The Official TASM Weekly Thread (6 Day EST-140m) (Warning: Whiten Out Spoilers/Spoiler Tags)

[Deep Wang]

250m would be a great. It paves the way for tasm2 to explode to 400m domestic and 1b OS.

Normally, this would be the case, but I don't see the general public eating this up enough for a sequel to increase that much.

[Orestes]

250m would be a modest success when you factor in OS, but overall it's disappointing due to the fact it's Spider-man. Batman Begins and Superman Returns were coming off not just poorly received precedessors, but long layoffs and four previous films instead of three. According to many here, this was/is supposed to cross 300m on brand alone.

Who are the many? I know iJack posts enough about Spider-Man that you would think it was multiple people, but he doesn't count . I also think the longer layoffs would count in BB and SRs favor since there would be less of the "reboot already?" response that you see with TASM. Edited July 4, 2012 by Orestes

[Walt Disney]

According to many here, this was/is supposed to cross 300m on brand alone.

That was definitely my theory. Except I didn't think it would cross $300M. I just thought it would hit $300M and stop.

[Lordmandeep]

I think Spider Man would have done better a few latter actually....

[The Dark Alfred]

It's WW tally will be decent. That was never in doubt. Most of us expecting 600m OS minimum. We discussed this many times before. I don't want to hear the OS success crap from the loonies when it comes to the domestic disappointment. There's no two words about it, 250m would be an epic domestic failure for a 3D film that's predecessor with a toxic WoM adjust to 387m.

Edited July 4, 2012 by The Dark Alfred

[Moviedweeb]

Just saw this in 70mm IMAX 3D. The film blew my expectations away and I believe it will have tremendous word of mouth. I'll be very surprised if it doesn't hit $300m domestic. This should be a billion dollar worldwide performer.*the scenes which utlized the entire IMAX screen (ala TDK and MI4) were insane!

Edited July 4, 2012 by Clavius

[Cedarpoint1111]

By the time tasm2 gets released, people will be over the fact that spiderman was rebooted and they will watch the sequel because that's all anyone will be talking about. I think WOM is good enough for this to happen.

[Fake]

I am still hoping it somehow gets to the Billion mark. OS may hit $700m if the exchange rate improves and China explodes.That leaves $300m for Domestic, difficult but not impossible. 30M+ OD will give it a decent shot though.

[film2kz]

^ASM was not shot with IMAX cameras so nothing should have filled the whole screen unless the image was stretched

[Lordmandeep]

"It's WW tally will be decent. That was never in doubt. Most of us expecting 600m OS minimum. We discussed this many times before. I don't want to hear the OS success crap from the loonies when it comes to the domestic disappointment. There's no two words about it, 250m would be an epic domestic failure for a 3D film that's predecessor with a toxic WoM adjust to 387m."Well would you consider TF3, Shrek 4, Pirates all flops?You cannot dismiss overseas these days, those days have passed.

[baumer]

I am still hoping it somehow gets to the Billion mark. OS may hit $700m if the exchange rate improves and China explodes.That leaves $300m for Domestic, difficult but not impossible. 30M+ OD will give it a decent shot though.

But imo, 750-800-900 it's all fantastic for a film that has so much ostensibly going against it. AFter all, this is basically a trailer for the second film. If this one does well overseas, and is liked overseas, then it will increase for sure for the sequel.

[Cedarpoint1111]

I think it can still hit 300.

[Moviedweeb]

^ASM was not shot with IMAX cameras so nothing should have filled the whole screen unless the image was stretched

That is correct but it happened and it was glorious!

[John Marston]

The domestic market seems different these days. It feels like attendance in general has gone down besides certain find (Avengers, Hunger Games)

[riczhang]

I am still hoping it somehow gets to the Billion mark. OS may hit $700m if the exchange rate improves and China explodes.That leaves $300m for Domestic, difficult but not impossible. 30M+ OD will give it a decent shot though.

It should hit 700M OS easy.

[Lordmandeep]

back to opening day numbers...Spidey is doing quite well today.For a work night its actually selling out a few 9-10 pm shows as well.Surprising...Easily the biggest opening day since TA and thats quite impressive considering its a normal tuesday.I think 30+ looks likely...

Edited July 4, 2012 by Lordmandeep

[riczhang]

That is correct but it happened and it was glorious!

Is it worth shelling out 17 bucks to go see it in IMAX? I'm planning on seeing it again, but I thought I'd just go regular 2D.

[riczhang]

back to opening day numbers...Spidey is doing quite well today.For a work night its actually selling out a few 9-10 pm shows as well.Surprising...

All the schools are out.

[Lordmandeep]

true but its still rather solid...10, 11pm shows are actually quite full around here.11pm avx show is around 75% full

Edited July 4, 2012 by Lordmandeep

[Moviedweeb]

Is it worth shelling out 17 bucks to go see it in IMAX? I'm planning on seeing it again, but I thought I'd just go regular 2D.

Absolutely. This is one of the rare films conceived from the ground up for 3D (like Avatar, Hugo, Prometheus and others) so I think it is definitely worth it. I saw it in 70mm but I think the digital IMAX screens at AMC theaters are great as well (often better) and worth the price.