baumer's 2012 Summer Game: Domestic Top 12 Prediction Standings

[Fake]

What are the chances that IA4 makes 155m and Brave 230m by the end of the game?

[laguy03]

Brave is a lock for $230M and I think IA4 should be able to make it to $155M.

[laguy03]

Worldwide Top 5 Standings

As of August 12^th, 2012:

If your prediction is in PURPLE, then you are within $50 MILLION and get 10,000 points!

If your prediction is in BLUE then you are within $75 MILLION and get 5,000 points!

If your prediction is in GREEN then you are within $100 MILLION and get 2,500 points!

If your prediction is in RED then you are over the film's current total by at least $100 MILLION and lose 10,000 points!

MAY

The Avengers (46)

CURRENT TOTAL - $1.46B

Dexter of Suburbia - $1.35B

Baumer- $1.225B

Kayumanggi - $1.211B

Xenomorph - $1.2B

KDS - $1.2B

Chewy - $1.175B

Iceroll Rises - $1.15B

Crusader - $1.15B

Katyperry - $1.15B

ShawnMR - $1.15B

Jajang - $1.128B

Tower - $1.115B

The Dark Alfred - $1.113B

Fake - $1.11B

CJohn - $1.1B

rockNrollaDIM - $1.1B

Lilmac - $1.096B

Townzy89 - $1.089B

Gizmo - $1.075B

Gopher - $1.06B

JohnnY - $1.06B

MovieMan89 - $1.055B

CEDAR - $1.05B

TylerDurden365 - $1.05B

The Dark Zombie Rises - $1.05B

Sixteen16 - $1.037B

Narniadis - $1.035B

Ariadne - $1.03B

Sims - $1.03B

Goffe Rises - $1.025B

JamesFord92 - $1.02B

Phillip - $1.014B

Junkshop36 - $1.013B

Jake Gittes- $1.002B

DAR - $1.0B

Accused Arachnid - $1.0B

Neo - $993M

Michael G Scott - $976M

laguy03 - $974M

24Lost - $950M

Goffe Rises - $940M

Spaghetti - $915M

Hallowed Prince - $905M

Bed005 - $900M

Brand New Rises - $890M

Dav - $850M

MIB 3 (5)

ShawnMR - $770M

Neo - $755M

baumer - $700M

Fake - $640M

CURRENT TOTAL - $621.0M

Tower - $600M

JUNE

Snow White and the Huntsman (3)

Jajang - $888M

Goffe Rises - $725M

Townzy89 - $725M

CURRENT TOTAL - $389.2M

Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted (17)

KDS - $806M

Junkshop36 - $738M

Goffe Rises - $735M

Goffe Rises - $710M

Iceroll Rises - $710M

Accused Arachnid - $700M

rockNrollaDIM - $700M

Crusader - $700M

Jake Gittes - $680.1M

The Dark Zombie Rises - $680M

Katyperry - $680M

Hallowed Prince - $677M

CEDAR - $660M

JohnnY - $650M

Gopher - $630M

Brand New Rises - $610M

laguy03 - $610M

CURRENT TOTAL - $548.1M

Prometheus (2)

Lilmac - $690M

ShawnMR - $625M

CURRENT TOTAL - $310.0M

Brave (23)

Phillip - $867M

Michael G Scott - $775M

Spaghetti - $735M

TylerDurden365 - $735M

MovieMan89 - $732M

Dexter of Suburbia - $730M

DAR - $725M

Lilmac - $720M

Narniadis - $710M

Ariadne - $705M

Sixteen16 - $700.6M

Xenomorph - $700M

Dav - $700M

Chewy - $690M

Sims - $670M

Kayumanggi - $666M

Goffe Rises - $651M

Gizmo - $645M

The Dark Alfred - $635M

24Lost - $630M

CJohn - $625M

Bed005 - $617M

JamesFord92 - $575M

CURRENT TOTAL - $374.3M

JULY

The Amazing Spider Man (42)

Kayumanggi - $1.118B

Accused Arachnid - $1.01B

Neo – $1.008B

Gizmo - $980M

Fake - $970M

Xenomorph – $950M

Tower - $950M

Dexter of Suburbia - $950M

Jajang - $938.5M

CJohn - $915M

JamesFord92 - $908M

CEDAR - $885M

Michael G Scott - $850M

Brand New Rises - $850M

Phillip - $848M

Narniadis - $845M

Junkshop36 - $840M

Sixteen16 - $830.7M

TylerDurden365 - $825M

24Lost - $825M

The Dark Alfred - $813M

KDS - $810M

Chewy - $805M

Jake Gittes - $800M

Iceroll Rises - $800M

The Dark Zombie Rises - $800M

Crusader - $800M

laguy03 - $797M

rockNrollaDIM - $775M

Hallowed Prince - $770M

Gopher - $770M

Townzy89 - $760M

JohnnY - $760M

Katyperry - $750M

Sims - $740M

Baumer - $730M

MovieMan89 - $728M

Ariadne - $720M

DAR - $705M

CURRENT TOTAL - $690.6M

Dav - $675M

Spaghetti - $625M

Bed005 - $586M

Ice Age: Continental Drift (46)

Neo - $1.095B

Dexter of Suburbia - $1.05B

Narniadis - $1.04B

rockNrollaDIM - $1.01B

Hallowed Prince - $993M

Sixteen16 - $985.8M

Gizmo - $955M

MovieMan89 - $952M

Jajang - $932.3M

Spaghetti - $930M

CEDAR - $930M

Junkshop36 - $927M

ShawnMR - $925M

Tower - $920M

KDS - $920M

Sims - $915M

Iceroll Rises - $910M

Townzy89 - $910M

JohnnY - $905M

JamesFord92 - $901M

Xenomorph - $900M

CJohn - $900M

Crusader - $900M

DAR - $895M

Phillip - $893M

TylerDurden365 - $890M

Kayumanggi - $864M

Jake Gittes - $853.3M

The Dark Zombie Rises - $850M

Fake - $850M

Katyperry - $850M

The Dark Alfred - $847M

laguy03 - $845M

Goffe Rises - $843.5M

Dav - $840M

Gopher - $830M

Baumer - $825M

Michael G Scott - $825M

Accused Arachnid - $825M

Ariadne - $815M

Chewy - $810M

24Lost - $800M

Goffe Rises - $795M

Brand New Rises - $790M

CURRENT TOTAL - $764.2M

Lilmac - $750M

Bed005 - $651M

The Dark Knight Rises (46)

Crusader - $1.3B

Chewy - $1.245B

Townzy89 - $1.202B

The Dark Alfred - $1.183B

DAR - $1.18B

rockNrollaDIM - $1.18B

TylerDurden365 - $1.15B

Gizmo - $1.15B

Jake Gittes - $1.126B

The Dark Zombie Rises - $1.125B

Junkshop36 - $1.122B

Iceroll Rises - $1.12B

Gopher - $1.12B

Lilmac - $1.12B

Phillip - $1.113B

Baumer - $1.105B

Brand New Rises - $1.1B

KDS - $1.1B

JamesFord92 - $1.1B

laguy03 - $1.1B

ShawnMR - $1.1B

MovieMan89 - $1.088B

Sixteen16 - $1.085B

Ariadne - $1.08B

JohnnY - $1.08B

Sims - $1.08B

CJohn - $1.075B

Hallowed Prince - $1.075B

Goffe Rises - $1.07B

Goffe Rises - $1.068B

Narniadis - $1.055B

Spaghetti - $1.05B

Fake - $1.05B

Bed005 - $1.05B

24Lost - $1.05B

Katyperry - $1.05B

Kayumanggi - $1.039B

Neo - $1.03B

Michael G Scott - $1.025B

Dav - $1.025B

Tower - $1.02B

Jajang - $1.012B

Xenomorph - $1.0B

CEDAR - $1.0B

Dexter of Suburbia - $975M

Accused Arachnid - $950M

CURRENT TOTAL - $834.9M

[laguy03]

Current Worldwide Top 5 Films of Summer (as of 8.12.12):

1. Marvel's The Avengers - $1,461,891,916

2. The Dark Knight Rises - $834,888,216

3. Ice Age: Continental Drift - $764,194,981

4. The Amazing Spider-Man - $690,564,677

5. MIB 3 - $620,989,557

Current Top 12 Total: $4,372,529,347

[Fake]

Current Worldwide Top 5 Films of Summer (as of 8.12.12):

1. Marvel's The Avengers - $1,461,891,916

2. The Dark Knight Rises - $834,888,216

3. Ice Age: Continental Drift - $764,194,981

4. The Amazing Spider-Man - $690,564,677

5. MIB 3 - $620,989,557

Current Top 12 Total: $4,372,529,347

Projected Top-5 films of the summer:

1. Marvel's The Avengers - $1,480M

2. The Dark Knight Rises - $1000M

3. Ice Age: Continental Drift - $810M

4. The Amazing Spider-Man - $740M

5. MIB 3 - $622M

Edited August 14, 2012 by Fake

[Fake]

Brave is a lock for $230M and I think IA4 should be able to make it to $155M.

Thanks. IA4 is the more uncertain one, yeah. And it should have got there normally. But there are two PG flicks opening this weekend and IA4 might suffer a significant drop.

[baumer]

We're coming down to the final few weeks.

[MovieMan89]

So looks like the summer top 11 will end up roughly like this:1. Avengers - $620m2. TDKR - $425m3. TASM - $260m4. Brave - $235m5. Ted - $220m6. Madagascar 3 - $215m7. MIB3 - $180m8. Ice Age 4 - $160m9. Snow White - $155m10. Prometheus - $125m11. Magic Mike - $115m (unless Expendables opens big enough to beat it with less than 3 weeks)

[Jake Gittes]

Pretty much, give or take 2-3 million.

[baumer]

Expendables, imo, will be big enough to beat MM in three weeks.

[The Dark Alfred]

I doubt that Ice Age would do more than SW.

[iceroll]

If only TBL made a bit more money.

[Fake]

It should be close IMO.Probable IA4 run:After last weekend: 143.7mAug 13-16: $3MAug 17-19: $3.2MAug 20-23: $1.4MAug 24-26: $1.8MAug 27-30: $0.7MAug 31- Sep 3: $1.4MTotal: 155.2MSW should finish around 155m.

[MovieMan89]

IA has been having excellent holds. I see no reason for that to change, and if it doesn't it should eek out Snow White by labor day. ParaNorman is weak competition and shouldn't hurt it anymore than Wimpy Kid.

[rockNrollaDIM]

No Bourne... blagh.

[baumer]

No Bourne... blagh.

Probably not. But then again, it could have incredible holds and finish above Expendables.

[Cedarpoint1111]

My top 11 will be awful if bourne doesn't make it.

[iceroll]

My top 11 will be awful if bourne doesn't make it.

Same Stupid Magic Mike.

[baumer]

I need TE2 to finish in the top 11, then my only blemish is ROA.

[rockNrollaDIM]

Baumer you have high hopes for TE. Is it tracking strongly?