Christmas Weekend Thread | Avatar 95.6m, PiB 20.05m, Babylon 4.85m 4 days

[IronJimbo]

1 minute ago, PenguinHyphy said:

 

You are aware that you are in the domestic box office forum, right?          

no sorry I was lost, when i say DOM i'm actually talking dirty 🤭 . thanks i know where i am now, all thanks to you!

Edited December 24, 2022 by IronJimbo

[M37]

8 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

very american-centric thinking. Lightning is striking around the world right now fella, it's just snow in america right now

I mean, if you just look at admissions, ignoring nuances of ERs and weather, the point still stands 

[XXR & Friends]

8 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

very american-centric thinking. Lightning is striking around the world right now fella, it's just snow in america right now

 

It's doing very well OS but we're talking $1.45B max (with China) and IIRC your OS prediction was $2B without China so @M37 is still correct in his assertion. 

[Grebacio]

After the great year Paramount had, it feels so anticlimactic they are ending it with a mega bomb

[SchumacherFTW]

3 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

my expectations were above the first film though, if you're going off "lightning in a bottle" it's nothing to do with my expectations.

Unless you're talking about US, China or Japan I heavily disagree with this.

 

It's going to be #2 worldwide (of all time) behind Avatar if you get rid of those 3 regions

But it got released in those three regions 👀

[IronJimbo]

Just now, SchumacherFTW said:

But it got released in those three regions 👀

SNOW + COVID + ANIME

[Joyous Legion]

4 minutes ago, M37 said:

Yes, but as I’ve explained before, I believe the higher ATP from adjustment is mostly offset by a reduced audience pool post-pandemic, making grosses over that period nearly directly comparable (AOU is the one outlier that probably gets bumped up into T1.5)

I think if you wanna call it even with 2021/2022 inflation vs 2019 + audience reduction vs 2019, that’s probably somewhat reasonable. But still things in 2008 are appreciably different from 2019, like IM1 is much stronger than Far from home. 

Edited December 24, 2022 by Legion in Boots

[M37]

2 minutes ago, Legion in Boots said:

Yeah I’m definitely gonna need to get you on the record on this one Mem, you’re way too low. 

My posts are above, feel free to bookmark them

[SchumacherFTW]

1 minute ago, IronJimbo said:

SNOW + COVID + ANIME

Excuses excuses. But Shinkai > Cameron confirmed fo sho. 

[Joyous Legion]

Just now, M37 said:

My posts are above, feel free to bookmark them

[IronJimbo]

Just now, SchumacherFTW said:

Excuses excuses. But Shinkai > Cameron confirmed fo sho. 

When does an excuse become a reason, does the snow need to be 10ft deep in every state of america, or maybe new variant covid-22 that makes people unable to see

[grey ghost]

Anyone else find the Friday nnumber for A2 confusing?

[filmlover]

The Whale has ended up being incredibly frontloaded. A Friday less than half of its wide opening Wednesday that includes Tuesday previews? Guess it's not hitting $10M after all either (though given it was a tough sell, not a surprise).

Edited December 24, 2022 by filmlover

[grey ghost]

Also can anyone explain why Pimp Garfield is flopping.

[WrathOfHan]

Sony and Paramount rn:

 

 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Really heartbreaking to see this slump in movie attendance again when the first half of the year was so promising. 

[The Dark Alfred]

Glad that switched to RO comparison, because TGM showdown would be embarrassing for A2. RO had a better Friday again. Granted the snow situation disadvantaged A2, its gonna have to do the heavy lifting next week to start catching up. Most certainly its going to lose the second weekend in a row to RO.

 

WATERSO SHOWDOWN  - AVATAR 2 VS ROGUE ONE

 

DAY 8: (FRIDAY) AVATAR 19.5m (estimate)

DAY 8: (FRIDAY) ROGUE ONE 22.8m

WATER TEMP: COLD (-3.3m)

CUME: AVATAR 217.2m  VS ROGUE ONE 244.9m

 

SEA LEVEL: MINUS 334m

WATER FLOW: 502m

[Joyous Legion]

Since you gave 450 and I gave 600 I’m going to use 520 as the O/U point.

[XXR & Friends]

16 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

my expectations were above the first film though, if you're going off "lightning in a bottle" it's nothing to do with my expectations.

Unless you're talking about US, China or Japan I heavily disagree with this.

 

It's going to be #2 worldwide (of all time) behind Avatar if you get rid of those 3 regions

 

This is the new goalpost now huh? Looks like 4th to me but lets see what happens....

 

Top 5 Films - DOM - China - Japan

• Avatar = $1,701,652,002
• Endgame = $1,254,723,898
• Titanic = $1,195,893,752
• SM: NWH = $1,066,994,430
• Infinity War = $976,119,471 

 

[XXR & Friends]

7 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Anyone else find the Friday nnumber for A2 confusing?

 

Confusing, how?

 

6 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Also can anyone explain why Pimp Garfield is flopping.

 

Not enough of a draw for families to pay for it. Should still do $70-90M DOM.