China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[Olive]

Actually F8 has way more buzz even at the same point, I think TF5 will barely increase.

[peludo]

If I had to bet I would say 3b for F8 and 2.5b for TF5.

[keysersoze123]

Both TF3 and TF4 doubled from previous entries. This is opening 3 years after last one and Transformers movies have always been uber popular in china wouldn't TF5 benefit from tremendous expansion in screen count since last one?

Edited April 6, 2017 by keysersoze123

[zackzack]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Both TF3 and TF4 doubled from previous entries. This is opening 3 years after last one and Transformers movies have always been uber popular in china wouldn't TF5 benefit from tremendous expansion in screen count since last one?

 

Doubling TF4 will give TF5 a gargantuan, unthinkable $640M gross.

Mermaid is a $500M grosser but that is just a perfect storm of timing,

novelty and the drought of a good local entertainment. 

TF5 must have some serious trick up its sleeve

to earn that kind of number.

 

[FantasticBeasts]

Come on Chinese

Show your power to the world.

[POTUS 2020]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Both TF3 and TF4 doubled from previous entries. This is opening 3 years after last one and Transformers movies have always been uber popular in china wouldn't TF5 benefit from tremendous expansion in screen count since last one?

Screen count up 160% will make the OW way larger. The BO is up 50% since June 2014 which could bring it to 3B. Anything more will have to be an expansion of the fanbase. 

[keysersoze123]

37 minutes ago, POTUS said:

Screen count up 160% will make the OW way larger. The BO is up 50% since June 2014 which could bring it to 3B. Anything more will have to be an expansion of the fanbase. 

overall growth has tapered but movies that has interest definitely has good potential. I see most movies have very low occupancy because of lack of interest. TF movies have always shown great support and so potential is higher. I was surprised when TF4 doubled despite new star cast(domestically it dropped 30%).

 

45 minutes ago, zackzack said:

 

Doubling TF4 will give TF5 a gargantuan, unthinkable $640M gross.

Mermaid is a $500M grosser but that is just a perfect storm of timing,

novelty and the drought of a good local entertainment. 

TF5 must have some serious trick up its sleeve

to earn that kind of number.

 

 

Hollywood movies have dominated chinese BO and we have had Avatar, TF4 and F7 breaking all time records. So Mermaid is definitely not the ceiling. 

[StephenN18]

Can someone tell me what the official final numbers were for Resident Evil? I know it's over $161 million and 1112 million yuan, but is there official numbers anywhere?

Edit: Found this gross, is this an accurate site? 

$161,294,600

http://www.boxofficechina.com/beta/2017-03-23

Edited April 6, 2017 by StephenN18

[POTUS 2020]

31 minutes ago, StephenN18 said:

Can someone tell me what the official final numbers were for Resident Evil? I know it's over $161 million and 1112 million yuan, but is there official numbers anywhere?

Edit: Found this gross, is this an accurate site? 

$161,294,600

http://www.boxofficechina.com/beta/2017-03-23

A lot of sites don't get XR right. That one looks close enough.

I have ¥1112m. The average XR was 6.89.  $161.39m

[Gavin Feng]

30 minutes ago, StephenN18 said:

Can someone tell me what the official final numbers were for Resident Evil? I know it's over $161 million and 1112 million yuan, but is there official numbers anywhere?

￥1,035.86m / 1,112.27m  -  before / after service fee

[Gavin Feng]

THU estimates
 
before service charges
Kong: Skull Island  -  15.2m / 974.5m
Suspect X  -  13.3m / 280.7m
Extraordinary Mission  -  6.73m / 109.1m
The Missing  -  3.9m / 74.2m

Ghost in the Shell  -  2.35m(midnights)
有完没完(no English title)  -  1.68m / 28.5m
Beauty & Beast  -  1.64m / 542m
 
after service charges

Kong: Skull Island  -  16m / 1,033m
Suspect X  -  14.1m / 299.2m
Extraordinary Mission  -  7.1m / 116.2m
The Missing  -  4.1m / 78.4m

Ghost in the Shell  -  2.5m(midnights)
有完没完(no English title)  -  1.8m / 30.8m
Beauty & Beast  -  1.75m / 578.9m

[POTUS 2020]

GitS heading to the mid 50s.

180m/$26m OW 

[MrFanaticGuy34]

10 minutes ago, POTUS said:

GitS heading to the mid 50s.

180m/$26m OW 

Great or terrible OW?

[POTUS 2020]

4 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

Great or terrible OW?

Better than DOM. Can't be bad

[keysersoze123]

^^^

 

That is not great but it will beat the domestic number. But its gonna get slaughtered next weekend. So its overall multi will be bad.

[Cookson]

So what is Kong looking like in it's 3rd weekend?

[fmpro]

12 minutes ago, Cookson said:

So what is Kong looking like in it's 3rd weekend?

 

Hmm. My guess is around 9-10 mill $ FSS

Edited April 7, 2017 by fmpro

[fmpro]

6 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

^^^

 

That is not great but it will beat the domestic number. But its gonna get slaughtered next weekend. So its overall multi will be bad.

 

Yeah. Could have RE6 legs or worse. Its almost dead next friday

[Gavin Feng]

FRI estimates
 
before service charges
Ghost in the Shell  -  47.6m / 49.8m
Kong: Skull Island  -  16.1m / 992.3m
Suspect X  -  14.4m / 296.7m
Extraordinary Mission  -  5.23m / 114.8m
The Missing  -  2.34m / 79.7m
Beauty & Beast  -  1.21m / 543.4m
 
after service charges
Ghost in the Shell  -  51.5m / 53.8m
Kong: Skull Island  -  17.2m / 1,051m
Suspect X  -  15.5m / 315m
Extraordinary Mission  -  5.6m / 122m
The Missing  -  2.5m / 81.1m
Beauty & Beast  -  1.3m / 580.3m

[POTUS 2020]

Blast from the past

On Wednesday, April 08, 2015 at 0:08 PM, Olive said:

50% showtimes ratio, 60k showtimes at least.

Higher

On Thursday, April 09, 2015 at 4:39 PM, Olive said:

All the IMAX shows at my theater which usually doesn't have big presales are90% sold out.

 

Gewara for FF7: 167,068 (As of 5:30PM Thursday)

That means something is cooking

On Thursday, April 09, 2015 at 4:44 PM, Olive said:

70k showtimes, 80-90 PSA, 40 yuan ATP.

224-252M yuan OD?

A little bit higher

On Thursday, April 09, 2015 at 5:04 PM, Olive said:

won't rule out that.

My prediction is $35M

Nope

On Friday, April 10, 2015 at 3:08 AM, firedeep said:

Only four Hollywood movies logged 90+ PSA in wide release: TF4(90+), T3D (90+), TF3(100+) , Avatar (100+). None of the others even managed 80+. But F7 just one weekend day so we will see.

Oh it will

On Friday, April 10, 2015 at 0:39 PM, tupek said:

Is $200m total possible at this point?

X 2

On Friday, April 10, 2015 at 3:59 PM, Olive said:

Theaters are adding shows rapidly.

FF7 midnight should be over $5m easily

THINK BIGGER!!!

On Friday, April 10, 2015 at 5:11 PM, Olive said:

TF4 20.5m yuan

F7 could hit 35m

how about 50? I know it's not possible. 

On Friday, April 10, 2015 at 10:33 PM, Olive said:

 

FF7 will debut with 80k showtimes including midnights, widest release in industry history.

It will Challenge TF4's single day record(223m/$35.9M).

Will smack it down

On Saturday, April 11, 2015 at 7:12 PM, Olive said:

Presales for FF 7 Sunday already reached 70 mln yuan ,which usually accounted for a quarter to a third of total daily number.

1/5th this time

On Saturday, April 11, 2015 at 7:16 PM, keysersoze123 said:

 

So the range should be 210-280m rmb

Come on Verbal. Get out your abacus 

On Saturday, April 11, 2015 at 8:45 PM, druv10 said:

Even with a short run, FF7 is looking at 210M+ with that OD.

 

On Saturday, April 11, 2015 at 10:41 PM, keysersoze123 said:

90k * 80 -90 psa * 40 yuan = 288 - 324m yuan for OD !!!!

 

So China could have a 100m OD in 5 years !!!!

Maybe next week. J/k

On Saturday, April 11, 2015 at 10:59 PM, Olive said:

FF7 midnights revised to 46m yuan!

Holy shit!

Get ready to say that again

On Sunday, April 12, 2015 at 0:21 AM, Fake said:

The insanity has begun!

And shall continue

On Sunday, April 12, 2015 at 2:49 AM, seduh said:

AMAZING, a $40 OD is happening. Imagine if it open on a Friday. $200 is very likely. Huge surprise

And it will

On Sunday, April 12, 2015 at 9:53 AM, keysersoze123 said:

WOW. How is the daytime looking. Can it do 250m yuan today

Jesus christ

On Sunday, April 12, 2015 at 10:14 AM, baumer said:

And with this number can it challenge Transformers for the biggest ever?

Marky mark gets ass kicked

On Sunday, April 12, 2015 at 10:32 AM, Olive said:

250m is locked imo.

currently PSA is higher than TF4 Sunday Atthe same point

Always low

On Sunday, April 12, 2015 at 11:25 AM, Chewy said:

Holy shit!

You betcha

On Sunday, April 12, 2015 at 1:19 PM, abra said:

UPDATED $8.04 Million For 'Furious 7' Midnight Screenings in China Breaks Record

 

http://pro.boxoffice.com/statistics/news/2015-04-11-74-million-for-furious-7-midnight-screenings-in-china-breaks-record

And will break it again

On Sunday, April 12, 2015 at 3:43 PM, Olive said:

by 4:30PM

FF7 sunday 260m yuan with pre-sold tickets of later shows, 300M yuan OD is very likely

300? How 346m. Can you be high just once?

On Sunday, April 12, 2015 at 5:39 PM, keysersoze123 said:

 

Can it do 400m OD. It would crazy to see F7 beat F6 in just one day.

Ok now you've gone too far, finally!

On Sunday, April 12, 2015 at 6:44 PM, firedeep said:

I am going to predict 130m Monday, regardless of what Sunday actuals will be. 130m/110m/95m/80m/100m/160m/125m=800m 2nd week.

More like 187/167/..... like Arnold you'll be back....

On Sunday, April 12, 2015 at 7:53 PM, keysersoze123 said:

I am sure we will see 100m OD in not too distant future.

You said that already

Next week. 

Just kidding again

Maybe not.... 

Mama always said Box office was like a box of chocolates. Never know what's going to blow the fudge up