JackO Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Why does it say TA - 11-12m on the thread title? Did nikki once again overestimate its friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Totem Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Why does it say TA - 11-12m on the thread title? Did nikki once again overestimate its friday?That would be rth's estimate which is apparently more accurate than Nikki, I would prefer Nikki numbers in the thread title. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StarSaber Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Maybe I'm weird but I found this interesting: Both Hunger Games and How to Train Your Dragon were released late March, were in the top 3 for exactly 7 weeks, Top 5 for exactly 8 weeks, and (if HG is in the top 10) top 10 for 10 weeks as of Memorial Day. HG was #1 for 4 weeks, HTTYD #1 for 2 weeks (almost 3). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bapi Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 So with 300M budget... another huge dissapointment of this summer, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Here’s the Top Ten (based on Friday estimates). Full analysis in the AM: 1. Men in Black 3 3D (Columbia/Sony) NEW [4,248 Theaters] PG13 Friday $18M, 4-Day Weekend $75M 2. Marvel’s The Avengers 3D (Disney) Week 4 [3,918 Theaters] PG13 Friday $9.5M, 4-Day Weekend $45M, Cume $523.5M 3. Chernobyl Diaries (Alcon/Warner Bros) NEW [2,433 Theaters] R Friday $3.5M, 4-Day Weekend $11.5M 3. Battleship (Universal) Week 2 [3,702 Theaters] PG13 Friday $2.8M (-69%), 4-Day Weekend $13.5M, Cume $43.3M 5. The Dictator (Paramount) Week 2 [3,014 Theaters] R Friday $2.6M (-53%), 4-Day Weekend $11.5M, Cume $43.3M 6. Dark Shadows 3D (Warner Bros) Week 3 [3,404 Theaters] PG13 Friday $2.1M, 4-Day Weekend $9.5M, Cume $65.0M 7. What To Expect When You’re Expecting (Lionsgate) Week 2 [3,021 Theaters] PG13 Friday $2.1M (-43%), 4-Day Weekend $9.0M, Cume $24.0M 8. Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (Fox Searchlight) Week 4 [1,233 Theaters] PG13 Friday $1.8M, 4-Day Weekend $9.0M, Cume $17.9M 9. The Hunger Games (Lionsgate) Week 10 [1,421 Theaters] PG13 Friday $625K, 4-Day Weekend $2.7M, Cume $395.7M 10. Think Like A Man (Screen Gems/Sony) Week 6 [786 Theaters] PG13 Friday$450K, 4-Day Weekend $2.0M, Cume $88.9M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackO Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Great for Marigold Hotel! Meh for MIB 3 @ Chernobyl DiariesGood for Avengers as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magic Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Hopefully Rth gives us another update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kyky Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 i believe RTH said 18M is not happening, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Totem Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Good hold for THG, not bad for The Dictator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StarSaber Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 (edited) He said there was an outside chance but that was before Nikki posted at all, she's already updated twice. I think he posted a little early. Maybe if he updates again we'll have a better idea. Edited May 26, 2012 by TheLombax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snitch Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 So with 300M budget... another huge dissapointment of this summer, right?I'd say no. It restarts a dead franchise and really- no one asked for a a 3rd MiB movie yet here it is and i will make more than 550 m WW and it has a positive buzz . It means that a MiB 4 should be in the works and that people would want to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 (edited) Based on those numbers, the top 10 gross is $188.7m for the 4-day. Pretty meh. Last year's top 12 grossed $268.3m, but it's better than 2010's $184.2m.It will ensure this May falls behind last May. Edited May 26, 2012 by lab276 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BK007 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Understandable when a movie you like appears to be underperforming. But a lot of us liked the Avengers a lot and watching it reach milestones is pretty fun.I agree with lab. Seeing multiple films doing well is infinitely more interesting. Plus, it also means that threads won't be continuously dominated by the monotonous fanboy dreck. When movie after movie disappoints it doesn't just become boring but you lose interest rapidly. There's no fun in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTX Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 I can't believe MIB hit 18M. Where did that come from?? I saw no sellouts yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Totem Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Great number for Marigold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StarSaber Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Last May had more films that were guaranteed to make money. Thor, Kung Fu Panda, Hangover, and Pirates; and then ones that did unexpectedly well like Fast Five and Bridesmaids. Only Avengers and Men in Black had a built in fanbase this year, and movies like Dark Shadows and Battleship were deemed uninteresting. It seems that it is no surprise that this May did worse than last May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTX Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Maybe I'm weird but I found this interesting: Both Hunger Games and How to Train Your Dragon were released late March, were in the top 3 for exactly 7 weeks, Top 5 for exactly 8 weeks, and (if HG is in the top 10) top 10 for 10 weeks as of Memorial Day. HG was #1 for 4 weeks, HTTYD #1 for 2 weeks (almost 3).There is only 1 wide release next weekend, so THG is set to spend 11 weekends in the top 10 (tying Inception) and maybe more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 What are the chances that Marigold Hotel makes $157.1m? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Totem Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 June 2012 should finish ahead of June 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
