peludo Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 41 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: Looks like FB2 can’t even win Friday... Right now (20:59), they are already tied (both at 76m) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brinatico Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 13 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: 3-day Opening - ¥283.53M / $40.99M Lifetime Gross - ¥591.84M / $85.56M ER - $1 = ¥6.9175 Thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 (edited) Just for reference, FB1 did during OW: Friday: 74.798m (77.307m including previews) Saturday: 114.145m Sunday: 91.652m Edited November 16, 2018 by peludo 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 FB2 run rate crashing, walk ups are dwindling. It will barely clear 80m. unlikely to bump tomorrow. 230m/$33m weekend It will probably drop 90% next weekend. $43m for the week $4m next week $47m Total Vm will get good show increases thru out the week. Giving it a bigger bump tomorrow and holding better thru Thursday. Vm may not lose many shows next friday. They will take most shows from FB2 and other holdovers for the small new releases Including Ralph 2 5 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, POTUS said: FB2 run rate crashing, walk ups are dwindling. It will barely clear 80m. unlikely to bump tomorrow. 230m/$33m weekend It will probably drop 90% next weekend. $43m for the week $4m next week $47m Total Vm will get good show increases thru out the week. Giving it a bigger bump tomorrow and holding better thru Thursday. Vm may not lose many shows next friday. They will take most shows from FB2 and other holdovers for the small new releases Including Ralph Holy crap. That will be horrible if it gets to only 47m. I was just about to post that this will not even get to 40m OW. I am thinking around 35-36ish (First time you are more conservative than me!!!) So yeah my original prediction of 46 before opening is definitely not happening (although I did say I will update once ratings and friday numbers comes in) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 5 minutes ago, POTUS said: FB2 run rate crashing, walk ups are dwindling. It will barely clear 80m. unlikely to bump tomorrow. 230m/$33m weekend It will probably drop 90% next weekend. $43m for the week $4m next week $47m Total Vm will get good show increases thru out the week. Giving it a bigger bump tomorrow and holding better thru Thursday. Vm may not lose many shows next friday. They will take most shows from FB2 and other holdovers for the small new releases Including Ralph Ouuuchhhhhh I think it could bump a bit tomorrow but 40 mill OW seems impossible with ratings and a bad PS multiplier on friday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 18 minutes ago, Rogerio said: Do you think it could do at least 70M or maybe just 60M? Depend on SAT. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rogerio Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 I don´t know how things work on China, but do you guys think this movie will destroy the Fantastic Beasts franchise there? I mean, suppose the next movie is a lot better than this, would they still watch it or after this movie they will be done with the franchise? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Rogerio said: I don´t know how things work on China, but do you guys think this movie will destroy the Fantastic Beasts franchise there? I mean, suppose the next movie is a lot better than this, would they still watch it or after this movie they will be done with the franchise? It has a chance if the next one is really good IMO. But it will never be huge in China 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 30 minutes ago, POTUS said: FB2 run rate crashing, walk ups are dwindling. It will barely clear 80m. unlikely to bump tomorrow. 230m/$33m weekend It will probably drop 90% next weekend. $43m for the week $4m next week $47m Total Vm will get good show increases thru out the week. Giving it a bigger bump tomorrow and holding better thru Thursday. Vm may not lose many shows next friday. They will take most shows from FB2 and other holdovers for the small new releases Including Ralph Wow, guess I was too optimistic about the multiplier. That would be TLJ level bad reception and a big drop from the previous film. WB will not be happy that the Wizarding World cinematic universe is collapsing instead of growing in China. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brinatico Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 China never was a important market for HP. All FB serie get from china is a surplus. Anyway what FB need to archive is no go dow on Europe and the States. Like I say ,all that come from china is a plus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brinatico Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 14 minutes ago, Brinatico said: China never was a important market for HP. All FB serie get from china is a surplus. Anyway what FB need to archive is no go dow on Europe and the States. Like I say ,all that come from china is a plus By the way, the FB2 PS for tomorrow is good. Don't know if going to bomb, but are better that today. Right now 30M plus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 16, 2018 Author Share Posted November 16, 2018 1 hour ago, POTUS said: FB2 run rate crashing, walk ups are dwindling. It will barely clear 80m. unlikely to bump tomorrow. 230m/$33m weekend It will probably drop 90% next weekend. $43m for the week $4m next week $47m Total Vm will get good show increases thru out the week. Giving it a bigger bump tomorrow and holding better thru Thursday. Vm may not lose many shows next friday. They will take most shows from FB2 and other holdovers for the small new releases Including Ralph $50m total is still possible .......... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlyDeadlinePredictions Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 So looks like Venom saved China's boxoffice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RealLyre Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 So WB using a Chinese mythical beast in the marketing and the movie didn't help huh Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Looks like Venom 84,5 Beasts 81,5 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 (edited) 2 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Holy crap. That will be horrible if it gets to only 47m. I was just about to post that this will not even get to 40m OW. I am thinking around 35-36ish (First time you are more conservative than me!!!) So yeah my original prediction of 46 before opening is definitely not happening (although I did say I will update once ratings and friday numbers comes in) well actually, the consensus was mid 40s. Saying 33 is like 58 if it was strong. Your still more conservative, just on how much its tanking instead of blowing up.😉 PS at 31m for Sat. it should over 100m but the walk ups died to day. Maybe it does mid/upper 30s but i think -90% next week happens either way Vm PS up 100% from yesterday. 170m saturday incoming. -43% WoW. Thatll put the week down just 50% Spidey WW could go down Edited November 16, 2018 by POTUS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Friday est Venom 85.5M/1155M, +37.5% JW2 same day 54.6m/1158m(lifetime: 1696m) FB2 80.53m/86.4m ( without fees, 500k under FB1 OD) - maoyan a bit too high Saturday forecast- MAOYAN V: 169M FB2 103M 4 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blaze Heatnix Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 7 minutes ago, Olive said: Friday est Venom 85.5M/1155M, +37.5% JW2 same day 54.6m/1158m(lifetime: 1696m) FB2 80.53m/86.4m ( without fees, 500k under FB1 OD) - maoyan a bit too high Saturday forecast- MAOYAN V: 169M FB2 103M So, what does that mean, regarding Venom's 169M? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said: So, what does that mean, regarding Venom's 169M? anything over 150m is fantastic 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...