Official France Box Office Thread

[LPLC]

2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

is that how french f*ck

Yes, I just take the u off

[Legion Again]

Fucking without u is master bait

[LPLC]

Small clarification for those who think that the opening day is not very impressive compared to FFH :

 

FFH was released on July 3, 2019 in France, this Wednesday July 3 was the last day of the cinema festival (All screenings at 4€), which explains the enormous 1st day but the first week weaker (1.4M admits).

 

So 476k admissions for NWH without previews, or holidays, or nothing is really huge. This is more than IW (405k) but less than EG (692K) under the same conditions.

 

IW had a first weekend around 1,8M admissions so you can also expect around 1,5M-2M admits for the OW of NWH.

[LPLC]

Holy shit, as some porn actresses would say, this is so HUGE !!!

 

BOX-OFFICE prévisionnel (du 8 au 14 décembre 2021)
Rang	Titre	Entrées	Variation hebdo	Cumul (Millions)	Budget	Nbre de salles
1	Spider-man : No way home	2 850 000	New	2,850	- M$	803
2	Les Tuche 4	725 000	- 15 %	1,577	17 M€	921
3	Encanto	455 000	+ 30 %	1,744	- M$	652
4	Mes très chers enfants	170 000	New	0,170	- M€	393
5	Clifford	145 000	+ 25 %	0,423	- M$	529
6	West side story	140 000	- 20 %	0,317	100 M$	446
7	Les Bodin's en Thaïlande	140 000	- 10 %	1,456	7,3 M€	578
8	S.O.S. Fantômes : L'héritage	115 000	- 20 %	0,542	75 M$	633
9	Madres paralelas	100 000	- 25 %	0,458	- M€	481
10	Les Elfkins : Opération patisserie	100 000	+ 50 %	0,168	- M$	482

 

ARE WE GOING FOR THE 6 MILLIONS ADMISSIONS ?

Edited December 16, 2021 by LPLC

[Issac Newton]

4 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Holy shit, as some porn actresses would say, this is so HUGE !!!

 

BOX-OFFICE prévisionnel (du 8 au 14 décembre 2021)
Rang	Titre	Entrées	Variation hebdo	Cumul (Millions)	Budget	Nbre de salles
1	Spider-man : No way home	2 850 000	New	2,850	- M$	803
2	Les Tuche 4	725 000	- 15 %	1,577	17 M€	921
3	Encanto	455 000	+ 30 %	1,744	- M$	652
4	Mes très chers enfants	170 000	New	0,170	- M€	393
5	Clifford	145 000	+ 25 %	0,423	- M$	529
6	West side story	140 000	- 20 %	0,317	100 M$	446
7	Les Bodin's en Thaïlande	140 000	- 10 %	1,456	7,3 M€	578
8	S.O.S. Fantômes : L'héritage	115 000	- 20 %	0,542	75 M$	633
9	Madres paralelas	100 000	- 25 %	0,458	- M€	481
10	Les Elfkins : Opération patisserie	100 000	+ 50 %	0,168	- M$	482

 

ARE WE GOING FOR THE 6 MILLIONS ADMISSIONS ?

2.5M is a desirable target but 3M seems possible!?

[LPLC]

Just now, Issac Newton said:

2.5M is a desirable target but 3M seems possible!?

Honestly for the first week I was thinking of something similar to IW, around 2.5M admits but let's be crazy, 3 million is not impossible.

[charlie Jatinder]

21 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Yes, I just take the u off

would have sounded better.

[charlie Jatinder]

5 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Holy shit, as some porn actresses would say, this is so HUGE !!!

 

see now this thread is getting, French.

[LPLC]

Just now, charlie Jatinder said:

would have sounded better.

👍

[Issac Newton]

3 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Honestly for the first week I was thinking of something similar to IW, around 2.5M admits but let's be crazy, 3 million is not impossible.

Then, it is displacing NTTD before the end of 2nd Sunday.... Impressive 😳

[LPLC]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

see now this thread is getting, French.

hahahahaha a little humor doesn't hurt, it's not every day that we have figures like that here.

[Danhjpn]

11 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Holy shit, as some porn actresses would say, this is so HUGE !!!

 

BOX-OFFICE prévisionnel (du 8 au 14 décembre 2021)
Rang	Titre	Entrées	Variation hebdo	Cumul (Millions)	Budget	Nbre de salles
1	Spider-man : No way home	2 850 000	New	2,850	- M$	803
2	Les Tuche 4	725 000	- 15 %	1,577	17 M€	921
3	Encanto	455 000	+ 30 %	1,744	- M$	652
4	Mes très chers enfants	170 000	New	0,170	- M€	393
5	Clifford	145 000	+ 25 %	0,423	- M$	529
6	West side story	140 000	- 20 %	0,317	100 M$	446
7	Les Bodin's en Thaïlande	140 000	- 10 %	1,456	7,3 M€	578
8	S.O.S. Fantômes : L'héritage	115 000	- 20 %	0,542	75 M$	633
9	Madres paralelas	100 000	- 25 %	0,458	- M€	481
10	Les Elfkins : Opération patisserie	100 000	+ 50 %	0,168	- M$	482

 

ARE WE GOING FOR THE 6 MILLIONS ADMISSIONS ?

6M admits ~$55M+ ?

[LPLC]

7 minutes ago, Danhjpn said:

6M admits ~$55M+ ?

Yeah approximately, maybe I'm a little bit off in saying 6 millions admissions but I really hope so. Anyway, the milestone of 5 millions admissions and $50M could be crossed.

[pepsa]

40 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Yeah approximately, maybe I'm a little bit off in saying 6 millions admissions but I really hope so. Anyway, the milestone of 5 millions admissions and $50M could be crossed.

 

With 2800k OW 6m is locked. (Unless covid closes cinema's ofc). Xmis normaly give moives 4-5x OW, meaning that x2.3 is locked. I would say this might put 7m on the table.

Edited December 16, 2021 by pepsa

[LPLC]

14 minutes ago, pepsa said:

 

With 2800k OW 6m is locked. (Unless covid closes cinema's ofc). Xmis normaly give moives 4-5x OW, meaning that x2.3 is locked. I would say this might put 7m on the table.

7M is over AEG, which had not achieved 2.8M admissions but 3.4M admissions in the first week.

 

I doubt that, as I said a few days ago, apart from in KSA, I don't think NWH will beat AEG in any market so I don't see why or how NWH could beat AEG in France .

 

That said, be careful, when you say 4-5x OW you mean the first weekend, the 2.8M is for the whole of the first week and the first weekend should be closer to 2M admissions so when I say 6 millions admissions this is 3x OW legs. Great for Christmas period.

[pepsa]

46 minutes ago, LPLC said:

7M is over AEG, which had not achieved 2.8M admissions but 3.4M admissions in the first week.

 

I doubt that, as I said a few days ago, apart from in KSA, I don't think NWH will beat AEG in any market so I don't see why or how NWH could beat AEG in France .

 

That said, be careful, when you say 4-5x OW you mean the first weekend, the 2.8M is for the whole of the first week and the first weekend should be closer to 2M admissions so when I say 6 millions admissions this is 3x OW legs. Great for Christmas period.

 

Lets take 6 big christmas movies and look at their multies from their 5-day opening weekend:

 

The hobbit AUJ had a 3.72 multi after it's 11m opening. 3.72 multi

The hobbit DOS had a 3.34 multi with a 13.4m opening 3.34 multi

The hobbit BOTFA had a 3.57 multi with a 12.4m opening 3.57 multi

 

Starwars TFA had a 3.86 multi of a 19.4m opening 3.86 multi

SW TLJ had a 3.45 multi of a 18.8m opening 3.45 multi

SW TROS had a 3.31 multi of a 16.5m opening weekend 3.31 multi

 

Now all these where 5-day Opening Weekends, tell me what do these have in common?

All multies are easily over 3x OW (5day not 3day!!!). If this movie only does a 2.15 multi from it's 5day this would be abysmall. Movie with terrible receptions like TROS got over a 3x multi. I get the comic book movies are frontloaded, marvel movies are more frontloaded. But like I said 2.5x opening weekend is the least it will do. I mean EG had a 2.5x multi without xmas (the biggest holiday period in the year). If this opens to 2.8m admission 7m admission will be reached. I am not saying it will get 3.3-3.5x but I mean over 2.5 is just locked.

[LPLC]

5 minutes ago, pepsa said:

 

Lets take 6 big christmas movies and look at their multies from their 5-day opening weekend:

 

The hobbit AUJ had a 3.72 multi after it's 11m opening. 3.72 multi

The hobbit DOS had a 3.34 multi with a 13.4m opening 3.34 multi

The hobbit BOTFA had a 3.57 multi with a 12.4m opening 3.57 multi

 

Starwars TFA had a 3.86 multi of a 19.4m opening 3.86 multi

SW TLJ had a 3.45 multi of a 18.8m opening 3.45 multi

SW TROS had a 3.31 multi of a 16.5m opening weekend 3.31 multi

 

Now all these where 5-day Opening Weekends, tell me what do these have in common?

All multies are easily over 3x OW (5day not 3day!!!). If this movie only does a 2.15 multi from it's 5day this would be abysmall. Movie with terrible receptions like TROS got over a 3x multi. I get the comic book movies are frontloaded, marvel movies are more frontloaded. But like I said 2.5x opening weekend is the least it will do. I mean EG had a 2.5x multi without xmas (the biggest holiday period in the year). If this opens to 2.8m admission 7m admission will be reached. I am not saying it will get 3.3-3.5x but I mean over 2.5 is just locked.

Yes I agree over 2,5 is locked, knowing that the opening weekend of NWH will be around 2 millions admissions, we can expect a minimum of 5M admissions. That's why I say 6 million admits are possible with legs even stronger than 2.5x OW.

[pepsa]

14 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Yes I agree over 2,5 is locked, knowing that the opening weekend of NWH will be around 2 millions admissions, we can expect a minimum of 5M admissions. That's why I say 6 million admits are possible with legs even stronger than 2.5x OW.

Like i said above Opening weekend is the 5-day number. Just as it was for EndGame, as it was for the Hobbit, as it was for StarWars. If you are saying NWH is doing 2m 5-day opening weekend I agree it will so 5m + admission. If the 5-day is 2.5-2.8m as the estimates, 6.5m-7m + is very likely.

 

 

[LPLC]

Just now, pepsa said:

Like i said above Opening weekend is the 5-day number. Just as it was for EndGame, as it was for the Hobbit, as it was for StarWars. If you are saying NWH is doing 2m 5-day opening weekend I agree it will so 5m + admission. If the 5-day is 2.5-2.8m as the estimates, 6.5m-7m + is very likely.

 

 

No you didn't understand. 2,8M is for 7 days, the full week until next Tuesday.

[pepsa]

19 minutes ago, LPLC said:

No you didn't understand. 2,8M is for 7 days, the full week until next Tuesday.

Okay thanks!

 

So probably an 2.1-2.2m opening weekend => 5.6m floor and it will probably go over 6m and might reach 7m if it get a TROS / DOS multi.