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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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On Monday, April 18, 2016 at 10:35 AM, No Prisoners said:

Maoyan PS multi has been all over the place lately. Going to compare to CBO.

 

CA3 OD May 6, 2016

                           Maoyan.                           CBO

                             MN          OD               MN              OD

0000 W 4/27     .10m     .25m

0000 T  4/28      .80m    2.4m

0000 F  4/29

0000 S  4/30

0000 S  5/1

0000 M 5/2

0000 T  5/3

0000 W 5/4

0000 T  5/5

0000 F  5/6                                                       

0900 F  5/6                                                             

 

OD Total                PSxMao              PSxCBO
OW Total 

Total

OD  Multi

OW Multi

 

On Friday, April 08, 2016 at 3:23 PM, No Prisoners said:

Im going to track JB and CA3 to see if we can find a multi. Ill keep each movie in one post and edit to make it more accessible. 

 

Jungle Book OD April 15, 2016

                         Maoyan PS

0000 F  4/8.    1.10m

0000 S  4/9     1.33 +20%

0000 S  4/10   1.86 +40%

0000 M 4/11   2.48 +33%

0000 T  4/12   3.67 +50%

0000 W 4/13   5.86 +67%

0000 T  4/14   9.76 +67%

0000 F  4/15 19.10 +96%     Midnight OD

0900 F  4/15 20.00 +  5%      Morning OD

 

OD Total    77.8m      PS Multi 4.1 x 00:00 PS
OW Total 325.0m

Total

OD  Multi

OW Multi

50-66% increases in the final days followed by a 100% increase on the last day is a typical trend.

CA3 at 2.4m already for OD. TJB wasn't there until monday. It's going to be huge for OD the rest of the weekend will rely on WOM.

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1 hour ago, leatherjacket said:

Will TJB hit the 900m in China?  What about 1B Yuan?

It has a chance 900m. 850m locked

It's listed at 9% shows for Friday and Saturday and climbing.  KFP was able to do 25m with 8% shows with heavy competition. TMK did 70m with 14% of shows on a saturday. It's looking to hold 40% or better this weekend. It will clear 800m this weekend. Close to 850m when CA3 opens.

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TJB mite bump small tomorrow based on presales, and like last week be down 50% WOW but hold much better on Sat/sun

Hopefully it still has evening shows.

One big opener tomorrow that will open between 75-100m. The other 3 will be small and TJB may take second for the weekend

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Monday is a holiday

The big opener today is pacing 100m+

TJB looking to beat 2 of the releases today to take 3rd, will take 2nd for the weekend

If it has plenty of evening shows it should look like this.

F  18-20m

S  40-45m

S  40-45m

M 28-30m.

100-110m 3 day WE -45%

130m-140m 4 day

850m~ total Monday

900m locked if it's not reduced to 1% shows against CA3

If it does have 5% of shows it could get well into the 900s. Or it doesn't have many evening shows and flush everything I just said:P

 

Edited by No Prisoners
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35 minutes ago, Lihongkim said:

100M+ OD. This is great number for Book of Love (a.k.a Finding Mr. Right 2), a heart-warming story about discovering true love. 

Finding Mr. Right was very successful at box office, grossing 520M Yuan in 2013.

Thanks for clarifying it. I do not why but I had associated it to "Beijing love story", 2014 film. What is the total we can expect for it?

Edited by peludo
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1 hour ago, peludo said:

Thanks for clarifying it. I do not why but I had associated it to "Beijing love story", 2014 film. What is the total we can expect for it?

Finding Mr. Right is more enjoyable than Beijing Love Story IMO. The storyline is sweet, sour, & sweet. I don't know what can we expect for it but with that OD I can say > FMR is locked. It's the opener of 6th BIFF, so the quality should be not bad. 

 

Maybe s.o @No Prisoners can give you proper answer. 

 

 

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On Wednesday, April 27, 2016 at 4:03 PM, Lordmandeep said:

Around 200 million is what is need.

 

More would be great...

 

On Wednesday, April 27, 2016 at 4:17 PM, peludo said:

IMHO, that is quite likely, close to be locked...

It's out performing the standard PS ramp up trend. I think PS will be 100m-120m or more. 

SW7 and many other movies 2.7x, PS, recently it's been 2.2 to 4 times. Going with 2.7x, 300m is a real possibility, 200m is definitely locked

1 hour ago, peludo said:

Thanks for clarifying it. I do not why but I had associated it to "Beijing love story", 2014 film. What is the total we can expect for it?

 

Should do at least 350m-400m for the 4 day weekend. Could do 700-800m, more if it can hold well against CA3.

@Olive would no better if this is fast fader or not.

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2 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

 

It's out performing the standard PS ramp up trend. I think PS will be 100m-120m or more. 

SW7 and many other movies 2.7x, PS, recently it's been 2.2 to 4 times. Going with 2.7x, 300m is a real possibility, 200m is definitely locked

 

Should do at least 350m-400m for the 4 day weekend. Could do 700-800m, more if it can hold well against CA3.

@Olive would no better if this is fast fader or not.

Movie got decent reviews, 400m 4-DAY will push it to 1B+, CA3 won't hit it hard.

CA3 will take other movies screens next week.

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21 minutes ago, Olive said:

Movie got decent reviews, 400m 4-DAY will push it to 1B+, CA3 won't hit it hard.

CA3 will take other movies screens next week.

If Book of Love reaches 1 billion, and counting CW, we would already have 7 films over 1 billion Yuan in less than 5 months. In whole 2015 there were 8 films reaching that amount.

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TJB in close race for second today at 17-18m

Will take second by a wide margin on the weekend. With rhis performance, it could hold 8% of screens next weekend and hold well since it's hitting more demos than CA2.. 900m locked with 6% or more shows next weekend and could get deep into the 9's.

Edited by No Prisoners
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Just now, No Prisoners said:

TJB in close race for second today at 17-18m

Will take second by a wide margin on the weekend. It could hold 8% of screens next weekend and hold well since it's hitting more demos than CA2.. 900m locked with 6% or more shows next weekend and could get deep into the 9's.

u have any predict for Civil war ?

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