alee7915 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 I know it is difficult to predict these things so far in advance... but does anyone think $500m might not be so far-fetched for Avatar 2? You have to ask her... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jiffy Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 You have to ask her... She looks preoccupied at the moment. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex Bennett Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 I think I'm in love with A.k.a Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vc2002 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 I know it is difficult to predict these things so far in advance... but does anyone think $500m might not be so far-fetched for Avatar 2? Avatar made $200m with just 1/4 the screens TF4 had. That was considered to be a test to the limit of the market. Now, TF4 will make around $300m. It's safe to say that TF4 hasn't brought out the full potential of Chinese market at this moment. With still 2 years to go, yes $500m is definitely possible. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Avatar made $200m with just 1/4 the screens TF4 had. That was considered to be a test to the limit of the market. Now, TF4 will make around $300m. It's safe to say that TF4 hasn't brought out the full potential of Chinese market at this moment. With still 2 years to go, yes $500m is definitely possible. But Avatar had extended run with little competition. Will that be true for the sequel? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted July 15, 2014 Author Share Posted July 15, 2014 Avatar 2 wont come until early 2017 or even early 2018, still another two and a half year years at least. A lot could change before that. The quota (aka, number of revenue shared imported releases) will be expanded in 2017 or 2018. Screen number could near 35000 by then. The 30-days run rule could change, too.Let's just say everything goes right.In my opinion, Avatar 2 should be the first movie to target 100 million admissions (100m adm. x 40 yuan = 4B yuan BO, or $645m in today's currency rate). Call me crazy ....If anything is certain, TF4 wont be replaced by Avatar 2. Because some other films will do it before A2. Gone with the Bullets or The Ghosts, for instance. Just yesterday an analyst told me he is pretty sure Gone with the Bullets will beat TF4 in BO, despite TF4 does 1.9B.TF4 will settle around 47m admissions. KFP3 should aim 60m in January 2016. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vc2002 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 (edited) But Avatar had extended run with little competition. Will that be true for the sequel? It will not have the extended run, but it will open a hell lot bigger won't it? The point is, TF4's $300m clearly doesn't represent the limit of what a movie can do in this market at this point, so, yes TF4 is the highest grossing film of all time in China and $500m means $200m more, the gap might be smaller than it seems like. Plus the market is going to being expanding for 2 years before Avatar 2 hits. Edited July 15, 2014 by vc2002 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 TF4 Monday 25.6M, total 1752M 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donald Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Tuesday numbers! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alee7915 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Tuesday numbers! Coming... Give me 10 mins Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alee7915 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Tuesday est Transformers 4 25.2M/$4.1M, Total : 1777M/$286.6M(19 days)Old Boy:The Way of The Dragon 15.9M/$2.6M, Total : 137M/$22.1M(6 days)The Breakup Guru 14.2M/$2.3M, Total : 600M/$96.8M(19 days) 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Seng Wah Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 $300mil on Saturday... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alee7915 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 (edited) $300mil on Saturday... By the way, there is something I need to tell you for long time... your "smiley face" didn't work since long time ago... Edited July 15, 2014 by A K A 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donald Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 TBG. Has really impressed me! 100 mill off a 16 mill fourday ow ....that huge! Even for the US 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donald Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Thanx for the numbers aka! Great work! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zackzack Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Tuesday est Transformers 4 25.2M/$4.1M, Total : 1777M/$286.6M(19 days) Old Boy:The Way of The Dragon 15.9M/$2.6M, Total : 137M/$22.1M(6 days) The Breakup Guru 14.2M/$2.3M, Total : 600M/$96.8M(19 days) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Wow. This weekend will see it hit 300.....awesome. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 When does TF4 end it's theatrical run? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alee7915 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 It will get an extension and now the NEW target is $350M ! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 It will get an extension and now the NEW target is $350M ! Transformers has legs. Optimus always had them long though. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...