China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[Ay72998]

The reaction for The Jungle Book is good, but surprisingly not as good as you would've expect given the critical reviews.   It currently has a 8.1 on Douban (it was 8.3 or something before, but has dropped a bit since it opened) and 7.7 on Mtime.  Whereas Zootopia still has a 9.3 on Douban and 8.7 on Mtime even though it was been in theaters for over a month.

[Jiffy]

I know it's a long way off and market growth is an unknown variable, but is anybody willing to hazard a guess at Avatar 2's gross potential?

[POTUS 2020]

10 hours ago, Olive said:

Sat+Sun over 200M yuan easily.

$43-45M OW

WOM of course not as good as Zootopia, but better than most blockbusters, heavy competition in week three, so difficult to predict a final number.

It looks like some competition next week. 3 releases showing a high show count so far. The top one already has 2m in PS. Poster looks YA. Is that going to be direct comp in a couple demos?

[Olive]

1 hour ago, Jiffy said:

I know it's a long way off and market growth is an unknown variable, but is anybody willing to hazard a guess at Avatar 2's gross potential?

$1B+

[Olive]

1 hour ago, No Prisoners said:

It looks like some competition next week. 3 releases showing a high show count so far. The top one already has 2m in PS. Poster looks YA. Is that going to be direct comp in a couple demos?

Won't be big, 100M OW at best.

[TLK]

How will The Huntsman do in China ? It isn't doing well in Europe but Asia seems solid for it so far.

[Olive]

Bad weather across east provinces of China, this may mute TJB's Saturday increase.

[Olive]

4 hours ago, TLK said:

How will The Huntsman do in China ? It isn't doing well in Europe but Asia seems solid for it so far.

Universal expect 300M yuan, I think it's impossible since its 2nd weekend will be affected by local blockbusters.

Edited April 16, 2016 by Olive

[Olive]

Saturday Est:
TJB 132M/212M
LHF 21.3M/279M
Zootopia 5.8M/1525M

American Ultra 4.9M/9.2m
 

[Avatree]

2 hours ago, Olive said:

Bad weather across east provinces of China, this may mute TJB's Saturday increase.

Here in the west of the globe, bad weather generally increases ticket sales as people are more likely to spend time indoors (e.g. in a cinema), compared to good weather which makes people go outside. Is it different in China? Just curious.

[Olive]

5 minutes ago, Treetrunk Special said:

Here in the west of the globe, bad weather generally increases ticket sales as people are more likely to spend time indoors (e.g. in a cinema), compared to good weather which makes people go outside. Is it different in China? Just curious.

Yeah, people tend to stay home when bad weather hits.

[Avatree]

Just now, Olive said:

Yeah, people tend to stay home when bad weather hits.

Fair enough. Here the cinema is a typical "rainy day" activity. 

[TigerPaw]

30 minutes ago, Treetrunk Special said:

Here in the west of the globe, bad weather generally increases ticket sales as people are more likely to spend time indoors (e.g. in a cinema), compared to good weather which makes people go outside. Is it different in China? Just curious.

Not really true though. I remember the January 22nd weekend where Many parts of US was having heavy snowstorm and many cinemas were closed, people were tweeting that that is a stay home weekend. 

 

[Avatree]

1 minute ago, TigerPaw said:

Not really true though. I remember the January 22nd weekend where Many parts of US was having heavy snowstorm and many cinemas were closed, people were tweeting that that is a stay home weekend. 

 

Oh sure, if it's snow. Maybe you guys have a different meaning of "bad weather".

Here "bad weather" means rain. That's all im talking about.

[TalismanRing]

1 hour ago, Treetrunk Special said:

Fair enough. Here the cinema is a typical "rainy day" activity. 

 

You see a patch of sun and your theaters are wastelands.  Germany's the same. 

 

[Fake]

Excellent opening for TJB. 1B is in play despite the competition.

[Lihongkim]

20 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

It looks like some competition next week. 3 releases showing a high show count so far. The top one already has 2m in PS. Poster looks YA. Is that going to be direct comp in a couple demos?

Yesterday Once More, if it follows The Left Ear (April.24) last year : 53M OD, 190M OW & 485M total. But The Left Ear is Alec Su's first time as director & it has Yang Yang. All actors in Yesterday Once More are new-comer.

Since 2013, youth movie always do good in late April, So Young 2013, My Old Classmate 2014, The Left Ear 2015. 

[Polaroids]

One of the releases on the last week of Apr changed release dates. Finding Mr Right 2 should comfortably dominate May 1 weekend.

 

The Russo brothers started a production studio in China.. interesting. http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/russo-brothers-launch-studio-produce-874955

[POTUS 2020]

2 hours ago, Lihongkim said:

Yesterday Once More, if it follows The Left Ear (April.24) last year : 53M OD, 190M OW & 485M total. But The Left Ear is Alec Su's first time as director & it has Yang Yang. All actors in Yesterday Once More are new-comer.

Since 2013, youth movie always do good in late April, So Young 2013, My Old Classmate 2014, The Left Ear 2015. 

Pre-sales are pacing with TJB which came to 19m. But TJB had 4x PS which is a first I've seen. Maoyan has been erratic lately, time to compare to Cboo, so YOM could be 45-75m OD based on current PS pace.

[MinaTakla]

Forbes on TJB in China

I think it's a bit exaggerated though:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/robcain/2016/04/15/disneys-jungle-book-swings-in-china-to-12-million-opening-day-250-better-than-zootopia/#28a84b075c31