 085

Weekend total audience  - 653 516 admissions ( 4th biggest weekend of the year )

New all time record - 4 movies with over 100k admissions during one weekend.

 

Summary

 

Independence Day long weekend became superb weekend for the movies. Since Independence Day was on November 11th that gave movies another two days of big audience plus cheap wednesday day later and this might have been the one of biggest weeks of the year when it comes to tickets sold.

But let's get back to weekend numbers.

Local romantic comedy Dzien dobry, kocham cie! won the weekend with pretty good opening, but similar movies did much better in the past and the WOM is terrible so it won't have good legs.

Bogowie went up as I predicted and I'm sure that it's now the biggest movie of the year but it's run is far from over. 2 milion admissions is pretty much locked now and if it keeps small drops it will have a shot at 2.2-2.3 milion admissions. Huge success for a very good movie. This shows how great WOM can drive a movie towards huge numbers.

Obywatel - another local movie opened and this is a big suprise. I would never predict anything above 30k admissions opening for this movie, but looks like Jerzy Stuhr has finally had a box office success as a director Plus it's a good movie or that's what its WOM is right now.

Interstellar - honestly I expected bigger opening. I thought that 150k admissions would be minimum opening but it seems that I was way to optimistic with my predictions. Warner Bros really messed up marketing or rather lack of marketing. Beside trailers in cinemas, there are no TV commercials or even posters on streets.

Belle et Sebastien - not bad, not bad at all. Actually I'm suprised it did that well.

Fury - 200k admission should be passed but not by much.

Pinocchio -  market really needs a big family movie to open or kids will be forced to see this terrible movie.

Miasto 44 - it's run is ending. Big numbers but honestly I expected more and producers would agree with me. Still over 1.7 milion admissions is very good run.

 

Remember last week when I predicted that all horrors will disappear this week. I was right

 

Oh and Warner Bros could learn something from Hunger Games distributor when it comes to marketing. 2 weeks before the movie and you can see promotion everywhere. Posters on streets, billboards, TV commercials, VOD deals ( with mention of new movie release date ), movie marathons, morning shows sponsorship, news program sponsorship. I'm actually impressed.

Edited November 13, 2014 by chimpo