Gopher Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 This would have a 71m second weekend if it dropped as much as TDK minus midnights did. Sounds about right. But really none of us have any idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmscholar Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 A 3x Multipler from 163 is 489, I just don't see that happening, hopefully it can but I don't see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cratos Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 Over 30 people were killed in the Virginia Tech massacreLargest mass shooting*. 70 people shot. 12 dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 I think this will have a normal drop next weekend around 50% or so. I don't expect an amazing hold. Simply put, some people are put off from going to the theaters.Second, I don't know why were arguing about how much this impacted the gross. It seems everyone wants to say they are right. Those with low predictions say that this barely impacted the gross. Those with higher predictions claimed it impacted it a lot. The truth is, no one knows how much of an impact the shooting had. I think we should say the shooting had an impact and leave it at that.50% is not a normal drop for a big July opening. TDK dropped 52.5% with amazing WOM and $12m lower midnights than TDKR. I'm curious to see how TDKR does on weekdays. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmscholar Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 (edited) Over 30 people were killed in the Virginia Tech massacreV-Tech had the most deaths but only 53 were wounded. This breaks the record cause 71 people were shot even though only 12 died. Thank God James Holmes is a terrible shooter and more people didn't die but he still hit a lot of people and if that Bomb in his house went off we would of been talking more deaths. Edited July 22, 2012 by filmscholar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 50% is not a normal drop for a big July opening. TDK dropped 52.5% with amazing WOM and $12m lower midnights than TDKR. I'm curious to see how TDKR does on weekdays.I meant 50% minus midnights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmscholar Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 I also think it's time for the media to stop talking about how "Smart" James is and keep it real. This was a Terrorist act on the American People. I'm tired of terrorist only being linked to people from the middle east. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pinocchio Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 Last time I thought about it I had the idea "being killed" is worse than *being wounded". But, whatsoever... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 Personally I'm still on board for a 60-62% drop second weekend. The wOM for this is good, but not TDKR like. And even the good WOM still cannot overcome the fact that this may be a great movie, but it is dark and depressing and bleak. That, to me, does not seem like something that people will want to rush back to see again. Maybe I'm wrong, but at this point, I think this is logical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 I meant 50% minus midnights.So a 60% drop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCS Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 New numbers from Deadline are in..."Friday $76.1M, Saturday $45.2M, Est Sunday $39.8M, Weekend $161.1M"Bad weekend if true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 Personally I'm still on board for a 60-62% drop second weekend. The wOM for this is good, but not TDKR like. And even the good WOM still cannot overcome the fact that this may be a great movie, but it is dark and depressing and bleak. That, to me, does not seem like something that people will want to rush back to see again. Maybe I'm wrong, but at this point, I think this is logical.I agree, but I would also say that associating the film with that killer also taints it for some people. I'm not even talking a fear factor, but more or less blaming the killings on the film and people not wanting to see the film because they feel that will associate themselves with the kille. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 So a 60% drop?Yes, around there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 New numbers from Deadline are in..."Friday $76.1M, Saturday $45.2M, Est Sunday $39.8M, Weekend $161.1M"Bad weekend if true.I felt it was going to drop to $161M exact. I just had that feeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hasanahmad Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 So how much do you think it will drop next weekend?40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmscholar Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 Last time I thought about it I had the idea "being killed" is worse than *being wounded". But, whatsoever...Your right, to me V-tech had more deaths so it's worst but the reason they say it's the worst cause 71 people could of died. The V-Tech Shooter had a better average than James but the fact is more people could of died in that Theater and in his Bombed up apartment than V-Tech. Both are terrible tradegy's in American History. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 so a 12% Sunday drop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 I could see it going two entirely opposite ways. One would be a conventional (60%+) drop next week. The other would be a strong (<50%) hold, based in part on people who felt uncomfortable going this weekend but decided to go next week. From what I'm seeing/hearing (absurdly small sample size), WOM is significantly better than what appears on forums like here.But honestly I have no idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 Your right, to me V-tech had more deaths so it's worst but the reason they say it's the worst cause 71 people could of died. The V-Tech Shooter had a better average than James but the fact is more people could of died in that Theater and in his Bombed up apartment than V-Tech. Both are terrible tradegy's in American History.It's crazy to think of how far that bastard went to plan everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmscholar Posted July 22, 2012 Share Posted July 22, 2012 (edited) B if this has a 60% drops we are now talking "Spider-man 3" terrority, Do you really think it's going to fall that hard? I agree it's showing signs of Frontloadedness but what if TDKR is going to be a weekend movie like TA? Edited July 22, 2012 by filmscholar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
