The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[abracadabra1998]

Also, for records purposes, did we end up knowing what the sneaks/EA for Teenage Turtles was? @Shawn or @across the Jat verse

 

That $3.85 Million number was just Tuesday from what I understand, right?

[vinny2487]

Deadline has Blue Beetle tracking at $30m 

https://deadline.com/2023/08/box-office-blue-beetle-projection-1235456911/

[TheFlatLannister]

On 8/6/2023 at 6:14 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Melbourne-Gainesville greater region 

 

Blue Beetle

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-11

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
150	850	26422	3.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

215

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS

T-11

 

(0.337x) of The Flash

~$3.27M THUR Previews 

 

(0.404x) of Indy 5

~$2.90M THUR Previews

 

(0.570x) of Fast X

~$4.28M THUR Previews

 

(0.580x) of RoTB (New comp courtesy of @M37) 

~$5.10M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $3.89M previews 

 

This was a very great day 

 

BB pace vs Flash $4.93m

Orlando-Melbourne-Gainesville greater region 

 

Blue Beetle

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
164	869	28836	3.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

19

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

14

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS

T-10

 

(0.333x) of The Flash

~$3.23M THUR Previews 

 

(0.406x) of Indy 5

~$2.92M THUR Previews

 

(0.555x) of Fast X

~$4.16M THUR Previews

 

(0.578x) of RoTB 

~$5.08M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $3.84M previews 

 

Back down to earth lol 

 

BB pace vs Flash $4.07M

[TheFlatLannister]

On 8/6/2023 at 6:05 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Melbourne-Gainesville greater region 

 

Strays 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-11

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
138	356	24786	1.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

9

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS

T-11

 

(0.221x) of Oppenheimer 

~$2.32M THUR Previews 

Orlando-Melbourne-Gainesville greater region 

 

Strays 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
138	356	24786	1.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS

T-10

 

(0.236x) of Haunted Mansion

~$730k THUR Previews

 

Zero tickets sold today

 

[TheFlatLannister]

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

The Last Voyage 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
136	369	23118	1.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-3

 

(1.716x) of Talk to me

~$2.14M THUR Previews

 

(1.210x) of Boogeyman

~$1.33M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $1.74M

[misterpepp]

On 8/4/2023 at 6:17 PM, datpepper said:

Hearing Jurassic Park back in theaters in 3D on August 25. Trying to get more info to confirm. If it's wrong, it'll be the second time I've been teased with a possible JP re-release this year!

 

I'm about 90% 100% sure this is happening, more and more evidence is mounting. Will notify when I hear of a ticketing date. Pal of mine thinks Uni is holding off on an official announcement until National Cinema Day details are made widely-known.

 

Does @Brainbug know about this?

Edited August 8, 2023 by datpepper

[HummingLemon]

What do you think the IM for Blue Beetle will be if it has good reception?

 

Edited August 8, 2023 by HummingLemon
font

[Brainbug]

31 minutes ago, datpepper said:

 

I'm about 90% 100% sure this is happening, more and more evidence is mounting. Will notify when I hear of a ticketing date. Pal of mine thinks Uni is holding off on an official announcement until National Cinema Day details are made widely-known.

 

Does @Brainbug know about this?

 

Is it a DOM (US/Canada) thing or a worldwide re-release? I coudnt affort right now to fly to the US to see it ☹️

[HummingLemon]

@TheFlatLannister what do you mean by "Blue Beetle pace vs The Flash"?

 

[ringedmortality]

Oh no

[divesyn]

2 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Melbourne-Gainesville greater region 

 

Strays 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
138	356	24786	1.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS

T-10

 

(0.236x) of Haunted Mansion

~$730k THUR Previews

 

Zero tickets sold today

 

i literally have no words

but a bit curious about the comp choice

[TheFlatLannister]

16 minutes ago, HummingLemon said:

@TheFlatLannister what do you mean by "Blue Beetle pace vs The Flash"?

 

Instead of looking at pure volume of sales, pace looks at daily growth rate, if that makes sense

[TheFlatLannister]

7 minutes ago, divesyn said:

i literally have no words

but a bit curious about the comp choice

I dropped Oppy because even though it is R rated, they just don't really fit in terms of comp. HM was the second best comp I could think of. 

[divesyn]

4 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

I dropped Oppy because even though it is R rated, they just don't really fit in terms of comp. HM was the second best comp I could think of. 

Yeah, I think No Hard Feelings and Joy Ride would be great comps but I don't remember you tracking them

But maybe HM can do the trick, lets see

[misterpepp]

1 hour ago, Brainbug said:

 

Is it a DOM (US/Canada) thing or a worldwide re-release? I coudnt affort right now to fly to the US to see it ☹️

 

It looks like at least the UK will get it the following week on Sep 1, so it might play in other overseas markets.

That being said, the Jaws 3D re-release didn't make its way to Germany, did it? Seems like that release might be the blueprint for this one too.

Edited August 8, 2023 by datpepper

[TwoMisfits]

Okay, when did Disney piss off Cinemark?

 

Checked my 14 this weekend - they DROPPED Haunted Mansion to keep SoF and MI7 and to book a bunch of foreign films.  Like, I have never seen a 2 week Disney run.  I think ever...

 

Anyway, for those who care...(.5 screen still unbooked - probably another foreign film or spillover decision for late night)

 

NEW

Demeter - 1 screen - dump

 

Holdovers

Barbie - 2.5 screens

Oppy - 2.25 screens

Turtles - 1.5 screens

Meg = 1 screen

MI 7 - 1 screen

SoF - 1 screen

Foreign Films (4) - 3.25 screens

 

Dropped - Haunted Mansion, Talk to Me, 1st Slam Dunk, other foreign films

[TwoMisfits]

2nd Cinemark ALSO dropped Haunted Mansion - here's the 12's booking

 

New

Demeter - 1 screen

 

Holdover

Barbie - 1.75 screens 

Oppy - 1.25 screens (1 early show and 3 prime ones - weird set, but a moneymaking one)

Turtles - 2 screens

Meg - 1 screen

Talk to Me - 1 screen

MI 7 - 1 screen

SoF - .25 screen (1 prime showing)

Foreign films (3) - 2.75 screens

 

Dropped - Haunted Mansion

[Cap]

On 8/4/2023 at 7:17 PM, datpepper said:

Hearing Jurassic Park back in theaters

 

 

 

On 8/4/2023 at 7:17 PM, datpepper said:

in 3D

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Gran Turismo (EA)	T-1	Jax	2	2	6	18	841	2.14%
	T-2	Jax	5	7	20	146	960	15.21%
		Phx	1	1	9	91	208	43.75%
		Ral	1	1	5	46	261	17.62%
	Total		7	9	34	283	1,429	19.80%
Last Voyage	T-3	Jax	5	12	3	37	1,387	2.67%
		Phx	6	17	8	42	1,699	2.47%
		Ral	6	15	3	24	1,361	1.76%
	Total		17	44	14	103	4,447	2.32%

 

Last Voyage T-3 comps

 - Black Phone - missed

 - Knock at the Cabin - .609x (884k)

 - Northman - .358x (483k)

 - Green Knight - 1.184x (888k)

 - Talk to Me - 1.01x (1.26m)

 - Beast - 1.304x (1.21m)

 - The Invitation - 2.512x (1.95m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.04m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Gran Turismo (EA)	T-0*	Jax	2	3	6	35	892	3.92%
		Phx	2	2	2	35	123	28.46%
	Total		4	7	8	70	1,015	6.90%
	T-1	Jax	5	7	20	166	960	17.29%
		Phx	1	1	5	96	208	46.15%
		Ral	1	1	10	56	261	21.46%
	Total		7	9	35	318	1,429	22.25%
Last Voyage	T-2	Jax	5	14	4	41	1,563	2.62%
		Phx	6	18	12	54	1,770	3.05%
		Ral	6	15	18	42	1,361	3.09%
	Total		17	47	34	137	4,694	2.92%

*T-0 total includes 8/2 T-0 totals as well.  All three EA days will be in tomorrow's EA T-0 total and will have comps for other final EA sales

 

Last Voyage T-2 comps

 - Renfield - .862x (732k)

 - Black Phone - .428x (1.11m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - .675x (979k)

 - Northman - .388x (524k)

 - Green Knight - .846x (634k)

 - Talk to Me - .993x (1.24m)

 - Beast - 1.212x (1.12m)

 - The Invitation - 2.045x (1.58m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.02m

 

Renfield is likely the best comp, but I didn't start tracking until T-2.  I'm still expecting under a million, and wouldn't be surprised with around 800k.  Some of the comps still look promising though.

 

Last Voyage pace chart:

Movie	3-day pace	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Last Voyage	101.47%	47.06%	33.33%	33.01%
Renfield
Black Phone	103.82%	32.48%
Knock at the Cabin	46.04%	25.18%		20.12%
Northman				22.57%
The Green Knight	200.00%	33.33%		86.21%
Talk to Me	86.49%	50.00%	29.73%	35.29%
Beast	94.83%	34.48%		43.04%
The Invitation				63.41%

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Blue Beetle	T-10	Jax	5	42	5	58	6,627	0.88%
		Phx	6	43	0	58	8,909	0.65%
		Ral	7	25	7	63	3,983	1.58%
	Total		18	110	12	179	19,519	0.92%
Strays	T-10	Jax	6	15	0	15	1,897	0.79%
		Phx	6	23	1	18	3,053	0.59%
		Ral	6	18	0	20	2,703	0.74%
	Total		18	56	1	53	7,653	0.69%
Strays (EA)	T-9	Jax	3	3	0	3	352	0.85%
		Phx	3	3	0	1	403	0.25%
		Ral	4	4	0	3	506	0.59%
	Total		10	10	0	7	1,261	0.56%

 

Strays (Total) T-10 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 1.875x (938k)

 - Joy Ride (Total) - 1.071x (1.18m)

 - 80 for Brady (Total) - .845x (634k)

 - Cocaine Bear - .417x (833k)

 - Violent Night - .968x (1.06m) 

 - Turtles (Total) - .1x (552k)

 

Size adjusted average - 918k

 

Blue Beetle T-10 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - 1.24x (2.49m)

 - Bullet Train - .825x (2.76m)

 - Turtles - .752x (2.9m)

 - Suicide Squad - .593x (2.43m)

 - Shazam 2 - .392x (1.33m)

 - Flash - .142x (1.38m)

 - Morbius - .292x (1.66m)

 

Size adjusted average - 2.66m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Blue Beetle	T-9	Jax	5	42	9	67	6,627	1.01%
		Phx	6	43	4	62	8,909	0.70%
		Ral	8	28	15	78	4,226	1.85%
	Total		19	113	28	207	19,762	1.05%
Strays	T-9	Jax	6	15	3	18	1,897	0.95%
		Phx	6	23	0	18	3,053	0.59%
		Ral	6	18	0	20	2,703	0.74%
	Total		18	56	3	56	7,653	0.73%
Strays (EA)	T-8	Jax	3	3	0	3	352	0.85%
		Phx	3	3	0	1	403	0.25%
		Ral	4	4	3	6	506	1.19%
	Total		10	10	3	10	1,261	0.79%

 

Strays (Total) T-9 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 2.2x (1.1m)

 - Joy Ride (Total) - 1.065x (1.17m)

 - 80 for Brady (Total) - .725x (544k)

 - Cocaine Bear - .449x (898k)

 - Violent Night - .917x (1.01m) 

 - Turtles (Total) - .103x (566k)

 

Size adjusted average - 930k

 

Blue Beetle T-9 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - 1.41x (2.82m)

 - Bullet Train - .859x (2.88m)

 - Turtles - .79x (3.04m)

 - Suicide Squad - .655x (2.69m)

 - Shazam 2 - .444x (1.51m)

 - Flash - .158x (1.53m)

 - Morbius - .313x (1.78m)

 

Size adjusted average - 2.79m