South Korea Box Office

[Stewart]

2 minutes ago, troyand said:

I hope EG will sell at least 550,000 tickets on Friday

Following IW on a comparable Friday gives 590k, so 550k should be done. 

 

I'd initially say 575-605k. Though presales in 3 minutes, so we'll get a response then

[Stewart]

So, lots of pressure today since yesterday's projection was near-perfect. CGV presales came in at 146k, so we're preliminarily looking at estimated 562k for Friday. Though this is using a pessimistic 50% for CGV. It also happens to be around a 50% increase from today.

 

IW jumped 58%, however perhaps the fact Labor Day was one day later slightly increased Thursday making the Friday jump more muted? 

 

Either way, this still a solid result.

 

Here's the table:

Friday, 3 May
Time	Adm.
Presales	146,000
09:20	158,000
10:20	165,000
11:20	172,000
12:20	180,000
13:20	190,000
14:20	202,000
15:20	212,000
16:20	222,000
17:20	231,000
18:20	241,000
19:20	251,000
20:20	260,000
21:20	269,000
22:20	276,000
23:20	281,000
Actual:	562,000

 

Megasheet^TM link: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mpf92NunqhPZOQkYsA3479cMmcBW80Dn0cK8HjlN0v8/edit#gid=313761228

[Legion Again]

569,690 it shall be   

 

I’m sure @Brainbug will back me up here.

[danhtruong5]

If it finishes at around $105M, it will be only 20% higher than IW (88) 😓 we need around 30% higher tho

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, Thanos Legion said:

569,690 it shall be   

 

I’m sure @Brainbug will back me up here.

 

Yes. Would be a nice number.

[Fish&chips]

Avengers: Endgame, fastest film to cross 9 million admissions

 

Fastest to 9 million admissions (Number of days)

#Restricted to 10M admission films

 

-10 days-

Avengers: Endgame (2019) 

 

-11 days-

Roaring Currents (2014)

Along with the gods 2 (2018)

 

-13 days-

Avengers: Infinity War (2018)

Along with the gods: The Two worlds (2017)

 

-14 days-

Train to Busan (2016)

A Taxi Driver (2017)

Extreme Job (2019)

 

-17 days-

Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015)

 

-18 days-

The Host (2006)

 

-19 days-

The Thieves (2012)

Veteran (2015)

 

-20 days-

Assassination (2015)

 

-25 days-

Ode to my Father (2014)

The Attorney (2013)

 

-26 days-

Haeundae (2009)

 

-27 days-

Miracle in Cell no.7 (2013)

 

-31 days-

Masquerade (2012)

Interstellar (2014)

Brotherhood of War (2004)

 

-32 days-

Avatar (2009)

 

-33 days-

Frozen (2014)

 

-38 days-

King and the clown (2005)

 

-45 days-

Silmido (2003)

[pepsa]

Add 10m in 11 days and 11m in 12 days probably. 

[Stewart]

Important sidenote, I've just noticed Detective Pikachu presales have started, no idea when they did. Estimating roughly 50k by end of day (currently at 45k). Also looks to be opening on a Thursday not a Wednesday.

 

The big surprise is this is bigger than SM:H and AM&W at the same point before release, quite easily too. It is a bit behind JW2, but that had a very long presale run. 

 

Could be fanrush, but just something to keep an eye on during the next few days

 

Movie	Jurassic World 2		SM: Homecoming		Ant-Man and Wasp		Detective Pikachu
	Share	Tickets	Share	Tickets	Share	Tickets	Share	Tickets
D-13	2.7%	4,085	---	---	---	---	---	---
D-12	5.6%	11,064	---	---	---	---	---	---
D-11	6.9%	19,430	---	---	---	---	---	---
D-10	11.7%	26,727	---	---	---	---	---	---
D-09	30.4%	32,446	---	---	---	---	---	---
D-08	28.4%	42,774	---	---	---	---	---	---
D-07	21.7%	50,417	---	---	---	---	---	---
D-06	43.1%	60,752	10.8%	20,959	---	---	---	---
D-05	37.5%	78,272	14.2%	31,988	21.0%	36,583	5.0%	50,000
D-04	35.9%	105,020	15.7%	44,252	20.3%	53,857
D-03	49.8%	139,672	---	---	30.0%	73,136
D-02	76.8%	197,643	53.5%	75,569	65.5%	120,619
D-01	76.2%	312,877	67.1%	128,586	69.2%	152,447
D-00	76.2%	596,941	79.8%	242,444	80.0%	246,552

[pepsa]

So CGV sold 285k today, the probable CGV ratio's are between 52% and 48.5% mostlikely around 50%.

Range 548k - 588k with 570k as our estimate. 

 

Btw this is the last time I am going to post 30 min before we get the MN numbers.

If we are close to the CGV ratio today and ps's daily rate has been a lot better on @Stewart and my part so if I post tomorrow it will be 5-6 hours before the MN numbers so you acutaly have so use from the numbers I post. 

Edited May 3, 2019 by pepsa

[Legion Again]

23 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

569,690 it shall be  

 

14 minutes ago, pepsa said:

570k as our estimate. 

Thief! Thief! 

[Stewart]

561k actuals. Might just rise to 569k for @Thanos Legion's pleasure

 

Around $4.4m, finally had a decent ATP today

[troyand]

820k to 10m. So the day has come.

Edited May 3, 2019 by troyand

[pepsa]

Friday always seems to have the highest TPA

[Stewart]

3 minutes ago, troyand said:

820k to 10m. So the day has come.

Will definitely hit tomorrow. Should be around 1.0-1.1m total. Will update when CGV presales come in. 

 

---

 

Sidenote: for the record we basically hit the nail again from just presales! 

23 hours ago, Stewart said:

So, lots of pressure today since yesterday's projection was near-perfect. CGV presales came in at 146k, so we're preliminarily looking at estimated 562k for Friday. Though this is using a pessimistic 50% for CGV. It also happens to be around a 50% increase from today.

 

@pepsa I think we're getting a bit too good at this now 

[pepsa]

2 minutes ago, Stewart said:

 

@pepsa I think we're getting a bit too good at this now 

The most scarry part is that if goes up 5k @Thanos Legion was even closer, it must be that Thanos bonus 

[TalismanRing]

I know it'll go up and this one is behind .... but charts!

 

May 03, 2019

 

Rank	Title		Release Date	Daily Gross (Total)	Admissions (Total)	Number of Screens	Revenue Share
1		Avengers: Endgame U.S.	Apr 24, 2019	$4,306,018 ($67,414,914)	553,203 (9,172,768)	2,488	82.33%
2		Inseparable Bros South Korea	May 01, 2019	$671,912 ($2,246,963)	93,678 (335,398)	772	12.84%
3		Treasure Island Adventure South Korea	Apr 25, 2019	$94,372 ($2,738,436)	15,985 (424,218)	513	1.8%
4		UglyDolls U.S.	May 01, 2019	$21,872 ($135,139)	3,923 (22,629)	242	0.41%
5		Manou the Swift Germany	May 01, 2019	$11,714 ($38,443)	2,273 (6,919)	103	0.22%
6		Pan's Labyrinth Mexico,Spain	Nov 30, 2006	$12,594 ($2,424,012)	1,706 (477,667)	38	0.24%
7		Birthday South Korea	Apr 03, 2019	$10,386 ($8,400,854)	1,614 (1,189,573)	96	0.19%
8		Miss Stevens U.S.	May 02, 2019	$12,190 ($32,728)	1,562 (4,975)	64	0.23%
9		Captain Marvel U.S.	Mar 06, 2019	$10,952 ($43,945,877)	1,459 (5,792,440)	58	0.2%
10		Samurai Architect Tadao Ando Japan	Apr 25, 2019	$8,201 ($102,122)	1,111 (14,578)	51	0.15%
11		Hotel Mumbai Australia	May 08, 2019	$5,523 ($13,513)	1,077 (2,635)	5	0.1%
12		Another Child South Korea	Apr 11, 2019	$5,494 ($2,084,120)	771 (286,537)	33	0.1%
13		Notting Hill U.S.,U.K.	Jul 03, 1999	$5,424 ($402,751)	715 (57,082)	33	0.1%
14		My First Client South Korea	May 22, 2019	$5,400 ($42,165)	702 (5,500)	3	0.1%
15		KING OF PRISM -Shiny Seven Stars- III レオ×ユウ×アレク Japan	May 02, 2019	$5,374 ($15,160)	697 (2,152)	30	0.1%

Edited May 3, 2019 by TalismanRing

[Legion Again]

2 minutes ago, pepsa said:

The most scarry part is that if goes up 5k @Thanos Legion was even closer, it must be that Thanos bonus 

Reality can be whatever I want.

[troyand]

I got goosebumps with this accuracy.

[Nakamura]

So Friday is $4.3M, any prediction for Saturday and Sunday?

[Stewart]

3 minutes ago, Nakamura said:

So Friday is $4.3M, any prediction for Saturday and Sunday?

I'd go with $14m between them for the moment. 

 

So FSS totalling $18.4m and by Sunday total of $81.5m

Edited May 3, 2019 by Stewart