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Eric the Marxist

DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE WEEKEND THREAD | 211 DOM, 233.1 OS, 444.1 WW | Disney does it again!

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1 minute ago, TheFlatLannister said:

To be expected no? Same thing with OS. Deadpool is just so massive it was bound to suck the air out of the room

I expected more a 20-25% drop which is the norm for movies will lose Imax/PLF screens against big movie.

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1 minute ago, TheFlatLannister said:

To be expected no? Same thing with OS. Deadpool is just so massive it was bound to suck the air out of the room

 

Sucking screens and high-value tickets, yes. But Twisters is still selling pretty well admission wise. Ironically capacity might be more of an issue for that movie this week than Deadpool.

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1 minute ago, Grand Cine said:

I expected more a 20-25% drop which is the norm for movies will lose Imax/PLF screens against big movie.

 

It had a really good Wednesday hold which makes the Thursday look worse. There probably was a rush to get the last of the PLF on Wed, but it's still selling pretty well in standard format.

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4 minutes ago, filmlover said:

And they're likely going to end 2024 strong with Moana and Mufasa. Good comeback year following an underwhelming 2023.

Mufasa has Alice 2 written all over it. Barry Jenkins or not.

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The Twisters drop isn't good, but it's clear Wednesday was boosted because it was the last day of PLFs. If it was a 8-8.5 Wednesday as expected it would seem like a reasonable drop. It can still do mid-30s weekend which would be great considering it's against a $200m opener.

 

Also, looking at past 200m openers, when the 200m opener opened, there were usually no strong holdovers. The highest #2 movie in the face of a 200m opener was Peter Rabbit which only grossed 17m against Black Panther.

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15 minutes ago, Kon said:

In Furiosa's case, many people have a lot of (misplaced) expectatives on that franchise and the character. So, they were just extremely surprised when that movie box office failed miserably.

Furiousa's box office performance was surprising only to those who think twitter popularity is real popularity.

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52 minutes ago, Selma said:

Wonder how reactions in twitter will be when it passes both joker and Oppenheimer 

Normal? I don’t think anyone really expect an action cameo fest of a Deadpool movie to be less popular than a 3 hour drama or a villain origin story (that is a drama in it’s core as well).

 

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2 minutes ago, Bob Train said:

The Twisters drop isn't good, but it's clear Wednesday was boosted because it was the last day of PLFs. If it was a 8-8.5 Wednesday as expected it would seem like a reasonable drop. It can still do mid-30s weekend which would be great considering it's against a $200m opener.

 

Also, looking at past 200m openers, when the 200m opener opened, there were usually no strong holdovers. The highest #2 movie in the face of a 200m opener was Peter Rabbit which only grossed 17m against Black Panther.

 

Yes, because usually studios schedule their films not to open right before a potential $200m opener. :chaplin:

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1 minute ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

Furiousa's box office performance was surprising only to those who think twitter popularity is real popularity.

No, it was surprising because Fury Road was an actually popular movie and Furiosa had pretty decent initial presales before underwhelming on its last week. 
 

This forum’s obsession with going “waaa people on twitter stupid” is insane

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1 hour ago, ThomasNicole said:

This is A+ material

 

If it gets an A, it’ll be a very close to A+ type of A

The posttrak tends to drop a bit by Friday but the early WOM does indicate close to A+ range. 

 

  Posttrak Definite Recommend Cinemascore RT VA
ShangChi 91% 78% A 98%
Free Guys NA NA A 94%
NWH 96% 91% A+ 98%
Batman 87% 71% A- 87%
TGM 96% 84% A+ 99%
Minion 2 87% 71% A 89%
BP:WF 93% 85% A 94%
ATOW 92% 82% A 92%
Mario 94% 82% A 95%
JW4 93% 82% A 93%
GOTG3 91% 82% A 94%
LM 91% 76% A 94%
ATSV 93% 82% A 94%
MI7 90% NA A 94%
Barbie 89% 79% A 83%
Oppen 93% 74% A 91%
Dune 2 94% 80% A 95%
BBRD 90% 84% A- 97%
DM4 82% 63% A 88%
IO2 89% 71% A 96%
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1 minute ago, lorddemaxus said:

No, it was surprising because Fury Road was an actually popular movie and Furiosa had pretty decent initial presales before underwhelming on its last week. 
 

This forum’s obsession with going “waaa people on twitter stupid” is insane

Maybe that's the reason it underwhelmed, because audience outside fanbase and people who like such movies weren't interested.

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There's a lot more to a movie's scheduling than just the second weekend. Twisters will surely get some larger auditoriums back next weekend, especially in the overindexing markets, and it doesn't have much to compete with vibe wise for the entirety of August. It will likely be able to maintain 3500+ theaters until Beetlejuice and that very well may be worth the slight hit it takes this weekend.

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12 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Mufasa has Alice 2 written all over it. Barry Jenkins or not.

Eh, I wouldn't be so sure. That movie (as well as Maleficent 2) was treated like a no1curr leading up to its release, whereas Disney's surely going to push this like an Event (heck, even the teaser knows what it's doing - "Circle of Life" will always bring the goosebumps). Lion King remains their crown jewel. It won't be as huge as the '19 remake obviously, but wouldn't be surprised if, like Despicable Me, folks are underestimating just how powerful the brand is, especially with a Christmas holiday season lacking in 4 quad event movies (Sonic, if it's still coming out this Christmas, will have a harder time grabbing the audience size needed to reach those levels on board).

Edited by filmlover
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4 minutes ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

Mufasa is a wild card 

 

Also, it's not a remake, it's a Disney Live Action..... Movie, a prequel movie.

Haven't you heard? It's a "photo realism" movie.

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