Jump to content

Corpse

JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

Recommended Posts



Quote
Image
(C)2016 Disney Enterprises, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Weekend Actuals (07/02-03)/2016年07月02日-2016年07月03日
01 (---) ¥425,457,700 ($4.15 million), 0, ¥531,330,000 ($5.2 million), Alice Through the Looking Glass (Disney) NEW
02 (01) ¥180,917,900 ($1.77 million), -30%, ¥670,751,300 ($6.4 million), Too Young To Die! (Toho/Asmik Ace) WK2
03 (02) ¥111,121,500 ($1.09 million), -35%, ¥7,408,479,300 ($68.6 million), Zootopia (Disney) WK11
04 (03) ¥90,062,400 ($879,000), -39%, ¥1,829,179,800 ($17.2 million), Evergreen Love (Shochiku) WK5
05 (04) ¥84,612,400 ($826,000), -40%, ¥685,146,900 ($6.4 million), Sadako vs Kayako (Kadokawa) WK3
06 (---) ¥78,935,000 ($771,000), 0, ¥78,935,000 ($771,000), Anpanman: Nanda and the Runda of the Toy Star (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) NEW
07 (05) ¥64,663,200 ($631,000), -43%, ¥1,460,816,500 ($13.8 million), 64: Part 2 (Toho) WK4
08 (08) ¥50,521,300 ($493,000), -29%, ¥212,816,300 ($2.0 million), The Worst Bad Guys in Japan (Toei) WK2
09 (06) ¥46,379,400 ($453,000), -58%, ¥1,937,805,600 ($18.3 million), Deadpool (Fox) WK5
10 (07) ¥45,178,600 ($440,000), -41%, ¥483,669,100 ($4.6 million), Creepy (Shochiku) WK3


>Alice Through the Looking Glass finally made it to Japan in hopes of kicking off the Summer Box Office, and while it did enjoy the best opening weekend since April (not saying much considering May and June are weak months...), it mostly disappointed.

The sequel to Walt Disney's most-successful live-action film (both in opening weekend and overall total) only sold 273,209 tickets over the weekend frame across an enormous 979 screen count. And since opening on Friday, it still only managed to sell 370,000 admissions over its three-day opening. If this was just Disney's latest live-action fairy tale, the debut wouldn't be too bad (though still 38% behind Maleficent and 23% behind Cinderella), but considering the success of the first film, the empty market, and a prime release date... it's poor, regardless.

Walt Disney and theaters were certainly hoping for much, much more, given it was playing on nearly 1,000 screens (3rd highest screen count of all-time), and with the most available seats I've ever seen as well. It only managed to fill about 11% of its seats over the weekend frame; averaging a dismal 29 people per showing and 279 people per screen...

There is a bit of hope in the way of potential good legs, though, since it hasn't shown any early signs of frontloading, managing to increase on both Saturday and Sunday. But this opening can only get it so high, so it'll be aiming for a total of ¥3.5 billion (~$35 million), or maybe ¥4 billion (~$40 million) if it's able to hang in there until Obon Week next month. 

>Too Young To Die! held quite well in its second frame; exceeding the 500,000 admissions mark over the weekend. It's certainly a lock now to exceed the ¥1 billion (~$10 million) milestone, and may just be able to reach ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million) as well. Not too bad, especially considering its delayed release.

>Zootopia survived the release of Alice pretty well, though it did experience its largest drop-to-date due to significant seating/screen loss. But now that summer is about to kick into high gear with many big films coming up, and with the announcement of the DVD/Blu-Ray next month, it won't be able to recover. Still, it's sold over 5.7 million admissions so far, and will come quite close to reaching the ¥8 billion (~$75 million) milestone; incredible performance. 

>Anpanman: Nanda and the Runda of the Toy Star misses the Top 5, selling 66,555 tickets over the weekend on just 184 screens. The opening is 8% lower than last year's film, but 10% higher than 2014's film, as the popular children's character continues its very consistent box office appeal.

Outside of the Top 10, Warcraft received a limited release in the market, earning ¥27,907,900 ($292,000) on 21,450 admissions on 47 screens since opening on Friday. Needless to say, this disappointing start answers the question of whether the property is well-known in Japan.

Looks like my estimation of ALice 2's Sat+Sun of ¥425M was correct!

Edited by cannastop
  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Corpse :

 

Biggest Eleventh Weekends [Wknd Rank]/Eleventh Week Totals -> Final Totals (2001-)

¥700.3 million (-13%) [1st] / ¥19.85 billion -> ¥25.48 billion - Frozen (2014)
¥435.0 million (-15%) [1st] / ¥23.60 billion -> ¥30.40 billion - Spirited Away (2001)
¥323.1 million (-08%) [2nd] / ¥18.98 billion -> ¥20.30 billion - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥311.8 million (-13%) [3rd] / ¥13.23 billion -> ¥15.60 billion - Avatar (2009)
¥252.8 million (-18%) [3rd] / ¥16.85 billion -> ¥19.60 billion - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥218.5 million (-25%) [2nd] / ¥11.82 billion -> ¥13.70 billion - The Last Samurai (2003)
¥185.5 million (-13%) [3rd] / ¥16.18 billion -> ¥17.30 billion - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥147.9 million (-34%) [3rd]/ ¥16.23 billion -> ¥17.35 billion - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥119.8 million (-33%) [5th] / ¥12.93 billion -> ¥13.50 billion - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥111.1 million (-35%) [3rd] / ¥7.41 billion -> ¥?.?? billion - Zootopia (2016)
¥101.7 million (-44%) [5th] / ¥11.31 billion -> ¥12.02 billion - The Wind Rises (2013)

¥100 million+

 

Another incredible accomplishment for Zootopia by making the Biggest Eleventh Weekends list. Its eleventh weekend is down 75% compared to its opening weekend, giving it the best opening weekend -> eleventh weekend retention on the list after: Frozen (-8%...), Avatar (-47%), and Spirited Away (-57%).

And seven of the other ten films still on the list are in the Top 10 Highest-Grossing Films of All-Time as well, with The Last Samurai, Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban, and The Wind Rises being the three on the outside ranking eleventh, twelfth, and seventeenth on the all-time chart, respectively.

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Corpse sez:

 

Quote

Zootopia appears like it's slowing down considerably now, so I don't think it's going to reach ¥8 billion; rather it's probably going to finish with ¥7.7/7.8 billion, which is still phenomenal. 

I have no doubt that One Piece Film Gold will have a mammoth opening weekend, perhaps the biggest of the year and one of the biggest ever. It's going to receive the widest release ever for a domestic film, debuting on a huge 743 screens in three weeks. By comparison, the last film opened on just 300 screens and delivered the second biggest opening for a domestic film at the time by selling over 1.1 million admissions. 

And with the advantage of higher ticket prices by being first One Piece film to be released since the tax hike, and the first to be released in 3D, MX4D, 4DX... it's going to be big. It'll need a 16% increase in gross, not just admissions, over the last film to reach ¥8 billion, which should be enough to outgross Zootopia, but will it? I'd say it's 50/50 right now. I'll definitely be tracking it once seating becomes available for it, which should be pretty soon.

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



6 hours ago, cannastop said:

Finding Dory is going to have to look out for One Piece Film Gold as well.

 

Monsters U did just fine against The Wind Rises (¥12B+ grosser).  Toy Story 3 also didn't seem to be fazed much by being sandwiched in between the combo of Bayside Shakedown 3 & The Borrower Arriety (¥16B+ combined). If it's WOM is great, competition won't matter. It'll have a slightly larger drop in weekend 2 due to screen loss and such but will recover nicely after that as One Piece fizzles (since that movie will likely be as frontloaded as its predecessors). If Pixar can hold its own against  Ghibli, then this shouldn't be a problem (barring average or poor WOM obviously).

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-12292.html

 

Seat Counts for Friday, July 8

rank seats  shows  avg seats theat screens

*1 660893 2233 296.0 225 350 64.3% アリス・イン・ワンダーランド/時間の旅 (Alice 2)
*2 182350 1001 182.2 204 288 70.8% TOO YOUNG TO DIE! 若くして死ぬ (Too Young to Die)
*3 114973 *723 159.0 212 320 66.2% 64-ロクヨン-後編 (64 Part 2)
*4 102194 *583 175.3 143 182 78.6% それいけ!アンパンマン おもちゃの星のナンダとルンダ (Anpanman 2016)
*5 *96987 *341 284.4 111 **0 ***** インデペンデンス・デイ:リサージェンス (Independence Day 2)
*6 *93497 *417 224.2 117 297 39.4% インデペンデンス・デイ:リサージェンス(MX4D・3D・吹替版)(Independence Day 2)
*7 *90365 *564 160.2 212 307 69.1% 植物図鑑 運命の恋、ひろいました (Evergreen Love)
*8 *77913 *538 144.8 210 302 69.5% 貞子vs伽椰子 (Sadako vs. Kayako)
*9 *72459 *422 171.7 *87 *85 102.4% 存在する理由 DOCUMENTARY of AKB48 (AKB48 Movie)
10 *68321 *476 143.5 184 256 71.9% クリーピー 偽りの隣人 (Creepy)
11 *56104 *322 174.2 215 348 61.8% ズートピア (Zootopia)

 

Combined, Independence Day 2 has 190,484 seats on Friday. Saturday is its "official" release date, so I think it might get some more seats the next day.

 

Also, this is the last weekend where Zootopia will have significant sales.

Link to comment
Share on other sites



Seat counts for Saturday, July 9th, 2016

rank seats   shows  avg seats theater screens % of overall market

*1 652146 2125 306.9 231 359 64.3% インデペンデンス・デイ:リサージェンス (Independence Day 2)
*2 452786 1964 230.5 230 351 65.5% アリス・イン・ワンダーランド/時間の旅 (Alice 2)
*3 150150 *940 159.7 212 279 76.0% TOO YOUNG TO DIE! 若くして死ぬ (Too Young to Die)
*4 *90235 *547 165.0 144 176 81.8% それいけ!アンパンマン おもちゃの星のナンダとルンダ (Anpanman 2016)
*5 *82514 *595 138.7 218 320 68.1% 64-ロクヨン-後編 (64 Part 2)
*6 *81090 *541 149.9 216 307 70.4% 植物図鑑 運命の恋、ひろいました (Evergreen Love)
*7 *74742 *444 168.3 223 348 64.1% ズートピア(Zootopia)
*8 *71624 *493 145.3 213 302 70.5% 貞子vs伽椰子(Sadako vs. Kayako)
*9 *66987 *414 161.8 *87 109 79.8% 存在する理由 DOCUMENTARY of AKB48(AKB48 Documentary)
10 *49111 *351 139.9 187 256 73.0% クリーピー 偽りの隣人(Creepy)

 

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-12308.html

 

Looks like Independence Day 2 is the only big release this week. For a Zootopia fan like me, it's nice to see that it got a little bit of a boost on its last significant weekend in Japan.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



2 minutes ago, ttr said:

 

@cannastop Do you have any idea how AiW2 has done during weekdays? Already bombing or...

 

Alice 2 was a disappointment on its first weekend. ¥425m on its first weekend is not impressive, especially when it had nearly every big screen in the country.

 

Wednesday is a day when women can get discounted movie tickets in Japan, so I'll use that as a baseline.

 

According to this:

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-12291.html

 

On Wednesday, July 06, Alice 2 sold 37,303 tickets from the sampled Japanese cinema chains. That's its 1st Wednesday.

 

We can see here:

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-11490.html

That Zootopia sold 31,937 tickets from the sampled Japanese theaters on Wednesday, May 18. This was Zootopia's 4th Wednesday.

 

So no, Alice 2 isn't doing so well, especially considering that big competition is coming up on July 16th with a Pokemon movie and Finding Dory.

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Preorders for Saturday July 09, 2016

 

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-12326.html

 

rank tickets                                  percent of last week

*1 24255 325188 1029 151 ****** インデペンデンス・デイ:リサージェンス(Independece Day 2)
*2 *9092 208773 *889 152 *39.6% アリス・イン・ワンダーランド/時間の旅(Alice 2)

 

ID2 has around the same level of sales as Alice 2 did last week, so I guess it will debut above ¥400m. Alice 2 might have a 50% drop this week, which is huge for the Japanese market.

Edited by cannastop
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Corpse sez:

 

Quote

Image
(C) 2016 Twentieth Century Fox Film Corporation All Rights Reserved

Weekend Forecast (07/09-10)/2016年07月09日-2016年07月10日
01 (---) ¥450,000,000 ($4.5 million), 0, ¥500,000,000 ($5.0 million), Independence Day: Resurgence (Fox) NEW
02 (01) ¥255,000,000 ($2.5 million), -40%, ¥1,135,000,000 ($11.0 million), Alice Through the Looking Glass (Disney) WK2
03 (02) ¥124,000,000 ($1.2 million), -31%, ¥925,000,000 ($8.9 million), Too Young To Die! (Toho/Asmik Ace) WK3
04 (03) ¥72,000,000 ($720,000), -35%, ¥7,520,000,000 ($69.7 million), Zootopia (Disney) WK12
05 (04) ¥51,000,000 ($505,000), -44%, ¥1,930,000,000 ($18.2 million), Evergreen Love (Shochiku) WK6
06 (05) ¥47,000,000 ($465,000), -45%, ¥780,000,000 ($7.4 million), Sadako vs Kayako (Kadokawa) WK4
07 (06) ¥46,000,000 ($455,000), -42%, ¥155,000,000 ($1.5 million), Anpanman: Nanda and the Runda of the Toy Star (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) WK2
08 (---) ¥45,000,000 ($450,000), 0, ¥55,000,000 ($550,000), Documentary of AKB48 (Toho Video Division) NEW
09 (---) ¥40,000,000 ($400,000), 0, ¥40,000,000 ($400,000), Kingsglaive: Final Fantasy XV (Aniplex) NEW
10 (07) ¥31,000,000 ($310,000), -52%, ¥1,540,000,000 ($14.6 million), 64: Part 2 (Toho) WK5


Well... we'll have to wait another week until anything truly exciting opens and ignites the box office.

Independence Day: Resurgence, based on pre-sales and morning/afternoon ticket sales, doesn't appear to be performing well enough to suggest an opening weekend above ¥500 million - which should have come pretty easily. 

The original film was a massive success in Japan, becoming the market's fourth film to ever earn over ¥10 billion. The era of the disaster film is long since gone, though, and Japan's marketplace is significantly different than it was twenty years ago. But still... an opening similar to the forecast can only get it to around ¥3 billion ($30 million), down over 70% compared to its predecessor.

The only good news coming from Alice Through the Looking Glass and, likely, Independence Day: Resurgence disappointing is that it'll allow July's other big films (which already have more potential) plenty of seating/showtimes when they open. So, hopefully, Finding Dory, One Piece Film Gold, and Godzilla: Resurgence are able to take full advantage of July's early disappointments.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 6/29/2016 at 10:48 PM, Planodisney said:

Dory and Pokemon released on the same day!!!

Hmmmm

Will this hurt Dory?

No.  Finding Dory will fin-slap Pokemon and then more.  Ever since the second film of the Black and White series of Pokemon, the franchise has been entering a gradual downward spiral in terms of both admissions and gross at the Japan box office scene.  The most recent film: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages managed to grab the dubious honor of being the lowest grossing film in the franchise. Diancie and the Cocoon of Destruction, the first film in the XY series was unable to gross over Y3 billion and Hoopa and the Clash of Ages dropped below a disheartening Y2.5 billion.  If the trend continues, Pokemon may not even be considered apart of the Top 4 annual film franchises in the Japan box office scene, defeated by the likes of Crayon Shin and magical girls.  What's even more lugubrious is the fact that the ratings for the Pokemon anime are no longer strong enough to merit being in the Top 10.  Local series YoKai has managed to defeat Pokemon in every medium across Japan and continues to dominate the gaming, television, film, merchandise, and polling scenes where it has managed to dethrone Pokemon in every aspect locally.  The only quirk Pokemon has going for its brand is the global population which continues to strengthen Pokemon's popularity (continued growth even after 20 years!) and sales: the top selling 3DS game is Pokemon X and Y and the 3rd best selling 3DS game is Pokemon Alpha Sapphire and Omega Ruby.  Label the Volcanion film a success if it manages to open above Y250 million which is a considerable 44% drop from the opening weekends of Pokemon's heydays!  However, the anime and films are meant to act as nothing more than marketing caricatures for the Pokemon brand and the higher ups can decide to discontinue the franchise any time if deemed nonprofitable.  Hopefully the film team have learned their long-due lesson and begin churning out quality films relatable to today's audience and things can take off for the anime/film department of Pokemon because the games are leaving them in the dust as X/Y, OR/AS, and Pokken have sold over a staggering 27.5 million copies worldwide!  The Pokemon mobile scene continues to grow as well as Pokemon Shuffle, Pokemon Go, and other titles have amassed over 2 million downloads and Pokemon Go helped Nintendo's stocks to surge by a whopping 13%!  

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites







Data from 14:00, Saturday July 09, 2016.

 

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-12327.html

 

rank sales  avail seats  shows avg seat % of last week

*1 49689 262125 845 232 ****** インデペンデンス・デイ:リサージェンス (Indepdenence Day 2)
*2 27858 195155 856 231 *86.1% アリス・イン・ワンダーランド/時間の旅 (Alice 2)
*3 13680 *72015 441 145 *93.7% それいけ!アンパンマン おもちゃの星のナンダとルンダ (Anpanman 2016)
*4 10776 *48012 283 224 108.0% ズートピア (Zootopia)
*5 10497 *62074 390 213 *95.6% TOO YOUNG TO DIE! 若くして死ぬ (Too Young to Die)
*6 *6275 *35756 243 218 *76.1% 植物図鑑 運命の恋、ひろいました (Evergreen Love)
*7 *4425 *12224 *76 *35 ****** KINGSGLAIVE FINAL FANTASY XV
*8 *3734 *39831 289 219 *67.3% 64-ロクヨン-後編 (64 Part 2)

 

All of the holdovers are hanging on exceptionally well. All of them. Much better than I or corpse expected! One of them even increased. :shades: Even Independence Day 2 is doing a lot better than Alice 2 did last week.

Edited by cannastop
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



6 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Well, it's a very small release, so I don't know what you can expect. Overall, I'd say no, just by going by the latest data.

 

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-12327.html

I mean for a movie released only in a handful of theatres, It's also not doing well? Hmm. Well hopefully they give it a wide release eventually, considering it seems to be continuously getting rave reviews(specially for a movie based on a video game).

Link to comment
Share on other sites



Corpse sez:

 

Quote

Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (Two-Thirds of Overall Market)

[Sat., 07/09]
TW (LW) Admissions (% change), [Theaters/Showings], Film (Dis.) Week of Release
01 (---) 129,869 (------), [232/2,127], Independence Day: Resurgence (Fox) NEW
02 (01) 63,729 (-21%), [231/1,967], Alice Through the Looking Glass (Disney) WK2
03 (02) 29,194 (-15%), [213/938], Too Young To Die! (Toho/Asmik Ace) WK3
04 (04) 18,930 (+08%), [224/444], Zootopia (Disney) WK12
05 (03) 16,520 (-10%), [145/551], Anpanman: Nanda and the Runda of the Toy Star (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) WK2
06 (05) 13,777 (-14%), [218/543], Evergreen Love (Shochiku) WK6
07 (06) 11,102 (-27%), [213/493], Sadako vs. Kayako (Kadokawa) WK4
08 (---) 9,286 (------), [35/181], Kingsglaive: Final Fantasy XV (Aniplex) NEW
09 (07) 7,165 (-41%), [219/595], 64: Part 2 (Toho) WK5
10 (---) 6,406 (------), [88/419], Documentary of AKB48 (Toho Video Division) NEW
11 (11) 5,298 (-33%), [31/80], BIGBANG: Made in Korea (Avex Pictures) WK2
12 (08) 4,972 (-42%), [118/298], The Worst Bad Guys in Japan (Toei) WK3
13 (10) 4,715 (-44%), [188/352], Creepy (Shochiku) WK4
14 (09) 4,061 (-52%), [183/215], Deadpool (Fox) WK6
15 (12) 3,832 (-29%), [28/66], Documentary of Kyosuke Himuro (Toho Video Division) WK2
16 (13) 3,562 (-28%), [6/11], Tsu Prince-sama Song o Maji LOVE LIVE 5th STAGE (Live-Viewing) WK2
17 (16) 3,202 (-20%), [27/55], Er ist wieder da (Gaga) WK4
18 (15) 3,091 (-35%), [158/166], Wolf Girl and Black Prince (Warner Bros.) WK7
19 (---) 2,900 (------), [30/119], The Conjuring 2 (Warner Bros.) NEW
20 (18) 2,591 (-22%), [25/82], Setoutsumi (Broad Media Studios) WK2
21 (19) 2,105 (-29%), [154/174], Mars (Showgate) WK4
22 (23) 1,848 (-14%), [200/201], Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Toho) WK13
23 (---) 1,818 (------), [19/77], Pele: Birth of a Legend (Asmik Ace) NEW
24 (14) 1,661 (-66%), [34/100], Warcraft (Toho-Towa) WK2
25 (22) 1,652 (-25%), [11/30], Brooklyn (Fox) WK2


Quite strong for Independence Day: Resurgence. It's in position to deliver the biggest opening since Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare from 13 weeks ago, looking to debut above the ¥500 million ($5 million+) mark, maybe even ¥600 million ($6 million+) if Sunday is generous. 

An opening on this level should give it a final total around ¥4 billion ($40 million), and while that's down over 60% compared to its massive predecessor, it's still a good result and easily its best showing overseas, after China.

Saturday was very kind to the majority of holdovers: Alice Through the Looking Glass is holding strong in its second frame; Too Young To Die! continues its nice surprise run; and Zootopia is up, and looking for a potential weekend increase in its twelfth week of rlease.

 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites



I just read about tickets for the Sword Art Online movie going on sale next week, and I'm curious about a couple of things. 1: Why the hell start doing ticket sales for a movie not even coming out this year NOW?! 

2: Why if a film has that level of demand to open sales now, would that film be restricted to 150 cinemas?

Link to comment
Share on other sites



2 minutes ago, SchumacherFTW said:

I just read about tickets for the Sword Art Online movie going on sale next week, and I'm curious about a couple of things. 1: Why the hell start doing ticket sales for a movie not even coming out this year NOW?! 

2: Why if a film has that level of demand to open sales now, would that film be restricted to 150 cinemas?

Dunno about the first question.

 

150 cinemas is a relatively wide release in Japan, btw.


Corpse sez:

 

Quote

Theater Count Key:
N/A (No Listed Locations)
100 > Limited Release 
100 < Wide Release
200 < Moderate Release
300 < Significant Release
350 < Optimal Release (rare)

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites



Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.