BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[Aristis]

Today A2 will pass SW7 (it's at 7,6M admissions / €102,55M as of yesterday, Wednesday) to become the 3rd biggest movie ever in € - and thus the Top3 will be only JC movies. 

 

http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DAlltime100bo.htm

Edited January 19, 2023 by Aristis

[Aristis]

On 1/13/2023 at 9:23 AM, Aristis said:

Thursday

 

#1 Avatar 2 60k (-70%) [€830k]

#2 M3gan 16k [€150k]

#3 Operation Fortune 9k (-61%) [€80k]

#4 Banshees of Inisherin 8k (?) [€70k]

#5 Puss in Boots 2 7,5k (-85%) [€62k]

Thursday

 

#1 Avatar 2 40k (-33%) [€570k]

#2 M3gan 8k (-50%) [€75k]

#3 Babylon 7k [€75k]

#4 Puss in Boots 2 6,5k (-13%) [€55k]

#5 Shotgun Wedding 5,5k [€50k]

 

https://www.blickpunktfilm.de/kino/kinocharts-deutschland-trend-alles-avatar-alles-klar-ccf39bb924743b7599b30c151cd09fcc

[Aristis]

1st Trend

 

#1 Avatar 2 500k (-33%) 8,1M

#2 PiB2 160k (-13%) 1,395M

#3 M3GAN 77,5k (--44%/-48% i.P) 252,5k

 

Avatar 2 with a ~€7M WE (best ever in gross) and €109,5M until Sunday. A mere €10M below A1. 5th best 6th WE ever in admissions. 

 

https://www.insidekino.de/News.htm

Edited January 20, 2023 by Aristis

[IndustriousAngel]

Babylon and Shotgun Wedding both opening around 60k ... as mentioned, presales didn't look good but i was hoping for something much closer to 6 digits for both of them.

Puss in Boots 2 is really showing a lot of power after the lukewarm OW!

And Avatar 2 now in "normal" mode ... I was surprised by the good holds until now since it seemed to me it had much less rewatch potential than the first one. None of the people I know has plans to see it a 2nd time in theaters (and my wife watched the first one 8x ...), the general consensus seems to be that it's quite spectacular but the story not as involving and gripping as the first one's.

[el sid]

The second trend from insidekino.de - no big changes, M3gan better:

#1 Avatar - The Way of Water 500k
#2 Puss in Boots 2 160k
#3 M3gan 90k
#4 Shotgun Wedding 75k
#5 Babylon 57.5k
#6 Der Räuber Hotzenplotz 50k
#7 Operation Fortune 47.5k
#8 The Banshees of Inisherin 37.5k
#9 Oskars Kleid 30k
#10 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2 27.5k

Edited January 21, 2023 by el sid

[Taruseth]

2 hours ago, el sid said:

The second trend from insidekino.de - no big changes, M3gan better:

#1 Avatar - The Way of Water 500k
#2 Puss in Boots 2 160k
#3 M3gan 90k
#4 Shotgun Wedding 75k
#5 Babylon 57.5k
#6 Der Räuber Hotzenplotz 50k
#7 Operation Fortune 47.5k
#8 The Banshees of Inisherin 37.5k
#9 Oskars Kleid 30k
#10 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2 27.5k

Still thinking 10m are possible, but 11m have become a lot, lot less likely.

 

But 10m and €135m≈ $145m would still be utterly incredible. Hopefully A3 can do 9m.

[Flip]

I really do think A3 can increase, from all accounts it appears to be a much more engaging and eventful movie than A2, although it might suffer from sequel fatigue

[IndustriousAngel]

no big changes in latest estimates from indidekino.de, only Shotgun Wedding is getting a bit stronger with each day.

[altglascontainer]

Monday-Trend

Avatar 2 507,5T (5th best 6th weekend)

Puss in Boots 2 145T

M3GAN 85T

Shotgun Wedding 77,5T

Babylon 60T

 

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top14 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Avatar 2	508.247	670	759	8.110.776	109.693.703	-31	6
2	Puss in Boots 2	144.427	673	215	1.377.841	11.607.758	-22	5
3	M3GAN	85.213	444	192	260.685	2.536.991	-38	2
4	Shotgun Wedding	60.166	452	133	76.802	695.697	-	1
5	Babylon	54.010	350	154	58.864	654.933	-	1
6	Operation Fortune	45.925	510	90	314.151	2.972.130	-45	3
7	Der Räuber Hotzenplotz	40.293	693	58	767.916	5.577.989	-36	7
8	The Banshees of Inisherin	38.463	150	256	215.533	2.015.133	-36	3
9	Oskars Kleid	32.116	575	56	480.601	4.354.943	-45	5
10	Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2	27.003	362	75	2.595.224	18.986.609	-22	17
11	Was man von hier aus sehen kann	21.674	212	102	171.879	1.539.534	-29	4
12	I Wanna Dance with Somebody	17.304	382	45	287.355	2.908.564	-46	5
13	Maria rêve	10.254	87	118	12.178	106.422	-	1
14	Le Otto Montagne	8.984	94	96	24.631	242.361	-11	2

An ok weekend, but only two releases >100k … Avatar 2 continuing ist run to >10mil, Banshees of Inisherin with a fine PTA once more and the two bigger openers a bit behind expectations. Puss in Boots 2 is showing a lot of staying power! And, off the chart, domestic Biopic Rheingold has finally crossed 1mil.

In Austria, similar results (a bit better once more for most releases) with an additional domestic releases on #3, Der Fuchs had an excellent hold from OW (nearly flat), nice! So, three releases >10k. Avatar 2 is already >900k admissions here.

Next weekend: Two medium-sized domestic openers: one more children's book adaption, Die drei ??? - Erbe des Drachens and comedy Caveman. In the US, the series is called The Three Investigators, it's been published in German since 1968 - so running for 55 years now, which means real popular I guess, but it's unsure how this will translate to BO success - anything above 750k total would be fine and warrant a sequel I'd say. Caveman - adapted once more from a popular play - should have the bigger OW but will probably fade faster.

[Brainbug]

Mainly thanks to Avatar 2 ofc, so far its been a good start for the german box office in 2023. Now, i dont doubt for a second, that the usual depression-level will return soon, but gotta enjoy it while we can!

[Shanks]

Providing for Avatar Run~

Austria [20-22 Jan, 2023]

Place	Movie	Premiere	Weekend (€)	Total (€)
1	Avatar: The Way of Water	14.12.2022	€754,728	€14,573,583
2	Puss in Boots: The Last Wish	22.12.2022	€167,499	€2,058,578
3	The Fox	13.04.2023	€143,123	€393,031
4	M3GAN	12.01.2023	€124,860	€450,490
5	Shotgun Wedding	19.01.2023	€114,957	€139,606
6	Babylon	19.01.2023	€113,604	€129,588
7	Operation Fortune	5.1.2023	€78,714	€633,915
8	The Robber Hotzenplotz	8.12.2022	€46,368	€988,237
9	The Banshees of Inisherin	5.1.2023	€29,167	€223,524
10	Oscar's dress	22.12.2022	€20,296	€363,085

[charlie Jatinder]

Pathaan 125k od. #2 for day.

[Brainbug]

10 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Pathaan 125k od. #2 for day.

 

That seems really good for an Indian release here.

[IndustriousAngel]

2 hours ago, Brainbug said:

 

That seems really good for an Indian release here.

that must be an absolutely crazy per-show-average, wow!

[George Parr]

Are you sure that's admissions and not money?

Insidekino has him a lot lower than that for the whole weekend, much less opening day.

 

Anyway, here is the first trend ( http://www.insidekino.com/News.html )

 

#1 Avatar 2: 360k (-29%)

#2 Die drei ???: 250-350k

#3 Puss in Boots 2: 140k (-3%)

Pathaan: 30k in limited viewings

Edited January 27, 2023 by George Parr

[Aristis]

On 1/20/2023 at 9:41 AM, Aristis said:

Thursday

 

#1 Avatar 2 40k (-33%) [€570k]

#2 M3gan 8k (-50%) [€75k]

#3 Babylon 7k [€75k]

#4 Puss in Boots 2 6,5k (-13%) [€55k]

#5 Shotgun Wedding 5,5k [€50k]

Thursday

 

#1 Avatar 2 30k (-25%) [€410k]

#2 ??? 12k [€95k]

#3 Pathaan 6,5k [€100k]

#4 Babylon 6k (-14%) [€60k]

#5 Caveman 6k [€55k]

 

https://www.blickpunktfilm.de/kino/kinocharts-deutschland-trend-avatar-jagt-avatar-3c1accc9297444a7349619977eb073c1

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, George Parr said:

Are you sure that's admissions and not money?

that's money.

[IndustriousAngel]

if estimates hold, that's excellent for the ???-Adaption ... I was hoping for something like a 150-200k max opening; with the numbers we're seeing now 1mil total (and a sequel) is easily possible. And also excellent numbers from Puss-in-Boots, beautiful hold once more against a strong opener.

[Taruseth]

On 1/8/2023 at 12:12 PM, Taruseth said:

Really interested if he will change the total prediction to 9m (or maybe even more). Even just following ROs drops from here it would get to roughly 8.15m.

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Avatar - path to 10m:

OD: 174k

OWend: 1157k (Total 1332k)

OWdays: 481k (Total 1813k)

2nd Wend: 735k (Total 2548k) (-36%)

2nd Wdays: 1100k (Total 3650k)

3rd Wend: 1067k (Total 4716k) (+167k/+166k) (+45%)(differences due to rounding)

3rd Wdays: 660k (Total 5380k) (+110k/+280k)

4th Wend: 1070k (Total 6450k) (+320k/+600k) (+0%)

 

4th Wdays: 220k (Total 6670k) (+70k/+670k)

5th Wend: 800k (Total 7470k) (+300k/+970k) (-25%)

5th Wdays: 160k (Total 7630k) (+60k /+1030k)

6th Wend: 650k (Total 8280k) (+250k /+1280k) (-19%)

6th Wdays: 120k (Total 8400k) (+70k/+1350k) 

7th Wend: 450k (Total 8850k) (+200k/+1550k) (-31%)

7th Wdays: 80k (Total 8930k) (+50k/+1600k)

8th Wend: 300k (Total 9230k) (+150k/+1750k) (-33%)

8th Wdays: 60k (Total 9290k) (+40k/+1790k)

9th Wend: 200k (Total 9490k) (+100k/+1890k) (-33%) - I think Titanic is shown again this weekend

9th Wdays: 40k (Total 9530k) (+20k/+1910k)

10th Wend: 150k (Total 9680k) (+70k/+1980k)(-25%)

10th Wdays: 30k (Total 9710k) (+15k/+1995k)

After that another 300k for 10010k (+50k/+2045k) total ATP 13.1€ and ≈131m € ≈ $140m

Comp to Avatar with rereleases (adm/€/$): -14% / +10%/-??%

It's about 275k behind this right now:

 

OD: 174k

OWend: 1157k (Total 1332k)

OWdays: 481k (Total 1813k)

2nd Wend: 735k (Total 2548k) (-36%)

2nd Wdays: 1100k (Total 3650k)

3rd Wend: 1067k (Total 4716k) (+45%)(differences due to rounding)

3rd Wdays: 661k (Total 5378k) 

4th Wend: 1133k (Total 6510k) (+63k/+60k) (+6%)

4th Wdays: 200k (Total 6710k) (+20k/+40k)

5th Wend: 742k (Total 7452k) (-58k/-18k) (-35%)

5th Wdays: 151k (Total 7603k) (-9k /-27k)

6th Wend: 508k (Total 8111k) (-142k /-169k) (-32%)

6th Wdays: 100k (Total 8210k) (-20k/-190k) 

 

7th Wend: 360k (Total 8570k) (-90k/-280k) (-29%)

7th Wdays: 70k (Total 8640k) (-10k/-290k)

8th Wend: 270k (Total 8910k) (-30k/-320k) (-25%)

8th Wdays: 50k (Total 8960k) (-10k/-330k)

9th Wend: 200k (Total 9160k) (+0k/-330k) (-26%) - I think Titanic is shown again this weekend

9th Wdays: 40k (Total 9200k) (+0k/-330k)

10th Wend: 150k (Total 9350k) (+0k/-330k)(-25%)

10th Wdays: 30k (Total 9380k) (+0k/-330k)

After that another 400k for 9780k (+100k/-230k) total ATP 13.5€ and ≈132m € ≈ $141m

ATP doesn't seem to really be dropping (ATP last weekend was €14,04 but over its whole run its a bit above €13.5).

 

I still think it has a very solid shot (at least 50%) for 10m, but it has become more likely again, that it will stop short by a little.

Especially if this weekend comes in around 400k that would be really helpful and next weekend around 300-320k it would make 10m chance a lot higher.

 

Its performing a bit like a better Hobbit - great Christmas legs that don't really cary over (different to Avatar or Titanic).