The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[vafrow]

On 10/19/2023 at 6:47 PM, vafrow said:

 

Five Nights at Freddy's, T-7/D2, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Tickets sold: 553

New sales: 257

Growth: 86.8%

Theatres: 10

Showtimes: 32

Tickets per showtime: 17.3

Chains tracked: MTC4, via manual count from chain app

 

COMPS

7.79x Saw X for $15.6M (D2 comp)

34.6x Nun 2 for $107.1M (D2 comp)

10.43x Exorcist Believer for $29.7M (D16 comp)

 

 

It's really good day for FNAF. It basically held pace with Saw X, despite the bigger scale. I didn't think it would match.

 

Growth happened pretty consistently across all 10 theatres as well. Lowest performing theatre is the one of the group that has full weekend advance sales as well, so I think that continues to be a big factor in driving sales.

 

Five Nights at Freddy's, T-6, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Tickets sold: 787

New sales: 234

Growth: 42.3%

Theatres: 10

Showtimes: 32

Tickets per showtime: 24.6

Chains tracked: MTC4, via manual count from chain app

 

COMPS

9.60x Saw X for $19.2M 

20.1x Nun 2 for $62.6M

13.6l57x Exorcist Believer for $38.7M

 

Local single theatre comp

0.88x of ATSV for $15.3M

 

Another really good day. Outpacing the horror comps. I decided to grab ATSV at the single theatre level. Obviously, less reliable indicator, but, probably closer on ATP. It also was constrained by capacity, 

 

ATSV also really over indexed locally. FNAF holding it's own is extremely impressive.

 

What will slow this down is when full weekend sets open at T-3. That'll reduce Thursday demand as people have options for the weekend.

 

Still, even though my region has not been a reliable indicator, I feel theres momentum here.

Edited October 21, 2023 by vafrow

[ThomasNicole]

They’re doing EVERYTHING to fuck this OW 

 

 
 

[TheFlatLannister]

22 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

The Marvels 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-21

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
259	2135	52152	4.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

15

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-21

 

(0.455x) of GOTG3~$7.97M Previews

(1.232x) of Indy 5~$8.87M Previews

Comps AVG: $8.42M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

The Marvels 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-20

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
259	2149	52152	4.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

14

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-20

 

(0.450x) of GOTG3~$7.88M Previews

(1.215x) of Indy 5~$8.75M Previews

Comps AVG: $8.32M

 

Still decreasing against comps

[TheFlatLannister]

1 minute ago, ThomasNicole said:

They’re doing EVERYTHING to fuck this OW 

 

 
 

They don't have any faith in the quality of the film I'm assuming. Peacock isnt big so I doubt OW will see that much of a hit  

[Tinalera]

14 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

They don't have any faith in the quality of the film I'm assuming. Peacock isnt big so I doubt OW will see that much of a hit  

I have to admit streaming a film BEFORE the embargo lifts for its theatre opening.....its certainly a strategy...I donèt know to what ends but strategy nonetheless

 

 

[Giorno]

Mario showed that reviews don't matter, if this movie makes the fans happy then it will print money, unless the screenings lead them to believe it's just boring then the early peacock move makes 0 sense 

[Austin]

54 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
205	3531	38173	9.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

257

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

21

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-6

 

(1.131x) of Flash $10.97M Previews

(0.763x) of ATSV $13.24M Previews

(1.934x) of Fast X $14.50M Previews

(0.624x) of Barbie $13.16M Previews

Comps AVG: $12.97M

 

Super strong day. Looks like exhibitor's got the memo as lots of showings were added today 

Hardly lost pace with Barbie and ATSV comps. Remind me, is this generally the time when both had their review embargos?

[emoviefan]

25 minutes ago, Giorno said:

Mario showed that reviews don't matter, if this movie makes the fans happy then it will print money, unless the screenings lead them to believe it's just boring then the early peacock move makes 0 sense 

Okay we need to stop throwing Mario out as the example of something that was critic proof that made  lots of money. it is just shy of fresh right now at 59%. Far worse reviewed movies have been big hits. The way Universal is treating FNAF it seems like they expect the critics to just kill it and damage it with the GA/casuals. Maybe a misguided strategy but it's what they seem to be doing. 

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S

 

Super strong day. Looks like exhibitor's got the memo as lots of showings were added today 

 

@Shawn... HIS POWAH!!! 

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, ThomasNicole said:

They’re doing EVERYTHING to fuck this OW 

 

 
 

 

FWIW, "a day before release" is misleading as the 26th is the same day as previews, so it's likely being timed to (near-)simultaneous release with previews, which isn't that uncommon.
 

(also, I thought you said something about the embargo being lifted earlier???)

[ThomasNicole]

7 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

FWIW, "a day before release" is misleading as the 26th is the same day as previews, so it's likely being timed to (near-)simultaneous release with previews, which isn't that uncommon.
 

(also, I thought you said something about the embargo being lifted earlier???)

Embargo was October 27 before, after previews and Peacock release.
 

Now it’s October 26, a few hours before previews. 
 

They did changed it, but not much afterall. 
 

Really a pile of bizarre decisions all around, at least it doesn’t seem to be having impact on the presales so far.

[misterpepp]

Thanksgiving on sale Oct 30.

 

Have another fantastic weekend 

[MysteryMovieMogul]

Why is there so much freaking out over FNaF being on Peacock?

[Mojoguy]

3 minutes ago, MysteryMovieMogul said:

Why is there so much freaking out over FNaF being on Peacock?

Because no one has Peacock. That's the joke.

[Flip]

1 hour ago, datpepper said:

Thanksgiving on sale Oct 30.

 

Have another fantastic weekend 

don't know why they're not releasing it on, you know, Thanksgiving weekend. Same thing that happened with Easter Sunday last year.

[TheFlatLannister]

3 hours ago, Austin said:

Hardly lost pace with Barbie and ATSV comps. Remind me, is this generally the time when both had their review embargos?

I'm not sure when those review embargos lifted. I think ATSV was T-3 but im not sure

[Giorno]

IIRC the social embargo for ATSV went off on may 24th and the actual reviews dropped on the 31st

[Porthos]

On 10/20/2023 at 12:21 AM, Porthos said:

 

The Marvels Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-21 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	189	26712	27628	916	3.32%

 

Total Showings Added Today	2
Total Seats Added Today	113
Total Seats Sold Today	14

 

T-21 Comps:

	%		Sold T-21	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Eternal	68.51		116	1337		0/96	14206/15543	8.60%		6409	14.29%		7.36m
GOTG3	29.48		93	3107		0/206	26559/29666	10.47%		10750	8.52%		5.16m
TLM	94.24		60	972		0/154	21676/22648	4.29%		6561	13.96%		9.71m
AtSV	62.74		101	1460		0/123	18436/19896	7.34%		9744	9.40%		10.89m
Flash	110.49		71	829		0/174	23899/24728	3.35%		5327	17.20%		10.72m
Indy 5	98.28		37	932		0/124	18589/19521	4.77%		4767	19.22%		7.08m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of The Marvel's current tickets sold versus that final number.

ETERNAL COMP NOTE:  The Eternals comp has been given an ad-hoc adjustment of 1.13047x  to reflect the difference in ATP between now and late 2021, with the same methodology as explained in this post.

 

Regal:     124/8661  [1.43% sold]
Matinee:    28/2547  [1.10% | 3.06% of all tickets sold]
3D:            66/5039  [1.31% | 7.21% of all tickets sold]

 

The Marvels Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-20 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	189	26684	27628	944	3.42%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

28

 

T-20 Comps:

	%		Sold T-20	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Eternal	66.29		87	1424		0/96	14119/15543	9.16%		6409	14.73%		7.12m
GOTG3	29.66		76	3183		0/206	26483/29666	10.73%		10750	8.78%		5.19m
TLM	91.47		60	1032		0/153	21550/22582	4.57%		6561	14.39%		9.42m
AtSV	60.55		99	1559		0/123	18343/19902	7.83%		9744	9.69%		10.51m
Flash	102.05		96	925		0/178	24217/25142	3.68%		5327	17.72%		9.90m
Indy 5	96.82		43	975		0/124	18546/19521	4.99%		4767	19.80%		6.97m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of The Marvel's current tickets sold versus that final number.

ETERNAL COMP NOTE:  The Eternals comp has been given an ad-hoc adjustment of 1.13047x  to reflect the difference in ATP between now and late 2021, with the same methodology as explained in this post.

 

Regal:     128/8661  [1.48% sold]
Matinee:    28/2547  [1.10% | 2.97% of all tickets sold]
3D:            62/5039  [1.23% | 6.57% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

 

On 10/20/2023 at 12:22 AM, Porthos said:

 

Five Nights At Freddy's Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-7 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	138	16614	19333	2719	14.06%

 

Total Showings Added Today	12
Total Seats Added Today	1304
Total Seats Sold Today	170

 

T-7 Comps:   WARNING - USE MOSTLY FOR DAILY PACE PURPOSES FOR THE BELOW COMPS

	%		Sold T-7	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BA	194.63		123	1397		0/152	21562/22959	6.08%		4494	60.50%		14.60m
Scrm6	269.47		117	1009		0/77	8738/9747	10.35%		3134	86.76%		15.36m
Wick4	155.91		161	1744		0/113	13827/15571	11.20%		5448	49.91%		13.88m
AtSV	89.77		263	3029		0/140	19113/22142	13.68%		9744	27.90%		15.57m
GOTG3	58.71		222	4631		0/207	25352/29983	15.45%		10750	25.29%		10.27m
TLM	112.26		170	2422		0/168	21392/23814	10.17%		6561	41.44%		11.56m
Flash	156.81		74	1734		0/178	23414/25148	6.90%		5327	51.04%		15.21m
Barbie	66.28		440	4102		0/180	17310/21412	19.16%		12077	22.51%		14.78m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of FNAFs current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     554/4382  [12.64% sold]
Matinee:    209/926  [22.57% | 7.69% of all tickets sold]

 

Five Nights At Freddy's Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-6 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	153	18194	21064	2870	13.63%

 

Total Showings Added Today	15
Total Seats Added Today	1731
Total Seats Sold Today	151

 

T-6 Comps:   WARNING - USE MOSTLY FOR DAILY PACE PURPOSES FOR THE BELOW COMPS

	%		Sold T-6	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BA	188.69		124	1521		0/163	22454/23975	6.34%		4494	63.86%		14.15m
Scrm6	267.72		63	1072		0/77	8675/9747	11.00%		3134	91.58%		15.26m
Wick4	151.21		154	1898		0/113	13673/15571	12.19%		5448	52.68%		13.46m
AtSV	87.10		266	3295		0/142	19179/22474	14.66%		9744	29.45%		15.11m
GOTG3	58.00		317	4948		0/226	26866/31814	15.55%		10750	26.70%		10.15m
TLM	111.54		151	2573		0/173	21977/24550	10.48%		6561	43.74%		11.49m
Flash	152.01		154	1888		0/178	23257/25145	7.51%		5327	53.88%		14.75m
Barbie	62.80		468	4570		0/180	17188/21758	21.00%		12077	23.76%		14.00m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of FNAFs current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     576/4382  [13.14% sold]
Matinee:    215/926  [23.22% | 7.49% of all tickets sold]

[ZattMurdock]

9 hours ago, ThomasNicole said:

They’re doing EVERYTHING to fuck this OW 

 

 
 

I knew about this for a month. There are rumors about the film going around saying it’s god awful. Everytime that I come here and people keep talking about how great it will do at the box office feels like I just arrived at a parallel timeline or something.