BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[Giesi]

Major bumps for every movie with the Monday update, Sunday is said to make half of the weekends admissions alone!

 

Pirates 475k

Baywatch 445k

Guardians 72,5k

Aliens 70k

Hanni & Nanni 55k

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, Giesi said:

Major bumps for every movie with the Monday update, Sunday is said to make half of the weekends admissions alone!

 

Pirates 475k

Baywatch 445k

Guardians 72,5k

Aliens 70k

Hanni & Nanni 55k

 

Was it cold and rainy?

[George Parr]

Can't speak for the southern parts of the country, but where I live the day started with plenty of rain, before it turned sunny in the early afternoon. Then again, Saturday wasn't all that great here either. Lots of rain before it turned to be just cloudy (if still warm) for the evening.

 

Overall a pretty warm weekend, and still quite sunny, especially on Friday, which was by far the best day in terms of weather.

[miketheavenger]

2 hours ago, Giesi said:

Major bumps for every movie with the Monday update, Sunday is said to make half of the weekends admissions alone!

 

Pirates 475k

Baywatch 445k

Guardians 72,5k

Aliens 70k

Hanni & Nanni 55k

That's about an 18% drop for Pirates from its opening not counting previews. Even with previews it only dropped about 29%.

[el sid]

9 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Was it cold and rainy?

At least yesterday was the worst day of the weekend in the South; all other days were sunny and warm.
And today it was mixed to bad here and now it rains ;). Reports say the numbers today (Pentecost Monday = national holiday) are not quite on the same level as yesterday but close to that (for Baywatch even the same).
Reservations look even better than yesterday at mathäser, e.g. the evening show for Baywatch: Of 443 seats only 54 are not reservated/sold 1 1/2 hour before it starts. Moviegoers who come spontaneously will have to take the first row :).

Unfortunately we'll never know which admission numbers PotC5 would have had with two rainy weeks...but probably legs are really better than I feared after the second trend.

[Aristis]

GotG2 is at 2,32M after a 72,5k weekend. So it's pretty much 100k behind AoU. It'll definitly become the most attended MCU-Movie here. Great result

[el sid]

The Tuesday update: The admissions from Thursday - Monday (incl.):

PotC5: 610k/1.41M total - so ca. 135k admissions yesterday
Baywatch: 576k (with previews which weren't big, only around 22.5k) - ca. 131k admissions yesterday

And today it rains here since the morning (today is cinema day - cheaper tickets, normally well frequented).

Edited June 6, 2017 by el sid

[John Marston]

3 hours ago, el sid said:

The Tuesday update: The admissions from Thursday - Monday (incl.):

PotC5: 610k/1.41M total - so ca. 135k admissions yesterday
Baywatch: 576k (with previews which weren't big, only around 22.5k) - ca. 131k admissions yesterday

And today it rains here since the morning (today is cinema day - cheaper tickets, normally well frequented).

 

 

are those good numbers?

[miketheavenger]

13 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

 

are those good numbers?

Definitely. Pirates 5 made almost as much from Thursday to Monday as it made on its opening weekend including previews, so it's a strong hold.

[miketheavenger]

Since @IndustriousAngel seems to be busy with other stuff, I'll post the Top 20 from last weekend again:

 

Nr.	Besucher Wochenende	%	Kinos	Schnitt	Besucher bis Sonntag	Woche	Titel (Verleih)	Boxoffice in € Wochenende	Boxoffice in € bis Sonntag		Mögl. Endergebnis in Tsd. Besucher	RT	IMDB
1	480.596	-17	784	613	1.281.303	2	Pirates of the Caribbean - Salazars Rache (BV)	5.245.682	13.925.343		2.500	29	7,1
2	428.779	---	546	785	451.883	1	Baywatch (PAR)	3.734.304	3.918.750		1.500	20	5,7
3	72.453	-14	493	147	2.321.779	6	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (BV)	789.797	25.529.277		2.500	81	8,1
4	71.117	-17	612	116	478.065	3	Alien - Covenant (FOX)	675.017	4.421.674		600	71	6,8
5	55.699	+27	660	84	134.881	2	Hanni & Nanni - Mehr als beste Freunde (U)	360.805	872.606		400	-	3,0
6	50.663	---	376	135	50.663	1	Gregs Tagebuch - Böse Falle! (FOX)	339.452	339.452		225	18	3,7
7	39.298	-12	452	87	449.919	4	King Arthur - Legend of the Sword (WB)	420.898	4.692.474		525	28	7,3
8	33.328	---	103	324	41.858	1	In Zeiten des abnehmenden Lichts (X)	275.582	327.543		150	-	5,9
9	29.316	+8	469	63	1.815.694	10	The Boss Baby (FOX)	205.151	13.525.734		1.925	52	6,4
10	25.365	+10	333	76	488.836	5	Get Out (U)	229.550	4.173.994		550	99	7,8
11	23.203	+32	452	51	113.182	4	Überflieger - Kleine Vögel, großes Geklapper (WBU)	145.684	729.573		200	-	5,8
12	21.024	---	154	137	42.602	1	Wenn du stirbst, zieht dein ganzes Leben an dir vorbei, sagen sie (CPL)	183.092	307.207		100	67	6,4
13	20.393	+19	423	48	1.194.363	9	Die Schlümpfe - Das verlorene Dorf (COL)	133.053	8.558.290		1.250	38	5,8
14	15.338	-24	254	60	3.212.406	8	Fast & Furious 8 (U)	151.249	30.130.731		3.250	66	7,1
15	8.955	+11	117	77	48.612	3	Jahrhundertfrauen (SPL)	71.711	367.418		75	88	7,4
16	7.968	-19	217	37	3.348.965	6	Die Schöne und das Biest (BV)	71.254	32.404.547		3.375	71	7,5
17	6.842	+14	163	42	204.584	6	Happy Burnout (WB)	54.407	1.638.117		225	-	5,2
18	6.752	+26	179	38	153.888	7	Ein Dorf sieht schwarz (PRK)	51.485	1.171.164		175	-	7,1
19	6.650	-7	176	38	443.028	8	Abgang mit Stil (WB)	57.304	3.747.968		460	46	6,8
20	6.309	-14	71	89	38.288	3	Beuys (PIF)	50.240	294.679		60	-	7,0

 

[miketheavenger]

Thanks to worse-than-expected weather, theatres were quite packed last weekend. Pretty much every movie had beautiful drops and family films even increased. Pirates 5 mitigated some of the damage done by the sun in its opening and is on course for around 2.5m admissions (still a big drop from the last film, but oh well). Baywatch had a very good opening with a strong PTA; 1.5m admissions total seems locked at this point. Diary of the Wimpy Kid didn't make much noise (as expected), and neither did the two domestic releases.

 

Next weekend:

 

The Mummy reboot invades theaters this weekend, but I'm not too bullish on its chances. The Brendan Fraser trilogy was huge here (the first two films, at least) and Tom Cruise is somewhat of a draw, but right now I can't see more than 300k for its debut (maybe closer to 250k). Also opening are two french comedies: Si j'étais un homme, which is about a woman who wakes up with a penis (). That movie was a huge flop in France by the way. The other one is Sage Femme, more of a dramedy than a pure Comedy. With these French films you never know how they'll do here. They could be monster hits (like Intouchables) or bomb, so I really don't know how those two will perform. Finally, we also have domestic experimental movie Plan B - Scheiß auf Plan A, which could attract some interest. Depending on weather and The Mummy's debut, Pirates 5 and/or Baywatch could remain at the top.

 

 

[el sid]

I like the analyses of IndustriousAngel but you do a fine job as assistance :).

Yes, it will be an interesting fight for #1 between PotC5, Baywatch and the newcomer The Mummy. That The Mummy so far has only one single review here (7/10 by the way) may be good (looking at its score at RT) but OTOH that also means that the low-buzz-times continue (and since it's released tomorrow what should make people want to see it I wonder?). Reservations also look pretty modest.

Because of Baywatch and also because of the niche topics I doubt that „Plan B“ or „Ein Kuss von Béatrice“ will have much impact and „Mein neues bestes Stück“ does not have buzz either (and the only poster I saw looks terrible IMO).

Insidekino.de projects drops of only 30% for PotC5 and Baywatch this weekend.

Edited June 7, 2017 by el sid

[el sid]

Some Thursday estimates from insidekino.de/forum:

New Releases:

The Mummy: 40k (released in 600 theaters, mediocre reviews between 4 and 7/10; the trilogy between 1999-2008 had 4.9M, 4.1M and 1.7M admissions) – not great but could have come a lot worse
Plan B – Scheiß auf Plan B: under 1k (185, very ok reviews)
Mein neues bestes Stück/Si j'étais un homme: under 1k (117, mediocre reviews)
Ein Kuss von Béatrice/Sage Femme: under 1k (100, mostly ok reviews around 6/10)
Born to be Blue: ?k (a film about the jazz-trumpeter Chet Baker, 74, good reviews)
Whitney: Can I Be Me: ?k (a Whitney Houston documentary, ca. 150 theaters, good reviews)

Holdovers:

Baywatch: 39.5k (50k) – a very good hold and not unexpected
PotC 5: 27.5k (45k) – also ok
Alien: Covenant: 6k (10k)
GotG2: 4.5k (7k)
King Arthur: 3k (4k)
In Zeiten des abnehmenden Lichts: 2k (3k)
Before I Fall: 1k

[IndustriousAngel]

First estimates from insidekino.de:

#1: Baywatch -225k admissions (-50%)

#2: PotC5  - 200k (-60%, ouch)

#3: Mummy - 175k (meh)

#4/5: GotG2 and A-C with 30k each

 

ugly weekend ...

[el sid]

A terrible first trend for all movies except Baywatch and even that number is disappointing.
And now with Wonder Woman released next weekend (also said to be good weatherwise) it's over.

Some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film): These numbers are very ok for the holdovers; the sunny weekend is the problem. The smaller new releases are a catastrophe either way:

New Releases:

The Mummy: 32.5k – overestimated by 7.5k yesterday, maybe again last minute stornos
Whitney: Can I Be Me: 1.1k
Ein Kuss von Béatrice/Sage Femme: 1.060
Born to be Blue: 1k
Plan B – Scheiß auf Plan B: not in the Top 18
Mein neues bestes Stück/Si j'étais un homme: not in the Top 18

Holdovers:

Baywatch: 41.5k (actuals last Thursday 50k) – you see, a really good hold compared to its first Thursday/its release day!
PotC 5: 37.5k (45k) – underestimted by far yesterday, a good number
GotG2: 6.5k (7k)
Alien: Covenant: 6k (10k)

Edited June 9, 2017 by el sid

[John Marston]

5 hours ago, el sid said:

A terrible first trend for all movies except Baywatch and even that number is disappointing.
And now with Wonder Woman released next weekend (also said to be good weatherwise) it's over.

Some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film): These numbers are very ok for the holdovers; the sunny weekend is the problem. The smaller new releases are a catastrophe either way:

New Releases:

The Mummy: 32.5k – overestimated by 7.5k yesterday, maybe again last minute stornos
Whitney: Can I Be Me: 1.1k
Ein Kuss von Béatrice/Sage Femme: 1.060
Born to be Blue: 1k
Plan B – Scheiß auf Plan B: not in the Top 18
Mein neues bestes Stück/Si j'étais un homme: not in the Top 18

Holdovers:

Baywatch: 41.5k (actuals last Thursday 50k) – you see, a really good hold compared to its first Thursday/its release day!
PotC 5: 37.5k (45k) – underestimted by far yesterday, a good number
GotG2: 6.5k (7k)
Alien: Covenant: 6k (10k)

 

 

 

So the drops  won't won't be as bad as initially thought?

Edited June 9, 2017 by John Marston

[el sid]

1 hour ago, John Marston said:

 

 

 

So the drops  won't won't be as bad as initially thought?

Unfortunately Mark_G is mostly right with his extrapolations, so 200k for PotC5 and 225k for Baywatch could be true. But the Thursday actuals show which low multiplier he uses (only a bit more than 4x the Thursday numbers for the whole weekend). Last weekend the multiplier was near 10x (45k Thursday and 481k admissions whole weekend for PotC5; ok, Monday was a national holiday last week but this weekend the South has also school holidays). You see how different the multiplier is... So hopefully Mark is off because the weather is not as good as thought. I can't speak for more than Bavaria but today it wasn't good here: Not cold but grey since noon. Could help.

[George Parr]

Second trend is up at insidekino:

 

#1 Baywatch 225k

#2 POTC 200k

#3 The Mummy 150k

#4 GotG 2 30k

#5 Alien 27.5k

 

So The Mummy is down a bit, everything else basically stays flat from the first trend.

[el sid]

The final trend at insidekino.de looks at least a little bit better for almost all movies:

#1 Baywatch: 230k
#2 PotC 5: 210k
#3 The Mummy: 170k
#4 GotG 2: 32.5k
#5 A: C: 27.5k

[el sid]

And despite the great weather yesterday, all went up again :).

#1 Baywatch 237.5k/940k
#2 PotC5 225k/1.760M
#3 The Mummy 180k
#4 GotG2 35k/2.4M
#5 Alien: Covenant 30k/545k
#6 Wimpy Kid 25k/120k
#7 Hanni und Nanni 25k/185k
 

Edited June 12, 2017 by el sid