Incarnadine Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Looking at it optimistically: Current total - 810 US - 55 (Enough to get past 400) Korea - 30 Japan - 100 China - 30 Sweden - 10 Other Markets - 30 Total: 1.065, just over TS3. I think it's a long shot, (still unknown if US can get to 400, for instance) but it's possible. Just imagine if it somehow over performs in China. Virtually everyone expects around 30 in China, and when extrapolating possibilities it's always the Japan numbers that get 60-100m. In my dream scenario Frozen over performs in both for a combined 160-170. If I'm dreaming I might as well dream BIG. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 (edited) Sixth Sense, Titanic, Avatar and now Frozen have been the 4 amazing box-office runs in the last couple of decades. There have been surprise openers, holds, bumps, etc. but these films have surprised week after week till the very end. So much so that pundits quit predicting and just eagerly wait for whatever is to unfold. Edited January 29, 2014 by a2knet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ocho Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 That's some awesome anecdotal evidence of Frozen's hype in Japan. Marketing seems to be working, alright. Any news about the amount of ads on streets and such? People said MU's stuff was everywhere.They didn't mention ads or posters.....They just talked about WOM being everywhere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Incarnadine Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Sixth Sense, Titanic, Avatar and now Frozen have been the 4 amazing box-office runs in the last couple of decades. There have been surprise openers, holds, bumps, etc. but these films have surprised week after week till the very end. So much so that pundits quit predicting and just eagerly wait for whatever is to unfold. Sixth Sense, Titanic, Avatar and now Frozen have been the 4 amazing box-office runs in the last couple of decades. There have been surprise openers, holds, bumps, etc. but these films have surprised week after week till the very end. So much so that pundits quit predicting and just eagerly wait for whatever is to unfold. I'd add My Big Fat Greek Wedding. That was a long and really strange run. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dingdong123 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Agree....I think a Billion is a lock now.Friends of mine that live in Japan told me yesterday that the whole country is looking forward to the film. Their daughter's class is even taking a field trip in March to see it. They believe it will do more than MU. More than MU?? THE HYPE IS REAL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I'm hoping for MU numbers as well... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 (edited) It wouldn't surprise me if it went that high. Edited January 29, 2014 by lab276 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonicjr Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 S. Korea is over performing like crazy, no reason it under performs in Japan. It may even over perform in China and surprises everyone Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I want it to do Spirited Away numbers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
portgas Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I want it to do Spirited Away numbers. 230m? Yeah, that'd be lovely. Not japanese enough, though, to do such numbers. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 230m? Yeah, that'd be lovely. Not japanese enough, though, to do such numbers. Well, big Miyazaki numbers in general would be nice. But SA would probably mean it'd end up #1 WW for 2013. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 The next two weeks are going to be very important. Sweden OS and singalong DOM next Friday and then China OS and competition from Lego DOM the weekend after. For the time being, the sum of the 43 countries listed on BOM give a total slightly above the 20.2 estimate. Since it should be playing in a bunch of other small markets and they also missed Russia's 300K+, I guess the actual weekend was more like 21/21.5 millions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hernan Gonzalez Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 The next two weeks are going to be very important. Sweden OS and singalong DOM next Friday and then China OS and competition from Lego DOM the weekend after. For the time being, the sum of the 43 countries listed on BOM give a total slightly above the 20.2 estimate. Since it should be playing in a bunch of other small markets and they also missed Russia's 300K+, I guess the actual weekend was more like 21/21.5 millions.And don't forget Argentina's 700k. I would say 22/22.5 M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catlover Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I have been thinking about what kind of impact to expect from japan and i have the feeling that many themes in the movie will resonate extremely strongly with the gp there. Though i mostly know about japanese culture secondhand i believe things like sacrifice for the good of others, being persistent in the face of great odds and the european fairitale setting in general should be bid draws... and as already mentioned by others 1B WW should be pretty safe since SK can make up for china underperforming and as long as japan does not completely bomb (which, as you mentioned should not be the case) everything should work out That IS so Japanese. I never thought about it but yeah, Frozen is very appealing in that way. Well, big Miyazaki numbers in general would be nice. But SA would probably mean it'd end up #1 WW for 2013. That would be amazing, but even Miyazaki numbers in general are hard too reach. Only Avatar managed to match them ($150m+) in the last 10 years. But Finding Nemo's or Toy Story 3's number ($100m+) is possible if everything goes well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 SK Wednesday 317k, 3.89M total +34% from Tue and 93% from last Wed. Holiday has begun I guess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 SK Wednesday317k, 3.89M total+34% from Tue and 93% from last Wed.Holiday has begun I guess.What holiday? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
portgas Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 What holiday?Google told me it's Seollal Holiday, Chinese New Year for 3 days straight. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Incarnadine Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I love SK numbers. Before Frozen opened there weren't expectations along the lines of $20m, would be good, $30m would be amazing? It looks like it's going to double "amazing" in style. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrozenFan626 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Hey guys I'm new to this thread and site in general! In fact Frozen's miraculous BO run inspired my interest in this kind of stuff. Just one question: I see that everyone seems to have China pegged at around 30M when it opens next week. Don't you think it could be quite a bit higher than that? I mean just based on DM2's run there and how amazing Frozen has done in South Korea I feel like it could do well above 30 but maybe it's not a fair comparison. What do you guys think? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hernan Gonzalez Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Hey guys I'm new to this thread and site in general! In fact Frozen's miraculous BO run inspired my interest in this kind of stuff. Just one question: I see that everyone seems to have China pegged at around 30M when it opens next week. Don't you think it could be quite a bit higher than that? I mean just based on DM2's run there and how amazing Frozen has done in South Korea I feel like it could do well above 30 but maybe it's not a fair comparison. What do you guys think? Welcome to the forums!!! :-) I hope you are right and Frozen is also a super hit in China!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
