TigerPaw Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 1 hour ago, POTUS 2020 said: Why do you think 500m? I project final PS to be low 20s. OD 70m, OW 250m After this release date saga, presales is now stuck and showtimes also not gaining much. I agree with your numbers now... 13 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: If Ip Man 4 is handled by other studio, it could make ¥700-1,000M. But now it may not even reach 400-500M, which means potential $30M loss. Yeah, very unfortunate. Really a solid film but distributor refuse to put in money to market the film. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 5 hours ago, pepsa said: TROS had a very good jump totday in OD presales, will go over 3.2m by midnight With todays boost it should atleast do 6m ps's in total probably 6.3m or so. A 4 time ps multi should give it close to 25m. As for tomorrow it's PS will be 5.25m by midnight, and because it are nation wide previews starting at 7pm I guess it will have a decent amount of walk ups so probably 10m day tomorrow. You think PS will just double tomorrow like MN's normally do? I was thinking 3x like an OD 4x on thur like you projected. If its 2x tomorrow, then I'm thinking 3x on thur 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 9 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said: You think PS will just double tomorrow like MN's normally do? I was thinking 3x like an OD 4x on thur like you projected. If its 2x tomorrow, then I'm thinking 3x on thur I don't know about it, the question will be how much will it increase in showtimes and is star wars as presalle heavy in china as in the rest of the world. Maybe you are right, it's just so strange with it starting at 7pm, so maybe more like 2.7? Close to OD but not an actualy OD increase because of less showtimes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 What are you expecting for OW and global box office for SW9 in China ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ymblcza Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 16+16+18+30+20=100m ($14m) OW, 140m ($20m) total Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 25 minutes ago, ymblcza said: 16+16+18+30+20=100m ($14m) OW, 140m ($20m) total Very down to earth prediction, will need to see Maoyan score tonight to have a better view. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 18, 2019 Author Share Posted December 18, 2019 I am contributing 44 bucks to SW9's 140m yuan China total (or whatever it will be). booked a show this evening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 1 hour ago, A Marvel Fanboy said: I am contributing 44 bucks to SW9's 140m yuan China total (or whatever it will be). booked a show this evening. Tell us your estimated Maoyan score. It’s flopping on rottentomatoes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikee11 Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 Reviews say SW9 is non stop action, so maybe China will like that? But then again they say the plot is very convoluted so maybe not? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 1 minute ago, mikee11 said: Reviews say SW9 is non stop action, so maybe China will like that? But then again they say the plot is very convoluted so maybe not? Non stop action? Hem, I heard first hour is very heavy on plot? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikee11 Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 27 minutes ago, TigerPaw said: Non stop action? Hem, I heard first hour is very heavy on plot? More than one reviewer used the term "non-stop" action. Very fast paced, heavy on exposition, heavy on action scenes. Will probably know more how china would feel about it after we see it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, mikee11 said: More than one reviewer used the term "non-stop" action. Very fast paced, heavy on exposition, heavy on action scenes. Will probably know more how china would feel about it after we see it Maybe it’s the transformers of Star Wars and China will eat it up, saving its worldwide box office! 😕 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 (edited) Didn't knew RoTS did $10mn in China. That was quite great in 2005 considering even Spider-man 2 was just $6mn and LoTR 3 was $10mn. Edited December 18, 2019 by Jedi Jat Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 TFA 290k interested on Maoyan. TLJ 103k TRS 62k Match very well with total gross of VII & VIII. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 1 hour ago, Jedi Jat said: Didn't knew RoTS did $10mn in China. That was quite great in 2005 considering even Spider-man 2 was just $6mn and LoTR 3 was $10mn. Prequel trilogy was actually quite positively received in China. So if TROS is prequels-level bad, it might do well. Lol. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 8.4 at Taopiaopiao. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 9 minutes ago, efialtes76 said: 8.4 at Taopiaopiao. Good or bad? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 17 minutes ago, efialtes76 said: 8.4 at Taopiaopiao. will say TFA level or may be worse as its only Fans who have seen it yet. So yeah bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 (edited) 18 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said: will say TFA level or may be worse as its only Fans who have seen it yet. So yeah bad. Ya, good call. 8.5 now. mostly only fans will watch the sneaks... it can only go down from here. And some fans have been generous, high score despite their disappointment; I have read some many posts on weibo. basically to reverse its fate, it needed at least 9, but it didn’t get there. If IpMan4 doesn’t explode on Maoyan score this Friday, then it will be a slow December. Edited December 18, 2019 by TigerPaw Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 20 hours ago, pepsa said: Maybe you are right, it's just so strange with it starting at 7pm, so maybe more like 2.7? Close to OD but not an actualy OD increase because of less showtimes. @POTUS 2020 we will get about an 2.5 - 2.55 multi from 5.35m. Right between and MN and an OD so pretty good gues by us Also ps's for tomorrow are severly lacking won't go over 5.5m by 3am. probably just over 5m (5.1m-5.3m). So even with 4 multi it barely clears 20m. The good news is friday will 100% see a bump. (as in there will surly be an increase, ps are close to those of thursday with a day to go and a weekend evening). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...