BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[Aristis]

Deadpool: WE 710K, cume 770K

6th best February opening, Top20 FSK16, most probable 17th or 18th (I thought it would be better since I didn't know there are previews included)

Dirty Grandpa 315K

DWK 180K

B&T 185K (stayed flat)

The Hateful 8 155K, The Revenant - Der Rückkehrer 130K, Robinson Crusoe 125K, Alvin & die Chipmunks - Road Chip 125K

 

And SW is at 8,82M admissions and probably crossed €100M as the 3rd movie in history

[jb007]

17 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Yes, im from '68, and saw many of them in theaters ... some of them are still very nice to watch nowadays (just rewatched http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0074442/ the other day, very fun and well-paced flick and it even has Laura Gemser in it, sadly in a very chaste role )

 

 

I'm from 65. Turned 50 this past dec.

 

BTW thanks for bringing them up. I will try and find their movies for my collection. 

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Deadpool	713.887	523	1.365	771.641	6.728.928	-	1
2	Dirty Grandpa	281.609	400	704	319.196	2.590.680	-	1
3	Bibi & Tina 3	187.431	775	242	1.408.965	8.897.902	+1	4
4	Die wilden Kerle 6	165.112	557	296	181.879	1.185.448	-	1
5	The Hateful 8	156.183	653	239	945.036	9.447.415	-30	3
6	The Revenant	130.609	644	203	2.258.550	21.325.036	-26	6
7	Robinson Crusoe	126.450	539	235	356.513	2.662.043	-2	2
8	Alvin & Chipmunks 4	124.091	637	195	649.745	4.133.416	-8	3
9	Sisters	77.824	351	222	106.051	821.496	-	1
10	Tschiller: Off Duty	67.199	517	130	220.505	1.988.837	-38	2
11	Star Wars 7	66.008	346	191	8.819.185	100.150.595	-27	9
12	Goosebumps		557		208.598	1.781.599		2
13	The Forest	42.041	135	311	117.633	1.022.424	-18	2
14	Ich bin dann mal weg	41.428	458	90	1.725.972	13.441.337	-13	8
15	Suffragette	39.183	143	274	108.190	836.454	+0	2
16	Ride Along 2)	21.766	210	104	415.869	3.424.326	-66	4
17	The Big Short	19.764	159	124	336.104	2.869.879	-34	5
18	Brooklyn	18.000	133	135	121.779	949.369	-2	4
19	The Danish Girl	16.375	166	99	314.061	2.512.516	-16	6
20	Hilfe, ich hab meine Lehrerin geschrumpft	16.215	258	63	1.046.408	6.500.877	-23	9

 

Wow, what a weekend! Three new releases in the Top3, and "Sisters" didn't open too shabbily either. But of course Deadpool's opening overshadowed everything else, truly sensational. And it didn't even seem very frontloaded, so expect a good 2nd weekend again, with maybe a slight expansion! 2,5mil total are easily possible and maybe it has a chance at 3mil.

 

Among holdovers, B&T3 managed a slight increase and has now passed the totals of parts 1 and 2 with a lot of mileage left it seems, 2mil total are still the goal. Revenant with a very nice hold once more, and SW7 has stabilized over the last weeks and I'm very optimistic that it can indeed reach 9mil total!

 

Next weekend: From the hollywood POV, the most interesting openers are probably Zoolander2 (nobody asked for that one it seems) and Hail, Caesar! but the more interesting question is how much Deadpool will fall - I'm hoping for a drop around 25%.

[IndustriousAngel]

Thursday numbers indicate an overall ok weekend with a nice drop for Deadpool (but will probably be steeper than my hoped-for 25%)

Edited February 18, 2016 by IndustriousAngel

[el sid]

The Thursday estimates via insidekino.de (forum):

And it's really not looking good for most of the new releases:

Hail, Caesar!: 7.5k (Edit: first I thought this is not a good start given the many interviews I read and the fine reviews but it started in only 156 theaters, so it's pretty ok)
Colonia Dignidad: 7k (pretty much what was expected but with D. Brühl as a leading actor it should have gotten more attention too)
The Boy: 6k (could have been worse)
Zoolander 2: 3k (really bad)
Concussion: 2.5k (oh boy)

 

Reviews did probably neither help nor hurt because none of the new movies was highly praised or doomed by critics: Zoolander 2 and The Boy have mostly lukewarm reviews, Concussion has good ones but not overwhelming and about Colonia Dignidad there's no consensus - some critics say it's a very exciting film with good actors, other criticize that it's too insubstantial.

Holdovers:

Deadpool: 84k (last Thursday (actual numbers): 110k, a very good hold)
Dirty Grandpa: 12k (l.T. 30k, so not a good hold)
Tschiller: Off Duty: 2k (l. T.: 10k, terrible)
The Hateful Eight: 18k (l. T. 25k)
The Revenant: 10.5k (l. T.: 17.5k)

 

Edit 2: According to the actual Thursday numbers it looks much worse for Deadpool („only“ 65k), and better for Hail, Caesar! (11.5k) and Dirty Grandpa (17k). The rest looks like posted yesterday.

 

Edited February 19, 2016 by el sid

[IndustriousAngel]

I think that's an ok number for Hail!Caesar. As to ColoniaDignidad - well, it's a difficult theme and nobody buys a ticket just for Daniel Brühl (see 5th estate; Ich&Kaminski). The real downer is Zoolander2 but as I mentioned, this was a movie nobody has been asking for. But even considering this, it's a real floppy flop.

[IndustriousAngel]

First trend for Germany from insidekino:

 

#1: Deadpool - 525k admissions (-25%, yeah)

#2: DirtyGP - 175k (-40%)

#3/4/5: family films with 100k each

 

the openers:

Hail!Caesar should open to >90k admissions, might even make it into the Top5 - very good for a limited arthouse release!

The Boy: about 80k for the weekend, ok number I'd say

Colonia Dignidad: 65k - maybe a bit below expectations but basically ok

Zoolander2 is estimated at 45k admissions, this is worse than bad.

[efialtes76]

2 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

First trend for Germany from insidekino:

 

#1: Deadpool - 525k admissions (-25%, yeah)

#2: DirtyGP - 175k (-40%)

#3/4/5: family films with 100k each

 

the openers:

Hail!Caesar should open to >90k admissions, might even make it into the Top5 - very good for a limited arthouse release!

The Boy: about 80k for the weekend, ok number I'd say

Colonia Dignidad: 65k - maybe a bit below expectations but basically ok

Zoolander2 is estimated at 45k admissions, this is worse than bad.

Good for Deadpoll but i think that the final trend will be around 475k-490k(-30%)

[IndustriousAngel]

yep Thursday didn't look that strong, more like -35% - and DP had very strong Fri-Sun last week

[fmpro]

Still a huge number coming up

[Poseidon]

Last year, "Traumfrauen" dropped 35% on thursday and 19% over the WE.
Deadpool dropped by 41% thursday to thursday. 
Deadpool was inflated by VD, though. 

Edited February 19, 2016 by Poseidon

[IndustriousAngel]

2nd trend:

#1: Deadpool - 525k admissions (-25%, cool)

#2: DirtyGP - 200k (-30%, very nice too)

#3: WildeKerle6 - 125k (-25%, very good)

#4: B&T3 - 110k (-40%)

#5: Robinson - 100k (-20%, wow, best hold among family stuff)

 

[Aristis]

Deadpool (500T) (-30%) A bit worse

Dirty Grandpa (220T) (-20%)

Bibi & Tina - Mädchen gegen Jungs (135T) (-30%)

Die wilden Kerle - Die Legende lebt (120T) (-30%)

Robinson Crusoe, Hail, Caesar! (100T)

 

SW seems to drop more than 40% with 37,5k but that's better than yesterday. Should be at 8,88M after sunday.

[IndustriousAngel]

Dirty Grandpa is showing a lot of staying power, goes up with every estimate - seems to have super WOM ... Deadpool's number is very good, too, even if 30% is a bit harder than I hoped.

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Deadpool	511.859	628	815	1.499.292	12.824.247	-28	2
2	Dirty Grandpa	220.595	454	486	595.565	4.841.741	-22	2
3	Bibi & Tina 3	132.330	770	172	1.569.601	9.903.040	-29	5
4	Die wilden Kerle 6	113.293	573	198	322.011	2.073.535	-31	2
5	Hail, Caesar!	101.037	146	692	109.616	914.873	-	1
6	Robinson Crusoe	98.967	583	170	477.435	3.537.867	-22	3
7	Alvin & Chipmunks  4	85.524	627	136	754.515	4.788.872	-31	4
8	The Revenant	83.825	592	142	2.378.625	22.460.316	-36	7
9	The Hateful 8	79.942	565	141	1.075.955	10.712.160	-49	4
10	Colonia Dignidad	63.833	284	225	82.925	631.321	-	1
11	The Boy	62.952	190	331	85.988	737.428	-	1
12	Osman Pazarlama	54.243	67	810	54.243	497.214	-	1
13	Zoolander 2	40.047	405	99	46.746	368.886	-	1
14	Star Wars 7	39.281	278	141	8.874.130	100.780.870	-41	10
15	Sisters	31.756	345	92	155.556	1.209.530	-59	2
16	Concussion	30.124	252	120	49.500	363.090	-	1
17	Suffragette	28.879	164	176	156.497	1.197.035	-26	3
18	Goosebumps	25.235	526	48	241.520	2.057.846	-48	3
19	Ich bin dann mal weg	24.966	363	69	1.764.593	13.728.866	-40	9
20	Tschiller: Off Duty	24.710	513	48	261.666	2.340.022	-63	3

 

It was not a weekend for the openers (Zoolander2's PTA is embarassing), although two limited releases (Hail! Caesar and turkish Osman Pazarlama) had very high PTAs and should be considered as successes. Among holdovers, Deadpool had a very nice drop and it seems that it's performing more along comedy lines than superhero - will probably end near 2,7mil total. H8 crossed 1mil total, at least something. B&T3 crossed 1,5mil, 2 mil are still possible! SW7 dropped a bit harder than I had hoped, 9mil total are looking hard atm but I won't dismiss it yet.

 

Next weekend: The latest Schweighöfer comedy, "Der geilste Tag", should at least make it to #2 of the charts; #1 will be difficult if Deadpool keeps up the soft drops. Nothing new for families, so expect good drops for family stuff.

[IndustriousAngel]

First weekend estimate:

#1: Der geilste Tag - 400k admissions including previews

#2: Deadpool - 325k (-35%, nearly 2mil total)

#3: Dirty Grandpa - 150k (-30%)

#4/5: 75k each for Hail!Caesar and B&T3 (-25% for the Coens, good)

 

[efialtes76]

Second trend:

 

Der geilste Tag-400k admissions including previews.

Deadpool-310k

Dirty Grandpa-160k

Hail Cesar-80k

B&T3-80k

 

[IndustriousAngel]

"Dirty Grandpa" has fantastic drops ... and 3 raunchy comedies on top, sometimes I don't understand the schedule.

[George Parr]

All the top movies apart from Deadpool stayed equal or went up, nice.

 

Seeing how the trend also includes TFA with 27.5k for the weekend I think it might be time to take another look at the quest for 9 million:

The movie stood at 8.874 million, add 27.5k and it's slight above 8.9 million, without last weeks weekdays. The week before saw the weekdays at about 15k, so the weekdays should probably be somewhere between 7-10k, putting TFA at around 8.91 million.

 

Sadly there are no comparable numbers for LOTR 2 & 3, as the chart only lasted ten weeks and this is the eleventh. That only leaves last years other big movies as comparison. I'd say the week-total for this weekend + the following weekdays should be a bit above 30k if the current trend holds. Spectre had 30.5 for the same week and followed that up with another 42k so far, might reach 50k in the end. FjG2 had 36.7k for the 11th week and added slightly less than 60k afterwards.

 

That would put TFA at somewhere between 8.96 and 8.975 million at the end of its run. The lower end would be right at the level of Episode I. I guess it won't make it to 9 million after all. Though it should eventually get past that number with any double-features for Episode VIII.

[IndustriousAngel]

"Der geilste" Tag did win the weekend in Germany (340k admissions on the proper weekend), DP 320k, Grandpa 165. In Austria, Grandpa took the lead with a less-than-10%-drop; Deadpool still #2 (drops more than 40%) and "Der geilste Tag" #3; german comedies often don't do that well here in Austria.

 

I'll probably not update for 2 weeks since I'm just taking off for China