MLK Weekend Thread (1/13-16) | 3-day/4-day Estimates: Avatar 32.4M/40.6M, M3GAN 18.26M/21.72M, Puss 14.39M/19.04M, Otto 12.8M/15.33M, Plane 10M/12.03M, House Party 4M/4.73M

[MovieMan89]

Prob strong 25% drop if that Friday number is accurate, DL horrendous at projecting as usual. 

Edited January 14, 2023 by MovieMan89

[The Dark Alfred]

5 hours ago, Krissykins said:

I’m very curious about it. Wish it was getting a proper release here in the UK. 

 

It has limited release. Saw it at PC in London. Tbh I don't get the hype, I didn't like it at all. I'll watch M3gan for the second time, that was fun.

[DAJK]

Otto is a beast locally, not just at my local theatre, but pretty much everywhere I’m looking in pacific British Columbia. If I had no other data on how it’s doing domestically, I’d be looking at these numbers and assuming this was a 30M opener.

[charlie Jatinder]

6.8 (but take 7)

4.8

3.4

2.9

[Porthos]

3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

6.8 (but take 7)

4.8

3.4

2.9

 

Doomposting incoming:

 

[YM!]

4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

6.8 (but take 7)

4.8

3.4

2.9

Way of Water

M3GAN

Plane

Otto or Puss?

[Cooper Legion]

5 minutes ago, YM! said:

Way of Water

M3GAN

Plane

Otto or Puss?

I’m guessing

3.4 Otto

2.9 plane 

puss unlisted 

[charlie Jatinder]

6 minutes ago, YM! said:

Way of Water

M3GAN

Otto

Plane

 

[keysersoze123]

7.27m

[Tokugennumataka]

So I guess Puss played like a horror movie without the Friday the 13th benefits

[Porthos]

12 minutes ago, Porthos said:

19 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

6.8 (but take 7)

4.8

3.4

2.9

 

Doomposting incoming:

 

 

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

7.27m

 

Apocalypse averted.

 

 

Spoiler

DON'T EXPLAIN THE JOKE:
 

Yes I am (very gently) poking fun at people over-reacting to very slight differences in initial projections. 👍

 

[keysersoze123]

I just give raw data without any "adjustment". Charlie has access to larger dataset and should be more accurate but its still early. I think early morning data will be lot closer. Hoping the unreported data matches my very large sample :-)

[GOGODanca]

7m probably gets you 28m 3 day?

[Cooper Legion]

27 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

6.8 (but take 7)

4.8

3.4

2.9

Avatar 28 (taking 6.9 to be nice)

M3G 15 with optimistic Sat

Otto maybe 12 assuming 3.4 true

Plane say 9.5 assuming 2.9 true

Edited January 14, 2023 by Legion in Boots

[M37]

14 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

Is that Otto number TFri, or does it include the previews from new locations on Thursday?

[Ronin46]

15 minutes ago, Legion in Boots said:

I’m guessing

3.4 Otto

2.9 plane 

puss unlisted 

 

What would be your 4 day projections for those movies Legion?

[Ronin46]

Just now, Ronin46 said:

 

What would be your 4 day projections for those movies Legion?

 

Jesus Christ ,answered my question before I had even posted it.

[WorkingonaName]

F in the chats for House Party.

[Cooper Legion]

3 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

 

Jesus Christ ,answered my question before I had even posted it.

Those are 3day though

 

For 4 I would multiply av by 1.26, m3g 1.16, rest 1.18ish

[todos]

 

7.27 👍 

 

And no games played. Awesome few days. 

Edited January 14, 2023 by todos