BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[Aristis]

	Admissions	Drop	Theaters	PTA	Cume		Weekend €	Cume €	Week
1	342.733	---	650	527	398.829	Der geilste Tag	2.923.801	3.388.080	1
2	323.032	-37	668	484	1.955.806	Deadpool	2.835.232	16.642.954	3
3	164.973	-25	495	333	798.108	Dirty Grandpa	1.395.883	6.499.633	3
4	82.522	-38	735	112	1.664.685	Bibi & Tina 3	522.755	10.498.260	6
5	72.445	-28	170	426	217.847	Hail, Caesar!	618.216	1.790.967	2
6	65.480	-22	550	119	2.464.983	The Revenant	648.762	23.287.798	8
7	63.660	-44	588	108	399.302	Die wilden Kerle 6	408.800	2.561.812	3
8	59.493	-40	601	99	546.251	Robinson Crusoe	430.738	4.031.944	4
9	55.871	-11	231	242	155.029	The Boy	489.773	1.321.966	2
10	53.261	-38	575	93	814.849	Alvin & die Chipmunks 4	339.436	5.168.941	5
11	49.118	-39	446	110	1.151.503	The Hateful 8	498.026	11.446.964	5
12	44.253	-31	298	149	170.502	Colonia Dignidad	376.350	1.262.475	2
13	36.538	---	140	261	43.707	Spotlight	324.831	363.217	1
14	30.310	-44	74	410	96.006	Osman Pazarlama	275.485	855.005	2
15	26.195	-33	258	102	8.909.027	Star Wars 7	307.290	101.180.403	11
16	16.449	-43	167	98	187.483	Suffragette	127.133	1.423.107	4
17	16.382	---	86	190	16.465	Mustang	127.090	127.625	1
18	13.777	-45	310	44	1.787.123	Ich bin dann mal weg	104.611	13.890.642	10
19	12.673	-60	327	39	175.239	Sisters	105.223	1.361.977	3
20	12.529	-58	234	54	69.860	Concussion	111.405	531.513	2

Edited March 3, 2016 by Aristis

[el sid]

Since IndustriousAngel is in China and no one has posted it so far ....That's the first trend:
 

-Looking good for Zootopia with 550-675k admissions and WOM should help too

-the second place goes to Der geilste Tag with 300k
-Deadpool should be in third with 190k and estimated 2.24M admissions till Sunday
-The Oscar-winning films The Revenant (80k) and Spotlight (60k) will increase

-Dirty Grandpa is still holding well with 110k moviegoers this weekend and will be close to 1m admissions after this weekend

-I see no weekend estimate for Hail, Caesar! but with a Thursday number of ca. 6k, it should hold well too

-And finally we have two other bigger new releases: Anne Frank which will have a quite nice start (despite mediocre reviews) with around 60k admissions and 13 Hours: The Secret Soldier of Benghazi which struggles with only around 4.5k admissions yesterday.
 

So overall a (very) good weekend!

 

Edited March 4, 2016 by el sid

[Poseidon]

Nice start for Anne Frank? It's a disaster on more than 500 screens. 

[el sid]

14 hours ago, Poseidon said:

Nice start for Anne Frank? It's a disaster on more than 500 screens. 

Hoppla, you are absolutely right! It indeed has 525 screens. I didn't look for its number of screens and only saw that it got one of the smallest cinema halls in „my“ theaters. I think that's the normal case: many screens but (very) small cinema halls given that many other films will attract more moviegoers. But still that's really a bad start.

 

By the way Zootopia has 622 screens and 13Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi 247 screens (still too many as it seems).
 

No second trend so far, sorry.

 

Edit: Second trend from Mark G./insidekino.de. Everything improved :).

Zootopia: 575-700k

Der geilste Tag: 310k

Deapool: 200k
Dirty Grandpa: 125k

The Revenant: 85k

Das Tagebuch der Anne Frank: 65k

Spotlight: 60k
Bibi & Tina: 50k

13 Hours: 50k
Hail, Caesar: 45k

 

 

Edited March 5, 2016 by el sid

[Aristis]

And the third trend looks even better for Zoomania: 660-750K admissions for the weekend (still a very high range especially for sunday)

Most of the other stuff is going down a bit but Anne Frank is now at 70K (still embarrassing PTA) Should have good drops when it can hold many cinemas.

[George Parr]

Official weekend estimates (as always, from insidekino):

 

Zootopia / Zoomania: 690k for the weekend, 715k including previews

Der geilste Tag: 295k

Deadpool: 195k

Dirty Grandpa: 125k

The Revenant: 80k

Tagebuch der Anne Frank: 80k

 

That's the biggest opening for a Disney cgi-animated movie, beating Frozen's 654k (with previews as well).

[Aristis]

Anne Frank went up from 60K to 80K. Should be a good sign.

[Aristis]

	WE Admissons		Theaters	PTA	Cume			Weekend €	Cume €	Week
1	690.464	---	636	1086	715.445		Zootopia	6.038.073	6.175.747	1
2	293.673	-14,00%	686	428	792.365		Der geilste Tag	2.475.086	6.571.632	2
3	197.496	-39,00%	597	331	2.244.168		Deadpool	1.753.891	19.064.744	4
4	123.570	-25,00%	477	259	954.792		Dirty Grandpa	1.054.420	7.785.650	4
5	80.412	---	516	156	81.664		Das Tagebuch der Anne Frank	675.608	681.386	1
6	79.443	21,00%	521	152	2.582.169		The Revenant	787.177	24.392.666	9
7	57.810	58,00%	152	380	129.051		Spotlight	511.911	1.082.696	2
8	57.435	-30,00%	660	87	1.732.071		Bibi & Tina 3	363.663	10.918.666	7
9	48.654	-33,00%	170	286	292.042		Hail, Caesar!	417.637	2.392.548	3
10	36.607	-43,00%	551	66	444.798		Die wilden Kerle 6	231.637	2.844.860	4
11	35.397	-37,00%	236	150	203.022		The Boy	310.123	1.722.732	3
12	29.670	---	248	120	46.498		13 Hours	282.432	371.522	1
13	27.696	-54,00%	535	52	580.490		Robinson Crusoe	192.693	4.268.586	5
14	26.961	-49,00%	455	59	847.439		Alvin & die Chipmunks 4	172.172	5.373.739	6
15	25.408	-48,00%	312	81	1.195.840		The Hateful 8 (UNI)	257.436	11.867.562	6
16	24.174	-45,00%	302	80	192.366		Colonia Dignidad	201.029	1.497.525	3
17	14.771	-44,00%	205	72	8.930.470		Star Wars 7	175.769	101.429.100	12
18	14.533	-11,00%	93	156	40.522		Mustang	113.613	306.172	2
19	14.451	-52,00%	74	195	115.759		Osman Pazarlama	131.888	1.022.378	3
20	13.252	-19,00%	210	63	209.255		Suffragette	99.131	1.580.867	5

[Pypa94]

9 mln for Star Wars should happen at all

[IndustriousAngel]

Hey I'm just back and the first trend is online at insidekino!

#1: Zootopia - 500k (<30%)

#2: Der geilste Tag - 200k (-30%)

#3: Deadpool - 100k (-50%, ouch)

 

after the strong last weekend some major drops all around, and LHF as the best opener with less than 100k doesn't really save the weekend.

[Aristis]

2. Trend

Zootopia 525k (-25%)

Der geilste Tag 185k

Deadpool 105k

London has fallen 100k

Dirty Grandpa 75k

[Giesi]

How many admissions can SW7 gain from double and triple shows in the next years? Is the decade crown possible?

[Aristis]

If this numbers are true the first Hobbit made 6.560.480 in its actual run and 6.642.047 as a whole... That would be about 80k with the two further showtimes. The second Hobbit made 6.005.724 first and 6.098.029 as a whole which would be over 90k

If anybody wants to check I used the "Rekordejagd 2012/2013" on InsideKino for the initial run and a yearly chart (again InsideKino) for the whole run. Should be correct numbers but it's strange that TH2 would have made more in one re-release than TH1 in two...

But if that numbers are correct SW could have a chance of becoming the most successfull movie (Yet Intouchables with 9.140.334). Will only need 140k to 160k admissions. I'm not totally convinced that SW will hit 9M while I hope so.

[IndustriousAngel]

Final weekend trend is a bit better, Zoo 550k and Deadpool with a better drop, too

[IndustriousAngel]

actuals tomorrow but it seems everything is at the low end of estimates ...

[George Parr]

Yeah, apparently the Sunday was quite weak from the afternoon on. Maybe the three state elections & their coverage had a bit of an impact.

[IndustriousAngel]

Entirely possible. In Austria, the weekend was much better in comparison.

[Aristis]

Maybe after the result they are to depressed to watch movies

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Zootopia	507.473	640	793	1.343.483	11.565.299	-27	2
2	Der geilste Tag	186.922	713	262	1.055.791	8.688.103	-36	3
3	Deadpool	112.739	592	190	2.407.183	20.438.430	-43	5
4	London Has Fallen	91.578	292	314	101.148	875.848	-	1
5	Dirty Grandpa	75.028	472	159	1.052.758	8.586.398	-39	5
6	The Brothers Grimsby	60.661	395	154	60.661	513.863	-	1
7	The Revenant	48.601	473	103	2.651.965	25.062.260	-39	10
8	Das Tagebuch der Anne Frank	48.141	526	92	165.750	1.317.442	-40	2
9	Spotlight	41.950	200	210	192.808	1.619.705	-27	3
10	Le Goût des merveilles	38.067	104	366	51.012	377.375	-	1
11	The Choice	37.615	274	137	59.489	495.006	-	1
12	Bibi & Tina 3	34.663	620	56	1.772.692	11.170.137	-40	8
13	Hail, Caesar	27.555	167	165	334.968	2.736.776	-43	4
14	Die wilden Kerle 6	18.906	518	36	467.209	2.983.098	-48	5
15	The Boy	18.208	227	80	227.753	1.928.241	-49	4
16	Grüße aus Fukushima	14.687	82	179	16.808	124.406	-	1
17	Alvin & Chipmunks 4	13.652	372	37	863.981	5.474.853	-49	7
18	Robinson Crusoe	13.493	453	30	596.514	4.375.213	-51	6
19	The Hateful 8	12.975	199	65	1.217.798	12.078.310	-49	7
20	Colonia Dignidad	11.358	168	68	213.643	1.660.831	-53	4

 

Well, that was a slow weekend, no big openers and not even a single great drop. Let's hope it gets better soon, so on to the

next weekend: Kung Fu Panda 3 is the widest opener; while I don't feel any buzz it should still come in ahead of Zootopia. Room will finally get its arthouse release, I think we'll see a nice PTA there! Allegiant should open to about 200k, so at least Top3. Weather conditions seem not too good for the weekend which always helps admissions, so we might see some nice drops after last weekend's debacle.

[Aristis]

And not to forget: Easter holidays start at this time.

 

I hope KFP doesn't hurt Zoo too much