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baumer

Weekend Estimates pg 60 Mad3 60.3 Prom 50.0

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Why would 3.5 be an overestimation for TA? That's like an 82% Friday increase, which would be by far its worst one yet.

Because she has every Friday since its OW.And we won't be seeing big Friday increases anymore since it's summer Edited by Moviefanatic
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3.5 would be a ridiculously good hold, TOO ridiculous. Prometheus and MAD3 seem like they would make a bigger dent in multiple sectors of TA's audience, regardless of stellar WOM.

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If these numbers are accurate then Variety badly fucked it up. They had Prometheus doing 70 million and SW&Th dropping by 60%. Prometheus will have a tough time getting to 55 with 21 Friday and SW&Th has a shot at 27 million(-52%) from 8 million Friday.

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Well unfortunately MIB 3 is officially not doing $200m domestic now (whatever chance it may have had before seems gone now) though overseas is more than compensating. But Avengers is closing in on $600 million! Can't wait to see it shatter that milestone, and for someone to finally top James Cameron in that league. Well, Titanic anyway.Prometheus is doing similarly to how I expected, and Madagascar 3 is doing a decent bit better. Overall it should be a decent weekend.

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If these numbers are accurate then Variety badly fucked it up. They had Prometheus doing 70 million and SW&Th dropping by 60%. Prometheus will have a tough time getting to 55 with 21 Friday and SW&Th has a shot at 27 million(-52%) from 8 million Friday.

The consensus is that they're never right anyway, so why is this surprising? Edited by lab276
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I know we're all assuming Prometheus is gonna have a good drop tomorrow, but how do we really know that? We don't even have an official Cinemascore yet. I still think general audience reception will be fairly good. And it is an original film in more ways than it is a big frontloaded franchise one. I think it will drop at least a bit, but who knows maybe a small increase could happen.

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I know we're all assuming Prometheus is gonna have a good drop tomorrow, but how do we really know that? We don't even have an official Cinemascore yet. I still think general audience reception will be fairly good. And it is an original film in more ways than it is a big frontloaded franchise one. I think it will drop at least a bit, but who knows maybe a small increase could happen.

Does WOM kick in after a day?
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