How many films will surpass $700M at the box office worldwide this year?

[Issac Newton]

2 hours ago, cannastop said:

I think we're underrating the possibility that Elemental goes insane and makes $200 million at the Japanese box office and its WW total is $700m.

Let's defeat Titanic 1st

[cannastop]

20 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Let's defeat Titanic 1st

 

I was not quite serious. ^^

[dudalb]

On 7/11/2023 at 4:17 PM, dudalb said:

SO is Barbie. I think it will do well, but not anywhere near 700 Million.

Boy, was I wrong.

[Mojoguy]

8 minutes ago, dudalb said:

Boy, was I wrong.

You aren't wrong.

 

Barbie won't make $700M DOM... I think.

[Sophie]

11 hours ago, dudalb said:

Boy, was I wrong.

You aren't wrong. 1.3B is nowhere near 700M 

[Sophie]

Is Taylor fucking Swift going to be the one to save 2023 box office?? 

 

Obviously should be very frontloaded, but I'm being told that she could get a $100 domestic opening. And from what I know, Taylor is also quite popular overseas. 

[DAJK]

Wouldn't go as far as 700M yet. Say it opens to 120M. 275 domestic is about where I would expect it to end up (maybe less, maybe more, no clue). Can't imagine it also grossing 400-450M OS as well, for a concert movie. 

 

While these presales are impressive, I don't want to get my expectations out of hand. I remember one of my old staff members (one of the scary-level Swifties) was predicting Amsterdam a best picture win "maybe the biggest movie since Titanic" because Swift was in it. 

[keysersoze123]

23 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Wouldn't go as far as 700M yet. Say it opens to 120M. 275 domestic is about where I would expect it to end up (maybe less, maybe more, no clue). Can't imagine it also grossing 400-450M OS as well, for a concert movie. 

 

While these presales are impressive, I don't want to get my expectations out of hand. I remember one of my old staff members (one of the scary-level Swifties) was predicting Amsterdam a best picture win "maybe the biggest movie since Titanic" because Swift was in it. 

What if it opens to 170m. 120m is too low IMO.

[DAJK]

18 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

What if it opens to 170m. 120m is too low IMO.

Sure, but even then I don’t think it goes over 400. I probably shouldn’t talk about this unless I’m expecting 4B/13 oscar wins though, my friends are Swifties and I don’t want to lose them as such  

[Celedhring]

I know Swift is such a phenom that it's hard to gauge, but concert movies have never done too well internationally. It's not a thing we do. But again, Swifties.

[DAJK]

9 minutes ago, Celedhring said:

I know Swift is such a phenom that it's hard to gauge, but concert movies have never done too well internationally. It's not a thing we do. But again, Swifties.

I dunno, Bohemian Rhapsody is for all intents and purposes a concert movie  

[Sophie]

BTS and MJ both made over 70% overseas. And that's about $190M overseas for MJ. 1D also made almost 60% overseas. 

 

A lot of these concert films aren't even released in very many overseas territories though. Hence why some of them make 90% of their gross domestic. 

 

Taylor, I've been told, will likely gradually release it overseas to match with her actual tour. 

 

I'd say a 50/50 split could be a reasonable expectation, assuming she puts effort into overseas territories. 

[Sophie]

Well, Dune moved to 2024, so that's not good news for this year. 

 

Looks like it comes down to Taylor Swift, The Marvels, and I guess Aquaman. All the others feel like long shots. 

[Willowra]

23 minutes ago, Sophie said:

Well, Dune moved to 2024, so that's not good news for this year. 

 

Looks like it comes down to Taylor Swift, The Marvels, and I guess Aquaman. All the others feel like long shots. 

People are underestimating Wonka

[Valonqar]

6 minutes ago, Willowra said:

People are underestimating Wonka

 

Yeah I'm pulling for Swifties and Wonka to surprise. 

[Bob Train]

Wonka, Taylor Swift, Migration are the best bets. Marvels and Aquaman are highly unlikely even if they are sequels to billion dollar movies for a variety of reasons. Hunger Games has no shot. 

[Willowra]

1 minute ago, Bob Train said:

Wonka, Taylor Swift, Migration are the best bets. Marvels and Aquaman are highly unlikely even if they are sequels to billion dollar movies for a variety of reasons. Hunger Games has no shot. 

Aquaman could do