Danhjpn Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 25 minutes ago, LPLC said: No you didn't understand. 2,8M is for 7 days, the full week until next Tuesday. ok I got your idea. but I think it may have a chance at 3x legs considering it has great audience respone, balance with TROS which has 3.1x legs but terrible audience respone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 1 hour ago, Danhjpn said: ok I got your idea. but I think it may have a chance at 3x legs considering it has great audience respone, balance with TROS which has 3.1x legs but terrible audience respone. Yes 6 millions admits is around 3x legs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 According to the Paris figures from JP's box office, I estimate that NWH made around 250k-300K admissions on Thursday and 350k-400k admissions on Friday for a total of around 1.1M-1.15M admissions in 3 days, indeed. by the end of the weekend, NWH will be very close to 2 million admits maybe even 2,1M admits. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 HUGE Saturday for NWH in France 138,516 admissions yesterday in Paris 14th best day ever there. NWH surpassed the first Saturday of EG (136,294) and the first Sunday of EG (137,209) in Paris. tbh, I knew NWH Saturday was going to be big but I didn't expect so much In France I estimate that NWH is around 1.6M admissions by Saturday, It can aim for 2 million admits for this weekend or even 2.1 million if Sunday is still very good (it is raining in France today so it's very good for NWH). 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 $40M in France feels like a good number to reach. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, GoblinXXR said: $40M in France feels like a good number to reach. @LPLC expectations are a little higher i think, more like 50-55. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 Must be 575K SAT. Gotta be 2.2M 5 days. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Must be 575K SAT. Gotta be 2.2M 5 days. Idk what ATP is like in France but that has to be over $20M 5-Day? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 2.2m 5-day should result in to 6.5m + total admission. Probably going over EG unless COVID ofc... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said: Must be 575K SAT. Gotta be 2.2M 5 days. Yes not impossible Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 1 hour ago, pepsa said: 2.2m 5-day should result in to 6.5m + total admission. Probably going over EG unless COVID ofc... I think at this point other than terrible news 5M admits are very likely, if I had to give a range I would say 5.5M-6.5M admissions $45M-$55M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 1 hour ago, GoblinXXR said: $40M in France feels like a good number to reach. $40M is lock. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 Just now, LPLC said: I think at this point other than terrible news 5M admits are very likely, if I had to give a range I would say 5.5M-6.5M admissions $45M-$55M Didn't we agree yesterday that a 3x multi from it's 5-day opening weekend seems very reasonable as in 3x is a very bad multi to get over xmas from the 5-day compared to other one. I do agree with ur range if that factors in hasher restrictions other wise we are looking a destriouslybad multi for xmas at 5.5m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 1 hour ago, john2000 said: @LPLC expectations are a little higher i think, more like 50-55. Possible with good legs, I hope for 50 this is the goal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 Just now, pepsa said: Didn't we agree yesterday that a 3x multi from it's 5-day opening weekend seems very reasonable as in 3x is a very bad multi to get over xmas from the 5-day compared to other one. I do agree with ur range if that factors in hasher restrictions other wise we are looking a destriouslybad multi for xmas at 5.5m. Yes 3x legs means 6,6, I said 6,5 not a huge diff but I think despite Christmas this will be a very frontloaded movie, so I won't be shocked if the legs will be below 3. But if you want, the MAXIMUM would be 3.5x legs = 7.7M admits, however it is very unlikely according to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 26 minutes ago, LPLC said: Yes 3x legs means 6,6, I said 6,5 not a huge diff but I think despite Christmas this will be a very frontloaded movie, so I won't be shocked if the legs will be below 3. But if you want, the MAXIMUM would be 3.5x legs = 7.7M admits, however it is very unlikely according to me. I do agree it should be more frontloaded, but WoM is much better than the last SW movie that did 3.3 so that should make 3x almost a lock. Seeing as a movie as hyped as EG (even more than spider) managed to get 2.5x opening weekend without any holiday help should mean this one atleast does 2.8x and mostelikely (no covid restrictions) 3x+ 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 2 hours ago, pepsa said: I do agree it should be more frontloaded, but WoM is much better than the last SW movie that did 3.3 so that should make 3x almost a lock. Seeing as a movie as hyped as EG (even more than spider) managed to get 2.5x opening weekend without any holiday help should mean this one atleast does 2.8x and mostelikely (no covid restrictions) 3x+ This is true but for example FFH had weaker legs than EG (2.3x legs) so that's why I remain cautious and I stay on something between 2.5x legs and 3x legs. In any case if it goes above 3 I will be very happy and I only hope that for French cinemas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 (edited) After a HUGE Saturday, NWH is HUGE too on Sunday with 137,595 admits in Paris, only -0,66% drop from Saturday. NWH first Sunday is also bigger than AEG first Saturday (136,294) and first Sunday (137,209) Now, NWH got the 14th and the 15th best day ever in Paris with respectively Saturday and Sunday I am confident to say that the NWH weekend exceeded my expectations and is close to 2,2 million admissions. With holidays, let's try 3M admissions for the first week. Edited December 20, 2021 by LPLC 4 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 I slightly overestimated NWH in my previous expectations. Nothing serious 2.1M admits is really huge. #26 best OW all time in terms of admissions just in front of HP1 AIW was 1,841,295 admissions and AEG was 2,844,886 admissions for their first OW. At this point, 5M admits are lock and 7M admissions are unlikely, let's try 6M admits in the end. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 4 minutes ago, LPLC said: I slightly overestimated NWH in my previous expectations. Nothing serious 2.1M admits is really huge. #26 best OW all time in terms of admissions just in front of HP1 AIW was 1,841,295 admissions and AEG was 2,844,886 admissions for their first OW. At this point, 5M admits are lock and 7M admissions are unlikely, let's try 6M admits in the end. so a final total of around 55-60 usd likely ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
