Weekend Actuals page 66 TA: 55.6m BS: 25.5m ; SW EP1 $293!

[AniNate]

There's a simple explanation for any movie being low-balled: People want to be safe.

[druv10]

There's a simple explanation for any movie being low-balled: People want to be safe.

No doubt but when Variety said with a 29M Friday TA will have hard time breaking the 2nd weekend record, they look clueless. They lost credibility in my book.

[Jake Gittes]

Boxoffice ‏@Boxoffice

Official Friday domestic estimate: $15.308 million for THE AVENGERS from 4,249 locations. Location avg. = $3,603.

[Rudolf]

There's a simple explanation for any movie being low-balled: People want to be safe.

but a good predictor has to be too high half the time

[Shawn Robbins]

I believe this to. She will give her opinion occasionally like "Not a record" title but numbers come from her sources.

Even that's not her opinion either. Her sources told her it wasn't a record, so she reported it.Its an absolutely hilarious tagline that this forum will always remember, but, it wasn't her opinion. She was misinformed.

[Olive]

‏@giteshpandya

#Avengers still #1 this wknd w/ $15.3M FRI heading to about $53M wknd. Shd end domestic run near $600M.

[Rudolf]

15.308 is 2.06 times what IM2 did

[druv10]

BO.com is predicting 56M for TA.

[Shawn Robbins]

but a good predictor has to be too high half the time

Predicting high that much reflects much more poorly than predicting low. That's a major reason that publications frequently try to low-ball films' performances. They lose their credibility when they overshoot on a consistent basis.

[druv10]

What happened to 16M Friday?

[Shawn Robbins]

Avengers will hit at least $56-57m, IMO. Wouldn't rule out a huge increase today (over 60%). Sub-$55m would be just a tad bit disappointing considering its run up until this point, but, still nothing to knock. Audiences are probably saving their money for next weekend.

[Jake Gittes]

If it follows the third weekend IM of Iron Man (which is closest to TA in WOM and numbers), it'll make $56.3m (45.4% drop)If it follows IM2: $53.5mWolverine: $53.9mThor: $54.4mSpider-Man 3: $55.7m

[Shawn Robbins]

To be fair, if it had followed Iron Man (or Spidey 1), it would be heading toward at least $60m. Still could, but, I guess it had to start losing pace with them eventually.

[kyky]

Predicting high that much reflects much more poorly than predicting low. That's a major reason that publications frequently try to low-ball films' performances. They lose their credibility when they overshoot on a consistent basis.

but bo.com long range forecasts are mostly overpredicted. and i'm surprised cos you used to be more conservative

[druv10]

I am disappointed in the Friday increase for TA. It didn't even hit 150%.

[stuart360]

If it follows the third weekend IM of Iron Man (which is closest to TA in WOM and numbers), it'll make $56.3m (45.4% drop)If it follows IM2: $53.5mWolverine: $53.9mThor: $54.4mSpider-Man 3: $55.7m

People keep saying i'm lowballing this even though its daily numbers are right about what i predicted, i even said 55mil for this weekend and people said i was lowballing it.

[Shawn Robbins]

but bo.com long range forecasts are mostly overpredicted. and i'm surprised cos you used to be more conservative

The numbers in those reports are an average across the staff, not my individual numbers. I'm only one voice.My personal predictions are always on BOT. Edited May 19, 2012 by ShawnMR

[ZattMurdock]

I still think it'll go for $60m+

[kyky]

The numbers in those reports are an average across the staff, not my individual numbers. I'm only one voice.My personal predictions are always on BOT.

ah i see. Edited May 19, 2012 by ShawnMR

[druv10]

People keep saying i'm lowballing this even though its daily numbers are right about what i predicted, i even said 55mil for this weekend and people said i was lowballing it.

You said 570M total. I can't see TA missing 600M.