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Official France Box Office Thread

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2 hours ago, Krissykins said:

Scream 4 was released 11 years after Scream 3. That didn’t stop it doing well. 

Scream 3 = 2,7M admissions

Scream 4 = 1,1M admissions

Yes 1,1M is a good result but a there has been a huge drop between S3 and S4, so I expect a big drop again this time with S5, 500k would be a good result too.

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32 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Scream 3 = 2,7M admissions

Scream 4 = 1,1M admissions

Yes 1,1M is a good result but a there has been a huge drop between S3 and S4, so I expect a big drop again this time with S5, 500k would be a good result too.

Ah I see, thanks for the Scream 3 info.

 

I don’t think 500k would be good for Scream then. 

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BOX-OFFICE prévisionnel (du 5 au 11 janvier 2022) 

Rang

Titre

Entrées
Variation hebdo
Cumul (Millions)
Budget
Nbre de salles
1

455 000

- 55 %
6,073

200 M$

892
2
Tous en scène 2

215 000

- 65 %
2,003

- M$

801
3
En attendant Bojangles

180 000

New
0,180

12,3 M€

538
4
The king's man

170 000

- 50 %
0,507

- M$

503
5
Les Tuche 4

120 000

- 55 %
2,318

17 M€

907
6
355

95 000

New
0,095

75 M$

342
7
Licorice pizza

90 000

New
0,090

- M$

187
8

90 000

- 60 %
0,826

190 M$

580
9

85 000

- 65 %
2,522

- M$

766
10
Le test

85 000

- 45 %
0,150

1 M€

434

 

I would say -65% drop (350k admissions) for NWH is more likely than -55% but why not ... the goal this week will be to reach 6M admits by Tuesday

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BOX-OFFICE France (du 5 au 11 janvier 2022) (Prévisions)
Rang

TITRE

Entrées
Variation hebdo
Cumul (Millions)
Budget
Nbre de copies
Moy / Copie
1

555 000

- 45 %
6,173

200 M$

892
622
2
En attendant Bojangles

235 000

New
0,235

12,3 M€

538
437
3
The king's man

210 000

- 38 %
0,547

- M$

503
417
4

205 000

- 67 %
1,993

85 M$

801
256
5
Licorice pizza

125 000

New
0,125

- M$

184
679
6
355

120 000

New
0,120

75 M$

342
351
7

120 000

- 46 %
0,856

190 M$

580
207
8
Les Tuche 4

115 000

- 56 %
2,313

17 M€

907
127
9

90 000

- 60 %
2,527

- M$

766
117
10
Le test

80 000

- 47 %
0,145

1 M€

434
184
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3 hours ago, LPLC said:

6,75M I think

 

2 hours ago, MG10 said:

 

In this case the only problem is that it won't have Tfa legs 😅

 

If it follow's Endgame's weekly drop before the 10th week - it will go past Endgame itself.

Endgame's 4th, 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th and 9th Week drop are -53.85%, -15.41%, -39.59%, -62.3% and -43.5%.

 

Assuming, after this week NWH would be around 545k (even 540k would do the Job) as we already have 463k from this W-end.

 

NWH   Endgame  
2867515   3426471  
1737100 -39.42% 1742338 -49.15%
1013337 -41.67% 832196 -52.24%
545000 -46.22% 338792 -59.29%
251500 -53.85% 156358 -53.85%
212500 -15.51% 132260 -15.41%
128300 -39.62% 79899 -39.59%
48000 -62.59% 30113 -62.31%
27000 -43.75% 17000 -43.55%
6830252   6755427  

 

NWH will surpass Endgame in it's weekly Cume around 9th Week. 

Edited by Shanks
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1 hour ago, Product Driven Legion said:

Yeah, no way to have exactly TFA legs.  
 

Maybe better, maybe worse ;) 

Likely worse, TFA's run in France was so insane. With 10,5M admissions, it remains one of the most viewed film in France for 10 years ahead of TLK (10,027M admits)

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6 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I don't know what's the local competition will be but I can see it do better than TFA. TFA had to face competition in Feb, NWH has nothing and so far daily trending has been bit better than TFA. The film is currently 67% of TFA but last week will be 76%, so there's scope for improvement.

 

Nothing in January other than Scream but that won't do much, the biggest movies arrive for early February when the holidays begin.

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13 hours ago, LPLC said:

Likely worse, TFA's run in France was so insane. With 10,5M admissions, it remains one of the most viewed film in France for 10 years ahead of TLK (10,027M admits)

 

Those two films had really insane numbers in Europe, in comparison Infinity War and No Way Home are little children and only Endgame is a decent comparison (but still loses)

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1 hour ago, MG10 said:

 

Those two films had really insane numbers in Europe, in comparison Infinity War and No Way Home are little children and only Endgame is a decent comparison (but still loses)

No NWH is also a decent comparaison, it will finish its run in France with almost 7M admissions like EG (6,94M admits) far ahead IW (5,1M admits) but far behind TFA (10,5M admits)

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