China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[vc2002]

TDKR will destroy TASM in direct competition, it will completely crush it.Spydey will become "LORAX" to Batman's "IA4".Thinking about 90M and 40M respectively.

If TDKR didnt completely destory and crush TASM in the US, how the hell will it do it in China?

[RTX]

I doubt that being a family flick is going to help Spidey's fortunes in China. You can take kids to Batman too. Most people will have to make a choice, and at the end of the day TASM is simply not appealing enough. TDKR is the first Batman movie ever to be released in China, from the director of Inception no less. TASM is kinda just there, there's no must-see factor to it.

[lab276]

If TDKR didnt completely destory and crush TASM in the US, how the hell will it do it in China?

It did kinda.

[RTX]

If TDKR didnt completely destory and crush TASM in the US, how the hell will it do it in China?

lol Just imagine what would have happened if Batman and Spidey released on the same day.

[Fullbuster]

TASM beat TDKR in Russia, it will beat it in China too.These 2 emerging countries don't have the same way of thinking than Western countries, some people here don't understand this.

[dezorz]

China’s Leading Movie Production Companies

http://chinafilmbiz.wordpress.com/2012/07/29/chinas-leading-movie-production-companies/

There are several thousand licensed production companies in China (more than 1,500 in Beijing alone), so outsiders need systematic ways to narrow their lists of potential collaborators down to manageable size. One such method is to measure companies by their respective market shares. That’s my purpose here

‘Ice Age 4’ Crushes China Box Office Records

http://chinafilmbiz.wordpress.com/2012/08/01/ice-age-4-crushes-china-box-office-records/

After a four-week SARFT-mandated absence from Chinese movie screens, American films roared back during the weekend ending July 29^th, with three new releases seizing a 56 percent share of the national box office.

Topping the charts, and breaking China’s opening weekend record for animated features was Twentieth Century Fox’s Ice Age 4: Continental Drift, which debuted to nearly $21 million in its first three days, easily surpassing prior record-holder Kung Fu Panda 2′s China debut by a wide margin. Ice Age 4’s take in its first three days nearly equaled the gross for the entire 2009 run of its predecessor, Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs.

[RTX]

TASM beat TDKR in Russia, it will beat it in China too.These 2 emerging countries don't have the same way of thinking than Western countries, some people here don't understand this.

Russia and China are two very different markets. The only thing they have in common is the rate of growth. That's it. And TDKR can still beat Spidey's total. Remember it had 70% second weekend drop.

[Olive]

Russia and China are two very different markets. The only thing they have in common is the rate of growth. That's it. And TDKR can still beat Spidey's total. Remember it had 70% second weekend drop.

No, we Chinese have similar taste of movies as Russians, except that we don't like animations that much.

[Olive]

I think TASM and TDKR will both make 80-100M in China.

[RTX]

No, we Chinese have similar taste of movies as Russians, except that we don't like animations that much.

You don't have a clue. lol

[Hatebox]

The cynical joke about Hollywood is that it no longer makes movies, just release dates. China doesn't seem to have got that memo yet.

[Fullbuster]

You don't have a clue. lol

You're Chinese? Seriously....

[vc2002]

lol Just imagine what would have happened if Batman and Spidey released on the same day.

Well, it probably will be like Clash of the Titans in the US, but here in China, not that much.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

I doubt that being a family flick is going to help Spidey's fortunes in China. You can take kids to Batman too. Most people will have to make a choice, and at the end of the day TASM is simply not appealing enough. TDKR is the first Batman movie ever to be released in China, from the director of Inception no less. TASM is kinda just there, there's no must-see factor to it.

You were wrong about Spidey. And so here about Batman. Two batman films had been released here:

Batman begins 20.7M yuan ($2.5M) 2005

Batman and Robin 20M yuan ($2.4M) 1998

Here it is the top 15 grossed SH movies in China:

http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/4112-the-overseas-gross-archive-for-superhero-movies-country-by-country/

[RTX]

Doesn't matter. Chinese market was virtually non-existent before 2007 (for foreign films at least). Very few people in China saw Begins and B&R, so for most of them this will be the first Batman film.

[Fake]

In most of the countries surrounding China like Russia, Japan, India, Philippines etc. TASM will beat TDKR.China will more likely than not follow suit. TASM might lose but it is not gonna be 'crushed'.

[keysersoze123]

FYI Xiayun himself said TDKR has a big advantage over TASM. He is quite good at tracking china BO.

[Olive]

FYI， Journey 2: the Mysterious Island made 65+M with 3D. And TDKR will most likely be released after end of Summer Holidays.

[John Marston]

Remember the 2D Mi4 reached 100m so 100m for Rises isn't completely out of the question

[RTX]

There is one thing we can be fairly confident about: when TDKR finally comes out in China, Spidey's box office will drop 70%+.