BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[Poseidon]

Those numbers are worthless overall. You shouldn't read too much into those, they are very lose based on reserved seats only. Too many factors there to make real numbers out of those, but Deadpool should be easily over 100k incl. Previews.
 

Edit: Mh, actually, he has a very good record the last couple of weeks. He's pretty much spot on on many occasions, so maybe he got much better in the last couple of years, where I completely ingnored those numbers.

Edited February 11, 2016 by Poseidon

[el sid]

49 minutes ago, Poseidon said:

Those numbers are worthless overall. You shouldn't read too much into those, they are very lose based on reserved seats only. Too many factors there to make real numbers out of those, but Deadpool should be easily over 100k incl. Previews.
 

Edit: Mh, actually, he has a very good record the last couple of weeks. He's pretty much spot on on many occasions, so maybe he got much better in the last couple of years, where I completely ingnored those numbers.

As I said, I wouldn't have blind faith in them ;). For example, when it comes to front-loaded films and/or action films these estimates are almost perfect but not so much for family-driven weekend films.
I always look if svenchens numbers rather coincide with the South-West reports and some others and the booking numbers I can see.

I would say the Deadpool numbers and the numbers for Dirty Grandpa look too good in my view but I see a similar trend.

[IndustriousAngel]

just wow ad Deadpool ... nice surprise here!

[IndustriousAngel]

First trewnd from insidekino:

#1: Deadpool - 600k admissions (omg this one is giving MCU movies a run for their money)

#2: DirtyGrandpa - 250k

#3: WildKerle6 - 200k (drops harder than I hoped from previous entries)

#4/5: H8 and B&T3 with 175k each

 

Sisters opens to about 100k, got shortchanged by the other releases but 3 new entries in the Top3 is incredible enough for the openers!

[efialtes76]

2 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

First trewnd from insidekino:

#1: Deadpool - 600k admissions (omg this one is giving MCU movies a run for their money)

#2: DirtyGrandpa - 250k

#3: WildKerle6 - 200k (drops harder than I hoped from previous entries)

#4/5: H8 and B&T3 with 175k each

 

Sisters opens to about 100k, got shortchanged by the other releases but 3 new entries in the Top3 is incredible enough for the openers!

Too much for the openers...

I see drops for the next trend.

[IndustriousAngel]

well it seems crazy that every single opener does that well, that's true ... otoh it's Valentine weekend and look what 50SoG did last year - there's definitely a massive potential of moviegoers on this weekend.

[Poseidon]

46 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

Too much for the openers...

I see drops for the next trend.

 

Why you think so? Mark is giving Deadpool an IM of only 5 and Sunday is already looking huge.
And for the other openers, he's giving an IM of around 7.

Last Year, we had:

Spongebob: 6,4
Traumfrauen: 7,6
Into the woods: 7.1

And that was without VD. So I think, it might even go up.

[George Parr]

Second trend per insidekino:

 

#1 Deadpool 650k

#2 Dirty Grandpa 250k

#3 Die Wilden Kerle 6 200k

#4 and #5 B+T 3 and Hateful 8 with 175k each

followed by a bunch of movies at 125k

 

Deadpool up by 50k, the rest didn't really move.

 

Of the movies that didn't get mentioned in the first trend: Tschiller and Star Wars both at 65k. The latter once again follows the LOTR movies for the weekend, which had about 66k and a bit below 60k. Should be past 8.8 million after the weekend.

 

http://www.insidekino.com/News.htm

Edited February 13, 2016 by George Parr

[Olive]

Third trend

#1 Deadpool 750k

[Giesi]

Star Wars 7 is the 2nd biggest 3D movie in Germany!

http://www.insidekino.com/DJahr/DAlltime3D.htm

[jj99]

25 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:

Third trend

#1 Deadpool 750k

 

 

GTFO. Insane.

[George Parr]

It's on its way to beat quite a lot of far more well-known superheros, I guess the different approach does help with that, seeing how superhero-movies have never been all that big here. I think over the last ten years only Dark Knight Rises and Spiderman 3 made it past 3 million admissions in total, and barely at that.

[Aristis]

Avengers 1 had 870K admissions on its first weekend. This will be only about 100K behind and it is FSK16! (If it won't go down of course, but it doesn't seem like it would)

 

This will be in the Top15 FSK16 OW.

(insidekino)

Admissions OW

Cinemas

PTA

Year

Title

1	1.788.781	1.124	1.591	03	Matrix Reloaded (WB)
2	1.353.030	739	1.831	15	Fifty Shades of Grey (U)
3	1.318.961	893	1.477	00	Mission: Impossible 2 (UIP)
4	1.165.253	835	1.396	97	007 - Der Morgen stirbt nie (UIP)
5	1.070.139	713	1.501	08	I Am Legend (WB)
6	1.031.758	474	2.177	91	Terminator 2 (COL)
7	976.476	873	1.119	03	Terminator 3 (COL)
8	947.575	734	1.291	99	Matrix (WB)
9	868.763	754	1.152	08	The Dark Knight (WB)
10	848.703	648	1.310	00	Scary Movie (HIG)
11	847.752	1.069	794	03	Matrix Revolutions (WB)
12	780.837	663	1.178	01	Scary Movie 2 (HIG)
13	765.413	779	983	03	Bad Boys II (COL)
14	749.735	482	1.555	13	Django Unchained (COL)
15	749.059	826	907	00	Scream 3 (KW)

Edited February 14, 2016 by Aristis

[IndustriousAngel]

Wow, Deadpool is so far out it's incredible ... no MCU movie ever got to blockbuster status and there comes this comparatively unknown character and opens to >700k

[Poseidon]

1 hour ago, Aristis said:

Avengers 1 had 870K admissions on its first weekend. This will be only about 100K behind and it is FSK16! (If it won't go down of course, but it doesn't seem like it would)

 

 

Avengers opened to 560k admissions. 

But it doesn't matter, Deadpool doesn't work like a SH movie, but like a comedy and it just targets the german humor here, just like "Ted" did.
Looking how the WOM spread through the WE, I could see it getting to 3m admissions. 

[Aristis]

It was the first week; my fault. I used that movie because it was one of the bigger SH movies and that is one, even if it doesn't work like it. Just to have a comparison for myself.

[IndustriousAngel]

I think the comedy angle is a definite help, yes - but in that respect, I'm surprised how much better this is doing than Grandpa ans Sisters which should target about the same comedy demo. Maybe it's the combo action/comedy, a bit like the F&F franchise which is part comedy. Personally I'd very much like to see a revival of the lighthearted genre (the BudSpencer/TerrenceHill action comedies were hits in Germany in their time )

[jb007]

15 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

I think the comedy angle is a definite help, yes - but in that respect, I'm surprised how much better this is doing than Grandpa ans Sisters which should target about the same comedy demo. Maybe it's the combo action/comedy, a bit like the F&F franchise which is part comedy. Personally I'd very much like to see a revival of the lighthearted genre (the BudSpencer/TerrenceHill action comedies were hits in Germany in their time )

+1

 

I used to love their movies as a kid. 

[jb007]

 @IndustriousAngel, not many from the current generation do know about them. I'm assuming you are in my age group or very close to it.

 

I'm certain I have watched all their movies up to the early 80s. They have had some solo movies with other actors like 5 Man Army (Bud in an ensemble) and Hill's Super Cop with Ernest Borgnine. 

 

Trinity movies, Watch out We are mad are among my favorites. Nice times.

 

 

[IndustriousAngel]

Yes, im from '68, and saw many of them in theaters ... some of them are still very nice to watch nowadays (just rewatched http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0074442/ the other day, very fun and well-paced flick and it even has Laura Gemser in it, sadly in a very chaste role )