LPLC Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, john2000 said: so a final total of around 55-60 usd likely ? Yes below $60M I think more of something like $50M-$55M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Just now, LPLC said: Yes below $60M I think more of something like $50M-$55M Come on LPLC, get us over Endgame in France! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 BOX-OFFICE France (du 15 au 21 décembre 2021) (Prévisions) Rang TITRE Entrées Variation hebdo Cumul (Millions) Budget Nbre de copies Moy / Copie 1 Spider-man : No way home 2 680 000 New 2,680 200 M$ 882 3 039 2 Les Tuche 4 520 000 - 39 % 1,372 17 M€ 921 565 3 Encanto 375 000 + 7 % 1,664 - M$ 652 575 4 Mes très chers enfants 185 000 New 0,185 9 M€ 393 471 5 Mystère 125 000 New 0,125 6,2 M€ 481 260 6 West side story 120 000 - 32 % 0,297 100 M$ 446 269 7 Clifford 100 000 - 13 % 0,378 - M$ 529 189 8 La panthère des neiges 100 000 New 0,100 - M€ 210 476 9 Les Bodin's en Thaïlande 90 000 - 40 % 1,406 7,3 M€ 578 156 10 Madres paralelas 90 000 - 34 % 0,448 - M€ 481 187 2.68M admissions in first week would mean #20 best first week ever. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 7 minutes ago, GoblinXXR said: Come on LPLC, get us over Endgame in France! Unlikely, AEG's first weekend was almost 800k more admissions than NWH, but be careful I'm not saying it's impossible with huge legs (3.5x legs) and with the good reviews and the right WOM it's still possible (I would say 25% chance it will happen), however I'm sure that despite the Christmas holidays, the film will be more frontloaded than you think. If it reaches 6 million admissions I will already be very happy, that's the goal we should try to aim for for the moment. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 - Huge Monday in Paris (97,015 admits) quite simply the 2nd best Monday of all time just behind TFA. - For the whole of France I take a coefficient of around 3.8 Paris / France, so we should be around 370K admissions yesterday for a total of 2.46M admits. - By tomorrow, I think the first week of NWH will be between 2.75M and 2.8M admissions. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shanks Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 (edited) 55 minutes ago, LPLC said: - Huge Monday in Paris (97,015 admits) quite simply the 2nd best Monday of all time just behind TFA. - For the whole of France I take a coefficient of around 3.8 Paris / France, so we should be around 370K admissions yesterday for a total of 2.46M admits. - By tomorrow, I think the first week of NWH will be between 2.75M and 2.8M admissions. Chances of NWH entering top 100 in Admits? Isn't 2.5x-3x common multiplier for movies with good WoM? No Chances of it touching 7m? Edit; After reading above, 2.75x multiplier is generally for 5 days. 2.8m is whole week. We can hope though. Edited December 21, 2021 by Shanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danhjpn Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 42 minutes ago, LPLC said: - Huge Monday in Paris (97,015 admits) quite simply the 2nd best Monday of all time just behind TFA. - For the whole of France I take a coefficient of around 3.8 Paris / France, so we should be around 370K admissions yesterday for a total of 2.46M admits. - By tomorrow, I think the first week of NWH will be between 2.75M and 2.8M admissions. 2.75M and 2.5x legs -> >7M admits Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 37 minutes ago, Shanks said: Chances of NWH entering top 100 in Admits? Isn't 2.5x-3x common multiplier for movies with good WoM? No Chances of it touching 7m? Edit; After reading above, 2.75x multiplier is generally for 5 days. 2.8m is whole week. We can hope though. Big movies on xmast normaly have between a 3.3 and 3.8x multiplier from it's 5 - day opening weekend. Spidey had 2.1m in it's first 5-days so these multies would give it 6.93m admission to 7.98m admission (7-8m). But as LPLC said superhero movies tend to be more frontloaded, EG had a 2.5x 5-day opening weekend so spidermans highend is probably close to the low end of normal big xmas movies (3.3), with a more likely range of 2.8-3x it's 5 day (5.8m to 6.3m). As the multiplier will be higher than EG because of holiday help, then again if Covid restrections get worse that could also cut in to it. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 (edited) 84,793 (-12%) admissions in Paris yesterday. Maybe 325k in all France Maybe 2,75M admits for the first week of NWH #16 best first week all time Edited December 22, 2021 by LPLC 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parasite Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 A Hero #14 with 47 000 admissions over the weekend and likely around 70k full week, way lower than Everybody knows (380k) and A Separation (150k). Looks like maybe Matrix is heading for 180k admissions OD, Sing 2 90k ? Good for both but slighly underwhelming. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 #4 best opening week since 10 years behind SW7, AEG and TLK but above AIW #14 best opening week ever 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danhjpn Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 11 minutes ago, LPLC said: #4 best opening week since 10 years behind SW7, AEG and TLK but above AIW #14 best opening week ever so the total admits for OW is 2 867 515 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 (edited) 1 minute ago, Danhjpn said: so the total admits for OW is 2 867 515 Yes 2,867,515 admissions for the first week of NWH Edited December 22, 2021 by LPLC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danhjpn Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 11 minutes ago, LPLC said: Yes 2,867,515 admissions for the first week of NWH a little better than expected? Did Tue hold well from Mon? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 47 minutes ago, Danhjpn said: a little better than expected? Did Tue hold well from Mon? Yes better than expected, I don't know how Monday and Tuesday were exactly but I think Monday > Tuesday with a low drop between them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 BOX-OFFICE prévisionnel (du 22 au 28 décembre 2021) Rang Titre Entrées Variation hebdo Cumul (Millions) Budget Nbre de salles 1 Spider-man : No way home 2 010 000 - 30 % 4,878 200 M$ 882 2 Tous en scène 2 1 400 000 New 1,400 - M$ 801 3 Matrix : Resurrections 650 000 New 0,650 - M$ 578 4 Encanto 515 000 + 10 % 2,273 - M$ 832 5 Les Tuche 4 500 000 - 15 % 1,942 17 M€ 989 6 Mes très chers enfants 200 000 + 0 % 0,398 9 M€ 393 7 Mystère 180 000 + 15 % 0,338 6,2 M€ 481 8 Clifford 170 000 + 15 % 0,599 - M$ 733 9 La panthère des neiges 135 000 + 25 % 0,243 - M€ 210 10 West side story 110 000 - 15 % 0,418 100 M$ 446 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 (edited) 66,999 admissions in Paris yesterday. Around 250k-275k in France Cumul : 3,115M-3,145M admits With these numbers I would say that cine director's predictions are too optimistic Maybe 1,6M admits in 2nd week at this point = 4,5M admits by next Tuesday. Edited December 23, 2021 by LPLC 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 (edited) 58,608 admissions Thursday in Paris Excellent -12% drop from last week Maybe 220k-240k admits in France / Cumul : 3,34M-3,38M admissions This weekend will be HUGE. Edited December 24, 2021 by LPLC 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Good but not amazing, expected a little better. No big deal, I guess the weekend was not as good as one would expect for most markets due to the bad calendar. Last week of holidays in France. 7 millions admissions are now 100% dead. The objective remains 6 millions admits. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 BOX-OFFICE France (du 22 au 28 décembre 2021) (Prévisions) Rang TITRE Entrées Variation hebdo Cumul (Millions) Budget Nbre de copies Moy / Copie 1 Spider-man : No way home 1 590 000 - 45 % 4,458 200 M$ 882 1 803 2 Tous en scène 2 1 200 000 New 1,200 - M$ 801 1 498 3 Matrix : Resurrections 540 000 New 0,540 - M$ 578 934 4 Les Tuche 4 420 000 - 28 % 1,862 17 M€ 1 048 401 5 Encanto 365 000 - 22 % 2,123 - M$ 891 410 6 Mes très chers enfants 145 000 - 27 % 0,343 9 M€ 407 356 7 Mystère 110 000 - 30 % 0,268 6,2 M€ 490 224 8 Clifford 105 000 - 30 % 0,534 - M$ 714 147 9 West side story 95 000 - 27 % 0,403 100 M$ 533 178 10 La panthère des neiges 90 000 - 15 % 0,198 - M€ 302 298 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...